Things have really gone the way of the Braves and Phillies lately, but I still love the Mets' chances to come out on top.
It's been a tough stretch for the New York Mets. Although they had a respectable road trip out west against the Dodgers, Padres, and Angels, breaking even for the ten-game swing, it came at a time when the Braves and Phillies were winning almost every game they played. Since dropping the first two games of a road series against the Arizona Diamondbacks, the Braves have run off 12 straight wins against second-rate opponents. Meanwhile, the Phillies have won 9 of 10. Their opponents have been stronger than Atlanta's, but they were fortunate to catch the Brewers and Angels amid long losing streaks.
Consequently, a Divisional lead that seemed almost insurmountable at the beginning of the trip has been whittled down to 5 games over Atlanta and 8.5 over the Phillies. While that was quite a bite out of the Mets' cushion, their lead over those two challengers is something any Mets fan would have gladly signed up for before the season started in April. It's all about perspective, I guess.
The Mets, under the leadership of veteran manager Buck Showalter, seem to have a good perspective on how things have gone. They understand they have no control over what their opponents do when they are not playing those teams. The Mets will be facing the Brewers starting tonight. Milwaukee recently ended their 8-game skid with a victory in their final game against the Nationals. While they have been scuffling, the Brewers' great starting pitching always makes them a formidable opponent.
Home and road series against the Houston Astros and Miami Marlins fill out the month of June for the Mets. The Astros are currently 37-24 and lead the AL West. While the Marlins languish at 27-32, they possess starting pitching that is always a threat to shut a team down. Being a spoiler is a role that the Marlins have excelled at for many years. When they have nothing to lose, the Marlins would like nothing more than to take some games from a first-place challenger. The Mets will have to keep their focus to take games from all 3 of these teams.
The Braves will play road series against the Nationals and Cubs next. To their credit, these are the sort of teams Atlanta has been fattening up on during their streak. The Mets will need to follow suit again when they hit the softer part of their schedule. While I don't see the Marlins as an easy opponent, I think it's important for the Mets to win those series against Miami. It's the only losing team the Mets will face in the last two weeks of June.
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