10/25/26

MACK – JUST BASEBALL - 2027 MLB Draft – Top 50 College Prospects

  


1. Brendan Lawson – 3B

HT/WT: 6’3/215 | Bat/Throw: L/R | School: Florida | Hometown: Toronto, ON | Projected Age: 21.7

A Canadian-born player has never been selected 1.1 in the draft’s history, though that could change in 2027. Lawson grew up in Ontario and made his way south to P27 Academy, though ailments hampered his efforts as a high school senior. That made him one of the premier bats to reach campus, and over two years in Gainesville, he’s lived up to expectations.

Lawson has undergone some swing and approach changes to achieve his success. As a prepster, Lawson employed a high handset that’s reminiscent of Nolan Schanuel’s and a wider base, electing to lace the ball to both sides of the field. Now, Lawson has become more upright, with his hands starting in front of his face before drifting back into a launching position. This move lets Lawson generate more leverage and torque, leading to ridiculous bat speed through the zone.

He began pulling the ball much more in 2026, with his PullAir% jumping from 19.52% to 27.14% and his PullFlyBall% spiking to 15%. He has double-plus raw power in the tank, registering a 111.2 MPH 90th percentile exit velocity, an outrageous figure to post in college baseball.

The hit tool itself isn’t too shabby either, with his bat-to-ball skills shoring up against secondary offerings and his swing decisions improving drastically. He does show some passivity in the zone, with a 51% swing rate, which he’ll need to improve. That said, his offensive ceiling could be special.

Defensively, Lawson was Florida’s everyday shortstop in 2026, where he fared well and made quality plays. However, Lawson sometimes rushed plays, and he’s expected to add more mass in the coming years. That leaves a move to the hot corner on the table, where his above-average arm strength would fit well.

In a draft class without many up-the-middle options, Lawson’s offensive tools give him the highest upside of any collegiate player in the class. If the defense at shortstop improves in 2027, it’ll be a cherry on top.

Scouting Grades: Hit: 55 | Power: 70 | Run: 50 | Field: 50 | Arm: 55

 

2. Dax Whitney – RHP

HT/WT: 6’5/218 | Bat/Throw: R/R | School: Oregon State | Hometown: Blackfoot, ID | Projected Age: 21.5

In the waning weeks of the 2024 cycle, Whitney had significant helium, though he turned down multi-million-dollar bonuses to wind up in Corvallis with the Beavers. He immediately stepped into the weekend rotation and became one of the top arms in the country, striking out 224 batters across 139.2 innings before suffering an elbow injury in late April.

Unfortunately, this injury will sideline Whitney through the 2027 season, but even with this wrinkle, he’s the best arm in this class. We’ve seen injured pitchers taken high before, but Whitney’s track record and stuff keep him in 1.1 contention.

The delivery is a bit unorthodox, with an extremely tight arm circle that turns into an over-the-top slot, but he’s a buttery-smooth mover with repeatable mechanics. Whitney’s stuff is outrageously good, starting with an upper-90s cut/ride monster of a fastball. He consistently cuts the fastball and generates plus carry, which led to a 37% whiff rate in 2026. That’s across a 545-pitch sample size, a truly incredible figure. It’s every bit of a double-plus heater.

He’s more than just the fastball, though, as each of Whitney’s secondary pitches has plus upside. He has a mid-to-upper-80s slider with fantastic snap and sweep. It has gotten upwards of 90 MPH, and he averages over 2,600 RPM. His low-80s curveball has little to no hump out of the hand, diving to the dirt with immense depth and some late lateral action. He kills a lot of spin on an upper-80s change-up that features solid fade and tumble, too.

The fact that Whitney projects to have four plus-or-better pitches with above-average command is astonishing, and it puts him in rare territory. It’s easy to see why scouts and analysts praise him as the best collegiate arm since Paul Skenes, and given the lack of up-the-middle talent in this class, he will have a chance to be taken 1.1 despite his injury.

Scouting Grades: Fastball: 70 | Slider: 60 | Curveball: 60 | Change: 60 | Command: 55

 

3. Gavin Kelly – C,2B

HT/WT: 6’0/175 | Bat/Throw: R/R | School: West Virginia | Hometown: Pittsburgh, PA | Projected Age: 21.6

West Virginia has become a legitimate powerhouse in the Big 12, and Kelly was a major catalyst in the program’s first-ever appearance in Omaha this season. After impressing as a freshman for the Mountaineers, Kelly’s game elevated to superstardom in 2026, slashing .382/.477/.725 in 305 plate appearances, racking up 21 doubles and 19 home runs with a 43:45 BB:K ratio.

It’s a well-rounded profile on both sides of the ball. An athletic prospect with hitterish traits present, Kelly has a quick, compact swing that pairs with excellent barrel feel and swing decisions. Kelly led the NCAA in barrels last season and amplifies his power production with a swing that is built to lift the baseball in the air, playing to both sides of the field. His higher-end exit velocities suggest an average power hitter, though his ability to consistently impact the ball the way he does is impressive.

The bat-to-ball skills are just as remarkable, including his affinity for fastballs. While Kelly does have an exaggerated barrel wrap, he whiffed on velocity just 11% of the time in 2026. With improvements against breaking balls in 2027, Kelly could become the best pure hitter in the college ranks.

Defensively, Kelly has utility that will benefit his profile. He has split time between catcher and second base in Morgantown, and he’s also spent time in the grass on the Cape. Kelly’s athleticism and plus speed shine at those positions, and he has the arm strength to hold his own behind the plate. It’s reasonable to believe that Kelly can be an above-average or better defender with multiple places to slot him in on the lineup card.

Repeating his 2026 campaign will keep Kelly firmly in 1.1 discussions.

Scouting Grades: Hit: 60 | Power: 50 | Run: 60 | Field: 55 | Arm: 55

 

4. Tomas Valincius – LHP

HT/WT: 6’2/225 | Bat/Throw: L/L | School: Mississippi State | Hometown: Lockport, IL | Projected Age: 21.9

In a draft class that is filled to the brim with pitching talent, Valincius is the best southpaw available. After performing admirably as a freshman at Virginia, he followed head coach Brian O’Connor to Starkville and led a dynamic Mississippi State pitching staff.

With a thicker build, abundant strength, and remarkable feel for his arsenal, Valincius is one of the more pro-ready talents in the class. An easy mover on the mound with repeatable mechanics, Valincius hides the ball well with a shorter arm circle and has explosive arm speed from a low three-quarters slot. This gives him premium deception and lets the ball jump on hitters quickly.

While his fastball isn’t a bat-misser, it’s a monstrous mid-90s sinker that benefits greatly from the deception, and he can establish a tunnel to his secondaries. It’s also a strong groundball producer, as hitters pound the offering into the dirt at a 60% clip. Valincius’ mid-80s slider is a true plus offering that plays off the fastball tunnel, showcasing tight spin and sharp lateral bite that befuddles hitters. He can command the offering to both sides of the plate consistently, and it boasted a 48% whiff and 39% chase rate in 2026. Valincius rounds out his arsenal with a strong mid-80s change-up that gives him an above-average weapon against right-handed hitters. He sells the offering well, and the pitch tumbles below the barrel, inducing a 51% whiff rate.

It’s a strong three-pitch mix that is tied together with above-average command. As a result, Valincius has mid-rotation upside at the next level.

Scouting Grades: Fastball: 60 | Slider: 60 | Change: 55 | Command: 55

 

5. Landon Hairston – OF

HT/WT: 5’11/195 | Bat/Throw: L/L | School: Arizona State | Hometown: Queen Creek, AZ | Projected Age: 21.5

The Hairston family has a long baseball legacy. Four family members have played in the big leagues, with Scott the most recent to have a successful career. His son, Landon, is next in line, and he has the tools to be just as successful as the others.

After forcing himself into the lineup as a freshman, Hairston was a Golden Spikes Finalist in 2026, slashing a ridiculous .400/.509/.860 with 50 extra-base hits, including 28 long balls. He has one of the most complete offensive profiles in the class, boasting excellent contact skills, burgeoning power, and a polished approach.

Hairston has a rhythmic swing with a compact bat path and robust bat speed. The barrel stays in the zone for a long time, and he’s efficient at creating backspin at contact, with above-average exit velocities in the tank. Adding leverage and pulling the baseball allowed the power production to take a significant jump in 2026, and it came with an improvement in bat-to-ball skills. Hairston torches fastballs in and out of the zone, plus he can adjust his swing plane to cover every quadrant possible. It’s a plus hit tool at the end of the day.

Originally an infielder in high school, Hairston transitioned to the grass in Tempe, where he’s manned left field for most of his career. It’s where he fits best at the next level with decent routes and reads, though with his athleticism steadily improving, there’s a non-zero chance he can stick in center.

If he proves that he can stay at the “eight,” it will improve his draft stock in a class that lacks up-the-middle talent. That said, even if he doesn’t, the bat is good enough to take in the top ten picks without thinking twice.

Scouting Grades: Hit: 60 | Power: 55 | Run: 45 | Field : 50 | Arm: 50

 

6. Jimmy Janicki – C

HT/WT: 6’4/223 | Bat/Throw: R/R | School: Troy | Hometown: Downers Grove, IL | Projected Age: 21.4

Every draft cycle, there’s at least one or two mid-major stars with plenty of first-round buzz. This year, there’s a clear-cut leader in the clubhouse. Jimmy Janicki has it all, and it’s difficult to poke holes in his game at this point.

His bat-to-ball skills are stellar for a backstop, with a 19% whiff rate in his sophomore season after posting 13% the year prior. Even more, he recognizes spin exceptionally well and makes contact at a clip well above average, which was a big factor in his low strikeout rate of 13% last year. He does try to expand the zone a touch more than you’d like to see, but he still makes contact at a respectable rate when he does.

More impressively, Janicki’s best feature at the plate isn’t even his contact ability: it’s his otherworldly feel for the barrel. The Illinois native has made a career out of loud ABs, utilizing a pull-side-oriented approach that results in a ground-ball rate below 30%. Oh yeah, and a 110 mph 90th-percentile EV isn’t half bad either. Our newest writer, Josh Catlett, got a couple of up-close looks at him in Omaha from right behind home plate, and he truly might’ve been my favorite watch of the week.

Coming off a season in which he posted a 1.080 OPS with 21 home runs and 26 doubles for one of the final six teams standing, all eyes will be on the Troy star as he attempts to make a final push up draft boards in hopes of earning himself $3 million+ in July.

Scouting Grades: Hit: 50 | Power: 70 | Run: 50 | Field: 50 | Arm: 55

 

7. Chris Levonas – RHP

HT/WT: 6’1/175 | Bat/Throw: R/R | School: Wake Forest | Hometown: Holmdel, NJ | Projected Age: 21.4

After adding significant velocity in his senior spring, the Milwaukee Brewers selected Levonas in the second round. However, Levonas turned down millions to enroll at Wake Forest, and after enduring his lumps as a freshman, he put together a fantastic sophomore campaign. Across 15 starts, Levonas struck out 116 batters and posted a 2.82 ERA with an improved arsenal, lining himself up for a first-round selection in 2027.

An elastic, flexible mover on the mound, he creates outlandish extension for a pitcher his size, averaging just under seven feet. That said, there’s a good amount of effort present, which is something to watch moving forward.

Levonas’ fastball velocity ticked up into the upper-90s this spring, peaking at 101 MPH with cut/ride shape through the zone. Despite the velocity and shape combination, Levonas has yet to miss bats at a high clip because of lackluster fastball command, which he’ll need to focus on.

That said, his feel to spin and shape his breaking balls is fantastic. Levonas’ low-80s curveball is a hammer, averaging north of 2,700 RPM with fantastic bite and depth present. It’s a true plus pitch that Levonas likes to lean upon often. His mid-80s slider has significant sweep with spin rates similar to the curveball, and an upper-80s cutter is a great pitch that gives him a firmer option to throw in the zone. He can land all three breaking balls for strikes. A firm low-90s change-up finalizes the arsenal, acting like a two-seam fastball at times with spin-killing traits.

Levonas will need to evolve as a pitcher by tightening his command, but his frame and traits are incredibly enticing for a player development program.

Scouting Grades: Fastball: 70 | Slider: 55 | Cutter: 60 | Curveball: 60 | Change: 45 | Command: 45

 

8. Trent Grindlinger – C,1B

HT/WT: 6’3/211 | Bat/Throw: R/R | School: Tennessee | Hometown: Huntington Beach, CA | Projected Age: 20.11

Grindlinger was a highly touted prepster at Huntington Beach, ranking just outside the Top 200 in our 2025 rankings, but he landed at Tennessee after not hearing his name called. Despite a logjam behind the plate, he cracked the lineup full time in April and never looked back, racking up 14 extra-base hits from April 3rd onward. Now a draft-eligible sophomore, he’s ready to take on a full-time role for the Volunteers.

A big, burly hitter, Grindlinger pairs brute strength and solid bat-to-ball skills. He hasn’t changed his swing mechanics a ton since high school, maintaining a slightly crouched stance with a high handset pre-swing. It’s a short, compact swing with explosive bat speed, and his ability to live on the barrel stood out down the stretch.

Grindlinger has yet to sell out for pull-side power, rather lacing line drives up the middle and to the opposite field with ferocity. He has posted plus exit velocities, but he will need to add more loft to his swing. He pairs the power with very good contact skills in the zone, but he can get jumpy on spin and expand the zone at a high clip. We’ll see how the offense progresses across a full season, but the upside is high.

His athleticism has improved, and most scouts believe he can withstand the demands of catching. He has solid catch-and-throw skills and arm strength, though he needs to refine his blocking, receiving, and agility. He will get ample opportunities behind the dish in 2027, and if the defense improves, that will help his case.

Scouting Grades: Hit: 50 | Power: 60 | Run: 30 | Field: 50 | Arm: 50

 

9. Chase Fralick – C,1B

HT/WT: 6’2/227 | Bat/Throw: L/R | School: Auburn | Hometown: Peachtree City, GA | Projected Age: 21.10

Once committed to Virginia on a tennis scholarship, the Peachtree City product has been one of the premier hitters in the SEC since arriving at Auburn.

A career .324 hitter, Fralick has always had feel for the barrel and natural feel for the zone. Arguably the biggest progression from year one to year two was his power, jumping from 4 home runs to 20 while cutting his groundball rate and increasing his flyball rate by 10 percentage points to 33% in 2026.

Standing 6-foot-2, Fralick provides a physical frame behind the dish that has taken big strides defensively, specifically with pitch framing. He displays really intriguing arm strength to bases, throwing out nearly 40% of runners who attempted to steal in 2026. Against southpaws, Fralick does his best damage middle-in, while he succeeds more often middle-away against right-handers. He consistently puts together professional at-bats, knowing when to let an A-swing rip and when to shorten up and move baserunners.

Whether Fralick catches at the next level is up for debate, as he’ll likely play a corner infield spot then. That said, you know what you’re getting offensively: a high-floor bat with an instinctive approach, contact skills, and a track record of production.

Scouting Grades: Hit: 55 | Power: 55 | Run: 30 | Field: 45 | Arm: 55

 

10. Ryan McPherson – RHP

HT/WT: 6’3/215 | Bat/Throw: R/R | School: Mississippi State | Hometown: Hollywood, FL | Projected Age: 21.6

One of Mississippi State’s most reliable relievers as a freshman, McPherson made the jump into the rotation and shined before an unfortunate injury derailed his campaign. That said, he came back down the stretch and pitched well at USA Collegiate National Team training camp in June and July.

 

McPherson’s game is built around power. He has a workhorse frame with abundant strength, and he brings solid athleticism on the mound with uptempo mechanics. McPherson’s fastball is strong, sitting in the mid-90s with considerable life through the zone. He’ll add and subtract horizontal action, but one thing stays constant: he has impressive carry and ride due to backspin created at release. McPherson has no issue commanding the baseball on the top rail, and he’ll bully the opposition in that manner.

To pair with the heater, McPherson has a plus kick-change that he sells extremely well. Sitting in the upper-80s, it’s an extremely low-spin offering with tunneling traits, confidence, and shape manipulation. It’s a true out pitch, boasting a 49% whiff and 40% chase rate in 2026. McPherson wraps up his arsenal with two power breaking balls: a potent upper-80s cutter/slider hybrid and a mid-80s downer curveball. Both offerings have above-average upside, landing them for strikes and getting whiffs below the zone.

A strike-thrower through and through, McPherson projects as a starter at the next level, and a darn good one at that.

Scouting Grades: Fastball: 60 | Slider: 55 | Curveball: 55 | Change: 60 | Command: 50

 

FOR THE REST OF JUST BASEBALL’S TOP 50 LIST - https://www.justbaseball.com/mlb-draft/mlb-draft-top-college-prospects/

2 comments:

TexasGusCC said...

Skubal, McLean, Wiggins, Whitney, Santucci, Tong, Scott………

Paul Articulates said...

I really like the writeup on Trent Grindlinger. He can play C or 1B, both positions that our system is light right now. Love the combination of power and bat-to-ball skills.