Remember's
Ramblings – Volume 2, Article 6
February 04, 2025
Open Thread: 20 Questions
It’s so time to stop talking about roster construction and
who is going to play first base. With
the Hall of Fame voting having been done in January, I have been wasting a lot
of time resurrecting a concept I came up with a few years ago that I call ‘Alternate
WAR’. Those that know me know that I
really dislike WAR. I do not understand
really how it is all done and what its differences are. I
got into looking back at my Alternate WAR calcs over the last few days and
thought I’d write a piece on it, but found that I ran out of time. I started installing a new hot water heater
this morning and like all projects, it took a bit longer than I like. The good news is that we have hot water from
the new heater and the old one is completely disconnected!
So..with my writing procrastination and limited time, I’m going to kind of cop out and put out a survey for all of our commenters about the upcoming 2025 season. When comments are complete, I will save the results and run another piece in October or November to crown the best prognosticator among us.
These are just the standard prediction type questions, speak up now if you want to gloat later! I will apologize in advance for the low-tech operation of this - I am not a webpage techie that knows how to make this into an easier format. This will just be the old fashioned comments will do!
(1)
Mets final 2025 record: (2024 record = 89-73)
(2)
Total number of Runs the Mets will score: (2024 runs = 768 scored)
(3)
Total number of Runs the Mets will give up: (2024 = 697 allowed)
(4)
Place in the NL East Standings: (2024 – tied for second with Atlanta behind
Philly)
(5)
How far will they get: (2024
– lost 4-2 in the NLCS)
Hitting
(6)
Mets Home Run leader: (2024 Alonso with 34)
(7)
Mets Batting Average leader: (>200 plate
appearances) (2024 Iglesias with .337)
(8)
Mets RBI leader: (2024 Lindor with 91)
(9)
Mets Games Played leader: (2024 Alonso with 162)
(10) Mets Doubles leader: (2024 Lindor with 39)
(11) Mets Triples leader: (2024
Nimmo/Taylor/Marte with 3)
(12) Mets Stolen Base leader: (2024
Lindor with 29)
(13) Mets OPS leader: (>200 plate appearances) (2024 Lindor with
.844)
(14) Mets Position Player WAR
leader (2024 Lindor with 6.9 bWAR)
Pitching
(15) Mets Wins leader: (2024 Manaea with 12)
(16) Mets ERA leader: (>40.0 innings) (2024
Butto with 2.55)
(17) Mets Saves leader: (2024 Diaz with 20)
(18) Mets Innings Pitched
leader: (2024 Severino with 182.0)
(19) Mets Strikeouts
leader: (2024 Manaea with 184)
(20) Pitching WAR leader: (2024 Manaea with 3.0 bWAR)
That’s
not too hard .. comment away – let’s see what we all think!
Remember’s Reminiscing:
February 04 Birthdays
Just
one: Happy 61st Birthday to
Jeff Gardner!
9 comments:
My brain has difficulty trying to make projections before all the pieces are added. I'd guess 92 wins right now. If Pete returns, 96.
I have to echo what Tom said. As the roster stands right now, every number will be lower. Of course, there's still time to improve it or for youngsters to play themselves into major league innings. However, it's too soon to be optimistic with less offense and unsteady pitching.
Pretend Pete isn't coming back.
Expect the unexpected. I predict that the Mets will have a worse regular season than last year because they will struggle to figure out how to arrange the new pieces and also because last year they had a special bond that would be difficult to repeat. That said, they should get it together by playoff time and make another great run at the title. 87 wins, 710 runs, third in the NL east but make the playoffs as a wild card. They lose a thriller in LA to the Dognasty 4 games to 3.
I’m not delusional enough to make predictions on all of these, but a couple (and just to make it interesting, and more impressive if I’m right, I’ll stay away from obvious answers)
Mets: 94 wins
Mets: win division
HR leader: Vientos with 46
RBI: Vientos
Batting avg: McNeil
IP: Peterson
Wins: Peterson
OK, I will shelve this for now and bring it back on April 1. By then the season will be a couple days old and we'll have the starting roster as well as any known injuries. I guess poor timing. (I still expect Soto to lead the team in OPS).
I do not expect the Mets to sag. Why? They have the great Soto now. He is better offensively than Lindor. He is a game changer.
Right now, I have no figging idea. See me in two weeks.
I also have no figging idea. See me in two months.
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