5/14/14

Morning Report – May 14th – Minors Moves, Eric Young Jr., Dan-Chat, Brandon Allen



        Coming Later Today –

               10 30 am -  Reese Kaplan - You Can't Tell The Players Without a Scorecard   

                12 noon  -  Top 12 3B in 2014 MLB Draft - - Updated 5-13-14 
                
                5 pm - Top 13 1B in 2014 MLB Draft - revised 5-10-14

                8 pm – Jacob Bukauskas, Touki Toussaint, Alex Verdugo, Max Pentecost, Aaron Nola, Michael Gettys



Thoughts on last night's game - it's funny... I never felt like the Mets were winning this game, I guess I've gotten used to following a pitching based team, and there was enough bad pitching here to lose a couple of games... Zack Wheeler never had enough control, though I did see him throw around 10 perfect 93-94 mph fastballs in the middle, lower portion of the zone. Not one was hit, yet these were the only time I saw these pitches... Dice-K proved he can't get past two solid innings and Jeurys Familia did not have the command needed to be a successful closer... still, the team won because the bats became the second coming of Willie Mays and Mel Ott.... don't get me wrong... I'll take it... makes up for one of the many lost on the last pitch.




Louisville Nick Burdi – 3.0-IP, 0-R, 6-K

Pepperdine Aaron Brown – 9.0-IP, CG, 0-R, 7-K, 1-BB

San Diego State Michael Cederoth – 1.2-IP, 0-R, 1-K, 0-BB


On additional bonus about replacing Jenrry Mejia with Rafael Montero in the Mets rotation… Montero’s innings limit this year will be around 180 compared with Mejia’s 100-125 range (much better suited to relief role).


John Looby to me

Hey Mack, I noticed that you briefly put your GM's hat on when looking at the current 'pen situation and what you would do. Taking this a step further and looking through the entire organization, what moves would you make? I'm not just talking who to bring to the big club, but what moves would you make throughout the minors. Are there players there that you would cut completely as they are clogging up the system. Are there players that you would move up to challenge them?

        Hey John –

To continue with my moves in the minors, let me state again… it is too early to make any of these moves, but, since you asked, and I’m pretending it’s sometime in early June.
I also never worry about who I’m either moving aside or demotion. The goal of ‘my team’ is to reward the players that are playing the best and move along the prospects in a timely manner.

That being said, here’s some of the promotions I would make, at various points between 5/15 - 6/15:

        SP Noah Syndergard from AAA to MLB
        
        LHRP Josh Edgin from AAA to MLB pen (21.6 in last 10 outings, hasn’t given up a run in his last seven)

        SS Matt Reynolds from AA to AAA

        SP Darin Gorski from AA to AAA

        SP Greg Peavey from AA to AAA

        RP John Church from AA to AAA

        C Kevin Plawecki from AA to AAA

        RP Cody Satterwhite from AA to AAA

        2B/1B T.J. Rivera from A+ to AA

        CF Brandon Nimmo from A+ to AA

        SP Stephen Matz from A+ to AA

        SP Mathew Koch from A+ to AA

        SP John Gant from A to A+      

This list does need polishing (you can’t move three SPs from AAA and replace them with only two from AA) ; however, off the top of my head, these are the guys that deserve to move up first.

Regarding what happens to the guys they replace… well, there’s no reason for me to go there. My philosophy is much different than the Mets on this subject. I would cut a lot of dead wood and, frankly, give some of these guys a chance to catch on with another team. The Mets just seem to like to keep everyone around a little too long.

I’m also not that big on the whole AAAA thing, so guys like Dana Everland, Buddy Carlyle, John Lannan, Giancarlo Alvarado, Brandon Clark, Matt Clark, and Omar Quintanilla would have a hard time surviving my first cut.

One more thing… when all is said and done, my parent team bullpen would be Rafael Montero, Jenrry Mejia, Jeurys Familia, Josh Edgin, Scott Rice, Carlos Torres, and Gonzalez Germen, with Zack Thornton and Vic Black in the wings.

(there is more concern out of Vegas on Black, who came in yesterday to close out the 9th... instead, he gave up a double, a sac bunt moving the runner to third, then a passed ball ties the game up

He has 15 walks in 15.2 innings pitched. He will never work his way back to the majors with these kind of results)



TTF –
        After a promising start, the New York Mets have spent early May losing low-scoring games and leaving runners on base. This is correlated directly with the removal from Eric Young Jr., their resident Energizer Bunny, from the lineup. I’m well aware the correlation doesn’t necessarily equal causation, but in this case, the causal arrows seem clear. In 10 games without EY in the lineup, the Mets are 2-8; they score 3.2 runs per game, hit .222 and are 4-for-5 in stolen base attempts. In 25 games with EY in the lineup, the Mets are 14-11; they score 4.2 runs per game, hit .226 and are 25-for-32 in stolen base attempts. When Eric Young is in the lineup, the Mets’ batting average doesn’t improve dramatically, but they score a run per game more and they’re more aggressive on the bases. Juan Lagares has hit well this season, as have Daniel Murphy and David Wright; the problem has been leaving runners on base. Young’s speed and ability to manufacture runs can make up for their poor hitting with runners in scoring position, because Young is more likely to score on any kind of hit, whichever base he’s on. http://throughthefencebaseball.com/mets-need-eric-young-back-leadoff/42881#zAz1Iqqmj0t2k0WU.99



Dan-Chat -

Comment From Jon - How do you see the LA outfield logjam playing out? Is Joc Pederson playing every day by the all star break?

Dan Szymborski: I just can’t see Pederson getting full-time play this year in the majors. If we’re in July and the Dodgers are still looking up at Rockies and Giants, I think he’s in a new uniform.

Comment From Chicago Mark - Hey Dan, Who do you see signing Kendrys Morales and Stephen Drew? How soon after the draft do we see them signed? Thanks

Dan Szymborski: I think they sign first couple weeks of June. Mets have more of a reason to revisit Drew.

Comment From Lady - Do you think Rafael Montero will be good if he steps in for the ole mets?

Dan Szymborski: I think he’ll be OK, his command has been a little spotty at times. I’m not a Mets fan, so I’m not eternally primed for self-immolation.



Brandon Allen

        Brandon Allen has had his share of big moments in baseball, but few can rival the rarefied feat the first baseman helped the 51s achieve Thursday night in Salt Lake City. Allen was the fourth consecutive Las Vegas batter to belt a home run — following Allan Dykstra, Zach Lutz and Taylor Teagarden — in the fourth inning of the 51s’ 16-4 romp over the Bees. It was only the fifth time in Pacific Coast League history a team had hit four straight homers, and it has been done only seven times in the majors. For good measure, Allen finished 5-for-6 for his second career five-hit game. http://www.reviewjournal.com/sports/baseball/51s/51s-allen-doing-lot-damage-lately

14 comments:

Tom Brennan said...

Hey Mack

EY's #'s are remarkable similar (on base %, steals, combo of hits and walks) to Ellsbury - but in less at bats and a WHOLE lot cheaper. Yanks have an awfully long contract with Jacoby (who taking out his one freak HR year only has 34 in 2700 plate appearances otherwise). May it become an albatross around their aggressive-spending necks.

I like your aggression in promotions. AAAA's can clear out so other guys can play every day (or pitch more regularly) too, as you note.

But don't forget to move up Leathersich, who is much better of late in AA, and Akeel needs to move up too, perhaps after All Star game, but perhaps before it. Nimmo? After his scalding start capped by a 4 for 4 day on April 28, he is 10 for 52, all singles. So he may need more time before promo. As much as 10 for 52 is not comforting, the "all singles" part (over 14 games) disturbs me more. When he bulked up in offseason, I thought a lot more power would follow.

Anonymous said...

"Command has been a little spotty at times."

Dan has apparently never watched a single Rafael Montero game. He's always been known to have pinpoint control and has a minor league rate of less then 2 BB's per 9 IP. Yes the rate jumped up to 3.9 per 9 IP, but A) its Vegas, and B) is the anomaly...not the norm.

Anonymous said...

@Tom

Everyone goes through cold spells. While it is important for young players to learn how to adjust and combat these cold spells what's more important is that they do not deviate from their normal approach to an at-bat.

Yes Nimmo is hitting only .205 in May with 0 Extra Base Hits. However he's still contributing by getting on base at a respectable .352 clip thanks to 10 BB vs. only 13 K's.

Nimmo is perfectly fine.

Ernest Dove said...

Why do I feel like Farnsworth gets DFA, and Familia just screwed up his new role last night?
Regarding the whole ey jr thing, I just don't know anymore. Lagares is hitting .300, and still plays gold glove defense.
P.S. isn't it time for Daniel Murphy to make an all star team?

Mack Ade said...

Thomas -

I haven't been a big fan of either the Young's but both have produced decently during this 'run'.

And, when Junior's game is on, it does remind me of how the Mets operated when Jose was here.

Mack Ade said...

Tom and Chris -

I agree on Nimmo, who needs to move so we can see how he can handle AA pitching.

Mack Ade said...

Ernest -

You may be right about Familia. This could be a very bad time to have a spotty outing.

I would much rather the DFA be Farnsworth, but, I was told around 3am it would be Valverde (just woke up... going to check now).

Tom Brennan said...

Chris, I was wrong being too hard in April on Grandy, and I hope I am proven foolish by Mr. Nimmo too!

Grandy hitting .280 on the road, .140 at home. Let's hope he shakes the Citifield Blues.

In fact when you adjust for games played, Mets are around 2nd in the majors in runs scored after hitting against Yankee BP. 5.3 per game. At home? close to last, at 3.3 per game.

David L. Whitman said...

Meijia will be the closer by the end of the month. But if he keeps pitching like he did last night, by the time of Thor's arrival, Wheeler might find himself in the pen as well, or worse-Vegas.

Mack Ade said...

Wheeler needs to stop trying to fit the shoes of Matt Harvey.

His fastball is 3-4 ticks above the average in the league and he's currently 8th in velo. He'll be fine.

Mack Ade said...

Thomas -

You can't say that Grandy is ".280 on the road". Part of that .280 is in his 'home', Yankee Stadium.

It looks like his April is over which is good enough to rejoice.

Tom Brennan said...

There's no place like "home" for Grandy...especially when "true" baseball fans are in attendance.

David L. Whitman said...

Mack-I don't think it's a velocity issue, but every start he seems to lose about 5 MPH off his fastball by mid-game. I question rather his command issues will keep him from becoming more than 5-6 inning guy, which makes him no better than a SP4 really. Honestly, if he keeps pitching like he has so far this season come July there'd have to be some concern.

Mack Ade said...

we'll see...

I know that when Dan came to the mound in the 4th to tell him to just calm down and throw what he throws best, he let off two perfect 94 MPH fastballs

I think the talent is there and he just doesn't have the confidence...

we'll see... frankly, maybe being a great SP4 would be a good goal to set