3/12/14

Reese Kaplan - Tales of the Bizarro World


There was a famous place called Htrae in the DC Superman comics called Bizarro World in which everything was the opposite of what you came to expect as normal.  Mets fan and sometimes color man Jerry Seinfeld paid homage to Bizarro World in an episode of his legendary sitcom in which there were foils for himself, George and Kramer who behaved with kindness, depth and generosity – the qualities absent from the originals. 

Bizarro World came to mind when evaluating what’s going on in Spring Training down in Port St. Lucie with respect to performances and perceptions.  Let’s take a look at what various players have been doing vs. the reported future for them.

Matt den Dekker – the man who would be Juan Lagares (gold glove defense roaming center field) is hitting .467 over 15 ABs.  He’s the forgotten man who has pretty much fallen off the radar.  He has had a reputation for taking a year to adjust to each new level and early indications are he’s following that same pattern.  At 27 his prospect window has probably closed.   However, as a 5th outfielder who has some pop and flash the leather, you could do worse.

Speaking of which, there’s Kirk Nieuwenhuis.  He has a reputation pretty much the polar opposite of den Dekker.  He starts off hot and then quickly gets Arctic.  The same has been happening this Spring, with his high performance rapidly falling back to earth.  He currently stands at just .238 with 9 Ks in just 21 ABs.  A rational person would say goodbye to Captain Kirk, but he’s familiar to the manager so a major league role is still a distinct possibility.

Erik Campbell has been doing yeoman’s work with a .412 average and more ABs than the two other 5th outfield prospects.  He brings versatility to the table with the ability to play the infield corners as well.  However, outside of this forum, do you ever hear his name mentioned?

Juan Lagares’ main issue would appear to be his offensive ability.  For that reason people (well, Terry Collins) has concerns over whether or not what he does with his arm and his glove make up for his perceived lack of offensive prowess.  Of course, he’s a career .280 hitter in the minors and is hitting .318 this spring after reigning near the top of his winter league, too.  Still, his ticket is probably being punched for Las Vegas to make room for…

Eric Young, Jr. is a tremendous threat on the basepaths.  Getting there is the problem as it has been his whole career.  His OBP is below average for a regular paper and horrific for a leadoff man, but some people (Terry Collins) feel that it’s essential for the leadoff hitter to steal bases.  Unfortunately you can’t steal first.  Still, he’s being penciled in to play LF and lead off.   He is hitting .294 this spring, so I’m confident his performance will be used to justify the decision to go in this direction (while discounting superior efforts from others being “small sample sizes”.)  While the latter thought is true, one advantage in evaluating veterans is their body of work.  Young’s is not good.

Chris Young is performing consistent with his career numbers.  He’s hitting .227 and making most people reaffirm their confounded reaction to Sandy Alderson offering him a contract.  Mercifully it’s just for one year.  Unfortunately his paycheck will dictate his starting role, much as happened with Jason Bay.

In the catcher arena Anthony Recker is running away with the race while hitting .364.  It’s understandable that he’d have a leg up on Taylor Teagarden who’s here on just a minor league deal while Recker performed for the Mets last year in front of a manager who once again favors the familiar.  What’s truly puzzling is the most recently .280+ hitting Juan Centeño , the man who threw out Billy Hamilton.  He has 2 hits in his measly 6 ABs this spring, so apparently the “competition” for backup catcher was pre-ordained before anyone schlepped to Port St. Lucie. 

On the shortstop competition-by-attrition, again you have to wonder what goes on in the mind of the guy who fills out the lineup card each day.  The position has been a glaring hole since 2012 and, surprisingly, Collins announced more than once he was going to take a look at the offensive-minded Wilmer Flores out there.  Hey, that makes SENSE!  Then he proceeds to trot out non-roster invitee Omar Quintanilla and scrap heap pickup Anthony Seratelli to play SS in place of the injured (and most recently incompetent) Ruben Tejada.  Today, on March 11th, 3 weeks after spring training began Collins finally gave Flores a start.  Doesn’t he know the results of these games don’t count in the standings and it’s the time to take a look at the new, not the familiar?  I can understand Seratelli, but what hasn’t he seen of Quintanilla who, after a 3-4 performance today RAISED his batting average all the way up to .188. Will what anything he does this spring going to change anything?  Remember, he has a body of work to demonstrate what he can do.   It’s the shortstop equivalent of the Eric Young decision but with even less upside.

At the first base position it’s become clear there not only won’t be the much ballyhooed Ike Davis vs. Lucas Duda battle that everyone anticipated due to their lingering leg injuries.  So instead of looking at players who might have a shot at producing in the position such as Zach Lutz with 2 HRs in his 16 ABs, instead the erstwhile skipper plays the Matt Clarks and Brandon Allens of this world for some Bizarro reason.   And they’re producing -- .222 and no HRs for Clark and .100 with no HRs for Allen.  Both have had more ABs than Mr. Lutz, of course. 

In the 5th starter battle it is even weirder.  Daisuke Matusaka (Dice-K to the people unwilling to look up the correct spelling) has pitched to his career norms.  He has a 4.52 ERA since coming to America and this spring is pitching to a 4.50 ERA.  It’s not bad – probably worthy of a 5th starter slot.   However, Rafael Montero has not yet sacrificed a run this spring while sporting a career minor league ERA well below 3.00 and finishing only slightly north of there in the hitters’ paradise of Las Vegas.  Jenrry Mejia pitched to a 2.30 ERA last year, has a 2.87 ERA for his career and this spring is pitching to the tune of 0.00 ERA as well.  So who is the manager trumpeting as the leader in the race for 5th starter?  Why, Dice-K, of course!  (I left John Lannan’s name out of the mix due to the diminished velocity and ineffectiveness of Josh Edgin which led to his early banishment to the minor league camp.  With him gone, Lannan may find himself as the second lefty in the pen with Scott Rice.)

In the bullpen there are the anointed battle-worn veterans Jose Valverde and Kyle Farnsworth.  Both have shown why they were still available so late into the off-season with the former Tigers closer pitching to a 6.75 ERA and the well-traveled Farnsworth pitching to a more respectable 2.25 but the former 100 mph hurler only reaching the mid 80s in velocity.  Bobby Parnell, Scott Rice and Vic Black were already locks for the pen.  Carlos Torres did well as the long man and the aforementioned Lannan probably in the pen.  That leaves 2 slots for the last men standing.  Joel Carreño hasn’t given up a run this spring.  Nor has Miguel Socolovich (who should have more credibility based upon last year’s pick from the independent leagues, Scott Rice).  AA closer Jeff Walters lost a game, but he’s got a 2.70 ERA and is giving up less than one baserunner per inning pitched.  Jeurys Familia also has been all but unhittable.  The sad fact is all of the above may take a back seat to both Valverde and Farnsworth. 

Of course, the flirtation with proven mediocrity doesn’t stop on the field.   After registering losing seasons every year he’s been here the Mets extended Terry Collins’ contract (with a record worse the last two years than the first one).  Apparently they like veteran underperformers, too.   Unless the adults in the room start making roster decisions the 90 win season expected by Sandy Alderson has all the likelihood of happening as winning the lottery.

My final thought on the Bizarro Mets is about the rest of the league’s perception of the talent they have on their roster.  What is to be gained by stashing Montero, Mejia, Syndergaard, deGrom and others in AAA when there are obvious problems at 1st and SS?  You would think you could somehow parlay this excess of riches (and I’ll throw Wilmer Flores into that mix, too) into players who could address these glaring holes.  Yet Alderson does nothing.  That’s so bizarre!

9 comments:

Mack Ade said...

Teams that have the talent and potential to compete for the championship do not have this much uncertainty in their camps

Reese Kaplan said...

I don't see that there's that much uncertainty. They will go into the season as they did last year with Tejada at SS, Duda at 1B until Davis is healthy enough to reclaim his job, and a slew of washed-up veterans being handed jobs that the younger (and often cheaper) players could do better if given the chance. They sealed the deal on this season not when Harvey went down with his injury but when they re-upped Terry Collins.

Reese Kaplan said...

Oh, before I let it pass, Terry Collins achieved a new level of cluelessness today when, after proclaiming he would FINALLY start Wilmer Flores and then told the media he looked OK out there, sits him down the very next day as a reward for getting two hits. You can't make this shit up!

royhobbs7 said...

Hey Reese,

Good critique of the upcoming 2014 season. I will bet that the starting SS is yet to put on a Mets uniform. Nevertheless, I totally agree regarding Chris Young. What were they thinking!!??!?!
They could have had Cruz for the same price and he would have provided much better protection for Granderson. Oh yeah, I forgot, CYoung plays better defense.
That won't matter much when the Mets lose 1-0, leave 12 men on base and strike out 14 times (in a 9 inning game).

Anyway, this is going to be a long season. It may be time to give the kids a shot by June 1st, looking forward to 2015.


All The Best,

Lyle

Mack Ade said...

Lyle -

Don't totally give up yet.

The 2013 season does look bleak, but the Mets will get a decent return from Granderson as well as more of a return from both Lagares and d'Arnaud.

The unanswered questions on the offense are Duda, Davis, and Chris Young. All three can deliver a combined 70 HRs that could result in 4-7 more wins this season.

We know the first six innings will give us a less than 3.50 ERA... you add a decent offensive return from the three guys I listed above and a highly successful back end to the pen... and... well, ya never know, right?

Reese Kaplan said...

Mack,

How's Lagares going to help the offense (or the defense) if Terry Collins delusionally thinks Eric Young, Jr. is the better bet?

Mack Ade said...

Reese, I'm late to the Lagares camp, but it's getting close to impossible to recognize what he brings to the table defensively, and now, also with a bat.

Sandy will eventually step in here.

Lagares will start in CF for 80 % of the games this year if he keeps producing at this level.

Stubby said...

If you stack up their skill sets side by side, I take den Dekker over Lagares every day of the week. But Lagares has trade value right now and den Dekker doesn't. I'd take advantage of that and package Lagares and one of the young pitchers for a shortstop. I'd do it now before the season starts in earnest and people figure out Lagares is never going to hit major league pitching. Winter League and Spring Training are not the major leagues. And I find it impossible to believe that the Mets would be stupid enough to keep Valverde or Farnsworth. Stick a fork in them. At most, Sandy offers them a minor league ticket to have some depth on hand.

Reese Kaplan said...

If the price for Franklin was Lagares plus a pitcher, I'd do it, too. As much as I like him, you do have CF alternatives like den Dekker and Chris Young, opening up LF for his brother by another mother. (Ugh!) There are no such alternatives to Ruben Tejada in camp (especially since Collins' commitment to Wilmer Flores lasted but one whole day).