For a moment let’s play pretend GM (which is understandable since the Mets still don’t have one) and try to figure out a blockbuster trade to shake away the 2026 debacle and bring some order into the future direction of the ballclub.
Obviously there are a few non-trade stalwarts on the Mets roster. This grouping is different from the bad contracts that are untradeabe (like Marcus Semien) and the younger players who have never quite reached starting performance consistently. Instead let’s consider some of the “Oh no, you can’t mean HIM!” types of players.
The first one to come to mind is shortstop Francisco Lindor. If you flash back to what it cost to get him — pitcher Josh Wolf, outfielder Isaiah Greene, infielder Amed Rosario and infielder Andres Gimenez — it does not seem like a steep price.
Wolf never made the majors and owns a career ERA of 5.13 in the minors. Greene has a career .258 batting average and shows good speed but not much else. Rosario is the odd man here in that people felt he was destined to be a star, but despite a career MLB average of .271 he hasn’t had a starting role since back in 2023. Gimenez was thought to be a good glove/no hit kind of player but he surprised us all. In 2023 and 2024 he showed modest power and good speed with a .250+ batting average as a starter. He then moved onto Toronto where his playing time has fallen off as has his performance metrics.
There’s no way to spin this deal for the post season fighting Guardians. They were fleeced.
For the Mets Lindor has provided a combination of contact hitting, power, baserunning and strong defense. Yes, he has missed time with injuries, but when you have a player threatening to eclipse 30/30 status most years it becomes understandable why the teamed forked out $341 million to extend him as a Met for ten years.
Of all the position players on the Mets this side of Juan Soto, Lindor has the sexiest trade profile. Yes, his salary is high but he is that much talked about and seldom seen five tool player who is under contract through the 2031 season and the five remaining years are a stiff gut punch to an acquiring team’s finance department, it’s literally how much the Mets have already spent given he’s halfway through his deal. By the time that contract ends he should have 450 or more home runs as a shortstop. That’s pretty rare territory indeed.
Think for a minute about other blockbuster deals the Mets have made in the past with prime time talents leaving their clubhouse. Some hurt immensely like Tom Seaver. Others caught the club by surprise like Jeff Kent and Justin Turner. Many felt Carlos Beltran was washed up after his contract ended but the man has a plaque in Cooperstown.
So what would be a fair return for Lindor? Obviously the Mets could use some starting pitching, a first baseman, potentially another catcher and reinforcements anywhere in the upper minors. Getting three to four unknown gambles like they did during the HOF pitcher sell off in 2023 when both Justin Verlander and Max Scherzer were peddled away for almost nothing (including paying down chunks of their salary).
Now if the club is serious about bringing in someone the caliber of Tarik Skubal to bolster the starting rotation then the money to pay him needs to come from somewhere. The question is whether team is better off with Francisco Lindor in the lineup or Tarik Skubal in the rotation? The balance sheet would tip in favor of Lindor but there are some infielders working their way up the system in house already. The same can’t be said for multi Cy Young Award winning pitchers. Would a rushed Jefferson Rojas plus Tarik Skubal net the Mets more than Francisco Lindor and a dice roll on an in-house starting pitcher?
What would it take for you to pull the trigger on a Lindor leaving town deal?


9 comments:
I gotta go with Tariq Skubal and jeeping Lindor for now. Odd year, because owners may want to further penalize the big spenders in the new owner player contract. But a lot of other $$ comes off the payroll in 2027 and 2028. It might well be time to trade Lindor, though. Before he and his gargantuan contract become untradeable. He does turn 33 next month. He can’t drop down off his pre-2026 pace? Jeff McNeil did. Getting old is real in MLB.
Last year, the Mets discarded three "heartbeats" of this team. Getting rid of another, plus this one being the unnamed captain, is, in my opinion, an impossibility at this point in Mets time.
Frankly, the infield kids coming up soon are just not ready.
Maybe 2028.
Still, it would take the Mets eating the lion share of his existing contract, which is better than eating all of it if you released him.
If I had to choose I would keep Lindor and sign michael king. Linder numbers will be better next season, when he is not injured. Here is an AI synopsis of all 3 of Lindor, Holliday and Carroll who had the same injury last year. They all had down years, they are both younger but mongers are similar. So give Lindor a break on all this trade/drop him IMO.
1. Francisco Lindor (New York Mets)
• The Season: Lindor endured a deeply frustrating year. After breaking his left hamate bone in February, he rushed back, only to suffer a left calf strain in late April that sidelined him for an additional two months.
• The Impact: His trademark power-speed combination evaporated, yielding just 21 home runs and a career-low 3 stolen bases. Uncharacteristically, the lingering effects also led to rare mental lapses and a noticeable defensive decline at shortstop.
2. Corbin Carroll (Arizona Diamondbacks)
• The Season: Of the three, Carroll handled the initial recovery the best. After fracturing his right hamate bone in early February, his elite physical conditioning allowed him to rapidly progress through rehab and remarkably make the Diamondbacks' Opening Day lineup.
• The Impact: While he showed great durability by playing 156 games, the classic post-hamate injury side effect—a lack of grip and wrist strength—capped his offensive ceiling. His batting average slipped to .239, and his overall OPS dropped by nearly 90 points from the previous year.
3. Jackson Holliday (Baltimore Orioles)
• The Season: Holliday had the most grueling year. The young infielder missed the first 48 games of the season following his February hamate surgery. He showed a brief flash of brilliance in July (.368 AVG), but heavily fatigued down the stretch.
• The Impact: His season came to an early end in September when separate left wrist inflammation revealed a partial tear, requiring a second, season-ending surgery. He finished his sophomore campaign with just 7 home runs in 98 games.
This was an Internet trade idea:
Semien, Manaea, Senga, and Polanco for Devers.
I can’t tell you that it’s bad.
My brother war he’d shows yesterday re: targets. “ I’m watching all these free agent prediction shows
And every single one has the best signing
Skubal”
If the Mets trade Lindor, who leads the Mets?. Soto is not a leader, he is great but not a leader like Judge is for the Yankees.
Texas, that would be a very bad trade. Senga, Manaea and Polanco contracts expire at the end of 2027 and Semien in 2028. Devers has a lot of years left and he is not aging well.
Viper, after initial dislike, I added thw years. Senga, Semien, Polanco and Manaea are owed over $109MM. Devers is owed $223MM. The difference is $114MM per year for seven years, or about $16MM per year. Devers was a 3.6 bWAR first baseman that hit 37 HRs. I’m not in love with it, he isn’t bad.
I don’t think San Fran would do that deal. You would have to doubly their salaries next year for the cohen tax. So that $80-90 mil next year would be doubled (unless lock out happens) next year. Devers contract may actually lower our commitments next year and save us a ton of money if it did happen? We might be below the tax if Bichette opts out?
First off, I'm keeping Lindor and still pursuing Skubal. And if I can't convince Skubal to come to Queens, I pivot to King.
Now, the blockbuster I had been thinking about for a while, like TexasG, is for Devers. (Viper, I don't see why you say he isn't aging well. To me it looks like he isn't aging at all. His .865 OPS last year is above his career OPS of .858.) So, my deal is:
Marcus Semien ($46 million)
Kodai Senga ($14 million)
Devin Williams (($27.25 million)
Jared Young
Ronny Mauricio
(#8) Jack Wenninger
(#21) Randy Guzman
For:
Rafael Devers ($225 million)
(#21) Joniel Hernandez, and
(#28) Lisbel Diaz
We would probably have to eat Williams' deferred $30 million.
To me, this is a WIN-WIN trade.
Mets get:
- 7 years of an 850+ OPS 1B for only $138 million, (AAV under $20 million) at only 30 years old, still early in his prime.
- a 21-year-old outfield prospect with serious pop but a tendency to chase pitches out of the strike zone.
- 17-year-old wild card SS, off to an impressive start of his pro career
Giants get:
- a $138 million payroll reduction
- a Gold Glove caliber second baseman coming off a down year, but who could still have a resurgence with a change of scenery, to fill a current weakness in their depth chart.
- a former ace, also looking for a change of scenery return to his prior glory to fill a hole in their currently weak rotation.
- a closer quality pitcher who seemingly had trouble adjusting to NY. In his 6 yrs in Milwaukee he had a 1.83 ERA, 1.023 WHIP, 14.3 K/9
- a very serviceable first baseman coming off a good year who, if platooned with a strong RH hitter like Alec Bohm or Paul Goldschmidt, could replace much of Devers' offense
- a 25-year-old switch hitting infielder with unlimited potential, who has had few chances to play regularly at the MLB level. A former consensus top 100 prospect with great glove at 3 infield positions with serious power but a tendency to chase pitches out of the zone.
- a 24-year-old RH MLB-ready starter, currently the #2 pitching prospect in the Mets farm system
- a 21-year-old OF/1B prospect with serious power potential, with a combined .887 OPS in his most recent two minor league seasons.
What do you think???
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