Mets Pick #28 – RHP – Mitch Hickey – UC San Diego
NYFS –
RHP
Mitch Hickey - R/R, 11/16/95 - UC San Diego (SR) - 6'0", 184 lbs
Baseball Census –
“Worked
from the stretch the entire time. Undersized without real downward plane; high
three-quarters release with short, quick arm action through arm swing in the
back; more a thrower than a pitcher in my look with some encouraging power
attributes but very little feel/nuance for working side to side on purpose …
Sat 88-94 with his fastball during my look; paired it with an 83-84 changeup, a
78-82 sharp slider, and a 71-76 curveball. Timed 1.20 – 1.28 to the plate with
runner on first base … Command sucked. Even in a blowout (UC San Diego was up
11-1 when he left the game), couldn’t find the strike zone with nine walks in
three innings of work; no sense of urgency to get hitters out even when up ten
runs and much better than competition. Command shaky all day but really lost
release point and feel for the plate in top 3, and never made an adjustment to
get it back; overthrew, particularly with breaking stuff, and failed to show
feel for working within the strike zone, even with a big lead … Both breaking
balls are sharp, and each distinct from the other; curve a true 12-to-6 look
that’ll occasionally bleed into 11-to-5, but shows good, sharp depth. Slider is
harder with more tilt and late break, though also decent depth in its own
respective path; tunnels better with fastball. Both could be above-average
breaking balls if/when he proves ability to throw them early for strikes; wipeout
attributes are there, but needs another look early to start ahead … Obviously,
tough to say whether command problems here were just a one-off that clouds this
report based on my first look, but Mitch Hickey has walked 39 in 64 innings of
work across the season; command/control issues probably shouldn’t be completely
written off … Pro profile here is of a reliever with potential for some
high-leverage work in time. Arm strength and velocity will surge in shorter
stints with age and development, and the two breaking ball look could be a
difference maker for late-inning work. All hinges on command, though; even in
relief, Mitch Hickey needs to prove he can throw enough strikes to keep hitters
honest early before he shows off the wipeout stuff to put people away. Good
arm; no doubt worth an MLB Draft pick as a senior sign next month, but there’s
significant command consistency to iron out here and it’ll severely limit his
ceiling if not fixed.”
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