Good morning.
Lets start off with a guy that hit a home run last week that came off the
bat at 110.7mph.
I was thrilled when 1B Ryan Clifford came to the Mets in the Justin Verlander deal in 2023. I
followed him when he played ball for Crossroads FLEX HS, in Cary, North
Carolina. Houston drafted him in the 11th round of the 2022 draft.
We are talking raw power here… 24 home runs in 2023 and another 18 last
season. Frankly, playing last season in that horrible Cyclones stadium didn’t
help his growth, but his OPS jumped from .304 to .457 once he got to
Binghamton.
Carlos Mendoza loves the guy. Says he likes everything he sees here. He
does need another year in the minors and I assume that will happen this season
in Syracuse.
Folks… with a little luck and some help from the labs… this just may be the eventual replacement for Pete Alonso… very soon.
Thomas
Nestico @TJStats
It was
yet another very encouraging outing from Max Kranick who
has made a name for himself this Spring
He struck
out 3 of the 4 batters he faced as his stuff still continues to look solid. The
amount of lift he gets on his sweeper is absurd!
Pitch
Profiler @pitchprofiler
Kodai Senga was nearly untouchable in his Spring Training debut!
He
showcased seven different pitches over two innings—striking out two—while his
new sinker is currently being classified as both a slider and four-seamer.
And, of
course, his Ghost Fork is still absolutely
Thomas Nestico @TJStats
Kodai Senga pitched today and it looks like he is throwing a new pitch!
Senga has
always had a deep arsenal, and now a new sinker (splinker?) is yet another
weapon. His fastball also looked great today as it had a lot more life!
The Mets ace looks ready for the season!
Manually updated pitch classifications:
Yacksel Rios is yet another Mets pitcher that has stood out this Spring. His arsenal
features high 90s velocity and trio of fastballs that grade out well.
Mets
pitching lab goes brrrrrrr
Pitch
Profiler @pitchprofiler
Another
day, another random reliever throwing GAS
Yacksel Rios is a 31-year old RHRP, who stands 6-3 and weighs
215.
12TH round draft pick in 2011, drafted by the
Phillies, out of Doctora Cochita HS (PR).
Career MLB: -0.8-WAR 8-2
6.32
2024: AAA-Syracuse – 27-apps,
3-1, 3.30, 1.56 (!), 30-IP, 22-BB, 30-K
Large, filled-out frame. Strong lower half. Throws ¾ slot, stars
at first base side of the mound. Medium leg kick.
94-98 Fastball 95-98
sinker 84-87 slider 85-87 splitter
60% fastball/sinker combo
Control has always been a problem.
Thomas
Nestico @TJStats
Luis Moreno made a statement today as he struck out 6 consecutive Nationals swinging
to end the game
His
slider (sweeper) gets a ton of glove-side movement and lift which helped it
register a bonkers 100 Whiff% today
Ernest
Dove @ernestdove
Mets 25
year old minor league P Luis Moreno has been eating over 100 innings 3 milb
seasons in a row & his K rate has climbed slightly each season. He's had 2
straight fantastic winter ball seasons. Potential swingman type role perhaps?
Have to always worry about BB rate.
Luis Moreno is a 25/year old RHSP that was an International free
agent in 2018.
5-8 200
Pitched in three games for AAA-Syracuse last season, but spent
the majority of 2024 pitching for AA-Binghamton (25-G, 19-ST, 3-7, 4.27, 103.1-IP,
107-K)
In the past, Morena has had difficulty producing a low WHIP.
Medium -
The Really Big 2025 Mets Prospects Ranking
https://medium.com/@mdonodeo8/the-really-big-2025-mets-prospects-ranking-5c0fbaaa49f0
2) 2B/CF Jett Williams
I have yet to mention Jett’s best trait, which is pure athleticism. He’s a burner on the basepaths who should have somewhat of an offensive floor even if the power doesn’t manifest itself consistently, and his athleticism gives him good range at either second base or center field (the arm probably doesn’t handle shortstop, and it shows in his Davenport runs, but he’s capable of making plays there.)
He’s graded out around average at second and in center by Davenport
runs, visually looking a little better than that, and he should be able to play
wherever the better roster fit is. The combination of walks, speed, and defense
should give him a floor as a second-division starter, but the batted ball
angles will determine if he can reach his upside as an All-Star caliber player.
Scouting
grades: 60 hit, 45 power, 70 speed, 55 field, 45 arm
Optimistic
comp: Alex Bregman-lite
Morabito initially struggled after being signed for one million dollars in the 2023 draft out of the esteemed Gonzaga College High School (hail purp), but had somewhat of a breakout season in 2024. This mostly came from making more contact, as his z-con in St. Lucie improved to 84%. This isn’t amazing for a low-A repeat, but it’s around the MLB average and should be enough to play.
He has a passive approach at the plate in terms of overall swing rate, but his 20% chase rate combined with relative aggression on hittable pitches led to a 93rd percentile SEAGER in low-A. These plate skills culminated in identical K and BB rates in low-A, and still-good K and BB rates in Brooklyn even as the walks slipped somewhat. On contact he hasn’t had the best results.
He has a ton of bat speed and at one point posted a 110 EV, but his max in St. Lucie in 2024 was 104.7 and a ton of his contact — 55% — was on the ground. This stems from swing mechanics — the bat path is flat and exits the zone really quickly, which limits his ability to create flush contact. This hurts both the floor and upside of the bat, but there are some right-tail outcomes where the bat is playable despite these ground ball rates, as his speed can inflate BABIPs better than a normal player’s would.
This doesn’t mean he’ll be running a .390 like he did across both levels this season, but it could be a little higher than average, and he’ll provide value on the basepaths once he gets there. This speed has been utilized in the outfield — he shifted to center field after being a high school shortstop to take advantage of it — but so far the routes have struggled, as he’s graded out from below average to very well below average depending on the measurement system.
If there’s a silver lining in the
defensive profile, there is likely room to grow at the position, and he
recorded nine assists in the outfield, so there’s potential with the arm. That
said, he’s raw defensively, which is a pretty good microcosm for the entire
profile, a superb athlete with some interesting skills but also a lot of room
for growth in certain aspects of his game.
nugget
chef @jayhaykid
The best
argument I’ve seen yet for giving Vladimir Guerrero Jr (and/or
Kyle Tucker) a blank check: the other upcoming options in free agency.
Pitch
Profiler @pitchprofiler
Stop me
if you’ve seen this before…
Tampa Bay
has a guy you’ve never heard of, throwing some of the nastiest stuff you’ll see
all day lol
(this one is for Tom…)
Ernest Dove @ernestdove
Seeing Paul Gervase
& Tyler Stuart on other teams is
going to be the death of me
Just
Baseball - New York Mets Top 15 Prospects
https://www.justbaseball.com/prospects/new-york-mets-top-15-prospects/?s=03
1. Brandon Sproat – RHP – (Triple-A)
Height/Weight:
6’3″, 210 | Bat/Throw: R/R | 2nd Round
(56) –
NYM (2023) | ETA: 2025
Outlook
Stuff
wasn’t an issue for Sproat, but he emerged in 2024 with a more complete
arsenal. The concern for the right-hander is his command, often struggling to
time up his long arm action. He has looked more comfortable repeating his
delivery and filling up the zone as he gets more pro innings under his belt,
providing optimism for average command.
If he can
continue to cut down on the high number of non-competitive pitches, Sproat’s
stuff is good enough to get away with a higher walk rate. Already fighting off
some of the reliever risk, Sproat has flashed No. 2 upside with the fall back
of a volatile late-rotation arm or elite high-leverage reliever. His ability to
tweak his arsenal and improve his fastball shape is a testament to his feel to
pitch, providing more optimism that he can reach closer to that No. 2 starter
dream.
2. Jett Williams – SS/OF – (Triple-A)
Height/Weight:
5’8″, 180 | Bat/Throw: R/R | 1st Round
(14) –
2022 (NYM) | ETA: 2025
Outlook
While the
2024 season was mostly a lost one for Williams, he is still ahead of schedule
as he gets set for his age-21 season. With Williams’ added weight in 2024 not
necessarily being completely useful gains, he could benefit from getting closer
to his 2023 game shape given how important speed is to his game.
Elite on
base skills amplify an offensive profile that will likely feature average hit
and average-at-best power. Williams and Termarr Johnson became the first
teenagers since 2005 to walk 100 times in a Minor League season in 2023.
The
defensive side of things will be important to monitor in 2025 as Williams is
clearly capable of providing versatility, but if he can take a step forward
with more consistent reps in center field, he becomes significantly more
valuable. Williams has the floor of a quality utility piece but has the
offensive upside and speed to be an above-average regular.
3. Carson Benge – OF – (Low-A)
Height/Weight:
6’2″, 185 | Bat/Throw: L/R | 1st Round
(19), 2024 (NYM) | ETA: 2027
Outlook
Benge is
a unique athlete who may just be scraping the surface of the player he can
ultimately be. He has a wiry build and could probably add some strength without
losing speed. It’s not uncommon for two-way players to add mass upon shifting
their focus from the mound.
Added
strength could also facilitate a simpler operation in the box. Benge has the
potential to be an everyday center fielder.
Codify
(@CodifyBaseball) posted at 6:58 PM on Fri, Feb 28, 2025:
BATTING
AVERAGES
.318
<--- Kirby Puckett, MLB career
.318
<--- Vladimir Guerrero, MLB career
.318
<--- all batters at Coors Field, 1995-2001
Miguel
Álvarez Mesa @Miguellvar57837
I knew
about this story for many years. Conrado Marrero aka
"The Premier" has been one of the great pitchers of all time here in
my country. In MLB Marrero debuted at 39 years old and played for Washington
Senators from 1950 to 1954 [39-40; 3.67 ERA]
Died at
102 in 2014 in Havana
Jim
Koenigsberger @Jimfrombaseball
"Everybody's always talking about my strikeouts. If I
played every day, I could strike out maybe 400 times. I have no idea how many
home runs I could hit if I played every
day. I've never played every day."
In 1977,
became the only player to hit a home run for a team in the 4 different
divisions in the same year: Mets (NL East), Padres (NL West), Angels (AL West),
and Yankees (AL East).
Only
player to homer with both the Mets and Yankees in the same season.
Dave "King Kong" Kingman
34 comments:
If Jett Williams were 5'11", he'd be a future perennial all star. We'll find out who he is this year.
Clifford is 1 for 11 with no walks and 3 Ks. Before he takes over for Alonso, he needs to at least be the next Kirk Nieuwenhuis. A lot for Ryan to prove this year. He hit just .228 with 160 Ks in 129 games last year. Add 40 points to that average and bring the Ks down to one per game, and he might make a case for being ready for 2026.
He did walk 95 times in 130 games last year, a great rate, but I have to wonder how much of that was pitching around him because the Brooklyn and Binghamton line ups he was in sucked.
Speaking of first basemen, 48 hitters have appeared in Mets games so far - JT Schwartz? Nope.
The guy with the most Mets spring at bats so far? Jose Azocar, which I am sure you guessed right.
Kranick and Peterson were superb last night.
Tom is rolling…
I don’t see the Mets going hard after Vlad Jr.. It’s difficult to fit so many guys under the cap.
If pitching wins, then I’m very excited to see the Mets results this year. It’s hard to believe that the calendar just turned to March and we are already acting like it’s October.
What happened yesterday re: pitching made me very happy
The two innings from Senga three from Peyerson, and what Kranick is consistently producing is making things a lot less stressful in the pitching coach's office
You may be right about Vlad
How bout that guy in Miami named Sandy?
Just saw that Quintana signed with the Brewers for 4+M. Yet we have Blackburn and Canning for the same price....Yikes.
Disappointing defensive metrics on Morobito.
Nimmo feeling knee soreness. Growing very tired of this nonsense. Very brittle. Time to make him full-time DH or just trade him. He was my favorite player, now he's an afterthought. Stinks in the OF, his OBP keeps dropping. Very frustrating.
Q signing elsewhere for only one year makes me speculate that the Mets didn't even offer him that
Sandy would be great. Mack, after the update I would trade anyone for him, except Sproat or Tong.
I was so high on Jet Williams, now not so sure. Hearing those below average reviews about his fielding was very disheartening.
Joe P, Morabito, like any other prospect with speed, should be able to tighten his defense. I understand, though, that his arm will never be confused with that of Roberto Clemente. What an arm he had. Nimmo is yet another exhibit of the danger of long term contracts to anyone (not named Soto).
Mack, bet they didn't even make him an offer.
Tom, where then does he fit on this team. Trade bait for Sandy?
I just don't see a path for Jett either as a starting middle infielder or in center
I donsee a path for Morabito either
Tidwell, Williams and Morobito for Sandy A.
I had not seen that low rating on Jett's arm. That could be a limiting factor on where he plays. As a natural athlete, he could play in many positions, but with a 45 arm, it limits him a bit. Maybe he becomes the future 2nd baseman.
Miami doesn't want to finish this contract
2 years remaining
Never a better time than now to included a deal for a package that includes Blade Tidwell, Max Kranick, and Brett Baty
OMG.. . what happened to the game of baseball that I grew up loving? What the hell are Davenport runs? Do players now have couches out there on the field? Reading through that Morabito piece has me wondering whether they are talking baseball - z-con? 93rd percentile SEAGER ?? right-tail?? running a .390? What, are we in NASCAR now? Geez, what happened to the days when I could read about a guy that can get a runner home from scoring position.
And why can't teams and players just find the right position and play them there instead of all the freaking media debates. They drafted Jett Williams - what is their plan for him? Yeah things change to some degree, but it is really hard to see that the Mets have settled on anything for Williams, Acuna, or Baty for that matter.
I'm losing interest in this game.
And don't even get me started on those pitching graphs and 'stats'. Can the guy throw strikes and get hitters out? I don't want to take a calculus class to watch a baseball game.
so
i guess you don't like the graphs?
69, I'm with you 100%. College was a breeze compared to this shit.
There's nothing better than the eye test. They have ruined f***king baseball for me. See the ball, hit the ball, catch the ball...everything else is horseshit.
Half the guys playing today don't even have a high school education, how in the world can you expect them to understand this crap.
Max Kranick could have one of those seasons. Relievers doing reliever things.
(you don't really think they read this shit, do you?)
Let’s give out guys a chance…. Sandy is better than Vlad.
JoeP, Morabito needs to add power or he will be nothing more than an outfield reserve in the majors. Trade for Sandy? Why not, every team needs a Koufax. Sandy would be thrilled to pitch for a team like the Mets that can HIT.
Gus, Sandy now, Vlad later?
Feel the same about Morobito. Definitely Sandy now. Vlad, I will still pass. I still have my same reservations. Besides, Stearns is already saying can't sign that many high priced players at once.
Has there been any press about the Marlins wanting to trade Sandy? I am struggling to see why they would do that - a guy with reasonably team-friendly contract for a team that gets more revenue sharing than the rest of their salary commitments. It seems like the price for a pitcher like that would be awfully steep.
Tom, I agree with R69 that the price will have some pain to it. Last we saw this guy completely healthy, his ERA was under 2 and he was taking home some hardware. Hence, if I’m Miami:
Sproat, Gilbert, Williams, Acuna, and Parada
Also, JoeP what’s your blood pressure? Please relax about the Mets, remember they don’t care about us, they just need us.
A hard no on any trade where the letters S-P-R-O-A-T are involved at this point. Also T-O-N-G is pretty much untouchable in my book now. I suppose I could part with McLean, but even that would be pretty painful for a pitcher they don't really need to compete at the moment. It might be a little different if it were a massive hole they were trying to fill, but they don't have that now - Alcantara is a very good pitcher when healthy, but would be somewhat of a luxury at this juncture.
The Marlins have to raise their 2025 salaries by 30k... has to have this done by the end of the month or the league comes down with $$$ penalties for having a team salary below what they get from the league
Perfect landing place for Marte
Gus, substitute McLean or Tong in that Sandy deal.
Whose knee is worse, Nimmo or Marte?
Lol...Gus, pressures good. Just can't stand how fragile everyone is now.
Well, we appreciate the interest. We will take our stud, Cy Young winner with a less than 2 ERA and two years controlif y’all are afraid to even offer something akin to what Boston gave for a flash in the pan lefty.
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