4/16/20

John From Albany – Alvarez, Mauricio, Vientos, the St. Lucie Mets 2020 Roster Projection.


We did the projected Mets Roster, projected Syracuse roster and projected Binghamton roster.  We now move on to the projected roster for the St. Lucie Mets. 

I think St. Lucie this year will be the home to a number of great prospects that excelled last year in Columbia, Kingsport, Brooklyn, and the GCL.  This will make for a very interesting and exciting team.

Going to start with the Catching squad and Francisco Alvarez. 

Francisco Alvarez is one of the Mets top catching prospects.  Last year, as an 18 year old, playing for the Gulf Coast and Kingsport Mets, he had 157 At-Bats in 42 games, 7 HR, 26 RBI, .312 BA/ .407 OBP/ .510 SLG.  He split time at DH but out of the 42 games, he caught in 27 (229 innings) catching 9 out of 31 base stealing attempts (29%), 4 errors, 15 pass balls, .983 fielding percentage. He will definitely be at either St. Lucie or Columbia this season.  I have him in St. Lucie as a push.  Mack had Francisco Alvarez as his #1 prospect. Tom had him at #2.

Also getting time at catcher in St. Lucie I have Jose Mena who played real well last year in Brooklyn, 31 Games, .299/.352/.433, 2HRs, 13 RBIs, 20% CS%; and Hayden Senger, 90 Games for Columbia (a typically tough place to hit) in 2019, 304 at bats, .230/.324/.345, 4 HR, 36 RBIs, 37.9% CS%.

Other possible catchers: Mitch Ghelfi; Natanael Ramos; Dan Rizzie; Nick Meyer.

More good prospects in the infield headed by


Ronny Mauricio, SS: Last year as an 18 year old in Columbia, 116 games, 470 at bats, 4 HR, 37 RBIs, .268/.307/.374.  Many have him as their #1 Mets prospect, Tom had him #1. Mack had him #2. Baseball Savant rates him with a plus arm, plus hit and power, plus field, average speed.  Players usually go from Columbia to St. Lucie and I think that will be the case with Ronny.  Who knows he could end the season in Binghamton.    


Mark Vientos, 3B: In 111 games, 416 at-bats for Columbia, Mark slashed .255 /.300 OBP/.411 SLG, 12 HR, 62 RBI, 27 Doubles.  His best year was at Kingsport in 2018 where in 60 games he hit 11 HR, 52 RBIs, .287 BA/.389 OBP/ .489 SLG. Many prospects gurus also rate him very high. Mack had him as his #11 Prospect. Tom had him at #7. He is rated with plus power, plus arm, but with a career .908 fielding percentage at 3 seasons at 3B, he needs to improve on his glove work. 


If they do move him off 3B, I think they may use Jose Peroza at 3B.  Splitting time between the GCL Mets and the Brooklyn Cyclones, Jose slashed .263/.330/.514, 10 HR, 42 RBIs, 49 games, 175 at bats.  He has a lot of power and drives in runs.  He has been getting better in the field as well.  .931 Fielding Pct. in 2017, .971 last year. 


At 2B, I am placing Brooklyn SS Wilmer Reyes.  Wilmer proved last year that he can also play 2B and 3B,  and I want his bat in the lineup.  Last year Wilmer hit: .333/.350/.441 - .791 OPS; 5 HR; 33 RBI; 12 steals; 61 games; 229 at bats; 74 Hits; 32 Runs; 8 2B; 3 3B; 12 SB; Plus, if Mauricio is moved to Binghamton or to another position, Wilmer is there to step into SS. 

1B, Chase Chambers, .246/.311/.335; 5 HR, 41 RBIs, 106 Games, 382 at bats. 

Behind them I have Shervyen Newton, 2B/SS, highly ranked prospect trying to come back from a .209/.283/.333 season in Columbia last year, 109 games, 382 at bats. 

Another possible infielder, 1B Anderson Bohorquez, .220/.264/.299, 41 games split in Kingsport, GCL, and St. Lucie.

In the outfield I have three prime 2019 draft pics.
Zach Ashford, LF, 6 Round 2019 Draft, 58 games split between GCL, St. Lucie, and Brooklyn, 205 at bats, .254/.357/.390 slash.


Jake Mangum, CF/RF, 4th round, 2019 Draft. How did he do last year in Brooklyn? In 53 games, 182 at-bats, 29 runs, 5 doubles, 3 triples, 18 RBIs, .247 BA/ .337 OBP/ .297 SLG.  He also led a team that stole a lot of bases with 17 stolen bases and came through in the clutch, in 33 at bats with 2 outs and a runner in scoring position, Jake excelled hitting .364. 

Scott Ota, RF, 2019 10th round draft pick.  Scott Ota produced an .875 OPS at Kingsport last year.273/.355/.519; 183 At Bats, 50 hits, 14 doubles, 5 triples, 7 HRs, 26 RBIs, 21 walks, 38 Ks

Desmond Lindsay, CF, still a top rated Mets prospect.  Desmond was limited to 15 games and 51 at-bats last year, .196/.305/.294.

Other possible outfielder: Matt Winaker .199/.299/.291.
Now on the mound: 


First I have Jordan Humphreys coming back to be the Ace, at least to start, but he could easily be in Binghamton.  Jordan is coming back from Tommy John surgery and was limited to 2 starts.  In the Arizona Fall League, he pitched to a 0.77 ERA in 11.2 innings, 4 games and was the only Met pitcher named to the Arizona Fall League All Star team. I project in St. Lucie, building up his arm strength.  Lifetime 13-7, 2.60, 169 innings pitched, 1.03 WHIP. 

Adam Oller, the Mets took Adam in the minor league portion of the 2019 Rule 5 draft from the Giants.  Released last winter by the Pirates, Adam started 2019 pitching for the Windy City Thunderbolts in the Independent Frontier league and went 2-1 in 27 innings with a 0.67 ERA to go along with 45 strikeouts and 2 walks.  The Giants then signed him who sent him to Augusta in the South Atlantic League.  There he made 17 starts for a 5-6 record, 4.02 ERA, 87.1 innings, 93 Ks, 26 walks, 1.37 WHIP.  This included a July 10th start against the Mets’ Columbia Fireflies team where Adam went 5 shutout innings with 8 strikeouts.


Garrison Bryant, ace of the 2019 Championship Brooklyn Cyclones, 5-1, 2.39 ERA, 75 K’s in 75.1 innings, and a .84 WHIP. 

Another Brooklyn Starter, the pride of West Islip, Frank Valentino racked up 63 K’s in 58 innings while pitching to a 2-4 record and a 3.41 ERA, 1.12 WHIP. 

Daison Acosta who pitched in both Columbia and Brooklyn, 2-4, 3.06 ERA, 70.2 innings; 74 Ks; 1.29 WHIP. 

Jose Butto, 4-10 for Columbia last year, 27 games, 25 starts, 112 innings, 109 Ks, 1.17 WHIP.

In the Bullpen I have two very good pitchers returning to continue to work as I had the Syracuse and Binghamton bullpens full. 



Briam Campusano, 1-1, 3.23 ERA, 24 Games, 39 innings, 34 Ks, 1.05 WHIP between Columbia and St. Lucie.

Andrew Mitchell, the 6’1” lefty in 2019 went 3-0, 2.16 ERA, 34 games, 49.1 innings, 63 Ks, 1.11 WHIP.


Jared Biddy who was lights out for Brooklyn, Kingsport, and Columbia, 4-0, 0.86 ERA, 18 games, 31.1 innings, 35 Ks, 0.86 WHIP.

Andrew Edwards, the lefty that closed out the Brooklyn championship, 3-2, 3.30 ERA, 16 games, 30 innings, 35 Ks, 1.23 WHIP.

Darwin Ramos, 4-2 2.20 ERA, 42 games, 65.1 innings, 61 Ks, 1.29 WHIP.

Austin McGeorge, 0-4, 2.93 ERA, 16 games, 43 innings, 40 Ks, 1.44 WHIP.


That's one prediction for the St. Lucie 2020 Roster.  What's yours?


7 comments:

Tom Brennan said...

I would be thrilled if the Mets felt Alvarez was mature and talented enough to start out for St Lucie. By comparison, Vientos will be in St Lucie, I agree, but has already had over 900 plate appearances, half of which were in A ball.

Hayden Senger should be the catcher, I'd think.

I also doubt that Des Lindsay (around forever, injured forever) starts out with St Lucie - he ought to go right to Binghamton.

Let's hope they all get to play in 2020. Every player's career clock is ticking.

Mack Ade said...

I love your being aggressive about Alvarez, but jumping three levels is quite the projection.

It's impossible to project anything this year what with a year layoff. I hate this.

That being said, good job here.

Colby Smith said...

I'm liking your thoughts here ~ the St. Lucie bullpen could be very solid when and if the season returns again. Over all, St Lucie provides NY (potentially) in 2020 with an overhaul of potential for the future. Ronny Maurcio is definitely a future major leaguer as I'm sure a couple more on this list will be.

Raw said...

Hi John,

Thanks once again for your article.
I thought you were too aggressive with some of the players since I feel that the Mets have been a conservative team and usually move players slowly through their system.

Alvarez starting in St. Lucie is a big stretch.

I had Luke Ritter at 2B.

Newton I had back in Columbia because I thought he did not show enough last year to be promoted to St. Lucie.

Andrew Bororquez was released by the Mets.

I thought you were too aggressive with several of your infielders.

I had several different starters. Dedniel Nunez, Colin Holderman (still recovering from TJ surgery), Kyle Wilson (3.50) last season, Austin McGeorge (was a reliever that the Mets were trying as a starter last year and had a 0.90 Era before getting injured).

As far as relievers I probably had too many, but here are some names: Hutchinson, Lasko (I promoted him based upon 2.14 Era), Girdon, Simon, Hrbek, Winans, Moreno

Thanks once again it is nice to think about baseball even is nothing is going on.

What do you see happening with the minor leagues and players if there is no games played this year. Do you see everyone staying stagnant?

John From Albany said...

Raw,

I am probably the only person who think this but I think some sort of Minor Leagues with no crowds could happen. 1, Owners will want MLB players to take a pay cut to pay in front of empty stadiums. 2. Owners already are paying minor league players next to nothing. 3. MLB owners own a number of minor league franchises. Therefore, I could see it coming back in some sort of limited fashion in ball parks owned by the MLB teams.

You never know.

John From Albany said...

The Alvarez push was also a numbers game. I have Wilfred Astudillo, Andres Regnault, and Endy Rodriguez as the catchers in Columbia. The Mets have a number of good catching prospects.

John From Albany said...

Raw, I like Luke Ritter as well but being drafted in 2019, he has some years of eligibility left. Reyes was the MVP in Brooklyn last year and will be Rule 5 eligible come December (if there is a rule 5 draft). The Mets need to push him up to see what he can do.