Which Prospects Will Successfully JUMP to the Majors?
Everyone who is ANYONE ranks the prospects!
Second Brennan article this morning. A rare day-day doubleheader.
Read ‘em!
Prospects1500 writers collectively rank each team's Top 50 prospects.
That’s 50 X 30 = 1500 prospects!
Ranking a whopping 1500 MLB prospect players is a lot of work!
Join with me, as I am going to:
1) re-look at their 2025 top 50 Mets rankings
2) with a few of my thoughts,
3) followed by their new, recent early 2026 Mets top 50 prospects list:
How do they grade?
They categorize the 50 dudes into “Tiers” of talent, as defined below.
Prospects1500 Tiers:
Tier 1: Players with high expectations of both making the majors and playing at an All-Star level for a number of years
Tier 2: Players with an above-average expectation of making the majors and being a solid contributor
Tier 3: Players with an average expectation of making the majors and being a solid contributor
Tier 4: Players who have the potential to make the majors; possible sleeper candidates for sustained MLB success
Tier 5: Players of interest, worth keeping an eye on, who may make (or have made) the majors but provide minimal impact
According to them, the Mets in 2025 had zero Tier 1 prospects. Ouch.
Feel free to Google their list at Mets prospects1500 2025 (and for 2026) for more details as to their logic. I just list their rankings here.
Last year’s 2025 list follows, but first, a few of my observations:
How fascinating that all four of their TIER 2 METS from last year were TRADED!
And their #9 and #10 in TIER 3? Also packaged like salami and shipped out. Others were dealt, too.
I note also if they are gone (via trade, etc.), or released.
Yes indeed!
The Stearns Shipping Department was BUSY!
He includes free shipping.
Amazingly, Prospects 1500 in 2025 had the now-great Nolan McLean in lowly TIER 4.
They had Nolan BEHIND the not-so-great Jeremy Rodriguez, and barely ahead of mediocre Colin Houck and floundering Alex Ramirez!
See the definition for TIER 4 above, which shows they were way, way off on Nolan, who is clearly TIER ONE.
They also, at #32, had AJ Ewing in 2025, ranked way, way too low.
And Jolly Jack Wenninger in 2025? Only at #44?
Well, in fairness, Jack was a 2025 dynamo. A very pleasant surprise.
PUBLISHED IN EARLY 2025
PROSPECTS 1500 METS TOP 50 RANKINGS
Tier 1 - None
Tier 2
1. Jett Williams, SS, 21, Triple-A - gone.
2. Brandon Sproat, RHP, 24, Triple-A - gone.
3. Drew Gilbert, OF, 24, Triple-A - gone.
4. Luisangel Acuña, SS/OF, 22, MLB - gone.
Tier 3
5. Ronny Mauricio, SS/OF, 23, Injured (MLB in 2023)
6. Ryan Clifford, 1B/OF, 21, Double-A (Praised his AA power)
7. Carson Benge, OF, 21, Single-A
8. Jonah Tong, RHP, 21, Double-A
9. Jesus Baez, SS/2B, 19, High-A - gone.
10. Blade Tidwell, RHP, 23, Triple-A - gone.
Tier 4
11. Jeremy Rodriguez, SS, 18, Rookie (FCL)
12. Nolan McLean, RHP/DH, 23, Double-A
13. Nick Morabito, OF, 21, High-A
14. Colin Houck, SS/3B, 20, Single-A
15. Alex Ramírez, OF, 21, Double-A - released.
16. Boston Baro, 3B/SS, 20, High-A
17. Yovanny Rodriguez, C, 18, Rookie (DSL)
18. Kevin Parada, C, 23, Double-A
19. Marco Vargas, SS, 19, Single-A
20. Jonathan Santucci, LHP/DH, 22, College
Tier 5
21. Felipe De La Cruz, LHP, 23, High-A
22. Dom Hamel, RHP, 25, Triple-A
23. Trey Snyder, SS, 19, Single-A
24. Jacob Reimer, 3B, 20, High-A
25. Jeffry Rosa, OF, 20, Single-A - released.
26. Edward Lantigua, OF, 18, Rookie (DSL)
27. Calvin Ziegler, RHP, 22, High-A
28. Nick Lorusso, 1B, 24, Double-A
29. Daiverson Gutierrez, C, 19, Single-A
30. Christopher Suero, C, 20, High-A
31. Nate Dohm, RHP, 21, College - gone.
32. A.J. Ewing, OF/2B, 20, Single-A
33. Joander Suarez, RHP, 24, Triple-A
34. Ronald Hernandez, C/1B, 21, High-A
35. Eduardo Herrera, RHP, 24, Double-A
36. Wellington Aracena, RHP, 20, Single-A - gone.
37. Franklin Gomez, LHP, 19, Single-A - gone.
38. Bryce Montes de Oca, RHP, 28, Triple-A - gone.
39. Trey McLoughlin, RHP, 25, Triple-A
40. JT Schwartz, 1B, 25, Triple-A
41. Eli Serrano III, OF, 21, Single-A
42. Douglas Orellana, RHP, 22, High-A
43. Joel Díaz, RHP, 20, Single-A
44. Jack Wenninger, RHP, 22, High-A
45. Julio Zayas, C, 18, Rookie (FCL)
46. Raimon Gomez, RHP, 23, High-A - gone
47. Brett Banks, RHP, 23, High-A
48. Jose Guevara, RHP, 19, Rookie (DSL)
49. Simon Juan, OF, 19, Rookie (FCL)
50. Jefrey De Los Santos, 2B/OF, 21, High-A
NEW 2026 TOP 50 PROSPECTS PER PROSPECTS 1500:
Link - check it out:
PROSPECTS 1500 METS TOP 50 OF 2026
So…below is their new top 50…tell me what you think.
Tier 1
1. Carson Benge, OF, 23, Triple-A
2. Nolan McLean, RHP, 23, MLB
Tier 2
3. Jonah Tong, RHP, 22, MLB
4. A.J. Ewing, OF, 21, Double-A
5. Jacob Reimer, 3B, 22, Double-A
MAN, I REALLY LIKE THOSE FIVE.
Tier 3
6. Ryan Clifford, 1B/OF, 22, Triple-A
7. Mitch Voit, 2B, 21, Single-A
8. Elian Peña, SS, 18, Rookie (DSL)
9. Jonathan Santucci, LHP, 23, Double-A
10. Jack Wenninger, RHP, 23, Double-A
MAN, I REALLY LIKE THESE SECOND 5, TOO.
Tier 4
11. Nick Morabito, OF, 22, Double-A
12. Chris Suero, C/OF, 22, Double-A
13. Will Watson, RHP, 23, Double-A
14. Eli Serrano III, OF, 22, High-A
15. Boston Baro, SS/3B, 21, High-A
16. Zach Thornton, LHP, 24, Double-A
17. Marco Vargas, 2B/SS, 20, High-A
18. R.J. Gordon, RHP, 24, Double-A
19. Daiverson Gutierrez, C, 20, Single-A
20. Dylan Ross, RHP, 25, Triple-A
21. Ryan Lambert, RHP, 23, Double-A
Tier 5
22. Antonio Jimenez, SS, 21, Single-A
23. Yovanny Rodriguez, C, 19, Rookie (DSL)
24. Randy Guzman, 1B/OF, 20, Single-A
25. Jeremy Rodriguez, SS/2B/3B, 19, Single-A
26. Trey Snyder, 2B/3B, 20, Single-A
27. Peter Kussow, RHP, 19, High school
28. Christian Scott, RHP, 26, Injured (MLB in 2024)
29. Edward Lantigua, OF, 19, Rookie (FCL)
30. Colin Houck, 3B/SS, 21, High-A
31. Felipe De La Cruz, LHP, 24, Triple-A
32. Camden Lohman, RHP, 19, High school
33. Kevin Parada, C, 24, Triple-A
34. Jonathan Pintaro, RHP, 28, MLB
35. Ronald Hernandez, C, 22, High-A
36. Daviel Hurtado, LHP, 21, Single-A
37. Jose Ramos, OF, 25, Triple-A
38. Joel Diaz, RHP, 21, High-A
39. Cam Tilly, RHP, 21, College
40. Yonatan Henriquez, OF, 21, High-A
41. Douglas Orellana, RHP, 23, Triple-A
42. Saul Garcia, RHP, 22, Double-A
43. Julio Zayas, C, 20, Rookie (FCL)
44. Simon Juan, OF, 20, Single-A
45. Yunior Amparo, OF/1B/3B, 19, Rookie (DSL)
46. Joander Suarez, RHP, 25, Triple-A
47. Brendan Girton, RHP, 24, Double-A
48. Irving Cota, RHP, 22, Double-A
49. Wyatt Vincent, OF, 19, High school
50. Jose Chirinos, RHP, 21, Single-A
I could quibble over a few of their rankings.
For instance, having the very fine Brendan Girton as low as at #47, and I might switch Yonatan Henriquez (their #40) with Eli Serrano (their #14), because Eli is 1.5 years older than Yonatan, but Yonatan had the better 2025 season (go ahead, look up their stats), but it’s a GOOD 2026 LIST overall from P 1500.
But…that’s just me…what do YOU think?
Oh, and…
TODAY IS MARCH 1.
REGULAR SEASON METS BASEBALL STARTS THIS MONTH.
YIPPEE!
2 comments:
This is a really revealing post. We are all aware that baseball stats are only valid when there is a large sample size because there is so much variability in the day-to-day performances. Yet when scouts or "experts" rate players, they can only do so using small samples. So the margin for error in their rankings is very high. Add in the variability of the competition at lower levels when they are scouted and you really have a crap shoot. This is why someone can be #132 one year and #20 the next. (or vice versa).
It is also interesting to note that all the top tier guys were part of trades. It is not a surprise, because the teams on the other end of the deal were looking specifically for those ranked names because it represents more value. Good for us that we had gems like Benge and Morabito and Ewing buried in lower tiers last year. Now as they rise in the rankings, they are still wearing orange and blue.
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