11/2/13

Mack Ade – Morning Report – 11-2-13 – TV, Adrian Cardenas, SkaP, Juan Lagares, Steve Keane, Mets Pitching

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For the entire month of Postseason baseball beginning with the Wild Card games, viewership increased +20% across FOX, TBS and MLB Network (6.3 million average viewers), the largest year-over-year increase since 2009. In addition, 2013 marks the first year since 2001 that viewership increased for every round of the Postseason as well as the All-Star Game. The World Series finished with an average of 14.9 million viewers, up +17% over last year and marking the largest year-over-year viewership increase for the World Series since 2009. As for Game 6 on Wednesday night, 19.2 million viewers tuned in, making it the most-watched MLB game since Game 7 of the 2011 World Series, based on Nielsen data. The game was the highest-rated show across all of television on Wednesday, and FOX once again won the night in primetime against all competition, something it has done on all six nights of the World Series.

Mack – This is a big deal and the main reason why you want your team to make the playoffs. Do you have any idea how much each team makes in moolah if they are hosting a playoff game? Tickers, network revenue, cable, hot dogs, t-shirts, peanuts and cracker jacks. It all adds up to a tremendous amount of money that can turn around the profit and loss statement of a struggling team. Just go ask Baltimore in2012 or Pittsburgh in 2013.

 

Adrian Cardenas -

I came to realize that professional baseball players are masochists: hitters stand sixty feet and six inches from the mound, waiting to get hit by a pitcher’s bullets; fielders get sucker punched in the face by bad hops, and then ask for a hundred more. We all fail far more than we succeed, humiliating ourselves in front of tens of thousands of fans, trying to attain the unattainable: batting a thousand, pitching without ever losing, secretly seeking the immortality of the record books. In spite of the torments—the career-ending injuries, the demotions, the fear of getting “Wally Pipped”—we keep rolling our baseball-shaped boulders up the impossible hill of the game, knowing we’ll never reach the top. Baseball is visceral, tragic, and absurd, with only fleeting moments of happiness; it may be the best representation of life. I was, and still am, in love with baseball. But I quit. http://www.newyorker.com/online/blogs/sportingscene/2013/10/why-i-quit-major-league-baseball.html?currentPage=all

                Mack – This is a very interesting article – READ THIS!

 

SkaP

So now for the statistic:  SkaP, or Skill at (the) Plate, is a number that uses all that batted-ball data to find the expected run and out values of each at-bat.  It would weight the following things:  home runs (although maybe a regressed version could use lgHR/FB%*FB instead), walks, strikeouts, HBP, and each ball put in play by the player.  This makes it so that it is not defense-dependent, and so that Andrelton Simmons catching that sure double does not penalize the hitter.  I haven’t calculated this statistic, though, so I don’t know if this would be best as a rate, counting, or plus-minus statistic (maybe all three?). http://www.fangraphs.com/community/skap-a-new-metric-to-measure-hitting-prowess/

                Mack – Another SABR stat… I’m thrilled to hell…

               

Andy Martino

Oh, by the way: Don’t look for the Mets to pursue Jacoby Ellsbury.  People familiar with the team’s thinking confirm what you probably suspected: Sandy Alderson and Co. will not be comfortable with the type of contract Ellsbury will command. Plus, they like Juan Lagares in center, and will pursue corner outfielders.

Mack – I don’t always like what Martino says, but, he tends to be accurate when he quotes his Mets sources.

The building of the 2014 Mets will only be finished after all the pieces are in place. Centerfield has been up in the air for a couple of years (decades?), and I appreciate the fact that the Mets seem happy with Lagares there for 2014. I don’t agree with them but there are more pressing problems and I’m willing to move on to the corner outfield positions which both need an upgrade.

His winter OBP is .360, but it’s lower than his batting average (.375). He has zero walks in 24 at-bats. It’s a small sample of a recurring problem.

However… I’ll move on.

 

Steve Keane

Jeffy Boy took some heat for saying that David Wright, Dillon Gee, Zack Wheeler and John Niese were the only sure things for next season. Why was this wrong? The only omission Lord Jeffery made was excluding Matt Harvey and Noah Syndergaard as the other untouchables. Everyone else in this organization is fair game to be shipped out of town in order to make this team better. The Mets won 74 games last year, and for the last five years they’ve average a dismal 75-87 win/loss record, seriously are you that worried who gets traded off this team?

                Mack – I guess we really should lay off Mr. W. This is a team that needs an awful lot to become a contender and, frankly, he was just saying what we all knew anyway.  I hope he’s right when it comes to the pitching. The Mets will never become anything important until they have the best rotation they can put up and, right now, that would include all five guys mentioned above.

 

BA –

The Mets believe they have as much pitching depth as anybody. For proof, they can point to the fact that their pitchers at the full-season levels finished with a collective 2.79 K-BB ratio, better than any of the other 29 organizations. They handed out the second-fewest unintentional walks (7.6 percent of batters) and struck out the third-most (21.3 percent).

                Mack – These are some impressive numbers and proves my point about not breaking up the rotation. You fill this team in with a couple of decent bats, get a productive year out of d’Arnaud and/or Davis, and add a couple of 95+mph relievers, and we can get this done.

11/1/13

Draft 14 – Tyler Beede, James Norwood, Joey Gatto, Kodi Medeiros, Bryce Carter

draft - tyler beede 210-24-13 – John Sickles – Tyler Beede - Much of the potential in his three plus or better pitches is dependent on his command. As a freshman, Beede was the #3 starter, not because of lack of talent, but he didn't step up and command the game. As a sophomore, he took a step forward in the superficial stats (wins, ERA) even though his command was lacking. He walked 5.6 per 9 innings but the K rate was up at 9.2. From watching several starts each of his first two year, he looked like a much better pitcher as a sophomore. He commanded the mound more and his presence was stronger. There have been plenty of pitchers who have struggled with command when they were younger and turned out fine and Beede will likely be added to that list. But..if he struggles with command this spring, his stock could be very volatile. http://www.minorleagueball.com/2013/10/24/5008564/2014-mlb-draft-profile-tyler-beede-rhp-vanderbilt


-23-13 - Pitcher Name:  James Norwood - Ht:  6’2  Wt:  200  Position:  RHP  Draft Status:  2014 Draft Eligible  Physical:  Norwood has a big upper body that helps produce easy velocity out of his hand.  He has wide shoulders and room to add weight down the road.  Mechanics:  Norwood starts on the 1B side of the rubber and pitches with a downward style action.  He has an extremely easy and elusive delivery.  He uses a high 3/4 arm slot with a good stride.  Fastball:  94-97 MPH.  Norwood looks very comfortable and confident using his top tier fastball against any level of hitting.  He has a great deal of run on his two-seam fastball.  Secondary Pitches:  Norwood uses a variety of pitches to fill out his 4 pitch repertoire.  All 3 offspeed pitches Norwood uses are still developing, but his curveball and changeup are becoming legit 2 and 3 pitches. http://bigleaguefutures.net/1/2013/10/23/scouting-report-james-norwood/

10-15-13 – Baseball America - 46. Joey Gatto, rhp, St. Augustine Prep, Hammonton, N.J.: Gatto offers athleticism, projection and a fastball up to 94 mph from a big 6-foot-3, 204-pound frame. http://www.baseballamerica.com/college/2014-draft-top-50-october-2013-carlos-rodon/

9-30-13 – TTF Mock 2.0 - 31. St. Louis Cardinals — Kodi Medeiros, LHP, Waiakea HS (HI) Medeiros was the talk of the PG Classic. Some people described his stuff as filthy, nasty and some players tweeted he had some of the best stuff they have ever seen. He hit 95 mph with his fastball and added a nasty, filthy slider that sat in the low 80s. What really makes him nasty and filthy, however, is his delivery. He throws from low three-quarters — almost sidearm. You don’t see a lot of sidearm, frontline starters in the majors so it will be interesting to watch him his senior season.  Also, at 6’-0” and 185 pounds, his size may limit his upside. Nonetheless, he established himself as one of the most exciting players in the country and if any team can develop him, it’s the Cardinals. http://throughthefencebaseball.com/2014-mlb-mock-draft-2-0-draft-order-set/38280#5E3F5j1jWOgE69bJ.99

9-11-13 - Sully’s 2014 Top 100 MLB HS Draft Prospects – 67.Bryce Carter- C, Cascia Hall Prep (OK) http://www.ninebaseball.org/Wordpress/sullys-2014-top-100-mlb-hs-draft-prospects/

Hot Stove Report: Options Exercised, Buyouts, and Qualifying Offers


Some interesting potential targets this off-season for the Mets have been added/taken off the Free Agent Market due to option clauses that were/weren't exercised.


The Mets are expected decline SP Johan Santana's $25.5M option and pay the $5.5M buyout.
The White Sox exercised RP Matt Lindstrom's $4M option.
SP Jake Westbrook had his $9.5M option declined by the St. Louis Cardinals.
The Dodgers declined options for 2B Mark Ellis ($5.75M) and SP Chris Capuano ($8M)
After a rough season OF Jason Kubel is a free agent now after Cleveland declined his $7.5M option.
Cleveland exercised their half of a mutual option for SP Ubaldo Jimenez but he declined his half in hopes of netting a multi-year deal.

In additions it has been announced that the Red Sox are planning to extended $14.1M qualifying offers to OF Jacoby Ellsbury, SS Stephen Drew, and 1B Mike Napoli.

(The Red Sox offering of a QO to Stephen Drew really puts the club in a bind. I do not believe Drew is worth $14.1M even though fangraphs valued his 2013 season at $16.9M. If the club still wants Drew it's going to cost them their 2nd round pick and probably a 3yr/$12-13M per season commitment. Jason Kubel is going to be an interesting 3rd tier option if the club can't land someone via free agency or trade by January. The same could be said about Capuano as well since he's already performed well in New York.)

Baseball America - Top 10 Mets Prospects

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TOP 10 PROSPECTS
1. Noah Syndergaard, rhp
2. Travis d’Arnaud, c
3. Rafael Montero, rhp
4. Dominic Smith, 1b
5. Kevin Plawecki, c/1b
6. Wilmer Flores, 2b/1b
7. Amed Rosario, ss
8. Brandon Nimmo, of
9. Gavin Cecchini, ss
10. Jake deGrom, rhp
BEST TOOLS
Best Hitter for AverageKevin Plawecki
Best Power HitterDustin Lawley
Best Strike-Zone DisciplineBrandon Nimmo
Fastest BaserunnerChamp Stuart
Best AthleteAmed Rosario
Best FastballNoah Syndergaard
Best CurveballRob Whalen
Best SliderLogan Verrett
Best ChangeupGonzalez Germen
Best ControlRafael Montero
Best Defensive CatcherJuan Centeno
Best Defensive InfielderWilfredo Tovar
Best Infield ArmAderlin Rodriguez
Best Defensive OutfielderMatt den Dekker
Best Outfield ArmCesar Puello

 

Craig Brown - I May Be Wrong, But

avatar - i may be wrongTis the Season....So here's my take on an offseason game plan for the Mets

PITCHING

I would focus on finding a pitcher or two that has experience as a starter or a reliever.  Somebody that wouldn't be too expensive, and when the time comes to promote Thor or Montero, has the skills neccesary to transition to the pen.  Candidates would be guys like Phil Hughes, Tim Stauffer, or maybe even Barry Zito.  I would also look to acquire a bullpen arm that has some experience as a closer in case Parnell isn't ready...Someone like Brian Wilson, or Ryan Madsen

OFFENSE

I would focus on guys who's abilities fit the dimesions of Citi Field well.  Guys who hit the ball hard to both gaps and have above average speed...Citi isn't the type of stadium that lends itself well to relying on the three-run homer--The Mets need to manufacture runs...they need to turn Citi Field into an advantage for them...Use the mid eighties Cardinals teams as a template...

DEFENSE

I would trade or release anyone that doesn't play defense at a high level.  Wilmer Flores, Lucas Duda, and Daniel Murphy would all be gone.  What is the point of having an elite pitching staff if youre second baseman can't field anything if is hit more than two steps away from him?

 

OVERALL

I think the Mets need to turn over as much of this roster as possible.  Its been three years of watching the same lackluster baseball players, and Mets fans won't pay to see these guys anymore....The priority should be adding viable, major league baseball players from 1-25 on the roster.  I would be very reluctant to trade away any young pitching, and I think the Mets need to add at least one elite bat to protect the Captain.

*I'm not even going to pretend  to know what the Mets budget is this offseason...I've heard everything from 15m to 45m so i'll shoot for something in the middle...

 

1.  Non Tender 1B Ike Davis  (-3m)

I would certainly look to swap Ike out for another teams disapointment..Maybe Danny Espinoza from Washington, or Drew Pomeranz in Colorado...At the end of the day I just don't think that the Mets can afford to give him the keys to the First base job again.  There is always that 1% chance that someone will get a hold of Ike and turn him into the next Chris Davis, but it won't be Dave Hudgins--so its time to let him go.

2.  Sign 1B James Loney 2 Years 12 Million (+3)

He's not a prototypical power hitting first baseman, but he offers more consistency than the 5 headed Davis/Flores/Satin/Duda/Dykstra Monster....and he's one the top 3-4 defensive first basemen in the world.

3.  Sign SS Rafael Furcal 1 Year 5.5 Million (+8.5)

I know that he's 36, but i've always wanted Furcal to be a Met...He's a defensive wiz, and there may still be a great hitter in there somewhere.  He would also be an amazing mentor to the still only 21 year old Ruben Tejada...

4.  Trade 2B Daniel Murphy, OF Lucas Duda, and OF Jordany Valdespin to the Seatle Mariners for OF Michael Saunders, 2B Dustin Ackley, and C Jesus Montero (+8.5)

Daniel Murphy is a guy that has a difficult value to pin down.  Its very possible that i'm underselling here, but I do honestly believe that his value will never be higher than it is right now.  I love the potential upside of Ackley and Saunders, and  they are both elite defenders.  Montero doesn't really fit my defensive model, but he has the ability to be a world class hitter--I would stow him away in AAA, and try to find someone that can make him a passable catcher.

5.  Sign RHP Phil Hughes  2 Years 14 Million (+15.5)

Phil Hughes is perfect for Citi Field...he is an extreme fly ball pitcher...The home runs he gave up at Yankee Stadium would turn into routine fly balls at Citi.  He also has some pretty good numbers as a releiver...

6.  Sign RHP Brian Wilson 1 Year 7.5 Million (+23)

I've read that his velocity was almost back to normal by the end of last year.  If he's healthy again he could win the closer job even if Parnell is ready.

7.  Add RHP Rafael Montero to the 25 man roster (+23)

I understood when they held back Harvey and Wheeler...Montero is a different case.  Sending him back to Vegas can do nothing for him but mess with his head.  He has already conquered AAA in a way that neither Harvey or Wheeler ever did, and I want Montero ready for 2015 when Matt Harvey comes back and this team really starts to take shape.

8.  Alright, here's where i'm asking for trouble....Trade 2B Wilmer Flores, RHP Jacob DeGrom, and C Kevin Plawecki to Milwaukee for OF Ryan Braun (+33)

The Mets are desperate for another middle of the order bat...Braun may not be the most popular guy in the clubhouse right away, but I can't imagine too many Mets fans complaining about adding an elite bat steroids or no.  I'm not sure this package would be enough to get him, and to be honest, I would be willing to send more in order to make him a Met.  The best part...His 2014 salary is only 10M.

And here it is.....

1B James Loney

2B Dustin Ackley

SS Rafael Furcal

3B David Wright

C Travis D'Arnaud

RF Michael Saunders

CF Juan Lagares

LF Ryan Braun

B Ruben Tejada

B Justin Turner

B Juan Centeno

B Eric Young

B Matt Den Dekker

P Jon Niese

P Zack Wheeler

P Dillon Gee

P Jennry Mejia

P Rafael Montero

P Bobby Parnell

P Brian Wilson

P Gonzalez Germen

P Vic Black

P Phil Hughes

P Jeurys Familia

P Josh Edgin

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

The LTJ Editorial: “Don't underestimate Murphy; put him at first”

“The LTJ Editorial”
Author: Luis Tirado Jr.
Date: 11-1-13
Twitter: @LTJ81
Website: http://www.TheNYExpress.com

“Don't underestimate Murphy; put him at first”

 

For the past few years, the New York Mets haven't had a permanent nor consistent playmaker at first base. We saw a glimpse of hope back in 2010 when First Baseman Ike Davis was called up to the majors and made a serious impact on the team. Right before the 2010 All-Star Game, he had the second most HR's of any rookie in team history with 11. I specifically remember his defense was on point, he was patient with every at-bat, and he came through in clutch situations. Sadly, the following year in 2011, he was hit with a severe ankle injury and hasn't been the same since. Sure, in 2012 he hit a decent .227 with 32 HR's but in 2013 he was at his worst. It was so bad, I don't even want to mention his stat line since it was a definite decline from years past. Davis was demoted to AAA and had to earn his way back up to the majors. What happened? My theory is it's all in his head. He seems to lack the confidence that he can be a solid and consistent player. If he just focused on making the right choices in key situations he would be fine but he always looked lost and confused. He didn't stick to his original batting stance and changed it up almost every few games. Even Keith Hernandez questioned who, what, where, and why did his batting stance have no consistency. Davis's defense was atrocious and all across the media, people were demanding change. That change came by way of First Baseman Josh Satin.

Satin was called up to replace Davis, much to the cheers of Mets fans across the nation to bring some kind of redemption out of first base. He was someone who was doing good in AAA and earned an opportunity to help contribute to the team in the majors. He definitely impressed, he was getting his hits, played pretty good defense, and also made a Mets rookie record! He had a streak going on 29 consecutive games he started in which he at least got on base until it ended. Once the streak ended (Ironically once Davis was recalled up to the majors and got his starting spot back almost immediately) he started to struggle a bit. Satin lost that streak he had when he first arrived and just became another name at first base where he faded away. The Mets played the new game of shuffling first basemen based on who was pitching since once excelled over the other based on righties versus lefties. I've always said that while Satin did provide a spark at first base, he was better as a quality backup or used as a pinch hitter. Perhaps he needs more time in the minors, I just don't see the superstar potential of him just yet.

As we all know, the Mets plan to spend some serious money this offseason to start building the necessary pieces to contend for a championship in the next few years. 2014 seems to be the year but it could be 2015 or beyond, who knows. It's not going to happen overnight, but the plan is to bring in some much needed top talent to compliment the pieces we already have. One interesting scenario has been the possibility of trading away more talent to get either pieces we need now or future draft picks. The most common name has been Second Baseman Daniel Murphy. He had a pretty solid season for the Mets with a stat line of .286, 188 hits, 38 doubles, 4 triples, and 13 HR's. With a solid .319 OBP he definitely was a consistent player. Many suggest that the Mets could ship Murphy to a team that desperately needs an established second baseman and acquire some minor league talent for pitching, relief pitching, and the outfield. I don't think the Mets should trade him at all, he has been an asset to the team and continues to improve steadily. I actually thought about a scenario that would fix our issues at first base and allow some other popular players a chance to be on the field instead of being just hidden away as depth.

In my mind, this is how I envision our infield according to my scenario:

First Base: Daniel Murphy
Second Base: Wilmer Flores
Third Base: David Wright
Shortstop: (acquire top talent in offseason)
Catcher: Travis d'Arnaud

I'd move Daniel Murphy to first base since he can definitely handle it and be a fixture there. Wilmer Flores has shown signs of being the next big thing in New York, similar to when we all saw the debut and eventual development of Starting Pitcher Matt Harvey. It would be a shame to just have Flores and his talent be wasted waiting behind David Wright who unless he gets injured, will be playing third base the majority of the time. Speaking of Wright, he isn't going anywhere, he will always be our all-star third baseman. Shortstop is a weak link in our infield, Quintanilla did an sub par job last season and I don't see Tejada being a permanent starter. He just gets into a slump and never seems to bounce back in a positive way. That's why the Mets absolutely need to acquire a solid top talent shortstop in the offseason. Rumors have circulated we could have a reunion with Jose Reyes but I doubt it, plus he is another player who always gets injured and isn't consistent. Throw in the fact that he's coming in towards the latter half of his career. I'd like someone like Jhonny Peralta or even Stephen Drew to be honest. Someone who can hit, be good defensively, and steal some bases! Finally, I think d'Arnaud will turn into a solid catcher but will need another year or so to keep at it. Experience behind the plate will only help his progression. He should be our permanent main catcher for these next few years.

Murphy at first base would finally put an end to the slumps there, blunders on defense, and bring more of a successful presence there. I don't want to see him go since we absolutely need him to keep building around our core. So far it's shaping up nicely, like I said, just an idea I think would work while we bring in a quality shortstop, one starting pitcher, a few outfielders, and of course, a relief pitcher or two. Let us all see what the Mets have in store for us, bidding wars for the top free agents in MLB starts this coming Tuesday, November 5th, 2013.

Let the races begin! Before you hit the gate, trust me, leave Murphy at first base, he's got this!

Hot Stove Flash - Ubaldo Jimenez

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The Indians exercised their $8MM club option on right-hander Ubaldo  Jimenez, but as expected, he has voided the option and become a free agent, according to Paul Hoynes of the Cleveland Plain Dealer. Because Jimenez voided the option, the Indians will not have to pay the $1MM buyout.

http://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2013/11/ubaldo-jimenez-voids-option.html?utm_source=twitterfeed&utm_medium=twitter

Hardball Talk - Top 150 Free Agents for 2014

avatar - 2013 draft

1. Robinson Cano (2B Yankees – Age 31): Cano’s status as the winter’s top free agent is undisputed, but it remains to be seen who will compete with the Yankees for his services. The Dodgers were the obvious choice, but they’ve added Cuban defector Alexander Guerrero for second and still have to sign Clayton Kershaw to a long-term deal. Seattle perhaps? It’d be nice to see the Orioles flex some muscle and make a big bid, but it’s not their style. Maybe a usual suspect like the Tigers or Rangers could make some noise. Cano will probably get $200 million regardless, but it’s going to take a mystery team or two to get him up to $250 million.

2013 stats: .314/.383/.516, 27 HR, 81 R, 107 RBI, 7 SB in 605 AB

2. Jacoby Ellsbury (OF Red Sox – Age 30): After an MVP-type 2011 and an injured and unproductive 2012, Ellsbury basically settled right back in at his career numbers last season. The 32-homer outburst from 2011 looks like it might go down as a Brady Anderson-like outlier, but Ellsbury is still plenty valuable even without the power. Also, he’s entering free agency at a great time, with the Rangers, Mariners and Mets in definite need of leadoff hitters. Even teams like the Yankees, Tigers, Nationals and Phillies can’t be ruled out. The Red Sox would love to have him back, too, but someone is going to give him Carl Crawford money (seven years, $142 million) and Boston isn’t likely to match.

2013 stats: .298/.355/.426, 9 HR, 92 R, 53 RBI, 52 SB in 577 AB

x. Masahiro Tanaka (RHP Japan – Age 24): Tanaka isn’t a free agent, but if he were, he’d be No. 3 on the list. Expectations are that he’ll be posted this month, though MLB and the NPB are currently working on coming to terms on a new posting agreement. My guess is that the team that signs Tanaka will end up making a commitment that rivals the one Ellsbury will get. However, Tanaka himself will probably end up with just about half that money, with the rest going to his club in Japan, the Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles. He should be valued as a $20 million-per-year pitcher, though. The Yankees, Dodgers and Rangers are all expected to be very much involved.

2013 stats: 24-0, 1.27 ERA, 183/32 K/BB in 212 IP

3. Shin-Soo Choo (OF Reds – Age 31): Choo had almost 70 points of OBP on Ellsbury last season, but since he shouldn’t be viewed as a center fielder going forward, he’s probably not in for quite as big of a contract. That’s not say he’ll be hurting. The Reds should make an effort to bring him back, the Rangers, Mets and Mariners are among the teams that could use his leadoff skills and perhaps the Red Sox would consider him for left if Ellsbury departs. He seems destined for a nine-figure deal that would top the five-year, $90 million extension Hunter Pence agreed to with the Giants.

2013 stats: .285/.423/.462, 21 HR, 107 R, 54 RBI, 20 SB in 569 AB

4. Matt Garza (RHP Rangers – Age 30): Garza didn’t fare particularly well in his return to the American League, going 4-5 with a 4.38 ERA in his 13 starts after being traded from the Cubs to the Rangers. There are also lingering doubts about his arm after he missed the second half of 2012 with a stress reaction in his elbow. Still, he has the best combination of track record and relative youth of any of the free agent starters, which should earn him a five- or six-year deal. It also doesn’t hurt that he’s the one elite free agent who won’t cost a draft pick; because he was traded at midseason, the Rangers can’t get compensation for losing him. He’d seem to be a lock to get at least $80 million this winter, and $100 million may not be out of reach.

2013 stats: 10-6, 3.82 ERA, 136/42 K/BB in 155 1/3 IP

5. Ervin Santana (RHP Royals – Age 31): The Angels gave Santana away to the Royals rather than pay him $13 million in 2013. He’ll be much more costly this time around after finishing with a career-best 3.24 ERA in 211 innings. That he does give up a lot of homers will likely scare away some teams that play in smaller ballparks, but it won’t stop him from getting about $18 million per year. Despite the old concerns about his shoulder, he’s made 30 starts in four straight seasons now. He’s made at least 23 in all eight of his seasons in the big leagues.

The rest of the list... http://hardballtalk.nbcsports.com/2013/11/01/hardballtalks-top-150-free-agents-for-2014/ 

Mack Ade – Morning Report – 11-1-13 – BoSox, Jacoby Ellsbury, Off-The-Cuff, LAD Outfield, Johan Santana

avatar - writerIt took 34,478 days for the Boston Red Sox to win the World Series at Fenway Park. 

 

Mets activate seven from 60-day DL - Ike Davis, Josh Edgin, Matt Harvey, Jeremy Hefner, Jenrry Mejia, Bobby Parnell and Scott Rice

 

Steven Goldman -

The Red Sox won't have to do that. Back in September, I wondered if the Red Sox have the greatest farm system of all time.  Jackie Bradley, Jr., Xander Bogaerts, and Brandon Workman have just arrived. Garin Cecchini, Mookie Betts, Henry Owens, Matt Barnes, Christian Vazquez and more will be here in short order. With many key players about to reach free agency, this version of the Red Sox roster may be one-and-done, but the Red Sox franchise is likely to be cock of the walk in the AL East for some time to come. http://www.sbnation.com/mlb/2013/10/31/5049576/world-series-2013-wrap-red-sox-win-cardinals

Let’s not forget…  the Yankees are old, their farm system is a mess, and the Mets have Travis d’Arnaud, Wilmer Flores, Vic Black, Rafael Montero, Noah Syndergaard, and Cesar Puello coming through the pipeline this year. Let’s not limit our focus to trading and free agency. This team is going to get much better by the end of 2014.

 

Sadly, the Domincan Republic passed a law that will all but kill any chance for kids from Haiti to playing this game – READ THIS: http://www.sportsonearth.com/article/63501436/

 

Ken Rosenthal

Jacoby Ellsbury’s hand was so badly bruised that his teammates wondered how he was playing at all.  Ellsbury had also been battling a foot injury, but the hand was the real issue. Now that the World Series is over, Ellsbury will get an MRI on his hand, and the true damage will be known.  Up until now, he had been diagnosed with a severe bone bruise. http://sportsinjuryalert.com/red-sox-jocoby-ellsbury-was-more-hurt-than-we-realized/

                Mack – Could affect the big-buck FA contract out there…

 

Sandy Alderson

                “Fred Wilpon was speaking off the off…”

Adj. 1. off-the-cuff - with little or no preparation or forethought; "his ad-lib comments showed poor judgment"; "an extemporaneous piano recital"; "an extemporary lecture"; "an extempore skit"; "an impromptu speech"; "offhand excuses"; "trying to sound offhanded and reassuring"; "an off-the-cuff toast"; "a few unrehearsed comments"

ad-lib, extemporaneous, extemporary, extempore, impromptu, offhand, offhanded, unrehearsed

unprepared - without preparation; not prepared for; "unprepared remarks"; "the shock was unprepared"; "our treaty makers approached their immensely difficult problems unprepared"- R.E.Danielson

                               

Dylan Hernandez/LA Times –

What happens in the Dominican Republic winter league could significantly affect the Dodgers’ plans for next season…  Dee Gordon attempts to move from shortstop to center field. Gordon will primarily play center field for Tigres del Licey, according to a person familiar with his plans but unauthorized to speak publicly on the matter

This is a depth move for the Dodgers for a guy that hasn’t worked out at SS. If it works (and you really won’t know until around the all-star break), it could create an opportunity to acquire Joc Peterson.

 

Adam Rubin

                The Mets will pay Johan Santana a $5.5 million buyout to avoid being responsible for a $25 million option for next season, according to an industry source. The buyout needs to be exercised within five days of the World Series, although the Mets likely will not wait that long. http://espn.go.com/new-york/mlb/story/_/id/9908563/johan-santana-new-york-mets-2014-option-bought-out   zz

                Mack – Do you think Sandy could convince Johan to up the anti another mil and come back  under a minor league contract? There’s no big trick here. He was going to get the five million anyway, but you have to wonder how many people will make a run at him after all his problems. I would love the chance of pitching him in Vegas during April and, if it worked out, renegotiate a one-year deal before bumping him to Queens.

                Think Boston worst to first.

 

Jose Gordillo  -

What makes Carlos Beltran’s case for the Hall so interesting, and debatable, is he’s neither an obvious “yes”  nor an obvious “no.” He hasn’t reached either of the two major milestones that tend to make position players locks for the Hall (500 home runs, 3,000 hits) and likely won’t. Despite having more postseason home runs than Ruth, he has a little more than half as many in the regular season — 358 at the end of the 2013 season. That’s a good total, but it’s hardly enough to make him a lock, considering the era he’s playing in. Among active players, he’s ranked 13th. And among all players, he ranks 81st behind non-Hall of Famers Joe Carter and Dale Murphy. http://throughthefencebaseball.com/carlos-beltran-future-hall-famer/39489#M2E3zfqVdSjdfWUb.99

Mack – I don’t see Beltran getting in the first year he is eligible, but I think he eventually will. He’s one of the key players that so far define the 21st Century. And, I think he’ll go in as a New York Met which is the primary reason I still think the Mets have a good chance of signing him this off season.

And please, don’t tell me he’s not worth wasting a third year of Wilpon’s money on.

 

Raymond Bureau -

“Very possible”: that is how MLB.com’s Pittsburgh Pirates beat writer Tom Singer describes the Pirates’ chances of landing Miami Marlins outfielder Giancarlo Stanton in a trade. Singer reports that the Pirates will most likely re-sign Marlon Byrd, a late-season trade acquisition from the New York Mets, so they would not have excess money left to sign higher-priced veterans. To acquire Stanton, then, the Pirates would likely have to offer right fielder Jose Tabata and some bullpen help as an attractive package. Although Stanton made only $537,000 in 2013, he is now eligible for arbitration for the first time and will command a huge raise.  http://sportsinjuryalert.com/pirates-rumors-trade-for-giancarlo-stanton-is-very-possible/?utm_source=twitterfeed&utm_medium=twitter

                Mack – Boy, I really don’t like this article.

I’ve never thought that the Mets had the prospects to pull off a Stanton deal and, frankly, there’s a part of me that just doesn’t get all the glitter here. Sure his home runs go a long way… it’s just that he doesn’t hit enough of them to warrant all this hub bub.

Wilmer Flores or Cesar Puello isn’t Jose Tabata. The Pirates would be a good home for him and they have the stones to pay him what he’s worth.

And I especially don’t like the rest of the story either. Let’s hope Byrd and his agent give Alderson at least one shot at him.

 

Robert Murray -

With the Los Angeles Dodgers and New York Yankees likely to create a bidding war, the San Francisco Giants are “probably not” going to be big players for Masahiro Tanaka, according to Andrew Baggarly of CSN Bay Area. Landing Tanaka is expected to take $100 million or more. Many big market teams are in on Tanaka and he is said to prefer signing with the Yankees or Dodgers. Other teams in on Tanaka are the Chicago Cubs, Texas Rangers, Boston Red Sox, Toronto Blue Jays, and Seattle Mariners. http://sportsinjuryalert.com/giants-rumors-san-francisco-unlikely-to-be-major-players-for-masahiro-tanaka/?utm_source=twitterfeed&utm_medium=twitter

Mack – We know that the Mets were not going to be primary bidders here, so I just want to keep you up on who will.be. Same progressive team names.

 

Chris McShane -

The Los Angeles Dodgers announced this evening that they have declined their 2014 options on Chris Capuano. The cutting ties with Capuano wasn't an entirely obvious move since Los Angeles could have kept him for $6 million in 2014. Capuano wasn't outstanding this year, but he posted a 4.26 ERA and 3.55 FIP in 105.2 innings with the Dodgers, the grand majority of which came as a starting pitcher. Last year, he posted a 3.72 ERA and 3.95 FIP in 33 starts for Los Angeles. The fact that Capuano is available is obviously relevant to the Mets, who have at least one vacancy in their starting rotation heading into the 2014 season. Capuano revived his career with the Mets in 2011 after missing the entire 2010 season and barely pitching in 2009 because of Tommy John surgery. He will turn 36 years old in August next year, but add one more name to the list of players the Mets might reasonably target in free agency this winter.

Mack – Capuano is no stranger to Flushing baseball and could be a viable one-year option until the likes of Harvey, Syndergaard, and Montero arrive.

Everyone say the Mets need two starting slots. I disagree. Wheeler, Gee, Mejia, and Niese represent the top four. Capuano could be a good SP5 alternative until Montero or Syndergaard arrive. And, they will arrive around the all-star break regardless what they do in the lack of atmosphere Vegas offers.

 

Ed Leyro

Bench?  The Mets need a well-balanced bench.  It can’t be full of .260 hitters with little power and no speed.  (The fact that Justin Turner has hit exactly .260 in his career with little power and no speed should be viewed as a coincidence.  It does not reflect my personal distaste for the pie-chucker.  Supposedly.)  The non-starters should be split evenly between left-handed and right-handed hitters, with at least one speedster that can be brought in to pinch-run, one power bat, one contact bat, one utility player and one late-inning defensive replacement.  If a player can combine two of those talents, the Mets will have a better chance to compete when they eventually play another 20-inning game.

                Mack – This is one of the most needed areas of improvement.

Personally, I’d keep Josh Satin. He’s a proven hitter that can fill in adequately at either first or second base.

My hopes are either Juan Legares or Eric Young Jr. are bench players, but two new stud outfielders might be asking too much.

                I’d also like to see a return of John Buck to back up the younger behind the plate.

Past that, we need more, better, defensive players that can help seal a game by being inserted into the late innings.

Keep the runs down with your starters, have quality relievers defensive gems for the 8th and 9th innings. You’ll win 10-15 more games.