3/30/24

Reese Kaplan -- How Do the Mets Starting Pitchers Look for 2024?


So with the 2024 baseball season for the New York Mets finally underway, it’s time to project what could be good, bad and otherwise for the coming season.  Let’s have a look first at what the Mets offer up in starting pitching.

When the prospective number one starter drops out of the preseason prior to the start of the 2024 season, it caused flashbacks of Justin Verlander, Jacob deGrom, Pedro Martinez, Johan Santana and many other Mets hurlers from the past who gave an unintended and unexpected gut punch to the team, the fans and the media who had already projected what quality innings from that hurler would mean for the team’s chances.  

Kodai Senga rapidly ascended from unknown foreign import into the ace of the staff in a single Mets season. Supporting Senga were a number of pitchers who had moments in the sun and also moments on the dark side of the moon.  

No one was doing cartwheels nor popping champagne when David Stearns reached out to secure the services of oft-injured and the horrific 2023 version of  Luis Severino.  He’s thus far been a pleasant surprise with a very solid Florida tenure, but we know that leading your team in anything in the Spring is not a guarantee of a trip north.  Ask Mark Vientos.

The addition of Sean Manaea was a bit more warmly received as he has had more good than bad in his career and the price paid for the man was eminently reasonable in today’s baseball dollars.  It would seem that the thinness of the starting rotation made the prospect of a more than one year pitcher was pretty appealing.  

His Spring pitching has also been more good than bad and the new look Manaea missing the beard and extended locks seems to be making a fresh approach to his New York Mets tenure.

More unknown to the New York fans was the trade that brought in starting pitcher Adrian Houser.  Nothing about his stat sheet jumps out as eye popping, but obviously former Milwaukee Brewers head honcho David Stearns knows him far better than anyone associated with the Mets. 

Returning southpaw Jose Quintana got off to a late start last season due to injury but from his late arrival to year’s end he delivered.  He only made 13 starts with an uninspiring 3-6 record, but the 3.57 ERA was terrific and better than his career mark of 3.74.  The Mets own Quintana for this full season and then he once again becomes a free agent as he enters his age 36 year.

Then comes the man known more for his AAAA tenure the past three seasons than his pitching talent, Tylor Megill.  The big man started out like a house afire in Florida and everyone was almost ready to question, “Kodai who?”  Unfortunately, the previous Tylor Megill returned for his last three appearances and it drove his ERA up to a good-for-Megill 3.92 level after having looked unhittable.  

The good news is that Senga is due back soon and Megill may indeed with his new pitch upped his game a bit, but for his career he’s a 4.72 ERA pitcher who yields a .268 batting average to opposing hitters.  Here’s hoping that’s all a thing of the past, but history is what it is.

Next time around we’ll look at the bullpen built to hold things down for Edwin Diaz and the rest of the Mets.  After that the somewhat offensive collection of hitters who appear as if they’re continuing the 2023 inability to get on base. 

3/29/24

Mets Daily Tidbits

 

Mets 

Mike Puma @NYPost_Mets  Mar 28, 2024: 

        Mets have placed Sean Reid-Foley on the IL with a shoulder impingement. 

 

How Edwin Díaz expects to control the emotions surrounding his return 

(sub only) 

https://theathletic.com/5374225/2024/03/28/mets-edwin-diaz-closer-comeback/?source=user-shared-article  

 

Mike Puma @NYPost_Mets  Mar 28, 2024: 

                Mets have decided on their final two bullpen spots. It will be Michael Tonkin and Yohan Ramirez

  

Affiliates  

 

Syracuse Mets Announce 2024 Opening Day Roster 

https://metsminors.net/syracuse-mets-announce-2024-opening-day-roster/?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=twitter&utm_campaign=syracuse-mets-announce-2024-opening-day-roster&s=03 

  

Brooklyn Cyclones placed Jacob Reimer on 60-day IL.

 

Brooklyn Cyclones placed Robert Colina on 60-day IL.

 

Syracuse Mets placed Kyle Crick on 60-day IL.

 

St. Lucie Mets placed Javier Atencio on full-season IL.

 

 

MLB

 Fans' Guide for all your MiLB Opening Day needs 

https://www.milb.com/news/fans-guide-to-minor-league-baseball-opening-day-2024?s=03  

  

Shawn McFarland @McFarland_Shawn Mar 28, 2024: 

Max Scherzer threw a bullpen on Tuesday. He said his arm is feeling good, described this period as “early February” for him if he didn’t have the rehab. 

Said there’s still hurdles to jump through, but said he respects the process of the rehab he’s going through


Jeff Passan  @JeffPassan  Mar 28, 2024: 

News: Tampa Bay Rays shortstop Wander Franco has been placed on administrative leave through June 1 per an agreement between MLB and the MLBPA, a source tells ESPN. Franco's status could change before then depending on proceedings in the criminal case in the Dominican Republic. 

Franco spent the final six weeks of last season on paid administrative leave, and with the allegations of a sexual relationship with a 14-year-old still legally unresolved, the league and union agreed to two more months of admin leave. 

 

Matt Gelb  @MattGelb Mar 28, 2024: 

Phillies used a "right forearm strain" designation to put Orion Kerkering on the IL. Rob Thomson said nothing has changed; Kerkering was up to 98 in a minors game yesterday. Expected to return April 9. Will pitch at AAA this weekend. 

 

 The Athletic @TheAthletic  Mar 28, 2024: 

(sub only) 

Baseball is hard. Predicting it is even harder. 

Leading up to Opening Day, we asked our writers for their bold predictions, and they came through. 

One bold guess for each MLB team's season 

https://t.co/AWr9c83aeM  

 

Opening day oopsies: Unforgettable MLB gaffes from games throughout history 

https://www.foxnews.com/sports/opening-day-gaffes-mlb 

  

College 

 Aaron Fitt  @aaronfitt Mar 28, 2024 

Well this is an interesting development. The first 2 times I saw Duke LHP Jonathan Santucci this year, he threw his changeup 1 time combined. He threw 7 changeups in a 1-2-3 first vs UVa tonight, throwing it with conviction and action at 89-91 - used it as out pitch on 2 Ks

 

 Teddy Cahill @tedcahill Mar 28, 2024:

 Hagen Smith's night against LSU:

 6 IP, 5 H, 2 R, 0 BB, 10 K

 On the season

 35 IP, 1.54 ERA, 10 BB, 72 K

  

MLB Pipeline @MLBPipeline Mar 28, 2024

Braden Montgomery smashes his 13th home run, bringing his line to .370/.509/.880 on the season

 

MLB Pipeline  @MLBPipeline Mar 28, 2024:

LSU's Tommy White slugs his eighth home run of the season; this one off Arkansas' Hagen Smith, one the top pitchers available in the Draft.

Power is the calling card for 2024's No. 7 Draft prospect: 

 

JJ Cooper @jjcoop36 Mar 28, 2024: 

The pace of play in baseball nowadays is so much better than it was a few years ago. I'm not talking about time of game. I'm talking about the pace of the game improvements.

Kendall Rogers @KendallRogers Mar 28, 2024: 

Make sure you check out our latest Player Power Rankings: 

T50 CATCHERS: https://t.co/zMuO3AKBHY  

T50 3RD BASEMEN: https://t.co/Of9c1FH3w2  

T50 FIRST BASEMEN: https://t.co/ftSGTuorUc  

T50 SECOND BASEMEN: https://t.co/pM20VU5TyQ  

T50 SHORTSTOPS: https://t.co/N6ojHfaqYP 

  

2024 MLB Mock Draft Top 10 | Pitcher List 

https://pitcherlist.com/2024-mlb-mock-draft-top-10/  

 

2024 Mock Draft 1.0 | North Side Bound 

https://northsidebound.com/2024/03/26/2024-mock-draft-1-0/  

New York Mets – Bryce Rainer, SS/RHP, Harvard-Westlake HS (CA) 

Bryce Rainer is a top 15 talent and would have easily been in the range the Mets would have selected had they not been dropped ten spots in the draft due to luxury tax penalties. I don’t know where Rainer ultimately ends up (SS or RHP), but he’s a talented player that fits in the middle of the first round. In this scenario, the Mets “buy him down” to their selection. 

Podcast: Projecting the top 10 picks of the 2024 MLB Draft 

https://www.mlb.com/news/podcast-projecting-the-top-10-picks-of-the-2024-mlb-draft 

  

Kendall Rogers @KendallRogers  Mar 28, 2024: 

INJURY NEWS: 

Some good news this morning. WVU Baseball superstar infielder JJ Wetherholt, who has missed a lot of time because of an injury, is expected to return to action next weekend against Kansas. WVU is coming off a big road series win over Oklahoma

Tom Brennan: Bring Your Shorts, Tank Tops, and Flip Flops?

 

No…

BRING YOUR PARKAS, THERMALS, TOO 

TO KEEP YOUR NOSES FROM TURNING BRIGHT BLUE!

In the off season, we always have visions of warm, sunny baseball games with peanuts, popcorn, and crackerjacks.  Nostalgic.

Not so, in reality, in early season AAA Syracuse. Bring the parkas, the thermos, the thermals. If you’ve seen the movie Everest, dress like those folks.

The S-Mets open the season with 3 DAY games in Syracuse on March 29, 30, and 31, which is like opening the baseball season in Queens on, say, February 29 or March 5:

Fri: Partly cloudy. High 44°F. Winds WNW at 15 to 25 mph. Higher wind gusts possible.

Sat: Partly cloudy. High 50°F. Winds WNW at 10 to 15 mph.

Sun: Morning clouds followed by afternoon sun. High 47°F. Winds WNW at 10 to 15 mph.

My take? Clearly, baseball in March in Syracuse is for Frosty the Snowman and Rudolf the Red Nosed Reindeer.  Wind chills in the 30s? Nah. Not for me.

Then, frozen Syracuse Metsies hop on dog sleds and head to Wilkes-Barre, Pa for 4 straight early April night games.  

Weather forecast?

Tues: Rain. Low 43°F. Winds S at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 70%. Rainfall around 0.25 inch. (Beautiful, wouldn’t you say?)

Wed: A mix of rain & snow showers. Low 34°F. Winds WNW 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation 50%. (Quite Lovely, said one Eskimo to the other)

Thurs: Partly cloudy. Low 35°F. Winds NW at 10 to 15 mph. (Beautifully Brisk and Blustery - for downhill skiing, that is)

Fri: Partly cloudy. Low 38°F. Winds NNW at 5 to 10 mph. (Calm and Cool, relatively speaking, if you are a polar bear)

My take? 

Simply insane to be playing night games in early April that far north.

PLAY B..B..B..BALL!  

Horsehide balls are optional, of course…snowballs may be used instead.

It’s gotta be minor league TV money, I suspect.

Don’t worry, boys…the spring thaw will arrive before you know it.


I hope JD Martinez enjoys his time up near the Arctic tundra, and let's hope Mark Vientos can go on a tear in games where the wind/chill factor is below freezing.


Nolan Ryan (Schanuel)

The 11th overall pick of the LA Angels last year, he played only a scant 22 games in the minors, had a Ted Williams-like .505 OBP and, like a blur, got promoted to the Angels shortly after being drafted as their starting 1B. 

In 29 MLB games in 2023, he compiled a .402 OBP. Amazing.

Why don’t any Mets prospects over the decades ever do stuff like that? 

Mets prospects take years, not months.

Ponder that.


Reese Kaplan -- Starling Marte's Health Is More Important Right Now


Questions about Starling Marte flood any conversation between Mets fans and sportswriters given his health issues in 2023 that led to him plummeting from a borderline All Star level of performance in 2022 to output not suitable for a starter.  Ironically his speed was even better last season than in the immediate past, but the various problems he was facing certainly curtailed his value to the Mets.


Spring forward to 2024 and oddly the story remains relatively the same.  Folks are looking at his anemic batting average and questioning even if he belongs on the club, let alone to be playing regularly out in right field.  Somehow lost in translation was the real story of this preseason tenure for Marte.  He is completely healthy.  He's playing steadily, running at full speed and working his way back to the level of productivity that made him a headline free agent in the 2021/2022 off-season.  

It's amusing to me that Francisco Lindor is hitting .145 yet no one raises a peep about how he's washed up or that he's overpaid or that they need to rush someone from the minors (or use one of the two spare shortstops on the roster going north) to replace him.  Obviously such sentiment would be total lunacy, and as such it's understandable that veteran player results in a few weeks in the Spring are not indicative of what that performer is truly capable of doing.

With the extended preseason for J.D. Martinez people are already suggesting that Marte take the DH at-bats to ease him into the steady stream of playing every day.  Now if he was having arm or leg issues that were impacting his ability to run and cover in the outfield, I could understand this idea.  However, Marte was always among the upper echelon defensively and it seems somewhat odd to suggest keeping him off the field is a wise choice.


The other issue is who would take his place in the outfield?  Well, there are a few ways to go here.  Tyrone Taylor has impressed everyone with his athleticism and for his Milwaukee part time career he's aggregated roughly two full seasons worth of play which would show 20+ HR power along with decent RBI production.  The down side is his career .239 average, though given what the Mets put out there in 2023 a .239 hitter might be an improvement.

The next option would be the likely northbound journey for D.J. Stewart.  He is not hitting particularly well this year, but he was a steady performer for several weeks last year.  Unfortunately swapping out Marte for Stewart would be an exercise in weakening the outfield defense, so that approach likely is not a good one.

The other obvious thing that could be done is to have Jeff McNeil stationed in one of the outfield positions while the substitute would be either Joey Wendle or Zack Short on the infield.  What you'd lose in home run power and RBIs might be offset by solid defense.  

In the long run, however, it is smarter to use Starling Marte much like they are using Harrison Bader.  Leave him out there for his glove and enjoy whatever he can deliver with his bat.  The potential for Marte's offensive output grossly exceeding that of Bader is a bet I'd take right now.  

3/28/24

SAVAGE VIEWS – Ready or Not

 

READY OR NOT

Remember me? I’m the one who predicted the Mets would not only qualify for the playoffs this season but actually get past round one.  Also, last year, around this time, I said the 2023 Mets were not a playoff team.  

When I make my forecasts, I try to take a clear eyed approach by eliminating emotion whenever possible.  However, I am a passionate fan of the Mets, Giants and Rangers and it’s hard to eliminate all biases.

To be honest, I am a bit concerned as we enter the new season.  

My forecasts are based on the core group of Mets improving on rather disappointing results in 2023.  Each of Lindor, Alonso, McNeil, Marte did not live up to expectations.  Baty, Alvarez and Vientos were all underwhelming although it’s evident that Alvarez is a budding star.  

I sensed there was a toxic clubhouse that had a negative impact on Baty, etc.  The position players underperformed in spring training as nearly all of our core players were under the Mendoza line.  Wonder if they can turn it on once the opening day bell rings.

A number of pundits are down on this team even suggesting the season will be over once we hit July and that we will be massive sellers.  Obviously, I disagree.  Although I was not in favor of signing JD Martinez and wanted Vientos to be given the opportunity to shine, I understand the reasons for the move.  The Mets lineup has the potential to be formidable.

Clearly the Braves are the class of the division with the Phillies ranked second.  In fact, some suggest that Philly will challenge the Braves for the title.  In my opinion, the Mets match up well with Philly as shown below:

Position

Mets

Philly

Edge

1B

Alonso

Harper

Even

2B

McNeil

Stott

Even

SS

Lindor

Turner

Even

3B

Baty

Bohm

Philly

C

Alvarez

Realmuto

Even

LF

Nimmo

Castellanos

Mets

CF

Bader

Rojas

Even

RF

Marte

Marsh

Mets

DH

Martinez

Schwarber

Mets

SP1

Senza

Nola

Philly

SP2

Severino

Wheeler

Philly

SP3

Quintana

Suarez

Philly

SP4

Manaea

Sanchez

Even

SP5

Houser

Turnbill

Mets

SP6

MeGill

Walker

Mets

Closer

Diaz

Alvarado

Mets

RP

Even

Bench

Philly

A lot depends on our guys remaining relatively healthy since there are few position player options available at this time in our minor league system.  On the other hand, we have quite a bit of pitching depth that few teams can match.  

It’s a good bet that we will see the likes of Peterson, Butto, Lucchesi, Scott and Lavender at some point this year with Hamil and Vasil in the wings.  Obviously, the top three starters for Philly are better than what the Mets have to offer.  

Don’t be surprised if the Mets win the season series from Philly.

Ray

March 28 2024

Mets Daily Tidbits

 


Mets  

 

 Mets Player Development @MetsPlayerDev Mar 27, 2024: 

Did you know that Christian Scott first learned his slider from Pitching Ninja?  He discusses that and much more on the latest episode of Future of Flushing!

 https://t.co/Xmg9yB364q 

https://t.co/WKgl6HdmPZ  

https://t.co/BS9pdPm1eM 

 

 Abbey Mastracco @AbbeyMastracco  Mar 27, 2024: 

The Mets let DJ Stewart know he made the team. They still have to decide between relievers Yohan Ramirez and Sean Reid-Foley 

 

Laura Albanese @AlbaneseLaura  Mar 27, 2024: 

The Mets nutritionist has made Edwin Diaz eat salads. 

Brian Recca @brian_recca Mar 27, 2024: 

        -Edwin Diaz '22: Timmy Trumpets

        -Edwin Diaz '24: Timmy Thousand Island Dressing 

 

Will Sammon @WillSammon  Mar 27, 2024: 

                    Kodai Senga is playing light catch at Citi Field. 

 

QNS @QNS  Mar 27, 2024: 

Mets legend Dwight Gooden to hold meet-and-greet at Murphy's Bar in Astoria Apr. 19 

 

SNY @SNYtv  Mar 27, 2024: 

"Opening Day always feels special, it gives me the butterflies. I'm excited." 

- Francisco Lindor 

 

New York Daily News @NYDailyNews  Mar 27, 2024: 

Carlos Mendoza is the Mets’ 6th manager since 2017 — counting Carlos Beltran 

Trust can be hard to come by with so much turnover, but heading into his first season at the helm, Mendoza has made himself as visible and as vocal as possible to establish it 

https://t.co/WRCEGRhmfL  

https://x.com/NYDailyNews/status/1772975370943299649?t=NvJxhDii5H_ebuRsq4RU6w&s=0 )

  

Abbey Mastracco  @AbbeyMastracco  Mar 27, 2024: 

I got in a reference about Love is Blind in this one and had to rewrite it after J.D. Martinez was signed, so definitely read it! 

https://x.com/AbbeyMastracco/status/1772984024669065534?t=yet-jtdP7ldIVBD9tSZ6PA&s=03   

 

MLB

 

Chris Hatfield @SPChrisHatfield Mar 27, 2024: 

Just learned that Noah Song, who went on the 60-day IL this morning, needs Tommy John surgery. More adversity for right-hander, who after his 2019 debut had a multi-year absence due to his military commitment, followed by a roller-coaster 2023 with the Phillies as a Rule 5 pick.

 

Buster Olney @Buster_ESPN Mar 27, 2024:

Max Scherzer progressing well. Chris Young says he’s guessing Scherzer won’t be placed on the 60-day IL. Which suggests a possible return in May. 

 

Jeff Passan @JeffPassan Mar 27, 2024: 

Nobody writes about Shohei Ohtani with the combination of precision, grace and insight like Tim Keown. Even before the gambling scandal, Ohtani was a man on an island, and this piece captures the separateness — which is now even more acute — wonderfully. 

 https://t.co/s31KT7lnbe 

 

The Reds will be without second baseman Matt McLain for an extended period after he had left shoulder surgery on Tuesday. 

It was not immediately known when McLain would be ready to return. 

 

Ronald Acuña Jr. @ronaldacunajr24 Mar 27, 2024: 

I want you to understand the full picture. I want you to know about the whole person, and what’s important to me. About the things reporters never ask me about. Not just the baseball part. 

This is my story. 

https://t.co/DqKd216jtl 

 

Chandler Rome @Chandler_Rome Mar 27, 2024: 

Alex Bregman has evolved from the brash 22-year-old kid who stared into dugout cameras and brought his bat to first base after a World Series homer. He's an entrepreneur, businessman, the closest thing his clubhouse has to a spokesman and, now, "at peace" - 

https://t.co/88DnWvp5Qf 

 

College

 

D1Baseball @d1baseball) Mar 27, 2024: 

            D1Baseball Top 50 Second Basemen: Week 6 

1. Travis Bazzana, @BeaverBaseball

2. Blake Barthol, @CoastalBaseball

3. Christian Moore, @Vol_Baseball

4. Brady Day, @KStateBSB

5. Christian Martin, @HokiesBaseball 

FULL LIST

https://t.co/LqzVXXEtdT   https://t.co/H5VYvZpuH4 

 

D1Baseball  @d1baseball Mar 26, 2024: 

                D1Baseball Top 50 Shortstops: Week 6 

1. Colby Shelton, @GatorsBB

2. Kaelen Culpepper, @KStateBSB

3. Griff O'Ferrall, @UVABaseball

4. JJ Wetherholt, @WVUBaseball

5. Josh Kuroda-Grauer, @RutgersBaseball 

FULL LIST 

https://t.co/4h2SI0Aswl   https://t.co/F7njhRRYFm