Coming
Later Today –
9 30 am – Herb G
– Minor League Report
11 00 am – Reese
Kaplan –
12:30 pm – Pick #15 – RHP Gabriel Llanes – Downey (CA) HS
2:00 pm – Pick #16 – LHP Joel Huetas – Colegio Carmen Sol (P.R.)
3:30 pm – Pick #17 – LHP David Roseboom – Univ. South Carolina - Upstate
6 00 pm - 2015 Draft Profile - RHP - Kyle Molnar -
Aliso Niquel (CA) HS - updated 6-5
From Fangoods -Jenrry Mejia has been a bit shaky lately so it’s nice to see him put up a clean inning in the ninth tonight. Although it wasn’t a save situation he threw a perfect inning with a four run lead and his job still seems relatively safe in Queens, even with Jeurys Familia and Vic Black lurking behind him.
From Fangoods -Jenrry Mejia has been a bit shaky lately so it’s nice to see him put up a clean inning in the ninth tonight. Although it wasn’t a save situation he threw a perfect inning with a four run lead and his job still seems relatively safe in Queens, even with Jeurys Familia and Vic Black lurking behind him.
I’m back to my normal schedule and am targeting most of my work
this week on catching up worth the Mets picks 11-40 in the draft. As in the
case of other Sandy Alderson and Company drafts, this one is full of raw, high ceiling high
school stars that Baseball America had ranked in their top 400 prospects.
Also typical for an Alderson draft, there are a lot of players
from small colleges or unheralded high schools. As we have learned in the past
(with pitchers like Chris Flexen and Robert Whalen) it simply is going to take some time to see what the team has
here.
I, like Stephen Guilbert, was very unfamiliar with most of the players the Mets picked
and I find it unbelievable after all the years I’ve done this that the Mets can
keep coming up with players I have no knowledge of.
Why bother having a national top 100 pick if you’re going to ignore who’s still left on the board?
Why bother having a national top 100 pick if you’re going to ignore who’s still left on the board?
Look, I think it’s great for a scout, or a team, to find a
diamond in the rough, but…
-nothing against 3B
Eudor Garcia-Pacheco who was picked in the 4th
round, but how do you leave Notre Dame RHP Pat Connaughton, South Carolina’s Jordan Montgomery, and RHP Blake Bivens on the board?
-nothing against 5th
round pick, RHP Josh Prevost, but how do you leave RHP Sam Coonrod, C Shane Zeile, or RHP Dylan Cease on the board?
-and nothing
against 6th round pick C Tyler Moore, but how do you leave SS Trace Loehr, who was one of the top ten ranked shortstops in the draft, on
the board?
We could keep going, but you get the point.
I wish all the Mets draft picks all the success in the world
I wish all the Mets draft picks all the success in the world
Again, the more I dig into this draft I see a lot of good, raw,
high ceiling talent, but is there something wrong with drafting a few guys that
already have produced big numbers at big levels?
I’ll move on…
There seems to be a collision brewing.
Terry Collins said that it would be ‘awhile’ before C Travis d’Arnaud (AAA: 1.000) would work his way
back to Queens to catch. I totally understand the logic. You simply don’t send
someone down to the minors that had lost his swing and not give him the proper
time to work out his problems.
(I’m still a very
big d’Arnaud fan and believe he will be the Mets catcher throughout the
remaining years in the 2100’s)
That being said, Binghamton catcher Kevin Plawecki (.337) has very little left to
prove at the AA-level and should be moving up to the desert to play there
sometime this month.
That’s the collision.
I don’t have the solution for this one. You can’t bench your
starting Queens catcher but, at the same time, you can’t slow down the progress
of one of your top prospects in the pipeline. D’Arnaud has basically no trade
value right now and, if you trade Plawecki, you could be left with a dud behind
the plate.
Any ideas, guys? Poor Centeno.
The Florida State League announced on Monday that St. Lucie Mets
right hander Gabriel Ynoa is the league’s Pitcher of the Week. This came off a seven
inning scoreless performance against Dunedin that produced 11 strikeouts.
Ynoa has 11 starts for St. Lucie and has produced a stat line of
6-2, 3.45, 62.2-IP, 50-K, 13-BB. He’s also given up only one earned run over
his past three starts (20.0-IP).
Normally, he would be getting close to moving on to Binghamton
but things are far from normal in the system. My guess is he and Steven Matz will still get the call just
after the all-star break.
Toby Hyde projects him as a mid-rotation major league pitcher of the future and that's good in my book.
Probably trade bait on this team.
Toby Hyde projects him as a mid-rotation major league pitcher of the future and that's good in my book.
Probably trade bait on this team.
Michael Scannell to me -
Word
is he's available for either a bad contract or two top prospects, in which case
the Dodgers will eat salary. How do you feel about sending Chris Young (bad contract), Montero, deGrom, and
Plawecki over for him and some salary relief?
SS
2B
Murphy
3B
Wright
CF
Kemp
LF
Conforto
1B
RF
Nimmo
Ca
d'Arnaud
Not
too bad and plenty if resources to fill the other two spots
Hey Michael.
I would do the deal in a
heartbeat, especially since it would get Young off the payroll and Montero’s
rose isn’t blooming like it used to.
I think it’s going to take
someone like Noah Syndergaard. All the other ‘young Mets pitching prospects’ are showing they
are human right now. The Mets probably lost their best opportunity to move
deGrom.
I brought up Kemp in an earlier
post a few weeks ago and most comments were negative. No one seemed to want to
take on a contract like this.
By the way, what happened to
Granderson in your lineup?
19 comments:
Hey Mack - good to see you back full time.
As you know, I like to look at trends. Sure, Plawecki is hitting well - but he had a tepid April. Since then, in 133 at bats, .384, 13 doubles, 6 HR, and 37 RBIs in 34 games. Man oh man. Travis is 3 for 5 since the send-down, but KP is in a Ferrari catching up to Travis.
Are we sure Kemp is not impaired? This year and last, in 460 at bats, .260 (not good), 30 doubles (good), 11 HR (bad), 51 RBIs (also bad), and 135 Ks in 509 plate appearances (woof). Used to be great, but will he get close to that greatness ever again?
I don't think the opportunity to trade deGrom has changed. Teams spend to much on scouting to look at the box scores of deGroms first three starts and build a trade just on those starts. Then he has one poor start and everything changes. If I'm a G.M. considering deGrom I look at him as a fifth or sixth starter who can supply some depth for my team. If the Mets want more I want to see a larger sample. See if he can continue to be successful when teams have seen him and they start to get scouting reports on him. I said basically the same thing before he had his bad start.
I also can't see what the attraction is to Kemp. Every time I watch the Dodgers play he looks awful in centerfield. Maybe I'm spoiled by the Mets centerfielders. His offensive line looks like Duda. He is not the player he used to be.If I believed both Nimmo and Conforto were going to work out I would put my resources into improving other positions. I didn't like the Smith pick last year but I am really coming around to him. The Mets were very aggressive with him by placing him in A ball. He is adjusting quickly. I would like to see more power and hopefully it will come but I think he is our future 1st basemen.
That leaves Short Stop.
My solution for the Plawecki situation. If d'Arnaud doesn't hit in AAA and Plawecki continues to rake in AA. Bring Plawecki to the majors. Players have skipped AAA before. That's if his defense is adequate.
Spending all of this time to build up the system just to tear it down for a player on the decline that has been injured a fair amount? Who cares about CY salary dump. We are almost 60 million less payroll than a few years ago. I'm pretty sure the wilpons can eat the remaining 4 mill on his contract. I still prefer a Syndergaard for Peterson trade or something similar. If you are going to dump a bunch of prospects and guys like Montero I would hope it would be for someone like Stanton.
The Mets would insist on Giancarlo Stanton, but might be willing to settle for Mike Stanton. Either Stanton would be nice!
Thomas, everyone -
Morning.
I fully understand your comments on Kemp. He's not perfect in my world either. I'm going to write about this for tomorrow's morning report.
I think Kemp will eventually return but it's going to take time, which is why I think he's a good buy-low type of player. I'd love to add Stanton or someone else of higher quality but beggars can't be choosers.
Granderson is missing because by the time Conforto and Nimmo are ready for prime time I don't think he'll be here.
I don't think we can count on Conforto or even Nimmo just yet. If you look at past drafts in general, the success of top ten picks is far from certain. I think Lagares is our best outfield prospect. I still consider him a prospect because I still am not sure if he is going to be a star or a bust or something in between.
As far as Nimmo goes. He is looking good this year but players sometimes peek at A or AA and can't get past those levels.
Richard Jones -
I agree with you 100%. First, why replace Lagares with Kemp?? Second, he's not worth nearly what was mentioned. Include Plawecki in a trade for a has-been. Plawecki may very well be ou future. If not, he'll bring a lot more than Kemp by himself. Good catchers are scarce. Good catchers that can hit are a prized commodity.
Speaking of Plawecki, you're right about him jumping AAA. Not that KP is on this elite a level, but Gooden came to the Mets from Single-A. Let KP and T-Bag be our catchers for a while, play each one 50% of the time, and let them hit it out to see who starts most of the time. Then, if D'Arnaud is hitting well enough to justify it, Plawecki can back him up the rest of the year so we can see which one of them to trade. As far as T-Bag and Recker are concerned, we already know Recker is a good backup. We can see how Teagarden (I can't type that nickname again) works with our pitching staff, and how well he hits over a longer haul. Then, we've got another catcher we can either trade or keep fresh in AAA.
Richard -
I'm going to take the high road here.
I think the 2016 outfield will be Nimmo, Conforto, and Curtis Granderson. I would hope that Juan Lagares is kept around as 4th outfielder/spot fill/defensive outfielder in late innings with lead.
I do give the Mets credit for addressing the outfield need by drafting both Nimmo and conforto, and signing Granderson and Young. This is a genuine attempt.
I'd also like to think all money resources could then be spent for an all-star shortstop with pop.
Steve -
I'm not going to give up on d'Arnaud yet. Not that you are. I think he's having a hard time adjusting to being a Met, not an MLB ballplayer.
That being said, Plawecki seems talented enough to step in if needed; however, he may be the key member of a package that could bring a top shortstop to this team.
Mack,
Kemp is risky, but I know the world is not perfect and a team as offensively needed as the Mets can't be that picky. I would take him on only if the owners were willing to take more financial risk and not deplete the system of needed depth. I would clear out the prospects only for a player that does not carry as many risks as Kemp, although I am not sure who would fit that definition...maybe Tulo.
Also agreed - way too early to give up on TDA (or Montero for that matter) even given his age.
TP - Kemp's contract runs through 2019. Even if the Dodgers took on half, it's still over $10mil a year left.
It's a toss up for me. I keep going back and forth on him.
But I would clean out the pantry for Tulo
Mack, Do uou think that it would be worth it as far as trade value to get Plawecki some major league time? I'm thinking of the added value if he hits like he is now as opposed to his possibly having a rough start.
By the way, I haven't given up on TDA, either. I was speaking in terms of the scenario Richard had put forth. I think TDA will be OK in the long run - if this FO gives him the time. Even if he doesn't hit any better, he's an excellent defensive catcher, better than many that have been around a lot longer.
Tulo is far and away my top choice both for SS and for a RH cleanup hitter and would pay a hefty price for him.
I just don't think the Rox will deal him.
Steve, I always worry about giving a top prospect a 'peek' at the top level. Frankly, they are always regarding at their best before they play their first game. Look at d'Arnaud. As it turns out, being elevated to the Mets has cost him his trade value,
In the case of Plawecki, in particular, and catchers, in general, I don't think it matters. There simply aren't 30 top catchers in this game. It's a hard position to excel at and still hit.
I would leave him in Binghamton until d'Arnaud is sent back to Queens. I would then send him to Vegas the same day and let him hit in that league.
Trust me, that bat will make the phones ring.
For Tulo, I think Sandy for have to call and offer:
- Gee (healthy)
- one of Black/Familia/Mejia
- one of Montero/deGrom
- Plawecki
- Flores
- possibly Murphy
And that's just to move the needle to 'maybe'
I still stick with d'Arnaud. His AAA numbers aside, this kid was AA MVP and one of the top prospects in MLB. I've always looked at him as an .800 OPS, .275-.280 BA, 15-20 HR player with good defense. He should be given every chance to succeed, even if his learning curve us steeper than we'd like.
give up on tulo. after two injury plagued years and 100mm left on his contract, do you really think owner is giving him up for anything now that he's back to being one of the best players in baseball. you mention his name on the phone they ask if youre giving an award and hang up if its about a trade.
stop. full stop. just stop.
I can't see any scenario where the Rockies would trade Tulo to the Mets. Syndergaard aside, we just don't have the prospect variety that they would want. I would think 3 Top 50 prospects + a young high risk/high reward prospect would be needed but there would have to be a significant bat in that pacakge.
If you offered Niese, Syndergaard, Black/Mejia, Plawecki & Nimmo, then maybe. They would get a front line starter in Niese, a 2-4 punch of Syndergaard, Grey & Butler and their future closer. Not sure they need a catcher but we don't have anything else to offer. Maybe they could then ship off CarGo for other hitting prospects and set their sights for 2016
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