5/8/26

Reese Kaplan -- Mets Roster Stagnation and Future Roster Changes


Occasionally I will have somewhat heated conversations with fellow Mets fans about the front office inertia during the horrific April start.  Now I don’t blame the injuries on anyone.  These things happen.  However the judgment in who should be a part of the roster and the lineup are indeed things that can be controlled instead of ignored.

Now that the club has won a few games in a row the rose-colored glasses crowd are coming out with vitriol about how they were right all along and how negativity somehow sends “bad vibes” and is responsible for the ongoing losing.  Not being a person of great faith I dispel such notions of negativity as readily as I do positivity.  Games are won by hitting, pitching, fielding and baserunning, not by feelings.

That being said, it’s curious to see how the roster will change in the near term given a few current developments.  Let’s look at the situation at hand with AJ Minter.  Most folks were salivating over the prospect of him becoming a part of the bullpen as soon as late next week.  Lots of conversations flowed back and forth about who would lose their current major league job to make room for his arrival.  It was expected and an understandable discourse.

Then, of course, the news arrived that Minter was yanked due to hip discomfort on the same side where he had his torn labrum issue.  

While people are certainly reasonable to feel disappointed with this interruption in the expected timeline, it is prudent not to rush things and take a chance on another injury IL stint related to that decision. 


Consequently there won’t be any roster revamping done in the short term but the conversations most certainly should still be taking place.  David Peterson has been better in relief with a 2.45 ERA than his over 8.00 ERA as a starter, so we’ll give him a pass for now.  Given his pending free agency at year’s end all we can hope is he keeps upping his trade value so that in July he can be flipped for something that will be around in 2027.

On the polar opposite end of the spectrum is David Stearns’ 3 year mistake, Sean Manaea.  

Last season he missed nearly all of it with injuries.  Again, that’s not Stearns’ fault, but the end results of the 2025 season did not at all resemble what he had achieved as a Met in 2024. 

Over a dozen starts and three relief appearances he finished at 2-4 with a 5.64 ERA.  There’s no way to sweep those numbers under the rug except to say he was working his way back from a physical malady and it reflects that transition.

In 2026 it went from bad to far, far worse.  First he was bounced from the starting rotation where they hoped he could right himself as a long reliever giving them innings as he readjusted to be more like the 2024 version.  

It is almost impossible to explain the 9th inning on the Wednesday game in Colorado where he was inserted to protect a 10-5 lead in the 9th inning in a game with a wide enough margin that even a diminished southpaw former starter shouldn’t be able to trip things up.

Well, that did not go as expected. He loaded the bases while the dugout did nothing.  He somehow wrangled a single out but then the first Rockies run came in and the gap was now 5 runs instead of 6.  I actually had someone try to tell me that he could give up a grand slam and the Mets would still be in the lead but fortunately slow-acting manager Carlos Mendoza finally had seen enough and Devin Williams arrived to whiff the opposing hitters and secure the victory despite what Manaea had done.


This development comes to a head with the question arising if perhaps Manaea and his overpriced contract are in danger of getting the Frankie Montas treatment when lefty AJ Minter is deemed healthy enough to return.  Ask yourself if you would entrust Manaea with a starting assignment or even as a mop up reliever?  Anyone???

13 comments:

Mack Ade said...

I was a big Peterson believer but he has proven me wrong

Tom Brennan said...

Games are won by hitting, pitching, fielding and baserunning, not by feelings.” They have insufficient amounts of hitting, pitching, fielding and baserunning, and that is why they lose so much.

They should ask the grossly overpaid lefty to accept a demotion to AAA, and see if his career is salvageable. If he says no, do you just cut him? It may have come to that. He is still owed about $45 million…my gag reflex just kicked in.

Tom Brennan said...

Thankfully, they did not sign him to a big FA contract and then find out. Trade him at the deadline.

Tom Brennan said...

Manaea is 34 years and 3 months old. Some guys simply crap out at that age. He may well be one of them.

Jjgmdpc said...

Manea, Senga and dare I say Montas, are all under contract and have no trade value. Peterson has little value coming off 2 bad years. So with “I know more than you because I went to Harvard Stearns” not giving Peralta and Holmes’s, our pitching staff in 2027 will consist of McLean, Senga and Manea.

RVH said...

Time to brutally cut as much of the dead wood as possible. Just like a company restructure. Senga & Manaea on the IL for a final salvage job or cut & eat the losses. We can’t keep watching them try to play & failing every time for multiple years.

Peterson is a disappointment for sure. Why is it so difficult for the Mets to develop & maintain homegrown talent. The FO changes over the past 8 years are definitely a factor but despite all the innovations, athletes still must apply the learnings & execute - which is very difficult to do at the mlb level.

So frustrating.

Tom Brennan said...

That’s where Tong, Wenninger, and Scott come in. I do not wanna be myopically optimistic on them, as a fan, but I think they will do well as starters very soon for the Mets. Out with the old and in with the new and inexpensive.

And, I am hoping that Thornton will be the next Quintana. Quintana Eno throw the ball through brick walls, but he’s been amazingly solid in his career.

Paul Articulates said...

I think that is it. He had a resurgence by discovering some new mechanics, but unfortunately once back from injury he does not have anything left physically to compete at his previous level. He is done.

Paul Articulates said...

Yes, at this point there is no alternative. Time to stop trying to salvage players to salvage a season. Time to build for the future.

Jjgmdpc said...

I remember sitting at Citi Field watching Tong getting lit up by the Texas Rangers. I saw him pitch in Binghamton where he didn’t get over 92 mph. Vertical break or not I don’t think he has a major league fastball. Next year Scott will be 28 and he still hasn’t pitched more than 90 innings in any one year. Wenninger projects as a #5 starter. I think we will miss Sproat. Hopefully McClean’s command will improve and he can become a #2 or 3 starter. Let’s face it it’s a remake of the Klapisch/Harper book “The worst team money can buy”. Time for Stearns and Mendoza to go and for us to focus better on coaching and player development. I’ve been a Mets fan for 64 years and except for Seaver( who actually was a Braves draft pick), we have not signed, developed and had a player who spent most of his career as a Met make the Hall of Fame

Tom Brennan said...

I have a more positive take on all 4. McLean as emerging ace; Tong often hits 96; Wenninger projects as a #3 to me; and Scott consistently hit 97, and did well in a severe hitter’s environment, repeatedly hitting 97. I think his pitch count rose because Denver thin air lessens the effectiveness of breaking pitches. Another #3 if he stays healthy, and they let him throw 100 pitches.

Tom Brennan said...

Also, remember Tong had almost zero AAA innings before being thrown right into a September tight pennant race. And one of his September starts was right after the rough Texas start you referenced, where he bounced back brilliantly, as he threw 5 innings, no earned runs, no walks, 8 Ks vs. a legit San Diego offense. Major league ace? Maybe not. Effective major league starter? Very positive on him. Last point: going into 2026, MLB listed him s 5th best RHP prospect. Thats a sign of respect.

aptoklas said...

BREAKING: Per Jon Heyman, when Pete Alonso had his meeting with Stearns & Cohen when they negotiated his return in 2025, he told Stearns, “When my career is being evaluated for the Hall of Fame years from now, you’ll still be fiddling with your fucking formulas.”

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