9/28/20

Mets360 - My 2020-21 offseason for the New York Mets

 


By David Groveman September 28. 2020

Here is the outline of my moves and roster for the Mets 2020 offseason and 2021 season. With all of my moves and roster adjustments, the team will emerge with a projected salary under $180 million, even factoring in money for Bobby Bonilla and Bret Saberhagen. People may disagree with the money that free agents get or my decisions to part ways with Steven Matz and Robert Gsellman but there should be other versions in the next week or so that perhaps you’ll like more.

The Deals:

Sign J.T. Realmuto – With a rich new owner, the Mets want to make a splash in 2021 and this is the way to do it. Buy out both Wilson Ramos and Robinson Chirinos for $2.5 Million and sign this all star catcher to a $26 Million 5 Year ($130) contract. The details of the actual contract would be different than my equal division but the key to this deal is that I see him getting between 25-27 per and 4-6 years. With Realmuto’s bat and glove added to the team the infield defense is even further improved and the Mets get a key right-handed bat in their lefty heavy lineup. It should be noted that the idea of keeping either Chirinos and/or Ramos is not absurd, as the Mets would need to spend an additional 12-13 Million for just Realmuto. With the Mets homegrown option (Francisco Alvarez) 3-5 seasons from the majors I think that a long term deal could work for the team.

Sign Kevin Pillar – I don’t think he’d cost a ton in terms of average salary and years and he can slot into center field as a platoon with Nimmo and a defensive replacement. I’m estimating his salary at 2 years $7.5 or 3 years $6 but, with Nimmo’s shaky defense and no natural center field options on their way I think the Mets can afford to bring on a player for the 2022 season as well. It should be noted that the Mets have no major league level prospects likely to be ready for promotion with their newest top pick, Pete Crow-Armstrong their top outfielder in the minors

Sign Corey Kluber – The Mets tried and failed on two reclamation projects in 2020 but, with Thomas Szapucki waiting in the wings and plenty of time to heal up, I’m going with Kuber. That being said, Taijuan WalkerTrevor Bauer and Marcus Stroman are all on my radar.  I just don’t want to spend the money and years for them. If any of them could come down into the $10 Million 1 Year range I am projecting for Kluber, I would likely switch my target. I based these numbers on Rick Porcello’s who had also previously won a Cy Young award before some lackluster years. I am hoping Kluber takes a single year deal in his own hopes of reestablishing a superb value for 2022 and beyond.

Sign Cameron Maybin – I think I’ve targeted Maybin multiple times in my offseason fantasy rosters. He’s just a good option for the bench outfield. I gave him $1.25 Million and 1 Year which I feel justified with after he just signed a $1.5 Million 1 Year deal in 2020. The fact that he’s a righty allows the Mets to have more versatility with their all lefty starters.

The Amed Rosario Question – I would definitely shop Rosario at the winter meetings but, the reality is, there is little to no market for him. The top two trade targets this offseason are Trevor Story and Francisco Lindor who both have higher value. 

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Mike's Mets - Nothing Wrong With Being In the Bushes

 


 

If this was a normal year, the Minor League season would be over by now, including postseason playoffs. Some prospects would have had the chance to really elevate their status, as Jacob deGrom and Jeff McNeil were able to do when they were on the Junior Varsity. (Although, in fairness, I think few, if any, foresaw just how good they would be in the majors.) Some formerly highly-regarded prospects would have lost their luster as they struggled against better competition. It's all part of a tradition that stretches back to a time before any of us were born.

Sadly, among all of the other things broken by the pandemic, Minor League ballparks remained empty and silent this summer. There were no Dads and Moms in those bleachers with their kids, allowing a new generation of baseball fans to develop a love for a game that was once America's game, but really isn't any longer. There are no sounds of cheering and groaning while the action is taking place, nor do you hear the raucous sounds of endless between inning promotions and stunts. Bush league has evolved into a phrase that is meant to disparage something as second-rate and inferior, but as someone who loves the Minor League game I just can't go along with that definition.

Minor League baseball is real, immediate and closer to the fans - particularly those not fortunate enough to be born with a trust fund - than the brand of ball played in Major League parks, with their luxury suites, elegant dining and field boxes filled mostly with corporate types. Minor League ball is more brash, more in your face, more innovative and yes, in a lot of ways a little corny and cheesy in a manner that just makes it more endearing, more truly American, at least to me.

I've written about Minor League baseball several times in the six months that I have been back blogging, for instance herehere and here. I've chosen this topic because it really matters to me. I can assure you that there have been no secret payments from Minor League baseball to influence me, although I'm always open to any significant bribe.

When I was in my teens and early twenties, I didn't have much money at all. Yet, on a whim, I could go to Shea Stadium with my brother, secure some cheap upper deck seats, and enjoy a game without spending much at all. If the Mets were out of town we would sometimes drive out to Yankee Stadium to catch a game, sit in the cheap seats and root for the other team. If I was born 40 years later, that would not be an option. For two broke kids, multiple trips to the ballpark simply would be out of reach, unless we were heading out to a local Minor League Game.

It's not only the increased costs of attending a Major League game that has made it less accessible. Back a few decades ago, most of the games were on free tv. All you needed was an antenna. Then cable tv came along and many of the games were unavailable to folks without a cable package. Now there are Regional Sports Networks that carry almost all of the games, and you need to spring for more than just a basic cable package to get those channels. Where I live, the cost of my package is inflated by the cost of the YES network and the Red Sox's NESN network. I don't watch Yankee and Red Sox games, but I have to pay for them.

I switched to YouTube TV a while back to save a few bucks over what Comcast was charging me. I still have to keep them for internet because their competition, Frontier Communications, only offers very slow DSL where I live. So I'm pretty much stuck until 5G home internet becomes a reality. When I called Comcast to cancel the tv service, they told me I could save money by getting a discounted package that included internet and the lowest tier of channels - just the local broadcast channels and some shopping networks.

It did save me a few bucks over paying for internet alone, but I noticed on my first bill that I was being charged a "Regional Sports Network fee". I figured it was a mistake, as my barebones package didn't include any sports, not even ESPN. I called customer service and asked why I was paying for something I didn't even get. The rep told me "everyone has to pay for that." I tried making a logical argument, but it fell completely on dead ears. I promised myself that, when my 2 years were up, I would pay only for internet, even if I had to pay a couple of bucks more.

Between my YouTube TV and internet, I'm still paying over $130 a month. When I was young and single, I would never have paid anything like that. I wasn't home enough to justify the cost. If I was that age today, I would only have a cell plan and maybe home internet. I wouldn't be watching Mets games except for the few on WPIX or - God help me - FOX. It's possible that I wouldn't be a real Mets fan any more after going more than a decade without watching games.

MLB doesn't offer people who don't have a cable tv or expensive streaming service an alternative to just pay something for the right to stream their teams' games. It props up the carriage fees that RSNs charge cable and streaming services which, in turn, accounts for the hugely lucrative deals these RSNs sign with MLB teams. But, as more people cut the cord and younger people forgo any traditional packaged tv service, MLB baseball is becoming something that folks in their 20s and 30s don't watch and don't really care about. You become a devoted fan of a team by watching a good percentage of that team's games. That won't even be possible for many young people. When they start having kids, they're not going to be passing along a love of baseball to them.

That's why it's so important that Minor League baseball continues to flourish. If someone lives within a reasonable driving distance from a Minor League ballpark, the game of baseball is accessible to them in a way that the Major League game increasingly is not. It's a fun and relatively inexpensive place to bring kids, helping a new generation develop a love for the game.

As many of you know already, the contract between Major League and Minor League Baseball is expiring, and a new one must be negotiated this winter. Major League baseball wants control of the Minor Leagues. They want more control over where their affiliates are located and how the facilities are maintained, among other issues. They also want to eliminate 2 short season levels of A-ball, where the Mets currently have teams in Brooklyn and Kingsport, Tennessee. If this comes to pass, as seems likely, about 42 teams would lose their affiliation completely.

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Metstradamus - We've Turned And Faced The Strange, Now Let's Change

 

By  | 

It’s 11:46 PM, and I’m watching the Mets game on replay.

I mean, I know what happens. The Mets got clobbered. But I wanted to have some sort of idea about the true ins and outs of this game. But quite honestly, when the Mets were up 2-0 in the top of the first after a Pete Alonso home run, I was thinking “man, this game is already dragging and, by extension, quite annoying. And all I’m retaining is that Keith likes almond milk in his cold brew, and Luis Guillorme shaved.

I just saw Trea Turner hit a grand slam. I’m not waiting to finish this game to write the following nonsense.

The first thing the Mets need to do in the coming days and weeks during the time when the entire rest of the league is in the playoffs (I mean, okay … the Brewers are in the playoffs at 29-31. Whatever. But if Rob Manfred rigs it so that an under .500 team can make the playoffs in a 162 game season, it’s going to be the slow boil of the metaphorical live lobster that is the game of baseball) is this: Figure out what aspects of 2020 went wrong because of the unusual circumstances of the 60 game pandemic truncated season, and what aspects of 2020 went wrong that were going to go wrong anyway, whether it be by lack of talent or roster malpractice.

To what level was the Mets’ inability to drive in runs with runners in scoring position a fluke? I mean, it’s always a fluke, especially to the level that the Mets were stranding runners on in the beginning of the season. But was it a fluke because it was a fluke? Or was it a fluke because players were pressing?

Speaking of pressing, to what level did the pandemic affect Pete Alonso? Did his batting average drop to Rob Deer levels because he was pressing with the urgency of a short season? Or was it because he, like the rest of the roster, was missing the in-game instruction and advice from Chili Davis? Or was it simply a regression that would have happened anyway with the league adjusting to the 2019 Rookie of the Year? The answer to this question most likely will not affect Alonso’s status with the 2021 Mets, but it would be nice to figure out what is happening inside his mind.

There needs to be a conversation about Steven Matz who, generously, was awful this season. Do you blame the pandemic/short season? Or do you conclude that Matz has reached his ceiling and that he can’t be trusted with a rotation spot anymore?

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Reese Kaplan -- 2020, the Final End of an Error!



All good things and all bad things must eventually come to an end.  For the Mets it is the dubious history of the bizarre and abbreviated 2020 season.  They went into this weekend with the slimmest of hopes that required other teams losing while they won.  Control of the outcome of games in which they were not participating was not possible, but they did indeed have the ability to do something in their weekend series in Washington.  Losing it was not the plan, but as happens so often to the Mets, it was the games they could control in which they looked like a near last place team.  

 

Had they at least one the first game then Jacob deGrom's quest for a third straight Cy Young Award would have been possible.  For deGrom, a short stay in which he gave up a measly three runs is the equivalent of another mere mortal messing the bed, but it brought his season-long ERA up to a 2.38 ERA.  In any other season that might have been good enough for the seldom winning deGrom, but he's likely going to be overlooked in favor of others with better bottom line numbers over this 60-game endeavor.

 



In a way, everyone is heaving something of a sigh of relief as the end of this campaign is the denouement of the long and sad Wilpon tale (unless, of course, something even more sketchy about Cohen's past evolves between now and the November vote).  The Wilpons turned the club from a contender into a cartoon and nothing would be more appropriate for the end of this reign than the way they collapsed when they needed it most.  At least if they'd swept the Nationals then the other three clubs standing in their way to the post-season would and could have done whatever they could to advance.  The Mets as a team would hold their heads up proudly to say we did what we had to do.  They didn't.  

 

So if real baseball was indeed strange with no one in the stands, artificially pumped fan noise and the hardly lifelike cardboard cutouts taking the place of gate receipts, the post season promises to be even more surreal.  With no teeming stands, likely little in the way of sponsor participation, and the artificially manipulated expanded wildcards, it doesn't really matter who wins or who loses.  The entire 2020 season will go down in the books with all the relevancy of an extended Spring Training.


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Personally, I'm in the camp that it's better to end on a whimper and let the Wilpons skulk away in humiliation and embarrassment.  How weird would it have been had the Mets finally made the post-season in the Wilpons' final season in control.  They would be able to hold their heads up high and create a fallacious legacy that they were indeed knowledgeable and the success proved them right.  

 

Ummm...no.  

 

The history books will classify the owners of the Mets as meddlesome, disinterested in paying for the best available talents and way too patient with what wasn't working.  The end result is a legacy of losing on the world's biggest sports stage.  From 2003 until 2020 the numbers don't lie.  The Wilpons hold a losing record for that 17 year duration.  That actually takes some talent to do.  It's hard to craft a perennial loser but they managed to show they were fully capable.  

 

Good riddance!

John From Albany – Mets News and Breakfast Links 9/28/2020

 

Good Morning. Happy Birthday Ronn Reynolds. Nationals 15 Mets 5 as Mets season ends while the Steve Cohen/Sandy Alderson era gets ready to begin.

 

Section Links: Mets Links, MLB Links, and This Day in Mets History.


Mets Links:


Nationals 15 Mets 5 Seth Lugo (L, 3-4) 1.1 innings, 5 hits, 6 runs, 6 earned runs, 2 walks, 1 K, 38 pitches – 24 strikes; Chasen Shreve 2/3 inning, 0 runs, 0 Hits,1 walk; Brad Brach 0 innings, 3 runs, 3 earned runs, 0 Hits, 3 walks;  Steven Matz 3 innings, 3 hits (2 HR), 3 runs, 3 earned runs, 3 walks, 4 Ks; Dellin Betances 1/3 inning, 2 hits, 3 runs, 3 earned runs, 3 walks, 1 K; Jared Hughes, 2/3 inning, 0 hits, 0 runs, 1 walk, 2 Ks; Jeurys Familia 2 innings, 0 runs, 0 hits, 0 walks, 2Ks; Pete Alonso 3 for 5 (2 HRs #15 & #16), 2 runs scored, 3 RBIs; Guillermo Heredia 2 for 4 (HR #2), 1 run scored, 2 RBIs; Luis Guillorme 2 for 3, 1 run scored, 1 walk; Todd Frazier 0 for 5; Robinson Cano 0 for 3; (Box Score).


SNY.TV: Mets takeaways from 15-5 loss to Nationals in final game of 2020 season. Seth Lugo had a rough start at the beginning of the game.







Newsday: Mets end Wilpon era with big loss to Nationals.


Mike Puma NY Post: Mets finish in NL East basement with Wilpon era likely over.


Deesha Thosar NY Daily News: “Mediocre starting pitching, lack of momentum, absences of winning streaks and urgency, and Little League mental and baserunning mistakes pounded the team to the ground. Despite the Mets being in unanimous agreement that they had the talent to play in October, they kept getting in their own way.”


Greg Prince Faith and Fear in Flushing: The Cookie Crumbles. “There are more for a majority of major league teams, but not ours. There’s a reason for that. We weren’t good enough. We weren’t remotely good most of the time. I say “we” because I’d like to think we win together and we lose together, regardless that some of our uniforms have yet to be delivered from Stitches of Whitestone. If this was all second-person accusatory, you’d be on your own and we wouldn’t care. That’s not the case. We are with you, Dom. We are with you, Pete.”




Metstradamus asks the needed questions if the 2020 Mets season was “because of the unusual circumstances of the 60 game pandemic truncated season, and what aspects of 2020 went wrong that were going to go wrong anyway, whether it be by lack of talent or roster malpractice.”


Bill Madden NY Daily News: Marlins' playoff spot should embarrass much of baseball, especially the Mets.


Mets.com: Mets face crucial, change-filled offseason. “…even if Cohen does complete his purchase in the coming weeks, it isn’t clear how he will operate -- specifically, who might stay and who might go. All the Mets understood for sure on Sunday were their regrets following a challenging, disappointing season that began with playoff aspirations.”


Phil Mushnick NY Post: The one Mets dilemma Steve Cohen may not be able to fix. Simply put, how will Cohen’s ownership provide the stimulus or direction to avoid the tsunami that has made baseball a strikeout or home run, .200 batting average, empty-the-bullpens, all-night expensive enterprise?


NY Times: With Wilpons Set to Cede Control, the Mets End an Era of What-Ifs. After his entanglement in the Madoff Ponzi scheme, the longtime Mets owner Fred Wilpon vowed to fight to keep his team. He did, but the scandal altered the course of his reign.


Rising Apple: Four reasons why you shouldn’t miss The Wilpons. Poor Finances and Bernie Madoff lead the list.


Mike’s Mets has a great piece on Minor League baseball in “Nothing Wrong With Being In the Bushes.”


Rising Apple: Three sneaky free agent moves that can improve the Mets in 2021. White Sox Catcher James McCann, Twins Starting Pitcher Jake Odorizzi, and Dodgers Relief Pitcher Pedro Baez.


Rising Apple: Same song new dance, Brandon Nimmo could be traded this winter.



Rising Apple: Mets are in the same position with Steven Matz as they were with Travis d’Arnaud.




MLB Links:


MLB.com: 16-team field set; postseason opens Tuesday.



AP News: Pandemic playoffs: Brewers, Astros in despite losing records.



Cardinals 5 Brewers 2 (Box Score)   



Red Sox 9 Braves 1 (Box Score)



Padres 5 Giants 4 (Box Score)


Here is the full MLB Scoreboard from yesterday.



Forbes: Quiet Moves For Luke Voit And DJ LeMahieu Paid Off Significantly For The New York Yankees.






MLB Trade Rumors: Angels Fire GM Billy Eppler.


NY Post: Alex Cora speculation begins after Red Sox fire Ron Roenicke.


Kevin Kernan ballnine.com looked at how the Rays are able to win: “Rays owners have discovered what so many other teams can’t figure out. It’s not the analytics that create success. It’s the scouting and development side of the organization that breeds continued success. Numbers are merely a tool. If the system works, they can find people to be in charge of the system. That is what makes the Rays so successful.”.


Today in Mets History Per Ultimatemets.com:

Born on this date:

Died on this date:


Centerfield Maz: Remembering Mets History (9/28/2019): Pete Alonso Sets MLB Rookie Single Season HR Record.


Centerfield Maz: Remembering Mets History (1969) Mets Sweep Final Weekend Series As Their Pitchers Toss Three Shut Outs.


Centerfield Maz: Remembering Mets History: (9/27/2000) Mets Clinch Wild Card Berth.


Centerfield Maz: Luis Guillorme: 2019 Mets Infielder (2018-2020), Born 9/27/94.


Centerfield Maz: Remembering Mets History: (9/27/1976) John Milner Hits Third Grand Slam of Season As Jon Matlack Wins His 17th.


Centerfield Maz: Jason Phillips: Early 2000's Mets Back Up Catcher/ First Baseman (2001-2005). Born 9/27/1976.


Centerfield Maz: Remembering Mets History: (9/26/1971) Seaver Pitches His Third One Hitter & Earns His 20th Victory.


Centerfield Maz: Remembering Mets History:(9/25/2015) Mets Clinch 2015 NL Eastern Title.


National Pastime.com:

1962

In front of only 595 fans at Wrigley Field, the Cubs (58-101) beat the Mets (39-118) in the first meeting in major league history between two 100-loss teams before the series begins. The New York expansion team will split the remaining two games in Chicago to finish the season 40-120, establishing the record for the most losses in baseball's modern-era.

 

2003

At Turner Field in Atlanta, Jose Reyes becomes the second Mets player to hit a home run from both sides of the plate in one game. Lee Mazzilli was the first when he went yard twice against the Dodgers in LA on September 3, 1978.

 

2008

The Mets play their final game at Shea Stadium, a 4-2 loss to the Marlins, disappointing a sellout crowd by failing to qualify for the postseason on the last day of the season for the second consecutive year. After the contest, former Mets, including Hall of Famers Willie Mays, Yogi Berra, and Tom Seaver, as well as Darryl Strawberry, Dwight Gooden and Mike Piazza, but not any of the club's current players, take part in a ceremony to celebrate the history of the 45 year-old ballpark in front of the subdued spectators gathered to 'Shea Goodbye'.

 

2010

David Wright sets the all-time Mets record for strikeouts in a season with 157. The third baseman passes the infamous mark shared by Dave Kingman (1982) and Tommie Agee (1970).

 

2011

Jose Reyes takes himself out of the season finale, after laying down a bunt single off Edinson Volquez in the first inning of the Mets' 3-0 victory over Cincinnati at Citi Field. The infield hit, which will be his last for the Mets until returning to the club in 2016, raises the shortstop's average to a league-leading .337, nudging Milwaukee's Ryan Braun for the NL batting crown, the first in franchise history.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Want more?  Check out https://sportspyder.com/mlb/new-york-mets/news. 


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9/27/20

Today's Lineup. Mets.Vs Nationals.9/27/20 Final Mets' lineup of the year

 







Mack - 2021 Draft Targets: Zaid Walker, Gage Jump, Kristian Campbell, Chase Petty, Sam Novitske



                                 Zaid Walker
    

                    OF   6-1   205   Michigan State 

 

6/6/18 - Drafted in the 36th round by the Cincinnati Reds out of Homewood-Flossmoor HS. 

Prep Baseball - Freakish athleticism is a term that comes to mind when evaluating Zaid Walker. His muscular build from head to toe is rare to find in a high school baseball prospect, and Walker does well to put it to use. Michigan State committed Walker in the summer following his sophomore season at Homewood-Flossmoor, back when he was a raw, toolsy talent with quick-twitch traits. His physical projection has only skyrocketed since and he’s set to make good on the early faith the Spartans had in him. 

2020 Michigan State stats - 13-G, 45-AB, .267/.292/.422, 1-HR

 

Mack observation - 

Walker came out of high school with first round cred, but it hasn’t panned out for him yet in college. 

There is no problem defensively and he still is projected as a 5-tool player. He simply needs to hit. 

I would pick him in the 5th-10th round range. 

 

                Gage Jump 

                    LHP   17/yrs.   5-11   180  JSerra HS (CA) 

 

Small stature, but still throws a 91-93 fastball. With movement. Low release point makes it look like it is rising into the zone. Also a slide, but this is a fastball pitcher. 

PG - Gage Jump is a 2021 LHP/OF with a 5-11 180 lb. frame from Aliso, CA who attends JSerra Catholic. Medium athletic build. High leg lift delivery with a good hip turn at the top, very compact arm action in back the really hides the ball well, high 3/4's arm slot, hitters absolutely do not see the baseball, shows athleticism and repeats his mechanics well. Primary fastball pitcher, worked 90-93 mph with his fastball for two innings, gets high spin rate angle through the zone, will occasionally get under his fastball but got nothing but swing/miss in the zone. Has some spin to his curveball but it is a secondary pitch at present, would be interesting with a fading change up to play off his out pitch fastball. Very high performance left hander who knows his strengths and pitches to them. 

 

Mack observation - 

A 5-11 pitcher with primarily only a fastball is, in my books, a reliever. 

I would not be interested in him as a pick in my first 10 rounds. 

 

                    Kristian Campbell 

                    SS  17/yrs.   6-3   190   Walton HS (GA)

 

Regardless of his height, Campbell is projected to stay at short. Quick hands. Strong arm. 

The problem here is his projected 30 bat. 

PG - Kristian Campbell is a 2021 SS with a 6-3 191 lb. frame from Marietta, GA who attends Walton. Long and lean young build with lots of strength potential. 6.70 runner, smooth defensive actions in the middle infield, stays balanced well on the move, short and quick arm action and can throw from different arm angles effectively. Right handed hitter, aggressive move to his front side with multiple toe taps at times, fast hands with some barrel whip through the ball, projects power moving forward. 


Mack observation - 

A projected 30 bat??? Come on, man! 

I’m not going to place the name of anyone on the top of my charts that project at a 30 bat. Maybe a pitcher, but that’s it. 

I pass here.

 

                    Sam Novitske    

                    2B   R/R   5-11   190   Oregon

 

Novitski can really hit, but there isnt much power here. Very patient, picks up pitches well, and can find the barrel easier than others, throughout the strike zone. 

Career .315/.420/.396 in two seasons in the Northwood Leagues. 

2020 Oregon stats:  15-G, 62-AB, .242/.347/.306, 0-HR, 2-RBI

 

Mack observation - 

Scouts in the Northwood League have said that he needs to pull the ball more. They also project him as a middle round pick. 

Horrible start in 2020. 

I pass here. 

 

                Chase Petty 

                RHP   6-1   185   Mainland HS (NJ) 

 

We have a live one here 

Petty might be the first prep pitcher to be picked this year. He is already hitting 100 with his fastball. It also rarely goes under 95. Add to this a plus slider and an improving change. 

Scouts say he looks like a shortstop which is the position he plays when he is not pitching. 3/4 arm slot at release. They also say he looks better every time they see him.

 

Mack observation - 

Petty looks like one of those rare prep arms that come around every draft season. He supposedly is well committed to the University of Florida but we know that money talks. 

I dont expect him around when we get to pick in the first roundand I am sure he will be gone by our second pick. I remain college pitcher first this draft, but Petty would be on my short list to decide on when Im on the clock. 

Tell you one thingIm sending scouts out to cover his every move.