7/13/23

Tom Brennan - Performers in the Mets Top Prospects 11 Thru 30 Rankings


How are 11 thru 30 doing?

A week or so ago, I took a look at each of the top 10 ranked Mets candidates to see how they were doing versus where they were wrong. Performing well? Performing poorly?  I opined. 

Today I thought I would look at the performances of players ranking numbers 11 through 30 on the Mets website, not my Top 30, with a footnote at the end of the article naming those who belong in the Top 30 instead of some MIAs and non-performers.

I will thus subtract some annd add in “replacements”, as so-called scab Rick Reed would prefer they be called. 

Here goes:

11. Coleman Crow - first and best of the 2 hurlers acquired in the Escobar deal. The 22 year old AA righty was on fire in April, but missed the last 10 weeks with elbow tenderness. We’ll have to see if he returns after the ASB.

12. Nick Morabito - started very slowly, but 20 year old Nick has gone 10 for his last 24 in the FCL and seems prepared for takeoff.

13. Jose Butto - 2-3, 5.72 in AAA. Should be in the high 20s, if in the top 30 at all.

14. Layonel Ovalles - 2-4, 4.50 in St Lucie. He is 20. We’ll see.

15. Jacob Reimer - Reimer is raking at age 19. Soon to be a top 10 guy.

16. Dangelo Sarmiento - just 4 for 26 in the FCL. His being in the Top 30 is premature.

17. Junior Santos - he simply has not pitched well since he was 16 years old so I’m not sure why he be ranked 17th.

18. Landon Marceaux - 2nd arm in Escobar deal. 3-7, 5.37, just 49 Ks in 64 IP. Doesn’t scream “Top 30” to me, while Paul Gervase does. Paul has 54 Ks in 34 IP and a 1.04 ERA in Brooklyn.

19. Jordany Ventura 23 years old, 4-3, 5.67 in St Lucie. 1.80 WHIP.  Top 30?

20. Stanley Consuegra - .239 in 184 at bats in Brooklyn. 7 HRs. Career .238.  Turns 23 in September. Gotta do better.

21.Bryce Montes de Oca - out all year, why have him on this list? Put Houck here.

22. Matt Allan - out all year, why I have him on this list? Put Sproat here.

23. Luis R Rodriguez - missed 2022, 3 innings since he’s back. Grade incomplete.

24. Javier Atencio - 0-9, 9.84. Not top 30 until that is fixed. Bottom 30, maybe.

25. William Lugo - Brooklyn has been a challenge for the 21 year old. 7 HRs, 24 RBIs, .210 in over 200 ABs. Jose Peroza deserves this spot more.

26. Willy Fanas - started slow, at .133 in mid-June in the FCL, but climbed it swiftly to .227 with a lot of hits over the past 3 weeks. 2 HR, 2 SB, outfielder.

27. Grant Hartwig - dude is in the friggin’ majors and doing real well in relief, so # 27 is way too low.

28. Christian Scott - very nice bounce back year. The righty should immediately switch places with Landon Marceaux.

29. Daiverson Gutierrez - miserable DSL start for the bonus baby catcher. He did, however, go 4 for 4 on Monday to jump to .163.  Relief is spelled AAHHH! Me, though? I’d have Jefrey Rosa (7 HRs in 16 DSL games) here at # 29 instead. Why? 7 HRs in 16 games is why.

29. Christoper Larez - 17 year old SS in DSL. Hitting.268 with 9 steals in 82 at bats. So far, so fine.

I’d have Jace Beck in my Top 30. Ultra-wild until his last 5 innings, where he has miraculously walked just one, but 42 Ks in 21 IP? Me likes. 

Of course, Brooklyn’s brilliant Tyler Stuart should be in the top 30. 

Both are 81 inches tall, so clearly there is some discrimination thing against tall people, it’s HIGHLY likely, as 82 inch tall Paul Gervase was also excluded. 

Of course, 66 inch tall Matt Rudick, now injured, should be in the Mets top 30, unequivocally. Anyone like Matt who gets on base 174 times in his last 94 games is a no-brainer top 30 talent.

That’s the long and short of it.

Thank you for your time, folks. You’re all in my Top 30.

QUINTANA AS SAVIOR?

After 2019, for the record, he is 6-10. Not a misprint.

No doubt, though,  he’ll go 10-2 down the stretch. Worth every penny.

2nd half kicks off easy…Dodgers.  A mere bag of shells.

LET’S NOT FORGET TO BE RATIONAL

The Mets so far have played just 39 at home, but a daunting 51 on the road. One over .500 at home, 7 under .500 on the road. 

Which simply means 42 left at home, 31 on the road - that should be to their advantage.  

Their run differential also is just -3, indicating that they should be a .500 team so far, not 6 games under. 

Can they still sneak a Wild Card? Sweep the Dodgers at Citi. If so, let’s talk.


10 comments:

Mack Ade said...

There were no minor league games last night

Thus

There is no minor league report today

Tom Brennan said...

Everyone deserves a day off. I am just curious if the missing trio of Mauricio, Rudick and Crow show up after this ASB.

Tom Brennan said...

Saw Jim Callis did an article on the top 8 teams after the draft wrapped up, in terms of how they did. Mets not in there. Saw an interview of Charlee Soto. A confident, Alonso personality teenager. Went at # 34.

nickel7168 said...

thanks for this, Tom

can you just list your top 30 right now as a result of this analysis?
just the names

Tom Brennan said...

I will do so, no time today. It won’t include the new draftees. Yet.

D J said...

Tom,
Mets have signed a Washington State pitcher,Dakota Hawkins,to a six figure free agent contract. Interesting prospect who was not drafted, but was pursued by several other teams.

Gary Seagren said...

Big surprise guys did you read the Jay Cuda post about who is the worst team the last 10 years when it comes to drafted players making it to the bigs ...Us of course. 328 drafted 30 made the show or 9% so thanks Fred and Jeff and we're still paying the price. The Stros were best no surprise but the Bravos were 24th very interesting. As for the second half I just hope we don't play just well enough for the FO to foolishly buy at the deadline and I for one would take this opportunity to trade the Poler bear as there won't be a better time than now. The gap between us and Atlanta is so big and we know we have to go through them for any possibility of reaching the WS so we need a reset but of course will Uncle Stevie do it? Also I'm getting old and tired of waiting so Mr. Cohen please act smartly AND quickly. Note to Mack and Tom: why did we pick this team years ago?

Tom Brennan said...

Nickel, my list in a few days.

Tom Brennan said...

Gary, I look at that exact topic in two articles next week.

Mouse said...

Wow,not only a terrible first half record andl performance wise but the farm system looks extremely weak. How much can Cohens $ do? It doesn’t seem like enough. Back to the drawing board.