7/19/10

Cutnpaste: - Jose vs. Tejada, K-Rod, Drew Martinez, Kai Gronauer ... and Luis Castillo

Jose vs. Tejada:



7-19 from: - link  - Jose Reyes (strained oblique, ERD 7/19) - Everyone’s up in arms over Reyes being out for the Mets, but there’s a reason. Any oblique strain is a tough read, but assuming that those of us out here—especially the more paranoid Mets fans out there, some of whom couldn’t think their way out of a paper bag—have better knowledge. So let’s start with that. As far as last year, it was fluke, and let’s give Mets athletic trainer Ray Ramirez and orthopedist David Altchek the benefit of the doubt. There’s also an equation, one that’s overly simplified, that lets you figure this out for yourself. The base of it is MLVr, a stat that gives us a per-game value for every player: - Jose Reyes’ MLVr: 0.025 - Ruben Tejada’s MLVr: -0.237. - That’s a quarter of a run per game. (0.262, if you want precision.) That difference needs to be factored out to figure the loss for a 15-game (normal, minimum) DL stint. That’s 3.93 runs. Simple, understandable. Right? This is a bit oversimplified, since it shows value that's essentially averaged out. Tejada could have a great game along the way and essentially outperform Reyes for a short period of time. This happened last year when Manny Ramirez was suspended, and for the first two weeks, Juan Pierre hit like he thought he was Ramirez. Granted, Tejada has gone 3-for-12 over the last four games with no power, so maybe it's worse than the oversimplified calculation. It shows just how hard it is to make that type of decision. Add in the complexities of managing a roster that has other injuries, like that of Luis Castillo, who is expected back soon, and it gets even tougher.



K-Rod:


7-19 from: - link  - Johan Santana allowed one run over eight innings, and the Mets gave Francisco Rodriguez a 3-1 lead to defend in the bottom of the ninth. He allowed a walk and three hits as the Giants tied the game, and then Rodriguez got the win when the Mets scored in the top of the tenth. K-Rod put two more batters on the bottom of the inning, but kept the Giants off the board for the 4-3 Mets victory. Since June 4, Rodriguez owns a 3.37 ERA. That might seem a bit high for a closer, but K-Rod only allowed runs in three of the nineteen games he pitched. He’s walked eight and struck out 22 in 18 2/3 innings over that stretch, but his has allowed 21 hits. Francisco does his job the great majority of the time, but in this case, three bad innings makes his ERA look worse than his record. He doesn’t give up a run every three innings. He gives up runs every six innings, and in bunches.


Drew Martinez:


7-18 from: - link  - On Memphis outfielder Drew Martinez (.344/.410/.355, 11 RBI, 17 SB in 93 AB): "He was drafted this year (in the 23rd round by the Mets), may return to memphis. Prototpyical leadoff hitter, can really run, aggressive on the basepaths. He's leading the league in hitting and stolen bases. He knows who he is—he hits the ball the other way, and he even takes pitches in BP, which not a lot of guys do. Very advanced approach to hitting."


7-18 from: - link  - the one player I’ve been most impressed with (in Cape Cod) is Drew Martinez from Memphis, who was a 23rd round pick of the Mets as an eligible sophomore last month. He’s either set himself up for a nice over slot bonus this August or possibly a top five rounds pick next June. Good leadoff skills being showcased

Kai Gronauer :



7-14 from: - link  - He's not a true prospect but the German national is certainly making the possibility of major league backup duty look a lot more attainable. And for this regime, a backup making league minimum is a beautiful thing. When you couple his all-around solid batting line with his strong defense and game-calling skills, not to mention his excellent start in Hi-A, Gronauer suddenly looks a lot more palatable as far as organizational catching depth goes. Don't go nuts over his advanced age (23) as European players always need a usually lengthy transition period to catch up to the speed of the game in the US.



Luis Castillo:


7-12 from: - link  - TRDMB’s 2nd Annual Mets First Half Report Card - Luis Castillo - C: Production finally dropping to levels his detractors thought it was at the last three years…his physical situation has finally caught up to the complainers…a very good player, one of the most unfairly maligned in team history, is clearly breaking down…it might be time for him to be mostly a bench/platoon player and/or tutor to Ruben Tejada.

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