6/17/24

Reese Kaplan -- Just 1 or 2 Changes Instead of a Clean Sweep?


With the team starting to play a bit better lately, the fans and media are all losing some of their certitude about what they need to do to improve for the future.  With the rest of the National League playing almost as poorly as are the Mets, it is indeed possible they could have October baseball within their tentative grasp.

So let’s take a break from the blow it up approach and instead think about the one or two things they could do without a rerun of the July 2023 sell off.  No matter how you slice it, the contracts the Mets have for various players will make some of them attractive to other teams.  Let’s take a brief look at the minimum they need to consider.


Pete Alonso is seemingly still suffering that same offensive level that he displayed last season.  As a hitter with undeniable home run power, he’s offering a more legitimately contending team some middle-of-the-order production that only requires a few months of salary.  Pay down that salary and the return could correspondingly increase.

One down side to this deal for the Mets is that Mark Vientos who everyone penciled in as  replacement on the right side of the infield has recently gone from red hot to ice cold.  D.J. Stewart theoretically could play 1B, but his bat is even worse. 

A second issue to absorb is that as much as many would envision Alonso as a Met-For-Life, it is most definitely going to be a blow to the man’s ego to be dealt away midway through the year.  Consequently it is less likely he would feel any loyalty or desire to return to the team that chose to maximize their return for him rather than standing by him.


The second player to consider moving is the suddenly lethal J.D. Martinez.  Like Alonso, his contract ends when the 2024 baseball season concludes.  He has a Hall of Fame type of career with a good batting average and  great power.  He earns significantly less than does Alonso and likely could be peddled without kicking in a salary reduction. 

Like losing the prime pitchers Max Scherzer and Justin Verlander under Billy Eppler, parting ways with a player of Martinez’ caliber should not require making too many phone calls.  In fact, once word filters out that he is on the market David Stearns’ telephone will be ringing nearly non-stop. 


The third player who will surely get other GMs drooling is current number one starting pitcher Luis Severino.  His record, ERA and heritage as a star performer would get any other team’s pulse pounding.  Throw in his very modest salary, his youth and the end of the obligation also happening at year’s end.  Yes, he would generate quite a buzz.

There are plenty of other ballplayers who could entice a decent return given their contract status or ability, but they would involve smaller returns or more payroll contributions to make other clubs take as much interest.  

Yes, David Stearns could find a taker for a Starling Marte, Jeff McNeil, Harrison Bader, Adam Ottavino or Sean Manaea.  Hell, with his last start performance you might even find a taker for pending free agent Jose Quintana.  The fact is that these players are not the ones who are almost automatic in the ease with which they could be moved.

While we have seen in the past the Mets were not particularly effective at in-season negotiations with their own existing players, but we do not yet know how David Stearns would perform in this regard. 

So how many players should the Mets move this year in preparation for the future?  Which one is at the top of your list?  

10 comments:

Jon G said...

To me, JD is at the top of the list. As you said, the phone is probably already starting to ring off the hook for him. Any true contender would love to add his bat for the stretch drive. I'm still torn on Pete as to whether to trade him or try to sign him , but I think he'll want too much in money and years to stay so I do lean toward a trade

Tom Brennan said...

The Mets over the last 13 games have the best record in the majors, so I think if everyone is nimble here, what seemed to make perfect sense 14 games ago (blow it up) might instead turn to can we get another lock down reliever for the 93 - yes, 93 - game stretch drive.

Vientos hasn’t gone “ice cold” - he is 4 for 21 with 3 walks and 4 RBIs over his last seven games. A mini-slump.

I would very seriously consider dumping DJ Stewart for Luke Ritter, who has 43 HRs and 114 RBIs in his last 591 AA/AAA at bats. I took a quick peek to see how cold weather might have affected him in that stretch. Until April 15 in frigid upstate Syracuse and Binghamton in 2023 and 2024, he is 10 for 48 (.208) with one HR and tons of Ks. The rest of the time, he’s hit over .260 with 41 HRs in 543 at bats, or 1 every 13 at bats in non-frigid weather. He’s hitting better this year than last,too. Just 11 games in the outfield in his career, but he has a very low error glove and is faster than Stewart. One downside: hits righty.

Rds 900. said...

Hard to justify keeping Stewart.

Mack Ade said...

I have major changes to my 2025 plan which I will outline on Tuesday

TexasGusCC said...

Good morning folks. I’m keeping Martinez because his leadership is irreplaceable. I would trade anyone else that isn’t tied down and has a replacement. As for Alonso’s loyalty, that is LOLLLLLLLLLL! Where was his loyalty when he changed agents last winter, right before his big payday? His agent was good for the previous nine years but since Boras has the reputation for squeezing more dollars, Alonso changed? You really think he has loyalty to the Mets, or is he hoping to use Cohen?

Taylor last year had a pretty good second half; I have no problem trading Bader. Alonso can go for Baty. Severino and Manaea can go for Scott and Butto. Ottavino and Smith can go for Vasil and Hamel. Houser can go for Senga, and Quintana can go for Orze. Time to clear the roster!

Viper said...

The Mets are in a great position to add prime prospects to the organization. They must not get blinded by loyalties or by ignoring the fact that this team is not nearly good enough to be considered a WS contender.

Alonso turned down 158M last year. That was over payment but now his loyalty to the Mets equals 200M. No thanks.

I have no idea why DJ Steward is still on this team.

Viper said...

Texas, if you are breaking down the team, why keep Martinez?. A good prospect is worth more to the team than his leadership.

TexasGusCC said...

Viper, prospects are possibilities… that’s all. We see what lack of proper leadership has been worth to this team. For one more of these possibilities, I’d keep someone around that can get to Baty, Vientos,Alvarez, Mauricio, and the next round of “The Core”. As we saw, leadership is not something to be taken lightly.

Viper said...

Texas,

Nothing stops the Mets from offering a contract to these players if they want them back in the off-season. They will all be free agents.

Tom Brennan said...

Texas Gus, we need core prospects that peak as 70 win per season type players. Prospects can be a crap shoot.