Let’s try something different.
Not reacting to last night. Not arguing about what this team should be.
Just a simple question:
What is this team actually going to look like in a few weeks?
Because if you step back — and really look at how this season is unfolding — it’s pretty clear the New York Mets we thought we had in March isn’t the one we’re moving toward.
So this isn’t a prediction.
It’s a thought exercise.
But it might be closer to reality than we want to admit.
A June 1 Version That Actually Feels Plausible
Something like this:
C: Francisco Alvarez / Torrens
1B: Christian Walker
2B: Marcus Semien / Brett Baty
SS: Francisco Lindor
3B: Bo Bichette
LF: Juan Soto
CF: Nick Morabito
RF: Carson Benge
DH: Jorge Polanco
Is it clean? No.
Is it probably closer to where this is going? Yes.
Catcher: More Split Than Star (Right Now)
Let’s be honest about this.
Alvarez is still a big part of the future.
But right now, this looks a lot more like a shared job with Torrens than a full breakout moment.
Alvarez plays, develops, shows flashes
Torrens handles innings, keeps things from getting sideways
That’s not a criticism.
That’s just where things are.
Why You Could Actually See Walker at First
This is the kind of move that doesn’t get headlines — but makes a ton of sense.
Christian Walker solves something obvious:
Real 1B presence
Legit power
Less patchwork
And from Houston’s side, it lines up:
Clear roughly $30M in future money
Add innings from David Peterson
Get a controllable piece (Vientos or Pintaro-type)
That’s not a blockbuster.
That’s a baseball trade.
The Rotation: No Spin Needed
Peralta
Holmes
McLean
Tong
Christian Scott
Let’s not pretend this is something it’s not.
This is a figure-it-out group.
You’re not trying to optimize matchups.
You’re trying to answer one question:
Who can actually take the ball and hold up?
Bullpen + Bench = Get Through the Game
Bullpen:
Williams, Weaver, Minter, Raley, Brazoban, Myers, Kimbrel, Warren
Bench:
Taylor, Torrens, Melendez, Tauchman
No illusions here.
This is about coverage, not dominance.
Still Hanging Over Everything
Kodai Senga
Sean Manaea
Luis Robert Jr.
Until some version of this group returns, this roster is always going to feel incomplete.
That’s just reality.
The Next Wave Is Already Lined Up
And this is where it gets more interesting.
Because June isn’t the destination.
It’s the bridge.
If this keeps trending the way it is, you’re likely looking at:
Jack Wenninger
A.J. Ewing
Arriving around the All-Star break — and contributing by the deadline at the latest.
Not just cameos.
Real roles.
And Let’s Be Honest… July Is Coming
If this team is still hovering where it is now, you have to assume some movement.
Potential trade pieces:
Peralta
Holmes
Minter
Raley
Brett Baty
Francisco Alvarez
Taylor
Luis Robert Jr.
Different categories, obviously.
Some are:
bullpen/innings arms contenders will want
Some are:
still-figuring-it-out players
And then there are the tougher calls.
Not saying those happen.
But if you’re being honest, they’re at least on the table.
So What Are We Actually Watching?
Not a contender.
Not a teardown.
Something in between.
A team that’s:
Trying to stay functional
Starting to bring up real pieces
Quietly setting itself up for the next version
Final Thought
This probably isn’t the team that wins you anything this year.
But it might be the team that finally tells you something real.
About:
who belongs
who doesn’t
and what this needs to look like going forward
And at this point?
5 comments:
Well thought out logic.
What you do lay out is really largely what should be happening. A good skin surgeon will cut out the diseased part, graft on what’s needed and stitch things up. Pretty soon the face looks pretty. The Mets need that pronto.
Absent an absolute Miracle, the Mets are not catching the Braves, and the Mets are already 6.5 games out of the wildcard. So, I think a controlled demolition and reconstruction will soon be underway. Let’s really get that youth movement started.
Good call because all this "were trying to be the east coast Dodgers nonsense" needs to stop. Hey we're more like the east coast Royals or Angels or Rockies (who by the way swept us last week) and the Bravos have once again lapped us by a few hundred miles and it's just the beginning of May geez. Stearns has to have a plan right he's just not telling anyone so shedding long term contracts makes sense but again whats the long term plan please. I'll be 79 in July and don't really know my long term plan just leaving it to the Lord but the Mets that up to DS.
Very helpful, especially at focusing the mind. I always try to approach a task from two opposite directions; the starting direction has some impact so I switch back and forth in starting in one place first in my thought experiment. The two directions are: where do i want be at some given point in the future; and, what do I have now, what am. I working with. If I start with my goal cleanly, I kind of reverse engineer and ask what would I need to get there. Then I ask, what do I have and where will it be capable of taking me. What pieces are foundational to getting where I want to be, which are additive; which are consistent with my goal, and which are actually roadblocks. Then I hope to put together a pathway to the goal and devise and implement as best I can plans around that pathway.
You do a good job of taking stock of where we are and its connection to where stearns aspires for us to be over a long stretch of time. And now the issue is, do we know what we have now and what it is capable of. So think about who is foundational, who is additive, etc. especially who is consistent but tradeable and replaceable, and most importantly, in all honesty, who is a roadblock.
I'd love to know your views on roadblocks.
One more interesting feature. Who are foundations on some approaches can be roadblocks on other approaches. This is one reason why it is so hard and people/fans and FO are always torn between blowing it up and running it back, and look for half-assed solutions that they hope will get them far enough along to deciding between the two.
For me, more...
1B TBD
2B EWING
SS LINDOR
3B BICHETTE
C ALVAREZ
LF SOTO
CF MORABITO
RF BENGE
SP MCLEAN
SP HOLMES
SP TONG
SP SCOTT
SP WENNINGER
The main roadblocks are:
how much dead contract cash will cohen eat? The more the merrier
Can/will they take on more contract money (Christian walker) to acquire some immediate talent from other crashing teams that need to shed payroll (Houston, Boston, KC, etc)
Who (prospects) is ready-enough to cut their teeth at the mlb level?
What can they get at trade deadline to revamp the talent pool given all the pieces they have to trade.
Sit down with Bichette & find out if he has a preference to stay or go. Might not get that yet but at least try to find out & then respond.
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