Pick 16.480 – RHP – Gavin Guidry
– LSU
Gavin Guidry is a
right-handed pitcher (born July 14, 2003) from Lake Charles, Louisiana, who
played for LSU from 2023–2026.
He was selected by the New York Mets in the 16th round (No.
480 overall) of the 2026 MLB Draft.
Guidry was a highly touted two-way player (SS/RHP) out of
Barbe High School.
was the 2022 Gatorade Louisiana High School Player of the
Year, ranked as the top player in Louisiana by Perfect Game, and a national
top-65 prospect overall (also top-13 shortstop).
He had an outstanding senior year on the mound (8-0, 0.16 ERA, 83 K in 45 IP)
while also hitting well.
At LSU, he transitioned primarily to pitching (though he saw
limited action as a position player early on). He contributed to two national
championships (2023 and 2025) and was a key bullpen arm as a freshman and sophomore before dealing with injuries and
role changes.
2023 (Fr): 3-0, 3.77 ERA,
23 appearances (1 start), 28.2 IP, 42 K, 12 BB, 3 SV. Limited hitters to a .209
average; pitched in the CWS, including the final outs of the championship game.
2024 (So): 2-0, 2.59 ERA,
22 relief appearances, 24.1 IP, 36 K, 18 BB, 3–4 SV. Strong in postseason play.
2025:
Missed the entire season due to a back injury (herniated disc) requiring
surgery; received a medical redshirt.
2026 (RS Jr): Mixed results with starts and relief (5-3, ~5.6–6.4 ERA in
~43–44 IP, 59 K). He worked deeper into games at times but had some struggles with hard
contact late in the year.
He is known as a fierce competitor and emotional leader
("bulldog") with strong makeup. He worked at Driveline Baseball in
the offseason to improve explosiveness, stamina, and fastball command.
Pitching Repertoire
Guidry throws from a higher arm slot with an athletic
delivery. His stuff has evolved over time, especially as he added pitches and
worked on command/stamina for longer outings.
Fastball (primary pitch, often 75-80%+ usage in some
periods): Sits in the low-to-mid 90s (has touched 93 mph; earlier reports around 88-92).
It has good carry/rise through the top of the zone, which he likes to elevate
for swings-and-misses or to get ahead. He focused on locating it better and
maintaining velocity deeper into outings.
Slider
("go-to" or "hammer" breaking ball): A key strikeout pitch
with late movement. It can have gyro/vertical characteristics due to his
release (more north-south than traditional horizontal slider). Often his best
swing-and-miss offering.
Curveball:
12-6 shape with depth (earlier reports ~75-78 mph). He has worked to improve
feel and zone command for it as a third pitch.
Changeup:
Added/developed more in recent years for better arsenal depth (especially vs.
LHH and for starting). Good arm-side fade; he gained confidence in it during
2026.
He has also been mentioned working on a cutter in some offseasons.
In high school/early college, he showed a three-pitch mix (FB, CB with 12-6
shape, CH). By college, he expanded to four pitches (FB, SL, CB, CH) for better
sequencing and to keep hitters off balance, moving away from over-relying on the
slider.
Profile summary:
Guidry profiles as a high-floor reliever (or multi-inning
guy) with competitiveness, strike-throwing ability, and a strong breaking ball.
His slider and fastball shape give him a chance to carve out a pro career,
likely in the bullpen, though the Mets (or another org) may develop him
further. He has overcome significant injury adversity and contributed
meaningfully to championship teams.
MACK – this damaged pitcher looks like a real reliever that
will stay in various Mets minor league pens. When healthy.
Rating - C
Pick 17.510 – RHP – Cooper Dossett
- Arkansas
Cooper Dossett is a
right-handed pitcher (RHP) born April 10, 2004 (age 22 in 2026), standing
6'0" / 210 lbs. He is from Springdale, Arkansas (Har-Ber HS), played
college baseball at the University of Arkansas (Razorbacks), and was drafted by
the New York Mets in the 17th round (overall ~510) of the 2026 MLB Draft.
High school: Highly regarded
prospect (top RHP in Arkansas). Gatorade Arkansas Baseball Player of the
Year (2021-22) with a 1.06 ERA, 100 K in 52.2 IP, plus strong hitting. Showed
elite arm strength early (e.g., hit 100 mph from the outfield as a junior).
2023 (Freshman): Limited relief work (2 appearances, 1.2 IP,
high ERA due to small sample).
2024 (Sophomore): 14 relief appearances, 3-1 record, 5.17 ERA, 20 K in 15.2 IP.
Held hitters to a .137 BA; showed strikeout stuff but command was inconsistent.
Missed time later with arm issues
2025:
Redshirted after Tommy John surgery (UCL reconstruction); missed the full
season.
2026 (Redshirt Junior): Returned post-TJ; 16 appearances (1
start), 6.88 ERA in
17 IP with 18 K but 12 BB. Command was up-and-down in his first year back, but
he flashed high-end stuff.
Overall college line (limited IP due to role/injury): ~3-1,
6.82 ERA, 41 K in 34.1 IP. He was part of strong Arkansas pitching staffs
Repertoire and Stuff
Dossett is known as a flamethrowing RHP with electric
potential, though command has been a work in progress (especially post-TJ).
Fastball:
Primary pitch. Sits mid-90s, reaches upper 90s (topping 98+ mph). Described as having a flat approach with riding life;
plus velocity and ability to miss bats. In high school/early showcases, it was
90-95+ with low spin but good life.
Curveball:
Nasty, hard-breaking pitch with good whiff
rates (often called a power/12-6 or hard curve). High spin and sharp action; a
key swing-and-miss offering.
Changeup:
Mentioned in earlier scouting reports (firm, around 84 mph in high school with
some life/separation). Likely part of the mix but secondary to FB/CB.
Scouting summary: High arm strength and athletic delivery
(high 3/4 slot). Post-TJ, his fastball velocity held up well with
"electric flashes," but he needs better zone control and consistency to project as a
potential MLB arm (bullpen or starter traits).
Dossett fits the profile of a high-upside relief arm or
developmental starter with swing-and-miss stuff.
MACK –
Rating - F
3 comments:
This draft has made a pretty clear statement: the Mets don't like the pitching depth in their minor league system. They have chosen many pitchers, most of them past the almost obligatory stage of arm reconstruction. It is both a gamble and a recognition of today's environment for pitchers - they always get hurt. The gamble is on whether they can now move forward with better health and improved mechanics.
The common denominator here is velo and velo produces injuries
I like the two pitchers here, Guidry and Dossett. Odd that Guidry is from Louisiana and not related to Louisiana Lightning Ron Guidry.
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