6/25/24

SAVAGE VIEWS – Buying and Selling

A baseball icon is gone with the passing of Willie Mays. 

In my 75 plus years of following baseball, he was the best player I ever saw.  No one else comes close. This was a player that could do it all. 

He hit for both power and average, his defense was second to none and his base running skills were exceptional. Not only was he a great player but he was durable. 

It’s fair to wonder how many Hall of Fame players would have excelled in today’s environment. Willie would have been the best player today outshining the Sotos, Judges and Ohtanis, etc. He was the last surviving player from the 1951 playoff game between the Giants and Dodgers.  I was at that game as a ten-year-old playing hooky from school.  Wonder how many of us are still around.

Here we are two games under 500 with a tough week ahead and no Diaz to save the day. Hard to believe but the Yankees with Judge and Soto have outscored the Mets only by a third of a run per game – Judge with his incredible numbers accounts for the difference. 

On the other hand, the Yankees pitching outclasses the Mets by a run per game.  As we move toward the halfway point of the season and in the hunt for a playoff spot, it’s fair to wonder if we should be buyers or sellers.

With the return of Senga and the expected promotion of Scott, it appears that we have a surplus of starting pitchers.  Tylor Megill has shown an inability to go deep in games and probably is best suited for the bullpen.  Goodness knows the pen can use a power arm.  

It seems likely that at least one of Severino, Quintana and Manaea will be on the move.  The hope is that the return will provide immediate results to improve the bench and pen.

I find it hard to justify giving Tyrone Taylor and DJ Stewart regular playing time at the expense of others. Jeff McNeil is another many want to move on from.  However, it’s unlikely trading Jeff will bring much in return.  I’d be inclined to retain Jeff as a super-sub.  

Pete Alonso has been the speculation of numerous trade rumors.  Pete is not going anywhere this season, although his future with the team is uncertain.

 I would not be unhappy if JD Martinez finds a new home.  His value is high and could bring a nice prospect in return. I was never a fan of signing him although, I admit, his recent production has been solid. I still contend that had we started the year with Baty and Vientos as regulars, our record would have been better. Who knows?

Whatever moves are made should be done with long-term goals in mind.  Getting under the salary cap would be a definite plus.  After this week, the schedule gets noticeably easier.  I can see the team winning around 87-88 games which would qualify us for post-season play.

Ray

June 25, 2024

MACK - Tuesday Morning Observations


Observations… 

 Waves go in… waves go out… seems so does the Mets depth future in the outfield. 

I don’t know where you are regarding whether this team should stand pat this season, trade prospects for rentals, or sell off assets for prospects… Frankly, I have no idea where I am today. But what I do know is: 

Starlin Marte, if you keep him, is gone in 2026. 

Brandon Nimmo has not lived up to his contract extension. 

Harrison Bader will never reach the potential they said about this guy when he came out of school. 

Tyrone Taylor is filler at best. 

Ditto D.J. Stewart. 

Drew Gilbert no longer projects to be ready to roam Citi on opening day 2025. 

Ryan Clifford needs to do more than hit an occasional home run. 

Alex Ramirez has gone south again. 

On the bright side, Luisangel Acuna looks like he will be ready to slot into center next season and Nick Morabito looks real, though isn’t projected until late 2025/OD 2026.

 And forget Willy Fanas, A.J. Ewing, and Simon Juan. They are pipe dreams right now.

 If I was sitting “in the chair”, the least I would send out of the dugout to play the first inning of opening day, is Nimmo, Acuna, and Marte or Bader under a new one year deal.

But...

Can we find someone one on the teams, that are out of the race, to trade an equally talented prospect at a different position.

Teams in this category would be the Marlins, Rockies, A's, CWS,and LAA.

We are looking for outfielders at the AAA level, or AA starters that can be bumped to Syracuse immediately after a trade so they line up for an MLB assignment next season.

Here they are...

    (stats thru 6-21)

CWS

Wilfredo Veras  21/yrs.  RHH

AA:  221 AB. 74 K. 10 HR

   .272/.301/.472/.762

    raw power.  30 HR potential

    Too many whiffs


OAK


Denzel Clark   24/yrs.  RHH

AA:  184 AB. 79 K

    .217/.275/.364/.639

   2023 - shoulder surgery

   Strong arm. ++ speed. CF

   ++ Offensive potential 

       (So they say)


LAA

 

Nelson Rada.  18/yrs. LHH

AA: 224 AB. 61 K. 

.223/.295/.259/.554

Average arm.  Being rushed


COLO


Yanquiel Fernandez 

    LF    22/yrs  RHH

    AA:  189 AB. 42 K

   .275/.330/.402/.732

    5 HR. 33 RBI

  middle lineup potential 

   Raw power


Jordan Beck  3-OF  23/yrs. LHH

  AAA: 101 AB  24 K  .307

  MLB:  79 AB  30 K  .190

  huge power potential

  + arm/defense 

  Struggling with adjustment


Zac Veen  22/yrs.  RF/LF. LHH

  AA: 95 AB. 28 K. 5 HR

      .326/.418/.568/.987

   2023 - hand injury

  currently 7 d-IL back strain

 .superstar potential if healthy


MIA


Javier Sanoja.  2B/CF/SS

    21/yrs.   RHH.  5'7"

  AAA:  194 AB. 11 K. 2 HR

     .309/.367/.443/,810

Great contact hitter

Loves upper zone

Great runner and stealer


Victor Mesa Jr.   L/R/CF

   22/yrs.   LHH

AAA:  253 AB. 58 K. 11 HR. 38 RBI

    .261/.325/,447/,772

Great instinct at all 3 positions

Above average arm strength

Average speed.  

Projects to corners


Jakob Marsee   CF/R/L

    22/yrs.     LHH

AAA (SD & MIA):  219 AB. 56 K

5 HR.  .187/.337/,315/.654

did well at lower levels

++ speed.  Projected more pop


As you can see, there is some talent here to go after.

Veras at San Diego would probably be the easiest to obtain

Veen is just too fragile for me 

I particularly love the power potential of Beck.

The toughest to obtain will probably be anyone on the Marlins.

Trade candidates: one of the Mets Latin catchers, Tidwell, Butto, McLean 


I'm just so pissed at Edwin Diaz

The team was one game out of the Wild Card and he can't take five seconds to wash his freaking hand, go the ump a clean hand, and then go to the mound and dirty up your throwing hand with dirt, spit, and resin?

A 10 GAME during a pennant race

I would so trade this guy for chips. 


















6/24/24

Tom Brennan: A Few Bats Heating Up in AA and AAA; Sugar-Free

WHY IS ACUNA SMILING? 

(PHOTO: RICHARD NELSON)

Very short note:

In AAA, Luisangel Acuna started June 1 for 16 (frown).

Since then, he is 23 for 61 (smile), including 3 hits on Sunday.

He is up over .270.

Steals bases, good D, versatile,

In AA, Kevin Parada in his last 4 games is 6 for 14 with just two Ks.  

Maybe he is trying something different.

I said it was very short.

Well, it was, until Sugar got himself and the Mets into a very sticky situation, which is just another weird Mets thing. Good timing, with the Yanks and (of course) suddenly hit Astros up next.

I ear his favorite Rolling Stones album is sticky fingers. Caps optional.

Paul Articulates – The rise of Mark Vientos


Mark Vientos was one of the “Baby Mets” that were touted prospects having strong seasons in the minor leagues in 2022.  Baty, then Alvarez, then Vientos got their call-ups that season to show what they could do.  None of them fared particularly well, although Baty’s first at-bat was a home run.  But it was important to get them an introduction to the major leagues.  

In 2023, the expectation was that they would see a lot more action, and mature as players.  Baty and Alvarez got their time, but strangely and to the dismay of the many people who follow the Mets, Vientos rode the bench much more than he played.  The 2023 season was a disaster for the team, so there was very little reason to hold the rookie back from a chance to prove himself but it didn’t happen.  Vientos played in half the games that Baty did and many less than Alvarez who spent time on the IL.

After a good spring training in 2024 where he posted a .795 OPS, everyone thought he would go north with the Mets.  Instead, after the Mets made a surprising last minute acquisition of JD Martinez to become the full-time DH, Vientos was sent back to AAA Syracuse.  He played very well there, posting a .878 OPS and was called up on April 27th, only to be sent back down again on April 30th.  

On the 15th of May Mark Vientos was called back to the big league club again to replace a struggling Brett Baty.  Vientos seized the chance, slashing .310/.370/.548 for the rest of May to make a statement that he belongs on the big league club.  In June, as an integral part of the Mets’ resurgence, Vientos has continued to show his value including a massive 451 foot homer to center field in Wrigley Park last night.

Mark has shown great determination and composure through the entire process.  He continued to work hard in the face of adversity because he knew that was the only way to prove his worth.  When he was sent to Syracuse right after the Martinez acquisition you could see the disappointment on his face during the interviews, but he did not bemoan the organization’s choice – he accepted the assignment and dug in.  There is no denying that he belongs on this team – his .870 OPS is tied with Martinez for the best on the Mets for players with over 100 at-bats this season.  With a team full of guys who have not shown much mental toughness during the adverse periods of the 2023 season and the first two months of this year, Vientos is proving to be the toughest.

It is not clear to me where Mark fits in the Mets’ future yet.  He certainly belongs in the lineup, but his fielding at 3B is adequate at best.  With Pete still at first and a talented outfield on the current team there are not a lot of places to go.  To Mark’s credit, his fielding is much improved over past efforts at third.  With all the uncertainty about what the roster will look like after the trade deadline, there are certainly going to be some opportunities that will arise but it is too early to speculate.

So for now, it is time to celebrate a fellow who has powered through much adversity as he chased his dream to be a valued member of a MLB roster.  It looks like he caught it. 


Reese Kaplan -- What if .500 is All the Mets Can Achieve?


Let’s take a moment to consider how the Mets might construct their team if they tread water between now and the end of July without gaining traction in the wild card race.  Granted they are at this juncture within sniffing distance a single game back, but there are pretty much every team in the National League in contention with just 3-4 non-contenders.  The odds are slim but they are indeed possible (particularly when the team regains Kodai Senga as a member of the starting rotation).

However, if the club doesn’t fall flat but instead meanders around .500, then you have a difficult decision to make.  Do you take the razor thin chance you can catapult over everyone else with a few hot streaks by various players performing at their best, or do you run the risk of alienating the majority of the fan base anxious for immediate October baseball by trading away pieces that could be critical to achieving an improbable rally to a postseason berth. 

Today we will examine briefly what happens if indeed the owner and POBO agree that if you’re not going to win it all in 2024 then you need to do what’s best for 2025 and beyond, what’s best for the payroll and open up some opportunities for younger players to get into the lineup regularly for the final 60 games of the season. 


Right now Brett Baty is performing in AAA much like Mark Vientos had when he finally forced his way into the New York lineup.  People still are not sure what type of hitter Baty will become but the only way to find out is, lumps and all, play the man every day and let him make the adjustment to major league pitching which thus far he’s been unable to do. 

To be fair, all players go through growing pains when advancing a level up to the majors.  Even Hall of Famer Mike Schmidt was a sub-Mendoza player as a rookie.  Did the Phillies give up on the man?  No one is expecting Baty to achieve a Cooperstown career, but can he be a solid major leaguer?  We won’t know unless the management team and Carlos Mendoza are committed to finding out for sure.

Closer to home, take Mark Vientos.  For his return to Queens he was absolutely on fire.  No one expected him to hit .330 nor maintain an OPS over 1.000.  He’s been slumping badly the last several days but that downturn followed a pair of 3-hit games.  He’s a work in progress as well and deserves the opportunity to learn and adjust.

A full 2025 approach would make room for both Baty and Vientos to play every day at 3B and either 1B or DH respectively.  For that lineup possibility to happen it means making either or both of J.D. Martinez and Pete Alonso available in trade.  The former is a tough pill to swallow but he’s on a one year deal and is entering the tail end of his career while still being a productive hitter.  At his modest salary he’s an easy candidate to exchange for future help. 

The Pete Alonso situation is, of course, quite different.  He’s a free agent to be, he’s turned down a contract extension offer and now has engaged Scott Boras as his agent as he attempts to secure his playing and financial future through the open bidding process known as free agency.  If he is dead set against any preemptive offer to remain a Met, swallow hard and make a trade to enhance the future roster instead of losing him for nothing.

I won’t delve into the outfield situations, the starting pitchers on expiring contracts and the relievers in a similar situation.  Right now the question is whether or not Baty and Vientos show enough to pencil them into the 2025 future or if other players need to be auditioned for their positions.  

6/23/24

MACK - FSS Plus - 2024 MLB Draft: Mock Draft 5.0


 

FSS Plus - 2024 MLB Draft: Mock Draft 5.0 - LINK 

 

1. Cleveland Guardians

Chase Burns, RHP — Wake Forest

HOMETOWN: Gallatin, TN

HEIGHT: 6-4

WEIGHT: 215

BAT/THROW: R-R

 

2. Cincinnati Reds

Charlie Condon, OF — Georgia

HOMETOWN: Marietta, GA

HEIGHT: 6-6

WEIGHT: 218

BAT/THROW: R-R

 

3. Colorado Rockies

Jac Caglianone, 1B/LHP — Florida

HOMETOWN: Tampa, FL

HEIGHT: 6-5

WEIGHT: 210

BAT/THROW: L-L

 

4. Oakland Athletics

Travis Bazzana, 2B — Oregon State

HOMETOWN: Sydney, Australia

HEIGHT: 6-0

WEIGHT: 199

BAT/THROW: L-R

 

5. Chicago White Sox

Konnor Griffin, SS/OF — Jackson Prep HS

HOMETOWN: Florence, MS

HEIGHT: 6-4

WEIGHT: 205

BAT/THROW: R-R

 

6. Kansas City Royals

Nick Kurtz, 1B — Wake Forest

HOMETOWN: Lancaster, PA

HEIGHT: 6-6

WEIGHT: 230

BAT/THROW: L-L

 

7. St. Louis Cardinals

Bryce Rainer, SS/RHP — Harvard-Westlake

HOMETOWN: Simi Valley, CA

HEIGHT: 6-3

WEIGHT: 199

BAT/THROW: L-R

 

8. Los Angeles Angels

Trey Yesavage, RHP — East Carolina

HOMETOWN: Boyertown, PA

HEIGHT: 6-4

WEIGHT: 230

BAT/THROW: R-R

 

9. Pittsburgh Pirates

Braden Montgomery, OF/RHP — Texas A&M

HOMETOWN: Madison, MS

HEIGHT: 6-2

WEIGHT: 220

BAT/THROW: B-R

 

10. Washington Nationals

JJ Wetherholt, 2B/3B — West Virginia

HOMETOWN: Mars, PA

HEIGHT: 5-11

WEIGHT: 190

BAT/THROW: L-R

 

11. Detroit Tigers

Cam Caminiti, LHP — Saguaro HS

HOMETOWN: Scottsdale, AZ

HEIGHT: 6-2

WEIGHT: 205

BAT/THROW: L-L

 

12. Boston Red Sox

Hagen Smith, LHP — Arkansas

HOMETOWN: King, NC

HEIGHT: 6-3

WEIGHT: 222

BAT/THROW: L-L

 

13. San Francisco Giants

Cam Smith, 3B — Florida State

HOMETOWN: Lake Worth, FL

HEIGHT: 6-3

WEIGHT: 222

BAT/THROW: R-R

 

14. Chicago Cubs

James Tibbs III, OF — Florida State

HOMETOWN: Marietta, GA

HEIGHT: 6-0

WEIGHT: 195

BAT/THROW: L-R

 

15. Seattle Mariners

Kash Mayfield, LHP — Elk City

HOMETOWN: Elk City, OK

HEIGHT: 6-4

WEIGHT: 200

BAT/THROW: L-L.

 

16. Miami Marlins

Tyson Lewis, SS — Millard West

HOMETOWN: Yutan, NE

HEIGHT: 6-2

WEIGHT: 205

BAT/THROW: L-R

 

17. Milwaukee Brewers

Seaver King, SS/OF — Wake Forest

HOMETOWN: Athens, GA

HEIGHT: 6-0

WEIGHT: 190

BAT/THROW: R-R

 

18. Tampa Bay Rays

Wyatt Sanford, SS — Independence

HOMETOWN: Frisco, TX

HEIGHT: 6-1

WEIGHT: 185

BAT/THROW: L-R

 

19. New York Mets

Vance Honeycutt, OF — North Carolina

HOMETOWN: Salisbury, NC

HEIGHT: 6-3

WEIGHT: 185

BAT/THROW: R-R

 

The Mets seem like the perfect organization to get the most out of Honeycutt’s raw, unpolished tools, and they like him. It’s plus raw power, double-plus defense in centerfield, plus speed, and a solid-average arm.

 

Honeycutt struggles to make consistent contact, resulting in a strikeout rate that might be unsavory to most organizations. But the Mets have been a solid organization in terms of developing hitters of late. They’ve also added a lot of brain power to the front office in recent years and should have that ship firing on all cylinders soon.

 

20. Toronto Blue Jays

Tommy White, 1B/3B — LSU

HOMETOWN: St. Pete Beach, FL

HEIGHT: 6-2

WEIGHT: 235

BAT/THROW: R-R

 

21. Minnesota Twins

Slade Caldwell, OF — Valley View HS

HOMETOWN: Jonesboro, AR

HEIGHT: 5-6

WEIGHT: 183

BAT/THROW: L-L

 

22. Baltimore Orioles

Carson Benge, OF — Oklahoma State

HOMETOWN: Yukon, OK

HEIGHT: 6-2

WEIGHT: 185

BAT/THROW: L-R

 

23. Los Angeles Dodgers

Theodore Gillen, INF/OF — Westlake HS

HOMETOWN: Austin, TX

HEIGHT: 6-3

WEIGHT: 200

BAT/THROW: L-R

 

24. Atlanta Braves

William Schmidt, RHP — Catholic HS

HOMETOWN: Baton Rouge, LA

HEIGHT: 6-3

WEIGHT: 185

 

25. San Diego Padres

Kellon Lindsey, SS — Hardee HS

HOMETOWN: Wauchula, FL

HEIGHT: 6-0

WEIGHT: 175

BAT/THROW: R-R

 

26. New York Yankees

Griffin Burkholder, OF — Freedom

HOMETOWN: South Riding, VA

HEIGHT: 6-2

WEIGHT: 195

BAT/THROW: R-R

 

27. Philadelphia Phillies

Brody Brecht, RHP — Iowa

HOMETOWN: Ankeny, IA

HEIGHT: 6-4

WEIGHT: 205

BAT/THROW: R-R

 

Brecht is a name that is tough to pin down. Toronto seems to like him and he’s been mentioned in conversation inside of that pick too. But in this scenario, he falls to Philadelphia, an organization never too shy about selecting pitching.

 

Brecht seems like a good value with the 27th pick in this draft. It’s clearly the floor of a dominant closer who could shut down games as early as 2025, but Brecht still has top-of-the-rotation upside if Philadelphia can straighten out the strikes. This is a crapshoot guess as there are plenty of exciting players still on the board here.

 

28. Houston Astros

Caleb Bonemer, SS/3B — Okemos

HS HOMETOWN: Okemos, MI

HEIGHT: 6-1

WEIGHT: 200

BAT/THROW: R-R

 

29. Arizona Diamondbacks

Ryan Sloan, RHP — York Comm

HOMETOWN: Elmhurst, IL

HEIGHT: 6-4

WEIGHT: 220

BAT/THROW: R-R

 

30. Texas Rangers

Payton Tolle, LHP — TCU

HOMETOWN: Yukon, OK

HEIGHT: 6-6

WEIGHT: 225

BAT/THROW: L-L