The
Flushing 14
Week
ending 2-12-12:
http://www.faketeams.com/2012/2/6/2775041/fantasy-baseball-spotlight-new-york-mets featured Matt as the rookie to watch
(2-6-12) - - “The Mets have been
famously impatient with prospects and that process may have ruined guys like
Fernando Martinez or Jenrry Mejia. That shouldn't be a problem with Harvey who
will be turning 23 just before the start of the season.”
2012 ZIPS
Projections - New York Mets[i]
-
Player T Age ERA W-L G
GS IP H
ER HR BB
K ERA+
R
23 4.62 8-10 27
27 128.7 134
66 13 62
118 83
From MLB Dirt[ii]
-
Harvey has a similar fastball to Wheeler and has already filled
out his big frame and sits 92-95 and can also touch 98. He pairs it with a
slider that flashes plus but well below-average change. He has above-average
control and #2 potential with a floor of a high-leverage reliever. He is very
close to ready and may only need another year if he gets his change-up to be an
average offering
From
Seeding To Stars[iii]
The
seventh overall pick in 2010, Harvey didn’t disappoint in his pro debut,
excelling at both High-A and Double-A. He still needs to work on his changeup
and he’ll need to prove he can go deeper into games than his 5.22 innings per
start in 2011, but he is a strong bet to be a #2/#3 starter. Grade: B+
SP Zack Wheeler –
http://liga-mlb-nba.blogspot.com/ -translated from Japanese: No.1 Jenrry Mejia
of last season but TJ, 1Matt Harvey Dora of last season it was as expected, in
the trade of Carlos Beltran, won the Zack Wheeler. Jeurys Familiaもよく伸びた。 Grew well Jeurys Familia. 11年のドラフトでは、これまでと一気に方向転換して、Brandon NimmoやMichale
Fulmerのような、伸びしろの大きい高校生を指名してきた。 In the draft of 11 years, has been appointed
to turnaround once before, like Michale Fulmer and Brandon Nimmo, a big white
high school student growth. 比較的上位の組織になってきたと思う。 I think the organization has become relatively high – interesting
closing
From MLB Dirt:
Wheeler was acquired when the Mets sent Carlos Beltran to the
Giants last season. Wheeler sits 91-94 with solid movement and can touch 97-98
if needed. His fastball is plus and he pairs it with a plus 12-6 curveball. His
control improved last year and if he develops his change and cutter he could be
the ace of this staff in a few short years. He still has room to add muscle to
his wiry frame.
From S2S:
Wheeler
has an ace-level ceiling, with a tremendous sinker/curve combination. Acquired
from the Giants at midseason, he suddenly started throwing strikes following
with the trade, walking just 1/3 as many batters; the big question is whether
that was a small-sample fluke or growth under a new coaching staff. If Wheeler
keeps throwing strikes, he has the upside to be better than Harvey, but we
shouldn’t get carried away because of 27 innings. Entering his third year of
pro ball and first in the upper minors, Wheeler faces a big test in 2012; in a
year, he could rank in the top 25 or outside of the top 100. Grade: B+
SP Jeurys
Familia – http://newyork.mets.mlb.com/news/article.jsp?ymd=20120204&content_id=26576250&vkey=news_nym&c_id=nym - Pitcher of the Year -- Jeurys Familia, RHP
- Wheeler and Harvey may get more
attention, but Familia possesses the most high-level experience and will use it
to his advantage. The growth of his changeup will not only improve his numbers,
punctuated by a high strikeout rate, but could propel him to the Majors as
well.
2012 ZIPS
Projections - 6-7, 4.73
From MLB Dirt:
Another big fastball from a right-hander and he still has room
to add muscle to his frame. His fastball may be the best, velocity-wise, in the
system but his slider and change still are a work in progress. The slider
flashes plus but is very inconsistent and the change needs a lot of work. He
has the upside of Harvey but not the same probability. His floor also looks
like that of a high-leverage reliever.
From S2S:
In
2008 and 2009, Familia didn’t walk too many batters, but also didn’t strike out
a whole lot. In 2010, both his strikeout and walk rates shot up. In 2011, he
finally put the low walks and high strikeouts together and came up with a 2.90
ERA and 3.24 FIP between High-A and Double-A at age 21. Like Harvey and
Wheeler, he has a strong fastball and breaking ball, but his changeup lags
behind, as evidenced by his 5.00 FIP against lefthanded batters. He also has
major mechanical issues that make him an injury risk, so many feel he’s
destined for the bullpen. Still, though, there’s enough talent here that he
could put up some good numbers as a starter even if he doesn’t have a
traditional starter’s repertoire, a la Alexi Ogando in 2011. Grade: B+
SP Jenrry
Mejia –
2012 ZIPS
Projections - New York Mets
Player T
Age ERA W
L G GS
IP H ER
HR BB K
ERA+
R
22 4.11 5
4 14 4
65.7 62 30
5 33 48
94
From MLB Dirt:
Tommy John surgery and a lot of effort in his delivery almost
certainly lock him into a bullpen role despite a solid 3-pitch repertoire. His
fastball sits 93-96 and looks faster than that with the late life on it. His
change-up and curve show flashes of excellence but he needs to command the
pitches better. The poor handling of him by the FO and the injuries have
certainly cost him.
RP Josh
Edgin –
RP Jack
Leathersich –
From S2S:
A
fifth-round selection in 2011, Leathersich struck out 26 of the 47 batters he
faced in the NYPL. That’s 55.3%, folks. Short-season relievers generally aren’t
a good bet, but this small lefty has a classic low-90′s fastball/power slider
combination that should make him a quick riser to a setup role in an NL
bullpen. Grade: C+
RP –
Brant Rustich –
2B –
Reese Havens –
From MLB Dirt:
Patience and 15+ homerun power potential while playing a solid
2B should rank him higher but he not even reached 1000 PAs due to constant
injuries. He also strikes out a lot but if he can actually stay healthy he
could be a very good ball player.
From S2S
Havens
is a career .301/.379/.505 hitter in Double-A, but he’s only gotten into a
total of 93 games the past two seasons due to injuries. Picked one pick ahead
of Dykstra in the 2008 draft, he’s now 25 and badly needs a healthy season, but
still has the potential to be an offense-oriented second baseman. Grade: B-
SS Jordany Valdespin –
2012 ZIPS
Projections - .251 .284 .371
From MLB Dirt:
Came out of nowhere to hit 17 homeruns and steal 37 bases
between Double-A and Triple-A. He profiles as more of a 10/25 guy and his lack
of plate discipline will keep him at the bottom of batting orders. He is still
a bit undisciplined overall and 2B is likely his best position with well
above-average range there
From S2S:
Valdespin
hit .294/.333/.468 between Double-A and Triple-A, but at 24, he remains raw. He
has solid-average contact ability and very good power for a middle infielder,
but doesn’t walk much and gets caught once in every three steal attempts. He
also fielded just .925 at shortstop this past season and may have to be more of
a 2B/3B in the majors. He has skills and is near the big leagues, but there’s
an eerie resemblance to Ian Desmond in his skillset. Grade: B-
3B –
Wilmer Flores –
2012 ZIPS
Projections - 247 .280 .363
From MLB Dirt:
Still very young so there is time for development but the lack
of range will force him to 3B and he has almost no approach at the plate other
than to swing at everything. He has only 82 unintentional walks in 1986 pro
PAs. He has room to add muscle which should help with the power projection but
if he does not learn discipline and patience he will be off prospect lists
soon.
From S2S:
Flores
is the sort of guy who’s tough to judge because of his age. He’s just a career
.280/.321/.394 hitter, but he’s always been very young for his levels. It feels
like he’s been around forever, but he doesn’t even turn 21 until August. A
longtime shortstop, he’s probably moving to third base in 2012, which is why I
have him listed at the position; scouts never thought he could stay at short,
and many have projected him to end up at first base. He makes contact, but the
secondary skills are going to have to show up at some point, especially if he
can’t stick at third. Grade: B-
C Juan Centeno –
From S2S:
Centeno
is a classic short, stocky, catch-and-throw backstop with contact ability. He
hit .318 in High-A at age 21 while gunning down 39% of basestealers and
striking out just 22 times in 52 games, but he also drew just 12 walks and
posted an .064 ISO. He could make for a good backup catcher. Grade: C+
OF Kirk
Nieuwenhuis –
Hitter of
the Year -- Kirk Nieuwenhuis, OF - http://newyork.mets.mlb.com/news/article.jsp?ymd=20120204&content_id=26576250&vkey=news_nym&c_id=nym - A
strong start to Nieuwenhuis' 2011 season was cut short by a torn labrum and
surgery in his left (non-throwing) shoulder in early June. A very athletic
outfielder who hits for contact, power and plays strong defense, Nieuwenhuis
was on his way toward New York last season. He should find his way to Citi
Field in 2012 if he can mirror the .298/.403/.505 start in Triple-A he had last
spring.
2012 ZIPS
Projections - .238 .304 .398
From MLB Dirt:
He has no tools that jump out at you but he does enough across
the board to grab your attention. His patience has improved as he has gone up
the ladder. His walk rate was 8.6% in Double-A and below but has jumped to
12.1% in Triple-A. He is kind of a tweener with not enough range for CF but not
enough power for a COF spot and he also has some platoon issues. At worst he
should find himself having a solid career as a good fourth OFer with upside of
an everyday regular
From S2S:
Nieuwenhuis
hit .298/.403/.505 in the International League, which is nothing to sneeze at,
especially from a center fielder. The 24-year-old strikes out a bit too much
and doesn’t have any overwhelming tools, but he could be the long half of a
platoon in any of the three outfield spots or a second-division starter as soon
as 2012. Grade: B-
OF Matt
den Dekker –
den Dekker has been working out early at the Mets complex in Port
St. Lucie with buddies Zach Lutz, Eric Campbell, and, surprisingly, Sean Ratliff. SNY interviewed him and one of the
interesting Q and A’s was:
Michael Baron: A year
from now, where do you see yourself, and what do you have to do to reach that
goal?
Den Dekker: It’s
everyone’s goal to get called up and play in the major leagues. I think it’s
putting myself in position to get a call up at the end of the year and getting
the opportunity to win the centerfield job next season. That’s everyone’s goal
– to get to the major leagues. I think I have things to work on and get more
time in the minor leagues to get my game where it needs to be. It’s going to be
big to cut down on those strikeouts and utilize my speed by hitting line drives
and ground balls.
From S2S:
This
outfielder does everything well except hit the ball. His 156 strikeouts in 139
games are far too many, but he stole 24 bases, drew 51 walks, ripped 60
extra-base hits, and plays a good center field. If he cuts the strikeouts to
under 20%, he’s a solid starting center fielder; if not, he’s a bench
outfielder. Given that he’s now 24 and his K problems got much worse in
Double-A, chances aren’t great that he’ll be able to solve the problem. Grade:
C+
OF Cesar
Puello –
2012 ZIPS
Projections - New York Mets
Player T Age
ERA W L
G GS IP
H ER HR
BB K ERA+
Matt
Harvey R 23
4.62
8 10 27
27 128.7 134
66 13 62
118 83
Jeurys
Familia R 22
4.73 6 7
24 24 120.0
24 63 13
64 92 82
From MLB Dirt:
Puello is the definition of a toolsy prospect whose stats do not
match the talent. He has all the tools you would want in a potential 4-tool
CFer but he is still incredible raw and if his lack of discipline continues he
could be an afterthought in a few years. He also profiles better in RF due to
poor jumps and bad reads. He is only ranked this high due to reports on his
tools.
From S2S:
Puello
is sort of the outfield version of Flores–he’s just a career .282/.349/.384
hitter, and he struggled in High-A in 2011 (103/18 K/BB), but he’s always been
very young for his levels, so he can’t be written off for poor production.
Unlike Flores, Puello is fairly athletic and has some basestealing ability, but
he’s spent most of his career in right field, so his bat needs to come around.
He could figure it out and become a well-above-average player, or he could hit
a wall in Double-A. Grade: B-
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