9/30/24

Tom Brennan - Wacky Monday is Upon Us

MY ACE

So...the floundering Mets won, the unbeatable Braves lost, and the dithering D Backs won. Surprise, surprise, surprise.

Welcome to Baseball Monday. Only the Mets and Atlanta playing, and they play two today.

MLB's article on the Mets site summarizes the opportunities thusly (with my comments):

If the Mets sweep Monday’s doubleheader, they will earn the National League’s No. 5 seed and travel to San Diego for a Wild Card Series beginning Tuesday. (LONG TRIP AFTER A DOUBLEHEADER, HUH?)

If the Mets take one of two from the Braves, they will earn the No. 6 seed and return to Milwaukee for a Wild Card Series beginning on the same day. (SOUNDS 2 TIME ZONES BETTER TO ME THAN SAN DIEGO)

If the Mets lose both games to the Braves, their season will end without a playoff berth. (TEARS WILL FLOW)

Puzzling as heck to me on Sunday was pitching Sugar Diaz, with a 5 run lead and the potential of 3 hyper-critical games over the next 2 days to follow.  So if they need a closer, or at least need EDWIN DIAZ in close non-closing situations, will he pitch 4 times in 3 days?  Manager Mendoza, I hope you don't regret using Diaz with a 5 run lead Sunday.  

Moving on:

Lindor is a warrior, an MVP without the award; 

Alvarez returned amazingly quickly from the back spasms, had 2 hits and 2 RBIs and left with a hammy cramp, but says he is playing today; and 

The JD Martinez coma ended yesterday, with hopes he has a Ted Williams 1941 final season day (6 for 8).  JD, I read, was telling everyone in the clubhouse to stay loose and enjoy yesterday, because they weren't even supposed to be here. Great advice from a veteran.

That Brewers starter yesterday, Rea, had a 7.43 ERA over his last 7 outings, so the Mets had to flog their Adrian Houser - thankfully, the Mets hitters spanked him and did not turn him into Milwaukee's Chris Sale.

And...those who pay attention to my articles know I have referred to David Peterson several times recently as MY ACE.  Well, he was Koufax-brilliant yesterday.  Pitching only 2/3 of the season due to missing the first third, while recovering from hip surgery that I hoped would upgrade him to a Cole Hamels level, Peterson ended up here:

10-3, 2.90.  15-6 in the 21 games he pitched in.

My Ace.  Cole Hamels II.


HERE WE GO, BOYS AND GIRLS. BUCKLE UP.


This appears to be the Mets' likely starter strategy for today per Mets site:

How do the rotations line up for this doubleheader?

"The Mets will start (Reese's "favorite")  for Game 1, according to a source. That strategy allows them to strategically deploy one of their best pitchers, . If the Mets lose Game 1 and need to win Game 2 to advance to the postseason, they’ll start Severino in that one. If they win Game 1, they’ll save Severino for Game 1 of the Wild Card Series."

 - Megill has allowed 6 earned runs in his last 6 outings spanning 27.1 IP.

The Braves will start "not-so" Schwellenbach in game 1, and the very rested Chris Sale, if necessary in game 2.  

Obviously, the Braves would prefer to have Sale ready to pitch playoffs game #1 Tuesday night and not use him today.  So if the Mets can win game 1, it could royally screw the Braves' chances of playoff success.


  

Paul Articulates – It comes down to this day


An entire regular season has gone by, and although there are 28 MLB teams resting today, the Mets and Braves are still playing on.  We all thought it would be done by now – but as I wrote last week, the baseball gods were frowning on the Mets, forcing them to jet back and forth across the country on an extended season-ending road trip that defines their season.

One could easily say that the Mets were dealt the worst luck of any team – having two games cancelled before heading to Milwaukee.  But one could also argue that the Mets were in a mini-swoon and would have lost all three in Atlanta if they had played those games.  It certainly seemed that way when they put in some sub-par performances to begin the Brewers series.  With yesterday’s convincing rebound performance maybe the Mets restored some of their mojo just in time to play this “win and you’re in” doubleheader.

There are so many things to take away from this weekend, and so many more things to find out about this team today.  Let’s walk through a few things that stood out to me:

  • Lindor is going to lead this team with every ounce of energy he possesses.  We know his back is bothering him when he gingerly tries to stand back up after a slide or a dive.  We know that he will not let pain interfere, just by the fact that he IS sliding and diving.  His bat was still there after the layoff – he went four for twelve (.333) with a home run, two RBI, and two runs scored.  His leadoff single and subsequent steal set the tone for the Mets Sunday, and it seemed to pick them up from the funk they were in after being shut out the day before.
  • Mark Vientos and Jose Iglesias are two players that we can count on right now along with Lindor.  Both just find ways to get bat on ball and make things happen out there.  I just wish I could put Pete Alonso in this category, because the team desperately needs him to go on a power streak but it has just not been happening.
  • Thank goodness JD Martinez finally snapped that long oh-fer streak.  It was frustrating to him as much as it was for us – but we started to see some very loud outs recently so we knew he was close.  It finally broke with a freak bounce off the third base bag, but that wasn’t just luck – JD also singled and had a deep fly ball to the wall in center field in another at-bat.  My prediction - he will do something special in Atlanta today. 
  • The one thing I liked about JD not being in the lineup for a few days is that Tyrone Taylor got to play more.  He has been consistently good in the outfield wherever they play him and has come through with some big at-bats as well.  Sorry Harrison, but this guy has to play.
  • The starting pitching is still OK.  Yes Sean Manaea had a bad day on Friday when we really needed a good day.  But he will be back.  Quintana pitched very well on Saturday and did not deserve to lose.  It is such a relief to see him pitching well after a mid-season meltdown.  Peterson was brilliant Sunday in a game the Mets absolutely needed to win.   I am confident that Severino will pitch well today.  I am hopeful that Megill can muster a great start too.
  • The bullpen is still pretty shaky.  I am very nervous whenever guys like Reed Garrett or Adam Ottavino step to the mound.  I put my hands over my eyes when Danny Young gets the ball.  Phil Maton has been good, but they have worked him way too hard lately.  Butto is still good, but they have worked him way too little lately.  Diaz oscillates between fantastic and frightening.

This season has been a real test for Carlos Mendoza.  He has been faced with so many difficult decisions, but to his credit he is making them and living with any consequences.  On the surface he seems unfazed, but this season would drive anyone to the bottle (of Rolaids, of course).  

He made a decision on Sunday to throw Diaz in the 9th inning. Some thought he should be saved in case he is needed in both games Monday.  Others thought he should close out the must-win game so the team lives to play another day.  

Carlos made the call, and Diaz struggled through the half inning but did the job.  Maybe this was the right thing so he is properly tuned up – I would hate to think of what would have happened in Atlanta if he was this erratic.  On the other hand, he threw 30 pitches and now has to bounce back right away.

The next really tough decision is how to play out the doubleheader.  Both the Mets and the Braves need one win to get in, so the pressure is on to win game 1.  If you throw everything you have – Severino, Diaz, Lindor with a weak back, Alvarez with a weak back, JD Martinez on a bet that he’s hitting again – then you have to win or the second game will be even tougher to win.  

Atlanta has already decided to hold back Chris Sale for game 2 if needed so they are betting that the rookie Spencer Schellenbach can dominate the Mets for a third consecutive time this year.  Set up the chess board - it's Carlos Mendoza versus Brian Snitker.

Finally, enjoy the drama today.  This is the kind of baseball we hoped for.  Now our team has to rise to the occasion so we can play October baseball.  Let’s go Mets!


Reese Kaplan -- Looking Ahead to Shaping a 2025 Mets Roster


By the time this column runs the Mets could be guaranteed a playoff spot or crashed and burned in legendary fashion.  When you sit to write as I am doing late Sunday afternoon it’s not long from finding that outcome when I awaken Monday morning.

Right now I don’t want to focus on what could be or might not be with the very short remainder of the 2024 season.  Instead, I think it’s time to focus a bit on the Mets off-season priorities as they sprint or stumble their way into David Stearns’ and Carlos Mendoza’s sophomore Mets seasons.

Starting Pitching

Kodai Senga if healthy is a given.  Ditto David Peterson.  Tylor Megill is on the periphery.  After that it’s a big mystery.  There’s no Sean Manaea, no Luis Severino, no Jose Quintana, no Christian Scott and likely no Paul Blackburn.  With only one solid and consistent starter who missed all but a single inning of the 2024 season, it suggests that starting pitching is priority number one.  Peterson and Megill will be around depending on whatever else happens but no longer does the club have use of minor league options.  Negotiating hard with Manaea would certainly be cheaper than the top 5 free agent starting pitchers.

Relief Pitching

Edwin Diaz is back.  Dedniel Nunez (if healthy) is back.  Jose Butto is back.  Huascar Brazoban can be back.  After that i’s all a guessing game.  The late season veteran additions Ryne Stanek and Phil Maton can both walk away.  The AAAA support squad is suspect.

Infield

The big neon red question mark, of course, is Pete Alonso.  How the rest of the infield falls rests directly on his decision to stay or go.  After that the club has a plethora of in-house major and minor league options to fill the rest of the infield though it would mean first base is still something of a great unknown.

Outfield

Here’s it’s desperately murky.  Brandon Nimmo is back.  Unless traded away in his fourth and final season so to is Starling Marte.  Tyrone Taylor, D.J. Stewart, Harrison Bader, Jesse Winker and whomever else spent a few innings in orange and blue are not likely part of the equation. 

Bench

A lot of what the bench offers is dependent on how they resolve the starting assignments.  It would be good to return Jose Igelesias to the club but he may desire a regular starting assignment elsewhere and try free agency.  At this point of his career Jeff McNeil may have played himself into a supersub role instead of being a starter.  You’ll have a backup catcher who at this point looks like it should be Luis Torrens.  After that it would be some outfielders who can hit, run or field with aplomb.  A return of Tyrone Taylor would not upset anyone at all.

Rookies to Promote

Now here is where there is some reason to smile.  Luisangel Acuna and Ronny Mauricio will likely be coming north (assuming Mauricio has a successful winter playing ball).  After that you have the questions of Brett Baty, Drew Gilbert and Jett Williams.  The latter two likely need more time in AAA but Baty has done that role quite a bit already and it’s make or break time for him.

Adding Players From Outside

It’s premature when the exclusive negotiating windows have not closed on the Major League’s pending free agents so it’s not exactly clear yet who is available simply showing them the team’s growth plan and waving Steve Cohen’s money.  Similarly, until much later in the year trades are unlikely to happen, but it does appear the Mets have some folks who could be used to fulfill moderate needs in the pen, the outfield or on the bench.  Again, David Stearns has likely rated all potential trade acquisitions already, but like any good executive will keep that list unknown.

9/29/24

Prospect Live: 2025 MLB Draft: Top 75 Collegiate Prospects

 


Prospect Live: 2025 MLB Draft: Top 75 Collegiate Prospects

FULL LIST

 

1. OF Jace Laviolette, Texas A&M

 

Height: 6’6

Weight: 230

B/T: L/L

Draft Day Age: 21 YR 7 MO

Hometown: Katy, TX

At 6'6, 230 pounds, LaViolette is an extremely physical left-handed bat with some of the most robust power in the entire country. LaViolette has already cranked 50 home runs in his collegiate career and he may end up amongst the likes of Eddy Furniss and Frank Fazzini on the all-time list in the NCAA ranks. It's a controlled, violent, left-handed swing with a ton of bat speed and an optimal bat path for doing damage, as he's a legitimate all-fields power threat and has cleared the 115 MPH exit velocity threshold in 2024. His hips clear out quickly, allowing him to get leverage in his swing and do significant damage. 

The plate discipline is also solid, as he rarely expands the zone and has a knack for racking up the walks. Yes, strikeouts are part of his game, but he's got time to polish up the bat-to-ball skills. Despite his size, he moves quickly on the basepaths and in the field. He split time between all three outfield positions in 2024, though he logged a majority of his innings in center. 

His size, actions, and arm strength are suited better for a corner outfield position and that's where scouts envision his future home.

 

2. OF Cam Cannarella, Clemson

 

Height: 6’0

Weight: 180

B/T: L/R

Draft Day Age: 21 YR 10 MO

Hometown: Hartsville, SC

Cannarella stepped onto campus as an infielder, but a roadblock in the Clemson infield gave him an opportunity in center field that he has not relinquished. A gamer in every sense of the word, 

Cannarella is a dangerous hitter with some of the best contact skills in the entire country. It's a lovely left-handed swing built more for line drives right now, but he's shown flashes of raw power to the gaps and to his pull-side. There was a noteworthy change in Cannarella's approach in 2024, as he upped his fly ball rate and tapped more into his pop, as his average exit velocity was ~91 MPH. This led to higher swing and chase rates, though his bat-to-ball skills didn't waver much and his swinging strike rate was under 8%. That'll play. 

Cannarella figures to stick in center field long term, as his instincts, routes, and glove grade highly and give him the tools to handle the position. He also has above-average speed, though he didn't flash it this past spring due to a labrum injury he suffered in February. Assuming he returns to the field with a clean bill of health in 2025, Cannarella has the toolset to be a top-ten pick.

 

3. RHP Tyler Bremner, UC Santa Barbara

 

Height: 6’2

Weight: 180

B/T: R/R

Draft Day Age: 21 YR 2 MO

Hometown: San Diego, CA

The best mid-major arm in this class, Bremner has a legitimate shot at being the first arm off the board thanks to fantastic athleticism, starter traits, and exceptionally loud stuff. Bremner's body is uber-projectable with skinny, lanky limbs and the delivery is as easy as it can get, featuring little to no effort and excellent body control down the bump. 

His case for best arm in the class gets better with the arsenal. Bremner's fastball has seen a jump in velocity, sitting in the mid-90s presently and flashing 97-98 MPH in shorter stints with Team USA this summer. He can vary the shape of the heater, showcasing quality carry upstairs with some flatness and more tailing action at the knees. 

His change-up is his bread and butter, a double-plus offering with screwball-esque shape, high spin, and excellent velocity separation off the heater in the low-80s. Bremner has huge confidence in the pitch and can command it exceptionally to both sides of the plate. The slider has taken a jump forward, as well, becoming a two-plane monster with late bite in the upper-80s this summer. There's a chance for three above-average or better offerings with above-average command.

 

4. OF Devin Taylor, Indiana

 

Height: 6’1

Weight: 215

B/T: L/R

Draft Day Age: 21 YR 6 MO

Hometown: Cincinnati, OH

A physical left-handed bat with strength throughout his frame, Taylor is a legitimate power threat with burgeoning raw juice and he lets his quality athleticism play on the field. He built upon a stellar freshman campaign at Indiana with a .357/.449/.660 slash line and blasting twenty home runs, the first Hoosier to do so since Alex Dickerson smacked twenty-four in 2010. 

Taylor's pitch recognition is strong and his pure contact improved, jumping to a rate just under 80% in 2024 with chase rates that grade out as average. He's short to the baseball with a ton of bat speed and strength, allowing him to tap into his above-average to plus power in-game. His power plays to both sides of the field, utilizing the opposite field more this past spring, though the power plays better to his pull-side.

There's a good likelihood that Taylor will get some playing time in center field for the Hoosiers in 2025, though his average arm and speed, paired with his route running, likely relegates him to a future left field role. If he can prove to handle the "eight" in 2025, he may wind up being the first college bat off the board.

 

5. LHP Jamie Arnold, Florida State

 

Height: 6’1

Weight: 192

B/T: L/L

Draft Day Age: 21 YR 3 MO

Hometown: Tampa, FL

After a rough freshman campaign in Tallahassee, Arnold exploded onto the draft scene in 2024, striking out 159 batters in 105.2 innings to the tune of a 2.98 ERA. Arnold generates a ton of scap retraction in his delivery, but he's on time with his arm and he creates a tough angle to the plate with a slingy release. 

His fastball rarely cracked 90 MPH in 2023, but in 2024, Arnold's average velocity jumped to ~94 MPH and topped out at 97 MPH. His release point averages 54 inches in total and his heater has solid carry and run with flatness, allowing the pitch to jump on hitters quickly and miss bats aplenty. 

His mid-80s sweeper is his best secondary, landing the pitch for strikes consistently and averaging over ten inches of horizontal movement. He commands the pitch well and there's some backfoot capabilities to righties. It's as dynamic of a one-two punch as you can find in the amateur landscape. 

Arnold has feel for a mid-80s cambio that has some depth and fade to righties, though he's shown struggles commanding the offering. Given the arsenal, command, and starting traits, Arnold's chances of being the first arm off the board are high.

 

6. OF Brendan Summerhill, Arizona

 

Height: 6’3

Weight: 195

B/T: L/R

Draft Day Age: 21 YR 8 MO

Hometown: Chicago, IL

If you're looking for an outfielder that flat-out hits, look no further than Arizona's Brendan Summerhill. A long-levered, projectable athlete, Summerhill broke out in a big way in 2024, slashing .324/.399/.550 with 32 extra-base hits in 58 games for the Wildcats. It's a beautiful left-handed stroke with easy motions, lightning-quick bat speed, and an uncanny ability to backspin the baseball. 

There are very little holes in Summerhill's swing, as he has posted elite whiff rates (87% contact rate in 2024) and possesses great barrel feel. Summerhill likes to utilize the gaps often and there's legitimate pull-side juice in the stick, getting up to the 110 MPH barrier this past spring and given the projection, there may be more in the tank. 

Summerhill has posted above-average to plus run times and his defensive instincts give him a solid chance of playing center field, though he may get moved off to a corner spot in due time. He has the arm strength to handle right field if such a move occurs. All in all, Summerhill is in line for a massive junior campaign and has put himself into legitimate first-round conversation.

 

7. SS/3B Aiva Arquette, Oregon State

 

Height: 6’4

Weight: 220

B/T: R/R

Draft Day Age: 21 YR 8 MO

Hometown: Kailua, HI

Born in the same town as former New York Met Sid Fernandez, Arquette made the trek to the West Coast and flourished in his sophomore campaign for the Washington Huskies, slashing .325/.384/.574 with 27 extra-base hits. 

With Jason Kelly returning to the SEC, Arquette went south to Oregon State, where he'll suit up for Mitch Canham's group in 2025. Arquette's tall and projectable frame stands out on film and while he's played shortstop recently, he fits better at third base long term, where range, strong arm, and instincts will play. Offensively, there's not a ton of warts. 

Arquette's feel to consistently backspin the baseball to all fields is impressive and the overall power profile is robust, recording an average exit velocity of 93 MPH with a maximum of 112.9 MPH. That will come down a tick in pro ball, but it's every bit of above-average to plus pop. The contact skills are strong too, handling velocity and spin well. He does get overly anxious and is in no rush to take a free base, something that scouts want to see ironed out in 2025. 

Overall, it's a potentially robust offensive profile with the defensive chops to handle the hot corner.

 

8. 1B/OF Henry Ford, Virginia

 

Height: 6’5

Weight: 220

b/t: R/R

draft day age: 20 YR 11 MO

hometown: Charlottesville, VA

A draft-eligible sophomore, Ford is built much like an automobile mechanic. He's extremely physical with plenty of strength throughout his frame and he's a solid athlete despite his size. Ford has quality barrel control and a ton of bat speed and loft, allowing him to tap into legitimate plus power in-game. Ford does a great job of handling velocity, especially against 95+ MPH, though his overall swing decisions and spin recognition need work. 

Ford loves to swing the bat and will be aggressive with his approach, expanding the zone often, especially against breaking balls. His front foot and leg lift may give him some fits on adjustability, too. It'll be interesting to see what changes Ford can make to fend off some strikeouts in 2025. 

Defensively, Ford has been subjected to first base on campus due to Virginia's offensive depth, though it's been confirmed that he will be tasked with handling right field for the Cavaliers in the spring. Shedding the first base label will help take pressure off the bat and improve his draft stock.

 

9. C/OF Ike Irish, AUburn

 

Height: 6’2

Weight: 201

b/t: L/R

Draft Day Age: 21 YR 7 MO

Hometown: Hudsonville, MI

One of the most decorated recruits to make it to campus after the 2022 draft, Irish has cemented himself as one of the best SEC hitters in two years since. Irish has a beautiful left-handed swing that's direct to the baseball with quick hands and loud bat speed. Irish's swing plane and bat path are relatively flat, which makes him conducive for a hefty amount of ground balls. 

He does showcase leverage at times and can tap into average or better power to his pull-side, though he'll need to find a bit more consistency with that to avoid a ground ball rate over 50% like he had on the Cape. With that said, he has solid contact abilities and fends off strikeouts, though his high swing rate and aggressive nature means walks don't pile up often. 

Irish's defensive abilities behind the plate have gotten better, though there's a chance he's moved to a corner outfield spot. His receiving and blocking skills are fringe-average right now, though he's got a very strong arm that would certainly play in right field. This is a bat-first prospect with a lengthy track record of hitting that can't be ignored.

 

10. C Luke Stevenson, North Carolina

 

Height: 6’1

Weight: 200

b/t: L/R

Draft Day Age: 20 YR 11 MO

Hometown: Wake Forest, NC

Stevenson was highly touted out of high school last summer, but he chose to uphold his commitment to North Carolina and it has paid dividends for the freshman. He's eligible as a sophomore due to his age in 2025 and he's in line to be one of the first backstops off the board. He's built like a stereotypical catcher with a stout lower half and present strength throughout his body. 

He's got explosive motions out of the crouch and handles the run game well, showcasing a strong arm and pop times to second have been clocked at 1.9-1.95 seconds. He's a standout receiver, as well. Offensively, scouts have raved about the bat. Stevenson can get a bit overwhelmed by spin, but he possesses excellent barrel feel with quick hands and legitimate power to both sides of the field. 

He's already posted multiple exit velocities above the 110 MPH echelon in Chapel Hill and there's feel to lift the ball consistently. It's hard to find a catcher with these kind of tools on both sides of the ball, but Stevenson certainly has them.

2025 MLB Draft: Top 250 Prospects

 

1. Jace LaViolette, OF -- Texas A&M

HOMETOWN: Katy, Texas

HEIGHT: 6-6

WEIGHT: 230

BAT/THROW: L-L

One of the more physical players in this class, Laviolette shows over the fence power to all fields and a powerful left-handed swing. 

The 6-foot-5-inch Aggie hit 21 homers as a true freshman and stole 18 bases along the way. He parlayed that teenage performance into 29 more homers as a sophomore adding seven stolen bases for good measure.

Laviolette personifies the lefty-loop zone. The bat path is a joy to watch, and conducive to utilizing his double-plus raw power. LaViolette has fluid motions at the plate and violent hips that clear, making way to significant thump. Already very strong, LaViolette figures to be one of the slugging mainstays in the class. 

In terms of his approach, LaViolette posted well-above average chase rates as a teenager, and although his contact rates leave a bit to be desired, he has a ton of time to polish up those skills. His fly ball rates tend to ensure a hefty slash line regardless of any swing-and-miss he'll display.

Defensively, he's destined for a corner where his above average speed projection and above average throwing arm will stick long-term. LaViolette glides in the outfield and has shown tremendous feel for routes and spacial awareness. He can play an average centerfield in a pinch too.

 

the rest can be found BEHIND A FIREWALL on this LINK

20 college prospects for the '25 Draft

 


LINK

Here are the top 20 college prospects for the '25 Draft -

 

1. Jace LaViolette, OF, Texas A&M

Similar to 2024 Aggies teammate/Red Sox first-rounder Braden Montgomery, LaViolette is a physical (6-foot-6, 230 pounds) player who stands out most with his power and is destined for right field as a pro. 

He possesses solid speed and arm strength, comes with impressive walk rates (19 percent as a sophomore) but concerning strikeout rates (24 percent) and hit .305/.449/.726 with 29 homers (tops among returning NCAA Division I players) while leading Texas A&M to the Men's College World Series Finals in the spring. 

If he goes No. 1 overall, he'd be the first four-year college outfielder to do so since Darin Erstad in 1995.

 

2. Cam Cannarella, OF, Clemson

One of the best hitters and center-field defenders in the Draft, Cannarella slashed .337/.417/.561 with 11 homers as a sophomore while playing with a torn labrum in his right (throwing) shoulder that required surgery in July. A top-of-the-order catalyst, he has a quick left-handed swing and plus speed but will need to add strength and learn to lift more balls to get to average power.

 

3. Tyler Bremner, RHP, UC Santa Barbara

For the second time in a decade, the Gauchos could produce the first college pitcher drafted, with Bremner following Dillon Tate (No. 4 overall in 2015). He might have the best changeup in the Draft, a well-above-average low-80s weapon with fade and sink that works against both lefties and righties, and both his mid-90s fastball and mid-80s slider are at least solid offerings. 

He ranked fifth in D-I with a 0.88 last year while posting a 2.54 ERA with a 104/21 K/BB ratio in 88 2/3 innings.

 

4. Jamie Arnold, LHP, Florida State

Arnold misses a ton of bats with his fastball, which sits at 93-95 mph and touches 97 with plenty of carry from a low arm slot and flat approach angle, and his sweeping 82-85 mph slider. He hasn't employed his changeup much but didn't need it while logging a 2.98 ERA with a 159/26 K/BB ratio in 105 2/3 innings as a sophomore.

 

5. Devin Taylor, OF, Indiana

One of the best all-around offensive performers in the college crop, Taylor is a potential plus hitter in terms of both average and power and controls the strike zone. While he fits best in left field, he does enough damage to profile as a regular there and batted .357/.449/.660 with 20 homers last spring.

 

6. Luke Stevenson, C, North Carolina

Stevenson is both the highest-rated sophomore-eligible prospect and the top all-around college catcher. He hit .284/.420/.535 with 14 homers as a freshman starter on a Men's College World Series team, and he grades as solid in terms of power potential, receiving ability and arm strength.

 

7. Brendan Summerhill, OF, Arizona

Summerhill has one of the sweetest lefty swings in the Draft, not to mention advanced bat-to-ball skills that translated into a .324/.399/.550 line with eight homers in the spring and an all-star summer in the Cape Cod League. If he can add some strength and maintain his solid-to-plus speed, he could be a 20/20 center fielder.

 

 

 

8. Aiva Arquette, 2B, Oregon State

The highest-ranked transfer on this list, Arquette batted .325/.384/.574 with 12 homers as a second baseman last season at Washington and earns DJ LeMahieu comps for his 6-foot-4 build and hitting ability. A Cape All-Star as a shortstop, he laces line drives to all fields, could hit 20 or more homers per season and may fit best at third base with his average speed and solid arm.

 

9. Ike Irish, C, Auburn

The best offensive prospect among the college backstops, Irish slashed .319/.403/.627 with 14 homers during the spring before thriving with wood bats and earning all-star recognition in the Cape Cod League during the summer. His mature approach enables his left-handed power to play to all fields and he has a strong arm, though his receiving draws mixed reviews.

 

10. Wehiwa Aloy, SS, Arkansas

Aloy earned Western Athletic Conference Freshman of the Year accolades at Sacramento State in 2022 before transferring to Arkansas and hitting .270/.355/.485 last season. His combination of bat speed and strength produces high exit velocities and power to all fields, though he needs to cut down on his tendency to chase pitches out of the strike zone. He's a capable shortstop but could outgrow the position.

 

11. Caden Bodine, C, Coastal Carolina

A switch-hitter, Bodine is proficient from both sides of the plate and has some of the best contact skills in the Draft, recording an 8 percent strikeout rate while batting .328/.411/.523 with nine homers as a sophomore. His below-average power is a question, but he's a quality receiver with solid arm strength.

 

12. Daniel Dickinson, 2B, Louisiana State

Dickinson possesses one of the higher floors in the college class and transferred from Utah Valley State after batting .363/.468/.653 with 18 homers and 32 steals last spring. He makes consistent contact to all fields, has some pull power to go with average speed and shows fine instincts on the bases and at second base.

 

13. Nick Dumesnil, OF, Cal Baptist

The best position prospect in Cal Baptist history, Dumesnil broke out with a .362/.440/.702 sophomore season that included 19 homers, then earned Cape Cod All-Star honors after leading the summer circuit in doubles (12) and steals (26 in 27 tries). He chases too many pitches but still makes plenty of hard contact and his plus speed may allow him to remain in center field at the next level.

 

14. Ethan Conrad, OF/1B, Wake Forest

Seaver King climbed into 2024's first round after transferring to Wake Forest and Conrad could do the same as a right fielder with the chance for solid tools across the board. He slashed .389/.467/.704 with nine homers and a D-I leading 13 triples (including a record four in one game) at Marist during the spring, then finished second on the Cape in batting (.385) and OPS (.919).

 

15. Tre Phelps, OF/3B, Georgia

Few college hitters can match the sophomore-eligible Phelps' combination of contact and exit velocities, and he batted .353/.441/.699 with 12 homers while starting games at all four infield and outfield corners in his college debut. He moves well for a 6-foot-2, 204-pounder and sports average-to-solid arm strength, giving him a chance to stick at third base.

 

16. Trent Caraway, 3B, Oregon State

Caraway missed most of his 2024 freshman season after breaking his right middle finger on a bunt attempt, but he returned to showcase some of the best raw power in the Cape Cod League while earning all-star recognition. He combines bat speed, strength and an aggressive approach to crush balls to his pull side, though he'll need to prove he can make consistent contact and remain at the hot corner.

 

17. Gavin Kilen, SS, Tennessee

Kilen spent his first two college seasons at Louisville, batting .330/.361/.591 with nine homers last spring before becoming the most prominent member of a deep Tennessee transfer class. He always has shown a knack for putting the bat on the ball, though his raw power and speed are average at best and he may move to second base with the Volunteers because of the presence of the next guy on this list...

 

18. Dean Curley, SS, Tennessee

Curley earned Freshman All-America honors on Tennessee's 2024 national championship team, slashing .285/.386/.502 with 12 homers while showing off one of the stronger infield arms in the nation. He has a patient approach, plus raw power and the high baseball IQ to play quicker than his average speed at shortstop.

 

19. Ethan Petry, OF, South Carolina

Petry set a South Carolina freshman record with 23 homers in 2023, then launched 21 more last spring before earning MVP and top prospect accolades in the Cape Cod League, which he led in homers (11), on-base percentage (.360), slugging (.760) and OPS (1.240). Strikeouts are a concern, however, and though he has right-field arm strength, a lack of speed may push him to first base.

 

20. Nolan Schubart, OF, Oklahoma State

Schubart is more of a one-tool guy, but that one tool is prodigious left-handed power that has resulted in 40 homers and elite exit velocities in his two college seasons. His swing can get long and uphill, leading to contact issues, and below-average speed and arm strength limit him to left field or first base.

Tom Brennan: Careening Towards the Abyss


“NOT AGAIN!!!  NOOOOO!!!"

The Mets were two games up on Atlanta to start the final week, and ahead of Arizona slightly.  Sitting "Wild Card pretty".  But...

The Braves so far have decided to take the last week seriously, winning 3 straight so far, this week and 5 straight overall while the Mets have been moribund, and lost 3 straight in dismal fashion by a collective score of 19-5.  

Only Arizona has been cooperating and is essentially tied with the Mets.  The Mets have 3 very tough games left, the Deebs just one.  

If the Deebs win today, the Mets will have to this very day WAKE UP, START WINNING, OR GO GOLFING.

This reminds me of one of those movies where the driver on a winding mountain road suddenly goes unconscious, and the edge of the cliff gets closer.  Will the driver reawaken in time to not sail off the cliff? 

I have serious doubts this ends well.  It's a Mets organization thing.  

What they do best in their last 50 years.  Fail.

Keep in mind that even the blindingly bad Chicago White Sox have shown more cojones than the Mets.  

The White Sox had free-fallen to 33-116. A lock to obliterate the Mets' 40-120 disaster of 1962. 

But since 33-116, desperately trying to avoid the worst ever % win-loss record, they have won 7 of their last 12 to sit at 40-121.

Slap the unconscious driver hard.  Maybe he will wake up.


2014 Top 50 Draft Prospects

 


PlayerPositionSchoolBatsThrows
1
Photo headshot of Brady Aiken
Brady Aiken
LHPIMG Academy (FL)
A+
28LL
2
Photo headshot of Carlos Rodón
Carlos Rodón
LHPNorth Carolina State
MLB
31LL
3
Photo headshot of Tyler Kolek
Tyler Kolek
RHPShepherd (TX)
A
28RR
4
Photo headshot of Alex Jackson
Alex Jackson
CRancho Bernardo (CA)
MLB
28RR
5
Photo headshot of Nick Gordon
Nick Gordon
SS/2BOlympia (FL)
AAA
28LR
6
Photo headshot of Aaron Nola
Aaron Nola
RHPLouisiana State
MLB
31RR
7
Photo headshot of Kyle Freeland
Kyle Freeland
LHPEvansville
MLB
31LL
8
Photo headshot of Touki Toussaint
Touki Toussaint
RHPCoral Springs Christian Academy (FL)
MLB
28RR
9
Photo headshot of Sean Newcomb
Sean Newcomb
LHPHartford
MLB
31LL
10
Photo headshot of Bradley Zimmer
Bradley Zimmer
OFSan Francisco
MLB
31LR
11
Photo headshot of Grant Holmes
Grant Holmes
RHPConway (SC)
MLB
28LR
12
Photo headshot of Tyler Beede
Tyler Beede
RHPVanderbilt
AAA
31RR
13
Photo headshot of Jeff Hoffman
Jeff Hoffman
RHPEast Carolina
MLB
31RR
14
Photo headshot of Trea Turner
Trea Turner
2B/SSNorth Carolina State
MLB
31RR
15
Photo headshot of Brandon Finnegan
Brandon Finnegan
LHPTexas Christian
AAA
31LL
16
Photo headshot of Kyle Schwarber
Kyle Schwarber
CIndiana
MLB
31LR
17
Photo headshot of Michael Conforto
Michael Conforto
OFOregon State
MLB
31LR
18
Photo headshot of Sean Reid-Foley
Sean Reid-Foley
RHPSandalwood (FL)
AAA
28RR
19
Photo headshot of Max Pentecost
Max Pentecost
CKennesaw State
AA
31RR
20
Photo headshot of Derek Hill
Derek Hill
OFElk Grove (CA)
MLB
28RR
21
Photo headshot of Michael Chavis
Michael Chavis
3B/1BSprayberry (GA)
AAA
29RR
22
Photo headshot of Henry Gatewood
Henry Gatewood
1BClovis (CA)-28RR
23
Photo headshot of Monte Harrison
Monte Harrison
OFLee's Summit West (MO)
AAA
29RR
24
Photo headshot of Luis Ortiz
Luis Ortiz
RHPSanger (CA)
MLB
28RR
25
Photo headshot of Casey Gillaspie
Casey Gillaspie
1BWichita State
AAA
31SL
26
Photo headshot of Derek Fisher
Derek Fisher
OFVirginia
AAA
31LR
27
Photo headshot of Spencer Adams
Spencer Adams
RHPWhite County (GA)
AAA
28RR
28
Photo headshot of Foster Griffin
Foster Griffin
LHPFirst Academy (FL)
MLB
29RL
29
Photo headshot of Kodi Medeiros
Kodi Medeiros
LHPWaiakea (HI)
AAA
28LL
30
Photo headshot of AJ Reed
AJ Reed
1BKentucky
AAA
31LL
31
Photo headshot of Nick Howard
Nick Howard
RHPVirginia
AA
31RR
32
Photo headshot of Luke Weaver
Luke Weaver
RHPFlorida State
MLB
31RR
33
Photo headshot of Erick Fedde
Erick Fedde
RHPNevada-Las Vegas
MLB
31RR
34
Photo headshot of Nick Burdi
Nick Burdi
RHPLouisville
AAA
31RR
35
Photo headshot of Marcus Wilson
Marcus Wilson
OFJunipero Serra (CA)
AAA
28RR
36
Photo headshot of Braxton Davidson
Braxton Davidson
OFT.C. Roberson (NC)-28LL
37
Photo headshot of Michael Gettys
Michael Gettys
OFGainesville (GA)
AA
28RR
38
Photo headshot of J.B. Bukauskas
J.B. Bukauskas
RHPNorth Carolina
MLB
27RR
39
Photo headshot of Justus Sheffield
Justus Sheffield
LHPTullahoma (TN)
AAA
28LL
40
Photo headshot of Jakson Reetz
Jakson Reetz
CNorris (NE)
AAA
28RR
41
Photo headshot of Michael Kopech
Michael Kopech
RHPMount Pleasant (TX)
MLB
28RR
42
Photo headshot of Forrest Wall
Forrest Wall
2BOrangewood Christian (FL)
MLB
28LR
43
Photo headshot of Joe Gatto
Joe Gatto
RHPSt Augustine (NJ)
AAA
29RR
44
Photo headshot of Matt Imhof
Matt Imhof
LHPCal Poly San Luis Obispo
A
30LL
45
Photo headshot of Mike Papi
Mike Papi
OF/1BVirginia-31LR
46
Photo headshot of Milton Ramos
Milton Ramos
SSAmerican Heritage (FL)-28RR
47
Photo headshot of Cameron Varga
Cameron Varga
RHPCincinnati Hills Christian (OH)
A+
30RR
48
Photo headshot of Chris Oliver
Chris Oliver
RHPArkansas
A
31RR
49
Photo headshot of Chase Vallot
Chase Vallot
CSaint Thomas More (LA)
AAA
28RR
50
Photo headshot of Ti'Quan Forbes
Ti'Quan Forbes
3BColumbia (MS)-28RR