10/30/26

MACK - Mets Hire Deron Johhson as a 'Special Assignment Scout'

 


The Mets made a significant move on October 29th, hiring super-scout, Deron Johnson as a ‘special assignment scout.

He first started in baseball as an undrafted player, out of St. Mary’s College. He signed with the Pittsburgh Pirates and played three minor-league seasons as an outfielder (1988–1990), posting a career .225/.291/.370 line in 113 games.⁠

He then served as an assistant coach/recruiting coordinator at the University of San Francisco (1992–1993) and also worked as a high school hitting coach.

Johnson joined the Minnesota Twins in January 1994 as a Northern California area scout. He advanced to West Coast supervisor (from 1998) and was promoted to scouting director in September 2007, a role he held through the 2016 season (overseeing nine amateur drafts). Notable first-round picks during his tenure as director included Aaron Hicks (2008), Byron Buxton (2012), Kohl Stewart, Nick Gordon, and Tyler Jay.⁠

In December 2016 he moved to senior advisor of scouting, continuing to evaluate amateur, professional, international, and minor-league talent. He also worked as an advance scout for postseason series at times. The Twins parted ways with him in September 2026 after 32 years, eliminating the senior advisor position amid organizational changes.⁠

This new job with the Mets follows his departure from Minnesota and connects him with former Twins executive Derek Falvey’s orbit in New York.⁠ He is regarded as an experienced traditional talent evaluator with deep West Coast and amateur scouting roots.

MACK –

Is it a good move? Short answer is yes. Any addition of someone with this much experience will add to the draft brain trust.

Does me carry any weight under the Cohen/Stearns thumb? Short answer is, does anyone?

How successful was he in all those years with Minnesota? Short answer, not much. Johnson was with the Twins from 1994 to 2026. They never won the World Series once while he was with them (note… they won in 1991, 1987, and 1924 when they were the Washington Senators (Ray was their bat boy).

Still, it’s a good move.

Reese Kaplan -- Restructuring the Cellar Dwellers Starts Next Week


Word has filtered out that even hitting coach prospects for the Mets want nothing to do with the cellar dwellars in Queens.  Retread Kevin Long opted out of consideration as did Cubs assistant hitting coach John Mallee.  The story being spun on Long was that it was mutual but the fact is that when team coaching personnel have no burning desire to work for the Cohen/Stearns structured environment then at some point people need to ask the obvious question, “Why not?”

Going into the 2027 season is challenging on a number of fronts.  First, no one knows how long the season will be with a lockout over the CBA negotiations being written in Sharpie on everyone’s baseball analysis paperwork.  As a result, the jobs needing to be filled won’t show dividend until baseball actually begins. 

The next set of questions that arise concern the players currently on the roster not exactly earning their keep.  Some are easy to identify like Marcus Semien, Sean Manaea, Kodai Senga and Jorge Polanco who are all being paid quite handsomely to produce numbers more reminiscent of replacement players than ones deserving 8 figure annual paychecks.

Then there are the younger but still unestablished players who are young enough to remain in baseball but who do not necessarily have anything more to show the Mets.  This list would include Mark Vientos, Brett Baty and injury-plagued Ronny Mauricio.  Of this trio you could make the positional versatility argument for Baty or extend the “He’s never had a real starting player opportunity” argument for Mauricio.  Vientos has pretty much shot himself in the foot as he can’t run, can’t field and hasn’t hit enough even to assign him as a DH.  A new hitting coach isn’t likely going to convert these guys from wannabes to wunderkinds. 

The pitching staff is almost as much a mess as is the offense.  Assume for the moment that the starting rotation would include Nolan McLean, Christian Scott and Zac Thornton.  After that it gets much less appealing with possibilities including Manaea, Senga, recovering Tylor Megill, unestablished Jonah Tong and disappointing Tobias Myers.  Yeah, it would appear some outside help is indeed needed.

The bullpen is almost as difficult to feel confident in its potential.  Closer Devin Williams is coming off his second straight disappointing season in New York between both clubs.  Then come the 2026 newcomers to the club like Nate Lavender, Daniel Duarte, Jonathan Pintaro, Austin Warren, Chayce McDermott, Jefry Yan and Cionel Perez, as well as more familiar faces like Dedniel Nunez and Justin Hagenman.  There’s the great Senga question given his much more impressive bullpen numbers than his starting shriek fest.  The club very much misses solid arms like Luke Weaver and Huascar Brazoban.  

With the World Series ending this week it is shortly going to be time to see who posts for free agency by opting out of contracts or whose employers simply let them walk away.  The front office should be looking for bats and arms in almost equal number.   

MACK - Chain Position Analysis - Outfield

 


OUTFIELD

 

I’m not breaking this down to right field, center, and left. Everybody at these levels has then ability to play all three positions and many did this past season. As in the past, all three positions will be rated under the “outfield” umbrella.

 

Also, as for the current Mets outfield of Juan Soto, Carson Benge, AJ Ewing, and Nick Morabito, for simplicity reasons, I have loped them into a 4-headed monster.

 

RED PROSPECT

 

MLB/Mets – Juan Soto/Carson Benge/AJ Ewing/Nick Morabito –

For the purposes of saving words here, the four above mentioned Mets outfielders are now a four-headed monster that should be playing together into the next decade. There is a chance that Soto moves to either first base, or becomes a designated hitter. This would make room for one of the two RED prospects that just finished up in Brooklyn. As for the OF5 position, my hopes is Chris Suero turns into this while holding down another position as his primary job. Either way, these four mainstays may turn out to be the most talented outfield foursome in the league.

 

A+/Brooklyn – Aiden Robbins – (21) – RHH – LF/CF/RF – 3rd. rd. 2026 - Remember this name. But is his defensive game up to replacing anyone currently in the lineup? Nicknamed “Baseball Jesus”, Robbins has only average speed ad an average arm, he really doesn’t lineup as a future Mets centerfielder. What he does have on his side is that he is considered an athlete’s athlete, with excellent instincts that trump the lack of God given talents. Still, I see Robbins as a bat-first corner outfielder that could push Soto to first. I do want to see a little more pop, but a good start to his pro-career: A/A+: 96-AB, 27-K, 5-HR, 18-RBI, 14-BB, .281/.378/.458/.837. I loved this guy at Texas… 24-HR/.333. Trust me. He’s only 21. This is a 25-HR/75-RBI/.275 waiting to happen.

 

A+/Brooklyn – Trey Snyder – (21) – RHH – CF/SS/2B/3B – 5th rd. 2024 – boy, was this a pleasant surprise this past season. First… love the positional flexibility. Off the bat, he lines up for a future utility position. Bat wise, in 2026, hit over .30o for the FCL Mets (.333), and St. Lucie (.306), then came back to earth for bat-unfriendly Brooklyn (.264). Overall, over three levels: 291-AB, 72-K, 27-BB, 28-SB, 4-HR, 53-RBI, .289/.348/.388/.736. Defensively, he is still learning centerfield, though he only had one outfield error for the entire season (26 infield errors over two seasons). I expect him to be the Binghamton centerfielder next season.

 

A+/Brooklyn – Aidan Smith – (22) – RHH – CF/RF/LF – 4th rd. 2023 – Smith was just an average under-preforming minor league outfielder until he was traded to the Mets and then shipped out to the bat unfriendly stadium in Coney Island. So, what does he do? -   84-AB, 5-HR, .321/.414/.524/.938. Go figure, right? Primarily a centerfielder. Known for speed, strong defense, and power arm. Has to work on his strikeout rate. Look for him in the AA/Binghamton centerfield slot next opening day. How he improves on his batting skills will determine any chance he has of moving Ewing someday.

 

BLUE PROSPECT

 

AAA/Syracuse – D’Andre Smith – (25) – RHH – also plays 2B and SS – 5th rd. 2022 – primarily is in left when he plays in the outfield. Played five levels in 2026, including a cup of coffee for the Mets (2-5, .400). .250 overall minor league BA in 244-AB, but really exploded at the end of the season for AAA/Syracuse (109-AB, 6-HR, .294). Problem was around a 50% K/AB% at this level (59-K). For this reason, I look at what he did here last season as an aberration. You aren’t going to move Juan Soto out of left striking out half the time. A lot has to change in to even consider him in a utility role.

 

AA/Binghamton – John Bay – (25) – RHH – CF/RF/LF – 2025 UDFA – had power-filled college career at Austin Peay (2025 – 22-HR, 66-RBI, .360/.507/.769/1.276), which is why it was a mystery he wasn’t drafted. Off to slow start last season in A+/Brooklyn (.232), but did have a halfway decent season after being promoted to AA/Binghamton (131-AB, 48-K, 3-HR, 17-RBI, 11-SB, 20-BB, .252/.363/.366/.729). Has shown solid power and plate discipline, plus good walk rates and HBP totals. I have him as a future utility outfield candidate (at best).

 

A/St. Lucie – John Smith III – (22) – RHH – RF/CF/LF – 19th rd. 2026 – hit .322 as a draft eligible sophomore in 2026. A steal as a 19th round pick. Combined A/St. Lucie & A+/Brooklyn: 59-AB, 11-K, 3-HR, 10-RB1, 4-SB, 4-BB, .305/.373/.542/.916. Went crazy during his 18 at-bats in pitcher friendly Brooklyn: .444/.545/.722/.1.268. It will be interesting to see what he does in the off-season and where the Mets start him off in the spring. Raw power, excellent bat speed, and above-average speed. All the stars in Brooklyn will move on, so there three starting outfield slots will probably be filled by Snyder, Smith, and Robbins. I guess ‘John-John’ returns to Brooklyn.

 

A/St. Lucie – Bohan Adderley – (19) – RHH – CF/SS/3B – IFA 2024 – hit .270 for the FCL Mets last season… then was promoted to St. Lucie (45-AB) and hit .311. Born in Nassau, Bahamas. Known for top-rated speed and stolen base ability (83 minor league stolen bases in 162 games). Now primarily plays in the outfield, mostly in center. Adderley is all futures but off to a great start. I expect him to return to St. Lucie for opening day 2027.

 

RK/DSL – Cleiner Ramirez – (17) – RHH – CF/DH/SS - $1.37mil signing bonus on 1-15-2026. Played 2026 exclusively for the Mets DSL-Orange team: 145-AB, 27-K, 18-SB, 18-BB, 7-HR, 22-RBI, .241/.357/.462/.819. Was the second top international signee in 2026, behind Wandy Asigen. Didn’t have the best year, but didn’t suck either. Let’s remember he was 17. 2027? May be left behind to mature, but I would play him there until the FCL season starts, then bring him over. Huge power potential here.

 

RK/DSL – Henry Manrique – (17) – RHH – LF/RF/CF – a mere pub. Has shown strong early plate discipline and contact. 2026 – DSL-Mets Blue: 152-AB, 34-K, 1-HR, 21-RBI, 11-SB, 40-BB, .296/.443/.428/.871. Has 220 plate appearances under his belt, so there is a chance he will ship out to Florida. But I expect him to remain in the DR for the beginning of the 2027 season.

 

ALMOST PROSPECT


 A+/Brooklyn – Heriberto Rincon – (20) – RHH – CF/RF/LF – primarily a centerfielder - IFA 1-15-2023 $150K bonus – excellent speed… high SB ability for his age. At this point, known as a glove-first outfielder. 2026: RK/A/A+ - 157-AB, 43-K, 4-HR, 24-RBI, 17-SB, 4-BB, .248/.281/.344/.625. Most of his 2026 games were played for the FCL Mets and then strangely, he played more for Brooklyn than St. Lucie. Could wind up at either on opening day.

 

MACK SPIN – It’s pretty easy to rate a position when you have four RED rated players already playing for your parent team. And, in two years, there are three more that may make finding a designated hitter possible. The Mets have a lot of positions that need to deal with… this is not one of them.

 

RATING – A+


10/29/26

MACK - Bo Bichette Remains A Met

 

Remember earlier today I mentioned in a column that the talent in the free agent class being released was weak and the Mets were going to have to look to trade for their next slab of prime red meat?

Well, I was wrong.

The meat arrived around an hour ago when third baseman Bo Bichette decided to opt IN for $42 big ones in 2027 and remain the New York Mets third baseman.

I'm being told he also intends on opting in for 2028.

This changes everything for prospects and gives the Mets the option needed to package together a couple of them to grade up on another position.

Great night to be a Mets fan.



MACK – Let’s Revisit - SS - Elian Pena

 


MACK – Let’s Revisit - SS - Elian Pena


Elian Peña (also spelled Elian Pena) is a top New York Mets prospect, a left-handed hitting shortstop/infielder from Azua, Dominican Republic (born October 19, 2007). The Mets signed him on January 15, 2025, for a franchise-record $5 million bonus as an international free agent—the largest for any Latin American player in that class and roughly 80% of their bonus pool. He was widely viewed as one of the top position players available (often ranked second or third overall behind Roki Sasaki). Background and Tools
  • Listed around 5'10"–5'11", 170–192 lbs; bats left, throws right.
  • Advanced plate discipline, contact skills, and power potential for his age (scouts have compared the offensive profile to players like Rafael Devers or José Ramírez-style hitters).
  • Plays primarily shortstop; some project a possible future move to second or third base. Strong makeup, baseball IQ, and work ethic are frequently praised.
Performance
  • 2025 (DSL Mets Orange, age 17): Overcame an 0-for-26 start to hit .292/.421/.528 (.949 OPS) with 9 HR, 13 doubles, 21 SB (in 25 attempts), and equal walks/strikeouts (36 each) in 55 games. He had two three-homer games and earned DSL Prospect of the Year honors.
  • 2026 (age 18): Assigned aggressively to Low-A St. Lucie (skipping the complex league). He performed well enough for a mid-August promotion to High-A Brooklyn Cyclones. 
  • 2026/A+ Brooklyn - 67-AB, 0-HR, 6-RBI, .164
He ranks highly in Mets prospect lists (often top 10–15 system-wide, with some mid-season views placing him higher) a
nd is seen as a potential future impact big-leaguer, though still years away (ETA around 2029–2030). 

As of late August 2026, he is with the Brooklyn Cyclones (High-A).

2026/A+ Brooklyn:




RVH - Building a Sustainable Winner — Part 2: How Milwaukee Keeps Replenishing

 

In Part 1, we examined the quality, depth and cost of Milwaukee’s roster. The striking finding was how much production the Brewers received from an inexpensive group of core players.

That raises the next question: How do they keep finding those players?

A productive, affordable roster can create a competitive window. Keeping that window open requires another group to arrive as established players become more expensive, get injured or move elsewhere.

Milwaukee’s roster offers a useful look at that process. It also gives Mets fans a framework for evaluating what David Stearns is trying to build in New York.

Several years of decisions coming together

Consider four members of the Brewers’ current core:

Player

How Milwaukee acquired him

Acquisition year

Brice Turang

First-round draft pick

2018

Garrett Mitchell

First-round draft pick

2020

Jackson Chourio

International amateur signing

2021

Jacob Misiorowski

Second-round draft pick

2022

These acquisitions span five years and two different entry routes into professional baseball. Their eventual overlap on the major league roster illustrates why organizational development requires patience. (fangraphs.com)

The scouting decision starts the process. Coaching, health, adjustments, playing opportunities and roster decisions determine how much value eventually reaches Milwaukee.

We should be careful about assigning all that credit to the executive who authorized the original acquisition. Identifying a player and helping him become a productive major leaguer are related accomplishments, with different people often contributing along the way.

That distinction will matter when we examine Stearns’ Milwaukee legacy.

A trade can keep producing value through another trade

Some of Milwaukee’s most instructive moves are connected.

The Josh Hader return included Robert Gasser and Esteury Ruiz. (mlb.com) Milwaukee subsequently traded Ruiz in the deal that brought William Contreras and two pitchers. (mlb.com)

That sequence illustrates why evaluating a transaction only by the players who remain from its original return can miss part of the outcome.

An acquired player can contribute directly. He can also become the means of acquiring someone who better fits the roster.

There is a cost, of course. Trading an established player removes production and creates uncertainty immediately. A later payoff does not erase that earlier risk. A fair evaluation needs to consider both periods.

The Corbin Burnes trade offers another example: Milwaukee received Joey Ortiz, DL Hall and a draft pick. (mlb.com)

The broader roster-building idea is to distribute the return across multiple opportunities and additional seasons of control. Whether that exchange succeeds depends on what those opportunities actually produce.

For our series, the relevant question is whether these decisions sustain the quality of the entire roster over several years.

Finding value after another organization moves on

Milwaukee also acquires players who have already spent time elsewhere.

Jake Bauers arrived from the Yankees in November 2023. Trevor Megill came from Minnesota earlier that year. Both became useful contributors in our current roster analysis. (fangraphs.com)

These moves require a different judgment from drafting a teenager. The organization must identify something it believes can translate into greater production: a skill, a role, an adjustment or simply an opportunity.

We cannot establish the precise cause of every improvement from a depth chart. Better results after a trade do not, by themselves, prove that coaching caused the improvement.

But these players demonstrate why an acquisition strategy should extend beyond established stars and highly ranked prospects.

The failures belong in the accounting, too. Our payroll review included Lance McCullers Jr., whose Milwaukee stint ended in a release. That is a reminder that acquiring experience does not guarantee useful innings.

And a successful season from a player such as Bauers creates another decision: How much of that performance should the club expect to repeat, and at what price?

The original bargain and the next contract are separate evaluations.

Keeping selected players is part of the approach

Replenishment also involves deciding whom to retain.

Before his major league debut, Chourio signed an eight-year, $82 million contract with two additional club options. (mlb.com)

The logic is straightforward. The player receives substantial financial security before proving himself in the majors. The club accepts that early risk in exchange for predictable costs and the opportunity to retain more of his productive years.

That agreement can become extremely favorable when the player develops as hoped. It can also become expensive if he does not.

For Milwaukee, the important principle is selective commitment. A sustainable roster still needs players worth building around, and keeping those players can be as consequential as identifying their eventual replacements.

The next group is already taking shape

Our October prospect snapshot provides another part of the picture.

Jesús Made and Luis Peña lead the list. Other prominent prospects include Brady Ebel, Tyson Hardin and Jeferson Quero. The acquisition routes extend beyond premium draft selections: Hardin was a 12th-round pick, while Bishop Letson was selected in the 11th round.

That variety matters. An organization needs opportunities to find talent throughout the draft and internationally.

The 2026 draft class is also already represented in the top 30 used for this series:

Player

2026 selection

Rank in our October snapshot

Trey Ebel

First round, No. 25 overall

17

Sawyer Strosnider

Second round, No. 66 overall

18

Julian Garcia

Fourth round

24

Rankings are from our saved FanGraphs prospect snapshot; draft selections are confirmed by MLB reporting. (mlb.com, mlb.com)

These players are already included in that inventory. We should not count the draft class again as an additional layer of talent.

Nor should we treat three rankings as three future major league contributors. Their presence adds possibilities. Development will determine how many become useful players, when they arrive and whether their greatest value comes in Milwaukee or in a trade.

For the same reason, an estimated arrival date should never become a roster promise. A team still needs alternatives when a prospect’s timetable changes.

What should the Mets take from this?

The most useful lesson for New York is the value of having choices.

A productive farm system can supply inexpensive contributors, support trades and make injuries easier to absorb. It can also allow the front office to be more selective about which needs require a major financial commitment.

Steve Cohen’s resources create additional possibilities. The Mets can seek the same benefits from scouting and development while having greater capacity to retain successful players and supplement the roster.

That combination is the opportunity we should evaluate throughout this series.

Milwaukee’s current roster suggests several connected strengths: acquisitions spread across multiple years, development that turns some of those players into contributors, trades that create further options, and selective commitments to players the organization wants to keep.

Those strengths still have to produce wins. Prospect rankings and favorable contracts are useful evidence, but sustained major league performance remains the test.

The next installment turns to the attribution question: How much of Milwaukee’s current position traces to David Stearns, and how much reflects what Matt Arnold and the organization built afterward?

We will separate the players Stearns acquired, the assets his successors inherited and the decisions made after his tenure. That should give us a more useful comparison with his work in New York.


Paul Articulates - The honor of Francisco Lindor


On Monday,
 Francisco Lindor was awarded the Roberto Clemente Award, Major League Baseball’s highest off-field honor, which recognizes the philanthropic efforts of a single MLB player each year.  That is a remarkable achievement for a remarkable man.

Lindor was one of the first big acquisitions of the Steve Cohen era, coming to the team in a trade with Cleveland prior to the 2021 season.  At the time, it seemed like the Mets paid a high price, giving up Ahmed Rosario and Andres Gimenez plus a couple minor leaguers.  Lindor later signed a a ten year, $350M deal with the team.  Both Rosario and Gimenez have had reasonable major league careers, but neither became a star.  Lindor, after a rough start, has been worth every penny of that deal in my opinion.

As a ballplayer, Lindor has delivered 30.8 fWAR since he came to the Mets which ranks him first in that period, well ahead of Brandon Nimmo's 23.1 total.  Lindor has been a defensive standout, an on-the-field leader, and has been in the top 5 for OPS on the team every season except 2022.  

It is tough to ask for more out of a player, though New York fans always want more.  This year's Roberto Clemente award is definitely more.  With all of the money earned by players in this era, there is a certain obligation to give back.  Most players do, but as recognized this week, Francisco Lindor does the most.

Here is a link to the article published by MLB.com that announced the award.  We should be proud to have such an inspirational player on the Mets.