10/24/26

Reese Kaplan --- Were Stearns' Pitching Choices Any Better?


Let’s continue with the David Stearns positives...

Buckle up as we will skip over the Jorge Polanco and Marcus Semien moves and shift our attention to pitching. Here we have to take our hat off in deference to the Stearns strategy, right...?

Well, topic number one would be the horrific contract for Sean Manaea.  As a refresher, Manaea is an eleven year veteran southpaw who actually owns a winning record of 85-74 with a middle of the road ERA of 4.16.  He has a moderate WHIP and generally exhibits good control.  

When he was brought on board for his first Mets season he turned in a good one.  He finished the year with a 12-6 record, a 3.47 ERA and finished 11th in the NL Cy Young voting.  

For that  effort he was paid $14.5 million on a single year free agent contract though it only cost the Mets $12 million as $2.5 was covered by an option paid by the San Francisco Giants.  His final number was a 2.9 WAR, a level he’d reached three other times in his career.  That turned out to be a good Stearns move.

Then came the 2025 off season.

Stearns bid against himself, more than doubling the salary to be paid to Manaea. Then to make matters worse he was going to take home his $25 million annual salary for not a single year but for three of them

How’d he do?

Let’s put it this way.  He was so bad when healthy that he was booted out of the starting rotation.  Between 2025 and 2026 Manaea has a losing record of 8-12 with a 5.03 ERA. That certainly does not look like $50 million well spent.  (And remember there’s another $25 million owed to him for 2027).  Stearns won’t make it to the World Series like his former employer making deals like that one.

Clay Holmes was a solid Stearns addition particularly when he made the successful transition from effective reliever to effective starter.  The same cannot be said of now Rays starting pitcher Freddy Peralta who crumbled horribly in New York.  That’s yet another negative outcome of a Sttearns roster decision.

Now Kodai Senga’s foibles as a starting pitcher cannot be blamed on Stearns as his contract was signed prior to the flight to the Big Apple for the former Brewers head baseball honcho.  

The way the season ended with Nolan McLean, Christian Scott and Zac Thornton turning in credible performances on a regular basis.  Some of the other younger pitchers are still works in progress.   

The bullpen was another up and down part of the Stearns roster construction.  On the up side were most definitely Brooks Raley, AJ Minter, Luke Weaver and Huascar Brazoban.  Naturally none of them are Mets anymore.


On the down side you had Edwin Diaz replacement Devin Williams who turned in his second consecutive subpar season, as well as a revolving door of AAAA personnel who were not able to fill the housecleaning vacancies created by the trade deadline moves.  

5 comments:

Tom Brennan said...

Give Manaea a HIGH 5 for his last two Mets ERA seasons.

Senga I’d keep. 18 relief outings in August and Sept. One he gave up 3 runs in. The other 17, 4 earned runs, and 8 of 9 in saves. Impressive. Pen ace?

Tom Brennan said...

Williams? Edwin Diaz has an 8.68 ERA and 4 more expensive seasons. He is 33 next year, so he is owed big bucks for 2023-26. Very possibly, Stearns dodged another albatross contract.

Williams’ ERA was worsened due to 8 earned in 9 IP in March and April. Hard to make that look good thereafter. But His 3 following healthy months (May, June, July) a decent 9 earned runs in 28 IP.

Owed 2 years less than Diaz, at less several million less $$ per year.

TexasGusCC said...

To say Stearns bid against himself is really unfair. How do you know that? And, who complained when the Mets resigned Manaea to a three year deal when his projections were at least four years and $100MM?

As for Williams and Diaz, did you notice how that ten cent brained fool did in Los Angeles? Recall how before the season we said that Diaz only had good years in walk years? Williams had been the best reliever in baseball for many years, but after the Peralta experience, maybe we need to look at how Williams was coached in Milwaukee and how he is coached in New York.

And Stearns signed Griffin Channing, but he got hurt. Holmes got hurt this year; Montas got hurt as soon as the ink dried; Helsley was a good closer until he came to New York; Rogers was a huge overpayment.

No GM is perfect. Cashman signed Rodon who sucked his first year. Dambrowski gave Taijuan Walker $72MM for four years. Anthopoulos made bad deals.

Enough already. Let’s discuss some solutions.

TexasGusCC said...

Tom, Diaz signed for three years at $69MM to win a World Series.

Mack Ade said...

Solution?

Skubal
McLean
Scott
Thornton
Tong