7/30/20

Mets360 - No, Luis Rojas is not making all of the right moves


by Brian Joura

It’s frustrating to score five runs in a Jacob deGrom start, where he only allows two runs, and not win. There’s plenty of blame to go around and no one can look themselves in the mirror and say they are without fault. In a game that not only could have, but should have been won, the offense, defense and strategic moves all came up short.

Let’s start with deGrom. He gave up a double in the first inning but retired the other six batters he faced and seemed like he was in control of the game. In the first two innings he threw 26 pitches and only one of those was a changeup. And then in the third inning, 12 of his 17 pitches were changeups. He retired the first batter of the fourth inning on three fastballs. But he threw five more changeups to the next two batters and both players hit doubles off changeups before deGrom stopped forcing the pitch.

In 2019, deGrom threw a changeup 16% of the time, according to Pitch Type classification at FanGraphs. So why on earth, on a night when he hit 100 mph multiple times, would he throw his changeup 17 times in 29 pitches? A veteran with the resume of deGrom doesn’t get the benefit of the doubt on who’s calling the pitches.

After the second double of the fourth inning, deGrom threw 15 more pitches and only one was a changeup. In his final two frames, deGrom featured the changeup six times in 18 pitches, an elevated total compared to 2019 but nowhere near the extent of the third and early fourth innings.

The fourth inning was a self-inflicted high-stress inning for deGrom. But he cruised through the fifth and sixth innings. His pitch count sat at 88 pitches and after the back flareup in summer camp, Luis Rojas decided to go to the bullpen. But if you’re going to treat deGrom with kid gloves in the usage department, you can’t turn around and abuse the relievers. We’ve seen this particular abusive move from Terry Collins and Mickey Callaway and it never ends up good.

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Metstradamus - Sloppy Woe


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Now let’s be fair right off the bat: Games like this are going to happen when you go from 3 and 1/2 months of doing nothing after spring training was interrupted, to having a rushed summer camp and two exhibition games. Games like Wednesday’s 6-5 loss are going to happen.

That said, this was just sloppy, sloppy loss. From Brandon Nimmo’s questionable route on Mitch Moreland’s double to make it 1-1, to Rene Rivera’s horrible stab at a pitch which tagged Jacob deGrom with a wild pitch to make it 2-1, to Justin Wilson’s shaky 8th inning which culminated in a swinging bunt by Moreland which gave the Red Sox a 4-3 lead, and then Luis Rojas leaving Wilson in the game when he clearly didn’t have it (yes, there were bloops and bleeders, but Wilson was pitching his fourth game already and was probably gassed) to face Christian Vazquez and give up a two run single to him to put the game out of reach at 6-3.

Mike's Mets - Behold, A Pale Horse!

 

Apparently another Marlins player has tested positive for coronavirus, bringing their total infections to 16 players and two coaches. A friend of mine is convinced these are the end times, and the coronavirus is one of the signs. I'm not so sure that I agree with him but, if these are truly the end times, I expect when the four horsemen of the apocalypse ride in, the one representing pestilence will be wearing a Marlins cap.

The Marlins have been stuck in Philadelphia since the beginning of this story. That just seems like adding insult to injury to me, having so many players infected and being trapped in Philly. I've had nightmares that were less frightening than that scenario.

At least there's good news for the Phillies:

Hopefully the tests keep coming back negative and the Phillies can resume their schedule and escape the city - at least when there are road games on the schedule.

At some point I'd assume that the Marlins players are going to be allowed to leave and return home. MLB and the Marlins are still supposedly investigating the cause of the outbreak. There have been some reports that "at least one player" went out in Atlanta while the Marlins were playing exhibition games against the Braves before the season started.

If the Phillies keep testing negative then MLB has dodged a bullet on this one. If, on the other hand, multiple Phillies start testing positive, MLB has some interesting choices. The Marlins weren't expected to compete for a playoff spot, but the Phillies were expected to be in it. If, through no fault of their own, the Phillies were to lose multiple players, would they really be penalized by playing games with a depleted roster?

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I watched David Peterson's start yesterday live and then watched it again on DVR. He really impressed me. He didn't act like a rookie making his first major league start, and he didn't look like one, either. He showed a lot of polish, and his delivery was as smooth as I've seen out of a young pitcher. His stuff was solid, if not overwhelming, and he mixed it up well.

It will interesting to see how he does going forward. Other teams will have tape of him now and an idea of what to expect. They'll make adjustments to him, and he'll need to make them back. He has a nice, calm personality that will serve him well. One thing I always like to see is how a kid like that reacts when he doesn't have his good stuff and he's getting hit around. Not that I'd like to see that any time soon, of course.

One moment of curiosity for me came in the first inning, when Peterson struck out J.D. Martinez with a 88 mph pitch high and inside that was described as a changeup, but looked an awful lot like a cutter to me. It was strange placement for a changeup, and had a lot of break. A cutter would probably be a useful pitch for him to develop at some point. A lot of left-handers have used that pitch to good effect in order to get in on right handed hitters and offset some of their platoon advantage.

Peterson seems likely to stay in the rotation until Stroman returns, whenever that may be. Then the Mets would actually have some depth in starting pitching again, just like they were supposed to at the beginning of spring training about a million years ago.

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Sad news about Jose Reyes. I remember when he first came to town as a 20-year-old in 2003, when there was almost no reason to care about that Mets team. All on his own he brought the excitement to a 66-win disaster of a club.

His second time around with the Mets ended poorly, but it still felt kind of right for him to finish his career here in New York. I just wish he could have had the chance to leave baseball on his own terms, rather than "retiring" two years after anyone came calling for his services.


Tom Brennan: METS HAD TWO OF THE BEST TEENAGE PERFORMANCES EVER

Young, but talented




Recently, 19-year-old Juan Soto had one heckuva rookie year for the division rivals Washington Nationals. He had a WAR of 3.0, pretty remarkable indeed for one so young.  

Bryce Harper (5.2) and Ken Griffey Jr (3.3) were pretty sensational WAR-riors as teenagers, and no slouches after their teen years, either.

Enough about other team's teenagers. 


Talented teenage Mets? 



Well they had none other than teenager Eddie Kranepool, who at age 19 hit .257 with a .393 slugging %, and had a 1.2 WAR. Heck, Mickey Mantle was only a 1.5 WAR at age 19.  

Pretty auspicious company.  But Eddie couldn’t keep pace with the crosstown golden boy’s subsequent accomplishments.

Sadly and somewhat surprisingly, Eddie only had two of his many subsequent seasons with higher WAR.  Musta lost a step or two.

One might have thought that such an amazing hitting season at age 19 would have projected to real star potential down the road, but it wasn’t meant to be.


On the pitcher’s side, the 19 year old Mets phenom was, of course, the flamethrower with a Lord Charles hook, Dwight Gooden. Clocking in at a remarkable rookie 5.5 WAR.  

Only the Reds’ Gary Nolan, to my knowledge, did better WAR-wise at  age 19, and sadly for that talented righty, his last good season was at age 28. In 1977, at age 29, he was 4-4, ERA over 6.00, as he started to do his best Matt Harvey-in-decline imitation, and Nolan never made it to age 30 in the bigs.

To digress a bit, the Reds, at the same time Nolan was big for the Reds, Cindy brought up someone much older - 21 year old fire baller Wayne Simpson - who went 14-3, mostly by the All Star break of his rookie year, including 13-1, 2.27 thru the Big Red Machine’s first 80 games.  

But Simpson damaged his elbow, and ended up going just 22-28 over the rest of his career after 1970. 

Pitchers can sure be fragile.  


Where was  Dr. Tommy John when Simpson needed him?


As a final note:

As we fawn over our top draft picks, keep in mind another talented young feller...Bob Feller, who put up appreciable WAR numbers at age 19...and at age 18, too. 

No wonder that feller’s in the Hall of Fame.

And of course, speaking of young, who can forget  a former Met of renown...Anthony Young.

Lastly, one Met teenager averaged 18 Ks/9 in his age 19 year...Nolan Ryan.  

Sure, he fanned only 6 in just 3 innings, but that was after fanning 307 in 202 minor league innings that year (1966) - of course, he also walked 139 in those 202 innings as well.  One can only imagine his teenage pitch counts.




John From Albany - Wilmer Reyes and the Baseball America Prospect List



On Tuesday, Baseball America released their mid-season updated Mets Prospect List which I list below. 

Lots of great prospects.  But I have a problem with Baseball America’s list and other similar prospect lists.  No Wilmer Reyes. 

Seriously?

As I have said before, how many current Mets minor leaguers or Mets top prospects were the hands down MVP of a team that won a championship?

How many are clearly the most exciting player on the field with great defense, hitting, and very aggressive base running?

Wilmer’s 2019 numbers: .333/.350/.441 - .791 OPS; 5 HR; 33 RBI; 12 steals; 61 games; 229 at bats; 74 Hits; 32 Runs; 8 2B; 3 3B; 12 SB;

Wilmer is a very good fielder and he plays the game in a manner that fans will love.  He is extremely aggressive on the bases and he backs up that aggression with speed.

Could be his age?  Wilmer will turn 23 in December. Signing as an 18 year old in the Dominican Republic in 2016, Wilmer will also be eligible for the Rule 5 Draft this year.  
 
It could also be that last year Wilmer hit 63 points higher than he previous best season (2017) and had a OPS 77 points higher than his best (2018).

Maybe he is the next un-herald Mets prospect like Jacob deGrom, Pete Alonso, and Jeff McNeil to come up and make an impact. 

If other teams simply go by the Baseball America list, guess we won’t have to worry about losing him.

Baseball America’s List (Subscription required):


11. Josh Wolf RHP; 12. Kevin Smith LHP; 13. David Peterson LHP; 14. Jordan Humphreys RHP; 15. Junior Santos RHP; 16. Franklyn Kilome RHP; 17. Michel Otanez RHP; 18. Robert Dominguez RHP; 19. Alexander Ramirez OF; 20. Shervyen Newton SS;

21. Freddy Valdez; 22. Jose Butto RHP; 23. Richard Brito RHP; 24. Jaylen Palmer 3B; 25. Dedniel Nunez RHP;
26. Walker Lockett RHP;  27. Tony Dibrell RHP; 28. Daison Acosta, RHP; 29. Carlos Cortes 2B; 30. Ryley Gilliam RHP.

John From Albany – Mets Breakfast Links 7/30/2020

Good Morning. Andres Gimenez, shines but Mets lose to the Red Sox 6 to 5, Happy Birthday to Casey Stengel and Clint Hurdle, and Jose Reyes retires. 
  

Mets Links:

Red Sox 6 Mets 5. Jacob deGrom 6 innings, 3 hits, 2 runs, 1 BB, 4K, 88 pitches – 60 strikes; Seth Lugo 1 inning, 1 hit (HR), 1 run, 1 K; Justin Wilson, 2/3 inning, 3 runs, 3 hits, 3 BBs, 1 K; Dellin Betances 1/3 inning, 0 hits, no runs, 1 K; Jeurys Familia, 1 inning, 1 hit, 1 K; Pete Alonso 4 for 4; Brandon Nimmo 1 for 4, HR, BB, 2 runs scored, 1 RBI; Yoenis Céspedes 2 for 5,  HR (2); 1 RBI, 3 Ks;  Robinson Cano. 2 for 5, run scored; Andres Gimenez, 2 for 4, Triple, 1 RBI, 1 K;  Jeff McNeil 1 for 2 , 1 run scored, 2 BBs; Mets leave 26 men on base including 3 in the 9th to end game.  (Box Score).

Mets360.com: “Luis Rojas pulled him [deGrom] after six frames and 88 pitches. That decision came back to bite the Mets. Seth Lugo gave up a game-tying homer in the seventh inning. Another Rojas move didn’t work, when he removed Lugo after one inning and brought on Justin Wilson for the fourth time in six games. Wilson got himself in trouble with his command but was also the victim of some bloops and bleeders, which led to three runs by Boston.”

Metstradamus: “That said, this was just sloppy, sloppy loss. From Brandon Nimmo’s questionable route on Mitch Moreland’s double to make it 1-1, to Rene Rivera’s horrible stab at a pitch which tagged Jacob deGrom with a wild pitch to make it 2-1, to Justin Wilson’s shaky 8th inning which culminated in a swinging bunt by Moreland which gave the Red Sox a 4-3 lead, and then Luis Rojas leaving Wilson in the game when he clearly didn’t have it...”





SNY.TV: Mets takeaways from Wednesday's 6-5 loss to Red Sox, including Andres Gimenez's first two MLB hits. Another no-decision for Jacob deGrom, but the young shortstop shined.

SNY.TV: The Mets and Red Sox will finish up their four-game home-and-home set on Thursday at Citi Field. Steven Matz will take the ball against fellow lefty Martin Perez, with first pitch set for 7:07 p.m.

NY Post: Mets rookie David Peterson to get second start after strong debut. His next start would also come on the road, in Atlanta.


SNY.TV: Mets injury updates: Marcus Stroman throwing 'full tilt,' Robert Gsellman getting closer, Jake Marisnick to IL.





MLB Links:

Nationals 4 Blue Jays 0 (Box Score).

Braves 7 Rays 4 (Box Score).









NY Post: MLB investigating ‘massively disruptive’ incident that caused Marlins coronavirus outbreak. “As one official briefed on the Marlins’ situation said, “Something happened massively disruptive to the process that is not going on anywhere else.” MLB wants to know why. To decide whether the Marlins need further reinforcing of the health and safety protocols and to see if elements were missed in the protocols that could be updated.”



Asian Baseball:

Yakult Swallows 3 Hanshin Tigers 1 Nori Aoki 2 for 3 with a walk and a run scored (Box Score).

Nori Aoki is back in LF for today’s game (Box Score).


Yesterday’s games for the Aaron Altherr‘s NC Dinos, Drew Gagnon‘s Kia Tigers, and Chris Flexen’s Doosan Bears were postponed.

Aaron Altherr‘s NC Dinos game today was also postponed.


Born on this date:
Died on this date:
Transactions:

New York Mets released Jerry May on July 30, 1973.

New York Mets traded Rick Reed to the Minnesota Twins for Matt Lawton on July 30, 2001.

New York Mets traded Ty WiggintonJose Bautista and Matt Peterson to the Pittsburgh Pirates for Kris Benson and Jeff Keppinger on July 30, 2004.

New York Mets traded Scott Kazmir and Joselo Diaz to the Tampa Bay Devil Rays for Victor Zambrano and Bartolome Fortunato on July 30, 2004.

New York Mets traded Drew Butera and Dustin Martin to the Minnesota Twins for Luis Castillo on July 30, 2007.

New York Mets sold Mike Jacobs to the Toronto Blue Jays on July 30, 2010.

New York Mets released John Mayberry on July 30, 2015.

New York Mets signed free agent Justin Ruggiano of the Texas Rangers on July 30, 2016.


1966
In the fifth season of the franchise's existence, the Mets experience their first winning month when they beat Chicago at Shea Stadium, 6-3. With another victory tomorrow, the Amazins will finish July with an 18-14 record.
1969
Mets manager Gil Hodges, with his team trailing 8-0 in the third inning of the nightcap against the Astros, walks past Nolan Ryan on the mound and continues into the Shea Stadium outfield, where he asks Cleon Jones to leave the game after a brief conversation with the left fielder. At the time, reports indicate the star player suffered a leg injury fielding Johnny Edwards' double, but many believe it was the skipper publicly demonstrating that he would not tolerate lack of hustle on his team.

1969
During an 11-run top of the ninth inning at Shea Stadium, Astros Denis Menke and Jim Wynn both hit grand slams. Jimmy Wynn and Norm Miller score on each bases-loaded home run when Houston cruises to a 16-3 victory over the Mets.
2001
The Twins get Mets starter Rick Reed for outfielder and leadoff batter Matt Lawton. The 36 year-old right-hander, a member of the National League All-Star team this season, had compiled an 8-6 record with a 3.86 ERA with New York prior to the deal.

2014
Felix Hernandez becomes the first pitcher in major league history to make 14 consecutive starts of at least seven innings pitched with giving up two runs or less. The Mariners right-hander, known as 'King Felix,' breaks the record previously held by Tom Seaver, who established the mark in 1971 while pitching for the Mets.
2016
"With all due respect to Tom Hanks, there is crying in baseball." - MIKE PIZZA, responding to his emotional state about being inducted into the Hall of Fame and having his number retired by the Mets.
Mike Piazza, considered by many the greatest-hitting catcher in baseball history, has his number retired by the Mets, a team he played with for eight seasons, batting .296 and slugging 220 home runs. The 2016 Hall of Fame inductee is the second person, along with right-hander Tom Seaver (41) honored for what he accomplished as a player for the team and he joins managers Gil Hodges (14) and Casey Stengel (37) and baseball pioneer Jackie Robinson's (42), also recognized by the franchise for their contributions to team and to the sport.


1969: It is a bad day for the Mets at Shea Stadium. In the first of two games, Houston scores 11 runs in the 9th inning, eight coming home on grand slams by Jimmy Wynn and Denis Menke, to trounce the Mets, 16 - 3. This is the first time this century in the National League that two grand slams have come in the same inning, with Mets pitchers Cal Koonce and Ron Taylor teeing up the honors. The last time in the American League was July 181962. Taylor also serves up a single to Houston relief pitcher Fred Gladding, the only hit of Gladding's career in 63 at bats and 450 games. The second game is no different as the Astros tally 10 runs in the 3rd inning to thrash the Mets, 11 - 5. Curt Blefary triples with the sacks full and pitcher Larry Dierker (13-8) homers with a man on.

1989 - Mark Grace belts a two-out three-run homer off Rick Aguilera to give the Cubs a 6 - 4 win over the MetsLes Lancaster is the winner as the Cubs sweep three from the Mets.

2004: In separate deals with the Pirates and Devil Rays, the Mets gamble with their future, giving up top prospects to acquire major league pitchers who can immediately step into the rotation. Free agent-eligible Kris Benson and infielder Jeff Keppinger are obtained from the Pirates for infielder Ty Wigginton, pitcher Matt Peterson and infielder José Bautista, who came in a trade today with the Royals for minor league catcher Justin Huber, and Victor Zambrano and Bartolome Fortunato become Mets when Tampa Bay agrees to take New York's top pitching prospect, Scott Kazmir, and minor league pitcher Jose Diaz. It is Bautista's 4th organization of the season, returning to the system he belonged to last year.






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