Coming
Later Today –
9 30 am – Herb G
– Minor League Report
12 Noon-8 00pm – Draft Coverage
Remember…
this is an abbreviated report. I’m ‘on the road’ today and won’t be online
until late in the day. Hopefully, Stephen, Christopher, and some of the other
writers will have my back here.
I did get those posts up for picks 3-10 yesterday. I'll add the rest when I get back from my trip or if I have the time tonight at the hotel.
I'll keep updating those posts and move them to the front of the site when new information comes across my desk or when they sign.
I did get those posts up for picks 3-10 yesterday. I'll add the rest when I get back from my trip or if I have the time tonight at the hotel.
I'll keep updating those posts and move them to the front of the site when new information comes across my desk or when they sign.
Things
were pretty hectic the last two days and someone (either Soto or Stephen) said
something very important about this draft on Day Two.
He said
it looks like the Mets must be happy with pitchers like Whalen, Flexen, Gsellman,
etc. because the emphasis early on the 2014 draft seems to be big bats.
I can add
something to this to strengthen that theory.
I know
for a fact that the Mets are very happy with some of the arms coming
into the country from the DSL. Guys like Scarlyn Reyes (12-G,
11-starts, 5-3, 1.41, 1.08), Juan Marte (15-G,
5-starts, 2-2, 2.01, 0.97), Jose Medina (12-starts,
2-0, 0.35, 0.79) and Darwin Ramos (11-starts,
3-2, 3.43, 1.00). There are three teams (GCL, Kingsport, Brooklyn) starting up
this month… that’s 18 starters. Look for these four to be in the mix.
We went into this draft reading about how deep it was in talent; however, at the same time, experts said it was week in power bats. Tell that to a team like the Mets that are at the bottom of the league in slugging percentage, and play half their games in an endless stadium, and this draft results in a problem.
The Mets seem to trying to solve this problem with trying to find that elusive rose in a thorn garden. Six of the first nine picks were bats and most had the tag 'power' in the first line that described them.
Yes, they were mostly from smaller schools that play against less talented players out there in the game, but it's now the Mets job to get them on the right weight program, work with their mechanics, and find them the best position for their talents. Only then will anyone be able to determine if there's a future home run leader here. Talent they have.
One more thing after covering draft days...
I'm just doing what I love and I sometimes get a little carried away with opinions about people I have never met or ever seen play. That's not fair and, I'm sure, sounds hateful to the person, or their family, if they are reading it here on Draft Day.
I also need to work on my wordage when I describe players in the system. I've said things like 'Brandon Nimmo is the only outfielder in the system that will make it to the MLB level'. I truly don't know that and should never have worded a statement like that, that way. Hell, Juan Lagares (and what I said about him as a non-prospect) has proven my lack of accuracy and predictablity
I truly apologize to any of you as you pursue your dreams through baseball and the last thing you need is some old guy throwing water on your flames. And, if you're one of the guys picked yesterday... I'm honored to be writing about you in the future. Welcome to the New York Mets as well as Mack's Mets, your home for everything Mets Minors.
We went into this draft reading about how deep it was in talent; however, at the same time, experts said it was week in power bats. Tell that to a team like the Mets that are at the bottom of the league in slugging percentage, and play half their games in an endless stadium, and this draft results in a problem.
The Mets seem to trying to solve this problem with trying to find that elusive rose in a thorn garden. Six of the first nine picks were bats and most had the tag 'power' in the first line that described them.
Yes, they were mostly from smaller schools that play against less talented players out there in the game, but it's now the Mets job to get them on the right weight program, work with their mechanics, and find them the best position for their talents. Only then will anyone be able to determine if there's a future home run leader here. Talent they have.
One more thing after covering draft days...
I'm just doing what I love and I sometimes get a little carried away with opinions about people I have never met or ever seen play. That's not fair and, I'm sure, sounds hateful to the person, or their family, if they are reading it here on Draft Day.
I also need to work on my wordage when I describe players in the system. I've said things like 'Brandon Nimmo is the only outfielder in the system that will make it to the MLB level'. I truly don't know that and should never have worded a statement like that, that way. Hell, Juan Lagares (and what I said about him as a non-prospect) has proven my lack of accuracy and predictablity
I truly apologize to any of you as you pursue your dreams through baseball and the last thing you need is some old guy throwing water on your flames. And, if you're one of the guys picked yesterday... I'm honored to be writing about you in the future. Welcome to the New York Mets as well as Mack's Mets, your home for everything Mets Minors.
From Christopher Soto –
Lately
a lot of fan have been asking about Mets minor league SS/2B Matt Reynolds. Excitement has been building due to his
.371 batting average with the Binghamton Mets.
Unfortunately
I am going to have to burst the bubble here. While yes Reynolds is hitting
.370, he is doing so with practically 0 power. In 186+ AB's he has only 8 extra
base hits including 0 HR's.
His
herculean batting average is actually quite deceiving. Batting Average on Balls
in Play (BABIP) is a statistical indicator of "luck." The MLB average
for BABIP is roughly .290. Reynolds BABIP in Binghamton is an unheard of .446.
In plain terms that mean every time he makes contact with a baseball that's not
a HR (whether its a flyball/groundball/soft liner/etc), he's finding the holes
in the defense at a 45% clip.
That
rate is highly unsustainable going forward. At a normalized BABIP his batting
average would only be .231 which is in-line with his previous season (2013: 226
AVG)
5 comments:
I prefer to take matt reynolds season at face value. He's having a great year..........
We can interpret 'BABIP' any way we want to make the case we want to make...........
I dont know, maybe you've seen ALL of his at bats, and can confirm plenty of pop up and grounders that a bunch of different teams defenders ALL played wrong or had Wilmer Flores type range..................
But here's the thing: Travis d'Arnoud put all three balls in play last night. Two of those resulted in double plays. Should we state that it was 'bad luck' and that he actually had a good game?..........
Remember, the whole point is to 'hit it where they ain't'......this year, Matt Reynolds is doing that. Big shoutout to him !!!
I also give Matt the benefit of the doubt for now. Could be many line drives in there. Most will fall in. If you hit soft grounders, most are outs. He wasn't a power bat in last year's .225, but had a lot more extra base hits.
With all these future hitters (and current ones like Wright and Grandy), move all Citi fences in 8 feet. Change the dynamics immediately
Went to Bingo game a few wks ago and sat next to scout from Seatle. He said Reynolds reminds him of the ss from the SF Giants Crawford. I'll take that.
Great work on the updates to the site yesterday Mack. You were my first source for get the picks. Gut tells me it's the best draft of the regime yet
Power or no power, Reynolds is hitting. Someone has to get on base for RBI's to happen. If everybody hits, you don't need power. Ask the '85 Cards!
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