Tom, First of what will hopefully be the first of additional moves over the next few weeks . The pen, as you have stated numerous times, should be a priority for 2025.
Gus, I would be surprised to see the Mets wanting to offer more than 3 / $50, but these are the days of Monopoly $$. They may try to add another Minter equivalent talent and salary instead. In evaluating roster risk, the risk of Edwin getting injured for a long period, as in 2023, requires a reasonable level of closer redundancy.
Joe P, I guess there will be reliever market is in overpay mode. First base is not. I am convinced that if Alonso is out of the picture, they have Vlad in their sights.
Meneses is fascinating, if Alonso does not return. Fangraphs shows him with no MLB at bats for 2025, , but BB Reference is very different, projecting him to hit .262/.316/.394 in 422 plate appearances. Those aren’t Pete Alonso numbers, but I still think they could go cheap at 1B with Winker/Meneses in a lefty/righty platoon, and spend on other needs, while targeting Vlad for 2026. As I wrote a few weeks ago, Winker has historically hit very well v. righties, and Meneses very well against lefties. Who knows?
I hate to rain on parades, and obviously Vlad would make our lineup top 3-5 in baseball this year, but I don’t see Stearns signing him to the length of contract he’ll demand (and likely get), and so I don’t see him trading a haul of prospects for him now. Ageing, unathletic RH corner bats are anathema to him, and Vlad, who’s close to a statue now, has the look of a guy who might be 300 lbs in his early 30’s. Can’t see Stearns committing to pay him big money for his age 31-36 (or more) seasons. The Soto deal carries some of that risk, though he’s far more athletic than Vlad, and a LHH. And, five years from now, you can only DH one of them.
Adam, Vlad's weight is indeed a concern, but he was light enough afoot to put up 44 doubles in 2024. My guess is a weight control factor will be that he wants to join Daddy Vlad in the Hall of Fame. That won't happen if he turns into Portly Prince Fielder. I think Vlad will be very good until 34 or 35. That's a lot of good years ahead.
Adam, of course, Ryan Clifford could have a gangbuster 2025 and be ready to have a rookie of the year season in 2026 - for that, I am not holding my breath. Why? By this opening day, Clifford will be 18 months older than Vlad was when he made his successful rookie debut. And Vlad hit better as a rookie than Clifford did in A and AA in 2024.
11 comments:
The fact that we're taking a bright like from the Braves makes the deal sweeter.
Bill, agreed.
Tom,
First of what will hopefully be the first of additional moves over the next few weeks . The pen, as you have stated numerous times, should be a priority for 2025.
I thought it was a bit of an overpay. It's not that I don't like the signing, but they should have been able to get him for less.
Now they need a right handed compliment.
Tanner Scott wants 4x$20MM=$80MM.
Gus, I would be surprised to see the Mets wanting to offer more than 3 / $50, but these are the days of Monopoly $$. They may try to add another Minter equivalent talent and salary instead. In evaluating roster risk, the risk of Edwin getting injured for a long period, as in 2023, requires a reasonable level of closer redundancy.
Joe P, I guess there will be reliever market is in overpay mode. First base is not. I am convinced that if Alonso is out of the picture, they have Vlad in their sights.
Meneses is fascinating, if Alonso does not return. Fangraphs shows him with no MLB at bats for 2025, , but BB Reference is very different, projecting him to hit .262/.316/.394 in 422 plate appearances. Those aren’t Pete Alonso numbers, but I still think they could go cheap at 1B with Winker/Meneses in a lefty/righty platoon, and spend on other needs, while targeting Vlad for 2026. As I wrote a few weeks ago, Winker has historically hit very well v. righties, and Meneses very well against lefties. Who knows?
I hate to rain on parades, and obviously Vlad would make our lineup top 3-5 in baseball this year, but I don’t see Stearns signing him to the length of contract he’ll demand (and likely get), and so I don’t see him trading a haul of prospects for him now. Ageing, unathletic RH corner bats are anathema to him, and Vlad, who’s close to a statue now, has the look of a guy who might be 300 lbs in his early 30’s. Can’t see Stearns committing to pay him big money for his age 31-36 (or more) seasons. The Soto deal carries some of that risk, though he’s far more athletic than Vlad, and a LHH. And, five years from now, you can only DH one of them.
Adam, Vlad's weight is indeed a concern, but he was light enough afoot to put up 44 doubles in 2024. My guess is a weight control factor will be that he wants to join Daddy Vlad in the Hall of Fame. That won't happen if he turns into Portly Prince Fielder. I think Vlad will be very good until 34 or 35. That's a lot of good years ahead.
Adam, of course, Ryan Clifford could have a gangbuster 2025 and be ready to have a rookie of the year season in 2026 - for that, I am not holding my breath. Why? By this opening day, Clifford will be 18 months older than Vlad was when he made his successful rookie debut. And Vlad hit better as a rookie than Clifford did in A and AA in 2024.
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