Happy New Year, everyone.
Many of the beat writer and bloggers
are putting together articles on what the Mets need to do in 2015 to, at least,
make it to the playoffs. It’s embarrassing, but that seems to be the extent of
what our goals should be this year.
I think the Mets can get there, but
it’s going to have to take some important changes within the makeup of this
team and how they both operate and play the game.
Some thoughts and goals:
Win The Majority of Your Division
Games
The lion share of games
played come against teams in the NL East (Philadelphia, Atlanta, Washington, and
Miami). You can’t even get to .500 unless you get the job done here.
Stop Being Embarrassed By Washington
You can’t lose almost
every game you play to the team you’re trying to catch in your own division. At
best, you have to walk away here with 50% of the games in your win
column.
Play to Your Strength - Pitching
Everybody in baseball
know that the Mets are going to deliver quality starters from one to five… and
frankly, the Mets shouldn’t rush to get rid of the next two starters that
didn’t make the opening day rotation. Most of your games are going to won by
quality starts, decent relief, and timely hitting. That’s the team you root
for. My thoughts on the seven starters lead to the next area.
Have A Plan For When
The Injuries Come
Let’s not be naive.
There will be Mets injuries. And, there’s a good chance they will come from the
same position they have in the past, starting pitching. That sixth and seventh
starter (right now) on opening day project to be Rafael Montero and Dillon Gee
and the team will still have to make room for Noah Syndergaard sometime later
on this year. These are very positive problems and, with a little creativity,
can produce a minimum of seven of your pitchers on your 25-man, all year.
Manage Matt Harvey Effectively
Harvey is a special
guy. He’s capable of producing 15 wins even on a limited inning schedule.
There’s been enough time and enough written about what he needs to do this year
and it seems even he has bought into the plan that is better for his career. It
doesn’t matter in 2015 if Harvey will stay a Met down the road. What matters
first is he sets the table for the next four Mets starters. This rotation has
the potential to never let their opponent come up for air, and this team will
stall quickly without him at the helm of the ship.
Give David Wright Some Room To Bounce
Back
David Wright is as
special to this team in 2015 as Harvey is. He’s the Captain and the team just
can’t get this job done without him being productive. Last year, he went
535-AB, .269/.320/.374/694, 8-HR, 63-RBI which was the lowest home run total in
his major league career. Still, some people in baseball would kill for this
stat line. I don’t think we will ever see again the 25+ home run/100+ RBI
seasons he put together from 2005-2010, but he can do better than he did last
season. He has to produce 15-HR/75-RBI, and probably with the new home field
dimensions, could push that to 20 home runs. Start him off slowly in camp. Bury
him deep inside the 2-7 slots in the lineup. You don’t have to keep this guy
batting third out of some loyalty to him. He would be much more effective for
the team in the 5 or 6 slot. But lastly, keep him healthy.
Build A Feared 2-7 Lineup
Juan Lagares will
probably hit first, followed by Daniel Murphy. Then, you have to bat, in
whatever particular order you work out, Michael Cuddyer, Lucas Duda, David
Wright, Curtis Granderson, and Travis d’Arnaud. Six of these guys have the
potential to hit 20 home runs each. It’s not Murder’s Row, but opponent
pitching is going to have to find a couple of these guys to pitch to and not
try and work around. You will win more baseball games with six 20+ home run
hitters.
Make The Bullpen Electric
Come up with some nasty name here.
Let these guys pound their chest and put fear into their opponents before they
even throw a single pitch. This kind of rotation talent, followed by this kind
of relief velocity, will win you more games.
Get Out Of The Gate Early
The 2015 Mets just can’t afford to
start this season off going in the wrong direction. The fans will turn on them,
the beat press will rip Terry Collins apart, and, once again, the season could
be over at the all-star break. This is going to take pinpoint direction by TC.
Sure, you can lose two games in a row. Even three, but never, never, never
four.
Win The Series
I’ve said this for years… you win
every series, you win your league by 10+ games. A series win is your mentality
in this game and a series tie (if you are playing four games) is a ‘push’ and
is to be tolerated at best. You’re not going to win every series, but this
always should be your goal.
We need Granderson, d’Arnaud, Flores,
Cuddyer and Duda to have a great season
(pick two)
I’m not getting greedy here. If the pitching goes well, and Wright
returns to form, I just need two more of these guys to turn out a 25-30 home
run, 75-90 runs batted in season. The others can hit .230 if they’d like.
Murphy is going to hit .280 and Lagares probably will match him. This will
create runners on base for the 3-7 hitters to get these guys home. My starters
will average under three runs per seven innings thrown and my pen will shut
down the opponent 90% of the time. This, my friends, is a playoff team.
10 comments:
They can always bat Wilmer Flores 3rd
;)
Morning Mack:
Stop being embarrased by Washington is a challange. If you go position by position, it is difficult to find any Mets advantage. Maybe catcher, maybe offensively at 2B from Murphy but his defensive metrics make it a net loss. Even the pitching staffs do not match up well. Zimmerman vs Harvey, Strassburg vs Wheeler, Gonzalez vs DeGrom. I want to be optimistic but the reality is the Mets are not in the same league as the elite teams. The good news is Washington's window may be closing soon with free agency looming for many of their stars.
Very clear and solid, Mack.
Add 2...greater offensive production from the bench, and as a subset of that, do not limp thru 2015 with weak back up catcher offense.
I think adding Plawecki early would help that a lot. No more Omar Qs and (yes, Mack) Andrew Brown types to win in 2015.
Thomas -
Actually, I forgot one myself...
"Have Fun"
Mack, that is also the formula for being a Macks Mets writer....have fun. We do here.
I'm just trying to win a wild card!
Just saw the Orioles are interested in a left handed hitting outfielder and have been talking about eithier. How bout we offer a cheaper alternative and trade them Granderson? I think we can get better all around production from platooning MDD and Puello.
Grandy cost $10 mil less than Eithier, so that helps out a bit as well. Why not also give them Colon and pays his whole salary ($11mil), just so we can get rid of the other 2 wasted salaries from last years offseason.
The Coupons will save more money and we can open a spot faster for Conforto/Nimmo when they are ready.
Also don't forget to donate some $$$ to our Anti Wilpon Billboard at
https://www.kickstarter.com/projects/893048378/freemetsfans-sell-the-team-billboard
Zozo -
I'm not sure there is a market out there for Grandy
I'm not so sure there was a market out there for him when the 2013 season ended but, like Chris Young, our illustrious GM was hellbent on getting his mediocre man.
I hope that the idiot with the lineup pencil heeds your advice and positions people in the order by what they do, not what they have done or what they are expected to do.
First division, playoff-hopeful teams can't go into the season with a MDD/Puello corner OF spot. That's not even taking into account how bad our 5th OF will be at that point. Who knows if Grandy will be any good this year, but he's the guy. Secondly, we're really not in the position to be moving anybody with 20+ HR power unless it's bringing back the same...or a legit SS improvement. Finally, it will be good to have guys like Mayberry, MDD and Puello (hopefully) on the bench. Considering recent history, we'd be foolish to expect Lagares and Cuddyer to play more than 130 games each. I think one of the biggest improvements this team will have is a strong bench. Wasting ABs and Starts on below average talent really drags down the record over the long haul.
If there is one for eithier there should be one for him, I would think? I didn't look it up but I think Grandy had better stats last year.
Jshapps
I would trade him and his 20 homers to whomever wants him. Our owners are frugal so we must think very frugaliciously? I don't know if that's a word, lol. I really believe we can get a better war with Puello and MDD combined over what Grandy will give us.
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