9/6/25

Francisco Alvarez Returns From U.C.L. Injury: Man? Myth? Legend.

 

ANGRY MIKE






Francisco Alvarez continues his warpath efforts to return to the Mets lineup, positioning himself to be activated for arguably the 2 biggest series remaining on the Mets schedule. After catching back-to-back games for Syracuse and launching a 106 MPH grand slam in last start, the Mets gladly welcome back their young catcher and clubhouse leader for their weekend series versus the Reds. 


What Alvarez is attempting to do is nothing short of legendary, and has only been attempted by a handful of players in the past, and none of them were catchers. 






“El Troll”, tore the UCL in his right thumb trying to stretch a single into a double on a head-first slide. As if that wasn’t enough, Alvarez was then hit on his left hand during a rehab start, causing a micro-fracture in his left pinkie. Prior to his UCL injury, Alvarez was able to regain the power stroke during a brief stint in the Minors, prodigious power that made him the #1 Overall Prospect in the MLB and the only catching prospect to have ever received a 70-power scouting grade. “Mets Nation” was able to breathe easier knowing the surgically removed hamate bone from his left wrist would not derail Alvarez’ career. Many “Google-trained M.D.’s” even ignorantly posted on social media that a hamate bone surgery injury killed many other players’ careers, which is simply not the case.









Now the concern shifts to Alvarez’ recent U.C.L. injury to his right thumb, and 3 simple questions summarize that concern:


A. What is the long-term prognosis and does it change if Alvarez delays surgery? 


B. Are there any recent examples of M.L.B. players playing through the injury and how did they perform while playing through the injury?


Fortunately the long-term prognosis remains positive, as many high-profile players have had more severe versions of Alvarez’ injury and were able to remain their top form after having surgery, including Alvarez himself who showed no ill-effects from tearing the UCL in his left hand last season. Bryce Harper, Salvador Perez, and Luis Arraez are a few recent examples of players who have successfully resumed their careers after surgery. 




Below are the primary challenges Alvarez will face while playing through the injury:


Biggest Issues Associated with Playing Through the Injury

Playing through a UCL thumb injury (skier’s thumb or gamekeeper’s thumb) poses risks due to the ligament’s role in thumb stability:

  • Pain and Reduced Grip Strength: Persistent pain can impair batting, catching, and throwing, critical for a catcher like Alvarez.
  • Joint Instability: Leads to poor thumb opposition, increasing error rates in fielding and throwing.
  • Risk of Worsening Damage: Partial tears can become complete, necessitating surgery and longer recovery (e.g., 6-8 weeks vs. potential season-ending).
  • Performance Decline: Hitters may see drops in power and average; catchers risk arm strain from compensatory mechanics.
  • Long-Term Complications: Chronic instability may lead to arthritis or recurrent injuries, as seen in Alvarez’s history.


Methods to Play Through the Injury

Conservative approaches allow return without surgery for sprains (unlike full tears):

  • Bracing/Taping: Custom thumb spica brace or tape to stabilize the joint during play.
  • Pain Management: NSAIDs, cortisone injections, or ice therapy to reduce inflammation.
  • Rehabilitation: Strengthening exercises for grip and forearm; gradual return via simulated games.
  • Modified Play: Limit throwing intensity or use as DH initially to avoid stress.
  • Monitoring: Regular MRIs to ensure no progression to tear; rest periods if symptoms worsen.



At the end of the day, any analytics-based projections or medical experts and former players speculating on how Alvarez will perform don’t mean a bloody thing when it comes to predicting how Alvarez will be able to manage the pain and perform his duties. If you want to get scientific, Alvarez has a great chance of being able to contribute at a high level, based on how Pedroia, Rendon, and Seager performed despite delaying their respective surgeries. Doctors wouldn’t have cleared our prized youngster to play, if they thought the element of risk to his future career was too high or if there was a zero percent chance of Alvarez being able to perform at a high level. The 109 MPH exit velocity on his single and 106 MPH exit velocity on his grand slam provides hope his level of play won’t be impacted detrimentally by his recent injuries.


What about the spiritual side of things?


“How do you gauge someone’s will to live…”




Alvarez isn’t a leader in the clubhouse because he’s particularly charismatic like Francisco Lindor, nor his particularly diplomatic like Brandon Nimmo, and he’s simply too young to command respect because he’s an elder statesman like Pete Alonso. Alvarez is the heart and soul of that clubhouse because of his fighting spirit and passion. He’s a warrior, with super-human strength, and his mutant power is an overwhelming “sense of will”. 


That “sense of will” is what enabled him to beat the odds to become one of the most talented youngsters in all of baseball.


That “sense of will” is why his teammates respect him as much as they do and why they trust in his leadership abilities, despite Alvarez being one of the youngest players on the team. 


That “sense of will” is what will enable him to not only play through the pain, but return to being an high-impact difference-maker on both sides of the ball.


Are there any guarantees Alvarez can pull this off? No of course not. But I for one will not be betting against this kid, and I look forward to Alvy proving the naysayers wrong once again. 


Lastly, the 3 players listed above who also delayed surgery, just so happened to win the World Series that year. 


Coincidence? 




That’s a “GUNFIGHTER” answer…












Tom Brennan - RBI Specialists in Metsville; Jonah and the Whale


The Great Mets Slugger Juan Soto 


Top 16 RBIs-Per-At-Bat Hitters in Metsville:

- thru Tuesday (Monday for the minors guys)


Hugh Jackman in Les Miz sang “Bring Him Home.”

These guys are doing just that. Bringing lots of guys home, in fact.


Pete Alonso: 112 RBIs in 534 ABs.

Juan Soto: 91 RBIs in 487 ABs.  More recent launches than Elon Musk.

Ryan Clifford: 83 RBIs in 422 ABs. 41 RBIs in his last 47 games. Hot.

Brandon Nimmo: 78 RBIs in 495 ABs.

Francisco Lindor: 77 RBIs in 559 ABs.

Jacob Reimer: 74 RBIs in 409 ABs. Hot of late. Very hot.

Chris Suero: 66 RBIs in 346 ABs. Wow. He steals a lot, too. (31)

Carson Benge: 62 RBIs in 372 ABs. 

Randy Guzman: 53 RBIs in 223 ABs. (A 143 RBI pace over 600 ABs)

Mark Vientos: 53 RBIs in 355 ABs. Out of his coma, now an RBI aroma.

Ronald Hernandez: 52 RBIs in 328 ABs. (I bet this one surprised you).

AJ Ewing: 52 RBIs in 436 ABs.  Oh, and 68 steals, too. He’s good, right?

Jeff McNeil: 50 RBIs in 333 ABs.  Quietly accumulated.  I’m impressed.

Kevin Parada: 50 RBIs in 303 ABs for the reborn catcher.

Yonaton Henriquez: 50 RBIs in 356 ABs. Remember the name. 33 SBs.

John Bay: 23 RBIs in 70 ABs.  Wow. A Hack Wilson pace.

(Cedric Mullens has 57 RBIs in 399 ABs, but only 8 for the Mets so far)

THAT’S A LOT OF RUNS BATTED IN. 

NICE  JOB, FELLAS.


VIENTOS LISTENED?

No one listens to me. Just ask my wife. 

Half – kidding aside, I was writing repeatedly that the Mark Vientos needed to be more aggressive on the first pitch. Whether he listened to me or not, he listened to somebody. 

His first pitch swing percentage for the season now is 32.6%. When I wrote on the subject several times earlier this year, for the season to date, he was at 31%. 

While that change may not seem like a big difference, to go up 1.6% this late in the season likely means that since the last time I pleaded in an article that he get more aggressive, he’s probably been swinging at roughly 40% of first pitches.  

And we can all see the fine results. Keep it up. It REALLY works.


SENGA AND SENGER SENT DOWN

Such is life. 

Senger has made far more $$ this year than he might have expected, while gaining invaluable experience.

Senga has time to right his ship in Syracuse, because his ship ain’t right.

Best fortunes to both.

Called up?  Wander and Alvarez.


JONAH IN THE BELLY OF THE WHALE

We all know the biblical story of Jonah being swallowed by the whale.  The whale here is the pennant race that Jonah Tong just stepped into.  

The Mets are seeking to fend off the Cincinnati Reds Legs for that all-important wild Card slot.  

Jonah gets to face this Red Whale with his harpoon fastball.

METS WIN FRI. NIGHT, 5-4, TAKING PRESSURE OFF OF TONG & SPROAT.

EDWIN LOADS BAGS, NONE OUT, IN 9TH, AND DOES A HOUDINI ESCAPE.

LUISANGEL ACUNA MADE GREAT PLAY TO GET THE FINAL OUT.


ON AUGUST 14, I WROTE THIS ABOUT MCLEAN, TONG, & SPROAT 

(I GUESS THINGS THEREAFTER GOT “DIRE”).  

READ ON…

“The Mets got fortunate in 1966. They got the great Tom Seaver in the January 1966 draft.  Back then, baseball was different. No highly paid players. No free agency.

When a guy was ready, he was ready. Period. Ed Kranepool had 300 PAs before he turned 19.

Seaver in 1966 was signed, and then assigned straight to AAA, where he went 12-12, with a nice 3.13 ERA and 1.19 WHIP, and almost a K per inning. Nice. Impressive, even, to do that well at the top minor leaguer level straight out of Fresno.

In March 1967, he was deemed ready by the reigning powers, and so he was. He won NL rookie of the year. He made $13,500 that year, by the way. 

Yes…the Franchise had just 1 year in the minors before his HOF career began.

Baseball these days is just so very friggin’ different.  

Starting veteran pitchers are paid by multiple Brinks truck deliveries, whether they pitch much or not, and there IS free agency, so, like a commodity, key prospect pitcher call-ups have to be oh-so-carefully managed so as to not negatively impact a franchise’s value.  

Free agency-focused proper call-up timing can reduce a team’s future salaries and luxury taxes by tens of millions these days, you see. 

High finance.  Feet dragging and rationalizations thus, easily and often, replace promotions.

Let me say this straight up:

If this were still 1967, in my humble opinion, Jonah Tong, Brandon Sproat and Nolan McLean would have been pitching in the majors long ago.

Tong Terrific couldn’t even get promoted to AAA until this week…SMH…

In 2025 parlance, it is called “product management”, you see.

Tong, excluding his first two Siberian starts of 2025 in AA, has had a 1.12 ERA; allowed 4 hits per 9 innings; and struck out roughly 15 per 9 innings.  Best Mets minor league pitching performance ever.  

- “NOPE, NOT QUITE READY FOR AAA”, they’ve effectively told us.

In 1967, he would already have been in the Mets rotation.

Sproat? Last 39 innings, 5 earned runs in 6 starts in AAA.

-  “NOPE, NOT QUITE READY FOR THE MAJORS”, they’ve basically told us.

McLean? 109 innings, 120 hits, 8-5, 2.46.

-  “NOPE, NOT QUITE READY FOR THE MAJORS”, they’ve basically told us.

(Desperate times have forced the Mets’ hand, tho’.  With Montas pitching so poorly, McLean was needed, and will make his Mets debut on Saturday.

Simply put:

They have not been telling us the truth.  

They are perhaps fibbing to us a wee tad, in fact, due to modern day baseball’s high finance considerations which they want the casual fan, the 90% majority of Mets fans, to not focus on or grasp.The truth is, these are 3 pitchers who “need” to be delayed to extend their time until free agency. 

Unless circumstances in Queens become dire. 

(It got dire enough to summon McLean now).”


Those were my thoughts on August 14.  My thoughts now?

* Yes, indeed, things on the pitching side got mighty dire.  

* So we get to see all three of our phenoms.  

*McLean’s a machine, and Tong is terrific.

* Sproat might just become the G.O.A.T. 

Sweet. 

That makes me HAPPY.

Lastly….


MACK’S FAVORITE METS NAME?

Forget Soto, Gooden, Diaz, Wright.  Mack’s favorite is…

Mets 16th round pitcher Zack Mack.  A 6’5” 240 righty.

Which makes him a Big Mack.

1.1 scoreless pro innings for St Lucie so far.  All the best, Mack.


EVERY ONCE IN A WHILE…

I look at other team’s hitters.

Colson Montgomery is a rookie SS for the White Sox.

A former 22nd overall pick in 2021, he has hit the ground SLUGGING!

That was, by the way, the year the Mets picked KUMAR.

Colson?

18 HRs in his first 185 MLB at bats! Wow! Is he related to Cal Raleigh?

The White Sox recently have been hitting great like the Mets and are rapidly turning the corner, winners of six straight.

Reese Kaplan -- Lots of Roster Holes to Fill in 2026


Right now it’s still a guessing game as to whether or not the Mets make the postseason and if so how far they will go.  The roster pretty much is what it is save for some starting pitcher changes possible as well as the late return of Jose Siri which is doubly important with Tyrone Taylor on the IL and Cedric Mullins hitting under .230 without any run production.  Throw in a return of Francisco Alvarez and what you have is pretty much what it’s going to be.  Instead, let’s start to take a look at the 2026 roster which will get some pretty extensive changes as free agency hits for several players who may or may not get extension offers.

Offensive Free Agents 

Pete Alonso is 99.9% certain to want to opt out of his big pay cut to $24 million after producing his best offensive season.  The Mets either need to work out a very high average annual value deal for say 3-4 years or watch him sell his services elsewhere.  His age 31 through whatever seasons are not typically thought of as the best of a power hitter’s career, but coming off a much stronger 2025 than he did in 2024 he’s likely to have a long list of bidders. 

Starling Marte is an enigmatic player who produced in 2022 how they expected him to do, but 2023 and 2024 were injury plagued.  This year he’s been mostly healthy but his defensive skills have diminished considerably.  A speedy contact hitter is not typically how most clubs use a DH, but going into his age 37 season it’s likely the only role he could handle on a full time basis.

Jesse Winker was a less than stellar DH candidate when he was returned for 2025, but after just 70 ABs he’s been out of commission due to health.  Word filtered out he’s been shut down now and his season is over.  He’s not expensive at $7.5 million but after a wasted season he’s not going to be on the top of many GMs’ lists. 

Cedric Mullins will become a free agent.  Don’t let the door hit you on the way out the locker room door.

Borderline Veteran Players as Trade Bait

Jeff McNeil has never approached his NL Batting Leader numbers again and the Mets are on the hook for one more full season in 2026 at $15.75 million while holding a team option at the same rate for 2027 or a $2 million buyout.  He might be a pay down candidate to trade to another team for a short term commitment. 

Tyrone Taylor began his big league career late.  He’s shown great defense, good base running speed and occasional power.  He is arbitration eligible in 2026 and can become a free agent in 2027.  He could be a helpful bench piece but gets exposed when he plays regularly.

Pretty much forgotten infielder Nick Madrigal missed all of 2025 with a shoulder fracture during Spring Training.  The Mets hold an option to bring him back in 2026.  Who knows if they will.

The Still Unproven Young Veterans

Luisangel Acuna definitely has shown stolen base ability and decent defense but he’s very streaky and hasn’t put together any consistency. 

Brett Baty is having for him his finest season hitting around .250 with modest power and run production.  His defense is better than average but no one is sure if this improved year is part of his journey as a ballplayer or if it is a plateau.

Ronny Mauricio missed all of 2024 due to injury and was a rather late starter to 2025.  Thus far he's shown rust but every now and then you see some flashes that captivated many as he climbed through the minors.  For this year's major league metrics it's pretty ugly -- hitting just .231 but his 6 HRs and 4 SBs would translated to 24 and 16 if he played a full season.  Those numbers are well behind what he did pre-injury, so he's kind of hard to predict.

Mark Vientos took a very long time to get it in gear but he finished August hitting .278 with 8 HRs and 22 RBIs.  The team would sign up for that kind of production any day but folks still wonder if 2024 was more of an outlier than a preview of solid level player.

Rookies Looking to Move on Up

Carson Benge is a 22 year old outfielder who has sailed through the minor leagues from college up through his new tenure at Syracuse.  For his cumulative career he’s hitting .295 with 15 HRs, 72 RBIs and 24 SBs in less than a single season’s worth of ABs.  The team could look to have him start in CF or park him for more seasoning in AAA where he’s stalled between adjustment and injury.

Ryan Clifford is a year younger than Benge with more home run power and significantly more minor league experience.  However, his 26 HR and 85 RBI season in 2025 split between Binghamton and Syracuse is accompanied by a mediocre .243 batting average. 

Jett Williams is one of the most interesting Mets prospects as he is in a way the new Jeff McNeil.  He can play all over the field while providing a solid on base percentage and terrific stolen base numbers accompanied by about 14 HR power.  Like the other rookies he’s had a limited time in AAA and may not be deemed ready to break camp next season at age 22.

Other Hitters Likely Returning

  • Juan Soto
  • Francisco Lindor
  • Francisco Alvarez
  • Brandon Nimmo 

Departing or Injured Pitchers

Griffin Canning was a nice story when he pitched way over his head for the Mets earlier this season on a one-year deal but his future with the Mets is very much up in the air.

Frankie Montas has had surgery for his UCL problem and will likely miss all of 2026 after which he is no longer a Mets player.

Ryan Helsley will be selling himself to the highest bidder based upon his career in St. Louis.  How his agent characterizes the batting practice pitcher he’s been in New York is anyone’s guess.

Tyler Rogers was more a bad surprise than Helsley who was being asked to adjust to a setup role where he had been a closer in the past.  Rogers always was a setup guy but he did not deliver at the same quality once coming to New York.  He’s a free agent.

Gregory Soto was the first of the trio of bad July bullpen acquisitions.  For awhile he was surprisingly capable but then the poorer version showed up and he’s not been much help lately.  His free agency will not be nearly as profitable as he had once hoped.

Ryne Stanek and his 5.17 ERA are available to free agent bidders during the upcoming off season.  Let's just hope one of them is not David Stearns. 

A.J. Minter is still recovering from an early season injury but is on track to play in Spring Training in 2026.  How well he will pitch and how quickly he will have completely healed is a great unknown 

Danny Young is out for most of the 2025 season and could miss 2026 as well. 

Dedniel Nunez has undergone the second Tommy John Surgery of his career and is off the table for 2026.

Drew Smith likely is recovered and ready to pitch in 2026 but no one knows how well he’ll do and if the Mets want to retain him.

Christian Scott is on track to be ready for Spring Training but after missing all of this year and part of last year he’s not exactly a lock for anything.

Reed Garrett is currently on the IL, too.

Other Pitchers Possibly Returning

  • Kodai Senga
  • Sean Manaea
  • David Peterson
  • Nolan McLean
  • Jonah Tong
  • Brandon Sproat
  • Tylor Megill
  • Brooks Raley
  • Edwin Diaz
  • Max Kranick

John From Albany: 10 Years Ago - Marlins Clip Clippard, 9/6/2015

 

NY Post Back Page, 9/7/15

2015, the last year the Mets made the World Series.  This daily post will detail the game by game journey to the Fall Classic.  Click here for More Mets History and Calendar Classics.

Year: 2015; Game #136; Sunday;  Sep 6, NYM 3 @ MIA; 4; boxscore;  WP: Ramos; LP: Clippard; Time: 03:20; DAY; Attendance: 26,780; Record: 75-61; Standings: 1; Games up/behind: up 4.0; L-wo;

Curtis Granderson RF: 0 for 3; CS; 1 walk; 1 K; Yoenis Céspedes CF-LF: 2 for 4; HR; 2 runs; 1 RBI; 1 K; Michael Conforto LF: 2 for 4; 2·2B; 2 Ks; Wilmer Flores 2B: 1 for 4; HR; 1 run; 2 RBIs; Kelly Johnson 1B: 0 for 3; 1 walk; 2 Ks; Eric Young Jr. PR: 0 for 0; Eric Campbell 1B: 0 for 0; Juan Uribe 3B: 1 for 3; 2B; 1 walk; Rubén Tejada SS: 1 for 2; 2 walks; Kevin Plawecki C: 1 for 3; 2 Ks; Travis d'Arnaud PH: 0 for 1; GDP; Anthony Recker C: 0 for 0; Steven Matz P: 0 for 2; GDP; Daniel Murphy PH: 0 for 1; GDP; Juan Lagares CF: 0 for 0; Steven Matz: 5.1 innings; 2 runs; 2 ERs; 4 hits; 1 HR; 2 walks; 6 Ks; Hansel Robles, H (8): 0.2 inning; no runs; 1 hit; Addison Reed, H (9): 1 inning; no runs; 2 hits; 1 K; Tyler Clippard, BS (5), L (3-4): 1.2 innings; 2 runs; 2 ERs; 2 hits; 1 HR; 1 walk; 2 Ks; 

Wilmer Flores' 6th inning 2-run homer gave the Mets a 3-2 lead that held until the 8th when Justin Bour homered off Tyler Clippard to tie it.  Clippard stayed on to pitch the 9th.  Jeff Mathis led off by striking out but reached 1st on a strike 3 wild pitch.  After Dee Gordon-Strange's single put the runner on 3rd and Christian Yelich was intentionally walked to load the bases with one out, Martin Prado's Sac Fly drove in the walk-off win for the fish.

Mike Puma NY Post: Clippard the rare goat as Mets slump into showdown with Nats. "It was a rough outing for the usually reliable Clippard...The Nationals were swept three games at Citi Field beginning on July 31, but will carry a five-game winning streak into Monday, with Max Scherzer, Jordan Zimmermann and, likely, Stephen Strasburg lined up to pitch in succession."


Nationals beat the Braves 8-4 to pull within 4 games of the Mets.  It set up one of the most dramatic and best regular season series of the decade for the Mets.


NL East Standings 9/6/2015
Tm W L W-L% GB RS RA pythW-L%
NYM7561.551--565506.550
WSN7165.522 4.0600545.544
MIA5780.41618.5509567.451
ATL5483.39421.5488665.362
PHI5384.38722.5529705.372
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 9/6/2015.

9/5/25

Tom Brennan - How Good The Mets’ Top Hitting Prospects Are


HITTERS WANTED!


David Stearns has had a fine bumper crop of prospects this year. 

Pitching and hitting.

The focus here is hitting. 

The top hitting prospects (you know who they are) have done very well.

Many early season boppers were promoted from Brooklyn to Binghamton during the year.  Their stats are not listed here.  They’ve escaped Brooklynites and are thriving, no one more than AJ Ewing.

The ones left there, or recently promoted to Brooklyn in their place, are scuffling.

In 3 September games, the Cyclones are hitting just .124 with one HR.

That one HR, by Corey Collins, was very well-timed, as it came on Thursday night in the 8th inning of what otherwise would have been a no hitter against Brooklyn. Brooklyn finished up with one run and one hit.

In August, the Brooklynites only hit .206.  Scuffling.

Sink or swim.  Several got promoted earlier than they would have, if those promoted upwards from Brooklyn hadn’t gotten quickly promoted in such quantities.

Keep plugging, dudes. You are in the home stretch. Finish strong.

Hey, you’re getting to play more, against higher level pitching. 

That beats not playing.

One struggling Brooklyn player is Eli Serrano.  He bats lefty.  Lefties generally find Cyclones Park excruciating.  Eli does, too.  

He is hitting .189 at home, .255 on the road.  So, don’t look at his .222 overall average.  I envision him right now as a .255 hitter.

Greensboro has to be a great SAL hitters park.  As a team, they’ve rocked 338 homers the past two seasons.  Brooklyn in the SAL has hit just 157 HRs over the same period.   That differential is heavily due to the respective home parks of the two teams.

Greensboro hitters on the road in that period have hit 63 more HRs.

But Greensboro hitters at home in 2024 and 2025?  196 HRs.

Brooklyn hitters at home over the same time span?  78 HRs.

A 118 HR difference at home.

Fix the park dimensions in Brooklyn.


METS/REDS PERSPECTIVE

The Mets have scored roughly 1.5 runs per game more than the Reds after the ASB. 

May it continue as such this weekend.


JUST ONE WIN AND EIGHT LOSSES

That is the combined record of Helsley, Soto, and Rogers since they were acquired.  Ouch.

You want to open the trash bin and dump, right?

After all, if these guys were at the top of their games, and were 8-1, the Mets might be leading the division right now.

But remember Paul Sewald.

He was 1-14 as a Met.

Got dumped. Felt good, right?

But then, Seattle reached into the dumpster, snatched him out, and gave him a shower. And new duds. 

Put shiny Paul, who at that point was 0-0 pitching for other teams, on their mound. 

And lo and behold, Paul is 20-12, with 83 saves, since.

Opening the dumpster lid to “toss in some trash” can be hazardous.


Reese Kaplan -- Can the Starting Pitching Really Be Any Worse?


As we continue the first week of September baseball the Mets starting pitching is at best a house of cards on a very windy street.  Kodai Senga, Clay Holmes, Sean Manaea and David Peterson are all looking at best a 1-3 inning outing before disaster unfolds.  Isn’t it ironic that the two hurlers the club can count on best to help them overcome this dismal and dangerous trend have four games and one game of major league experience between them?

Oh, it could get worse.  Or better.  Trevor Megill was cruising along in rehab until he hit what should have been his final rehab start before returning to Queens.  Unfortunately in that game he pitched more like vintage Megill rather than the one who had appeared often to be dominant in the earlier part of this year before the injury hit. 

Then there is a third rookie in Brandon Sproat who has put together now a string of nearly 10 games where he was pitching like a proverbial ace, not like the end-of-the-climb Sproat who seemed to have topped out in AAA even as recently as earlier this year.  No one knows which Sproat would show up upon promotion but at this point it’s a gamble surely under very serious consideration.


Right now everyone knows that Kodai Senga is a hollow shell of his former self.  Whether it is health related, rhythm related or health related no one is entirely sure.   It really doesn’t matter.  The fact is you can’t hand him out to opponents every 5th or 6th day to do his best Frankie Montas impression. 

David Peterson has been up and down with far more of it being up.  For awhile he looked as if he was true ace material as he finished 2024 under 3.00 in ERA and until recently was doing the same in 2025.  Read the same list from above regarding the cause for his sudden collapse.  His track record is longer in the positive so it’s unlikely they are as anxious to make a change here as they would be with others.

The Clay Holmes starter experiment started off superbly but no one knows if his arm is overtired or whatever the cause, but his control is all over the place and at his best he’s a 5 inning pitcher.  At his worst he’s in the same rankings as Senga and Manaea. 


Speaking of which, Sean Manaea started the year late due to injury.  He showed some flashes of competence this year but lately his game is highly questionable as well.  In 2024 he was a never saw it coming success story which lead to his return engagement for 2025 (and 2026).  Right now he is also simply not getting it done. 

Personnel wise, the Mets need to make some moves.  There has been a lot of discussion about sending Senga to Syracuse to get him out of the spotlight to work on whatever is going wrong for him while also exercising a player-approved demotion as he has options. 

Clay Holmes could move into the bullpen to help provide some of the strength that David Stearns thought he had acquired in August before the huge meltdowns by the three new relievers.  It would also significantly reduce his workload in that the number of innings asked of him would be just 1-2 per appearance.

It would seem that these changes would reinforce the belief that Peterson and Manaea are actually better pitchers than they have shown and you’d be leaning on experience while hoping for the best.

These two moves would open up spots in the rotation for both Megill and Sproat.  While never a big fan of Megill, he’s surely a better option than the proposed first two on this list right now.  For Sproat, well, he’s a great unknown but the 9-10 game streak he’s controlled suggests he is worth a look though relying on a September push with three rookies in the starting rotation is surely an option no one would ever have envisioned before the awful August eclipsed the June swoon.

Something’s got to give. 

MACK - MY FRIDAY OBSERVATION. - Ryan Helsley, Brandon Sproat, 2026 IFA, Power Rankings, Pete Alonso, Carson Benge, Juan Soto, Nolan McLean, Kevin Parada

 




                             Morning Thoughts 

Armus has arrived, to join his buddies, Athos and Porthos.

The Musketeers are complete.

None of us had any money bet that Nolan McLean, Jonah Tong, and now, Brandon Sproat would be in the Queens rotation in 2025. No one. But they are here now and rest of the rotation be damned.

There is much more pressure on Sproat. Not only does he have to face major league hitting in front of, like, 500,000 people, but he has to put up results similar to the other two guppies that arrived, and produced, earlier.

The only thing I am annoyed at is that the Mets are placating the rest of the rotation and making these young arms pitch in a 6-man rotation. There current arms are built and conditioned for every fifth outing.

Still, the future has arrived and I really give a rat’s ass who is started in the rest of the games this season. There three are the guys I have written about for the past three years and I simply can’t believe they are all in the Queens dugout in 2025. It truly amazes me. 


Pitch Profiler                     @pitchprofiler

Ryan Helsley's slider has been incredible; the rest of his pitches have not been.

 


Pitch Profiler                     @pitchprofiler

Ryan Helsley throws his four-seam nearly 50% of the time.

And it lives squarely in the dead zone.

 

Mets’ problem with Ryan Helsley is getting worse

https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/6596239/2025/09/03/mets-ryan-helsley-pitching-problems-tigers/ 

The Mets have tried fixing Helsley’s tipping issue. Helsley said he “didn’t love” the new adjustments at first, but believes he is better off now that he has changed the positioning of his hands on the mound. Mendoza said Helsley’s struggles on Wednesday were not related to tipping.

Whether he is or he isn’t, the point is that Helsley’s struggles are not limited to tipping. He is not elevating his fastball. He is not avoiding walks. He is not hitting locations.

As Tigers designated hitter Kerry Carpenter, batting from the left side, connected on a fastball low and inside, Helsley immediately turned to watch the ball travel. If Helsley hadn’t, he would’ve missed it. The ball traveled at 106 mph off Carpenter’s bat. The three-run home run provided the game’s final margin.

After the game, Helsley said he thought his execution was “OK, could probably be a little better.”

Helsley’s track record suggests that he can turn things around, but the two-time All-Star has never encountered a stretch quite this bad before. From a metrics standpoint, his breaking pitches still seem good. And velocity remains strong; he hit 102 mph and averaged 99 mph. Also, he is not far removed from success; with the Cardinals, he had a 3.00 ERA in 36 innings. Still, immediate answers on how to fix Helsley are hard to come up with. 

 

Pitch Profiler                     @pitchprofiler

THE SPROAT GOAT HAS ARRIVED

 


What to expect from Mets prospect Brandon Sproat in MLB

https://www.mlb.com/news/what-to-expect-from-brandon-sproat-in-mlb?partnerID=web_article-share

For one thing, his average four-seam fastball velocity has improved a tick from 95.9 mph before June 28 to 97.1 mph afterward. He’s touched 100 mph four times in '25, and three of those instances have come in this 11-outing stretch. The movement on the pitch has changed slightly, too, with Sproat trading a little armside run for increased induced vertical break.

But the velo change has been the biggest highlight. With the extra heat, Sproat has improved his whiff rate on the four-seamer from 18.8 percent to 30.3 percent and cut the slugging percentage against it from .467 to .390. As such, he’s gone to the pitch even more against right-handed hitters, and it’s usurped his 95-98 mph sinker as his most-used pitch against same-side bats, albeit only slightly (24.5 percent usage vs. 22.3).

 

Mets Prospect Group                     @bkfan09

Mets have $5.4M to spend  on this 2026 Class.


MLB Power Rankings

https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/6586384/2025/09/02/mlb-power-rankings-brewers-yankees/

11. New York Mets (10.7)

Record: 74-64

Last Power Ranking: 12

Award nominee: Pete Alonso, Silver Slugger

This is a pretty boring pick, right? Except, no, not really, because Alonso actually has never won a Silver Slugger. He’s been an All-Star four times. He won a Rookie of the Year award, and he’s been top 10 in MVP voting a couple of times. He’s led the league in homers and he’s led the league in RBIs, but he’s never won a Silver Slugger (there was always a Paul Goldschmidt or Freddie Freeman or Matt Olson or Bryce Harper in his way). This, though, could be Alonso’s year. It’s basically a three-man toss-up among Alonso, Freeman and Harper, but Alonso might have the slight edge heading into September. — Jennings

 

Jim Bowden’s top 50 MLB prospects

https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/6587372/2025/09/03/top-mlb-prospects-rankings-griffin-wetherholt-mcgonigle/

22. Carson Benge, OF, New York Mets (Triple A)

Age: 22

Bats: L Throws: R

Height: 6-1 Weight: 185

Scouting Grades: HIT: 60 PWR: 50 RUN: 55 ARM: 60 FLD: 55

The Mets got a steal with Benge, whom they selected with the No. 19 pick in the 2024 draft. He was a two-way player at Oklahoma State and threw 95-98 mph from the mound. Since turning pro, he’s been a full-time position player. He is a good athlete and capable of playing all three outfield positions, while being a 20 home run/20 stolen base-type hitter. He’s “hit” over “power” and should be major-league ready sometime next year.

 

National League Players of the Month: August 2025

https://www.justbaseball.com/mlb/national-league-players-of-the-month-august-2025/

Just Missed the Podium: Juan Soto, NYM

August Stats: 131 PA, 10 HR, 27 R, 22 RBI, .277/.435/.574, 11 SB, 182 wRC+, 1.6 fWAR

A strong argument could be made for Juan Soto to make the podium, but Profar did just enough last month to earn the nod over Soto.

Soto was tied with Turang for the second most NL homers in August with 10 (which was one more than Profar), and he came in just behind Profar with a 182 wRC+. Walking over 20% of the time in typical Soto fashion, he was near the top of the leaderboard in OBP and OPS as a result.

Still, Profar had the edge in OPS thanks to a higher slugging percentage, and he had a seven-point advantage in wOBA as well. The margin between these two players was very tight, and while he didn’t crack the top three on this list, Soto deserves his flowers for what he did in the month of August.

Soto is now tied for fifth in MLB with a 155 wRC+ on the year. Sitting seventh in OPS (.915) and wOBA (.389), Soto is hitting his stride at the right time and is ready to lead the Mets down the stretch as the regular season comes to an end.

 

OptaSTATS                          @OptaSTATS

Nolan McLean of the Mets is the second MLB pitcher to go 4-0 with a sub-1.50 ERA and 25+ strikeouts over his first 4 career starts (since ERA became official in both leagues in 1913).

The other was Fernando Valenzuela in 1981.

 

Binghamton Rumble Ponies                       @RumblePoniesBB

Kevin Parada has been promoted to Triple-A Syracuse!!