10/28/26

MACK - Draft/Free Agent News



Draft News

 

Draft eligible prospects that were currently uncommitted seem to be lining up late to ‘commit’ to a major college in 2027. As we know, committing really doesn’t mean anything at this point. A player can still sigh with a team that drafts them; however, if there is an owner lockout that lasts for the entire season, there is a possibility of not having a draft at all in 2027.

Is all this relatively late signing have anything to do with this? Are prospect handlers currently advising their ‘clients’ to get all their ducks in line now before the shite hits the fan? Are they advising these kids that the safest route would be attending a college with a pile of NIL money being directed their way?

The following players committed this week, starting with my favorite, RHP Striker Pence. The 6-6 Pense, who throws a fastball already clocked up to 101, has agreed to attend Texas A&A.

Next up comes SS Carter Hadnot, who Baseball America has listed as the top uncommitted player in the 2027 class. He has now agreed to become an Oklahoma Sooner.

BA’s #28 prospect, RHP Grant Sperandio, cut a deal with Texas.

Catcher Caden Borcherding, who was previously committed to Clemson, has been flipped by LSU.  

Lastly, BA #84, RHP, Lukas Waite, has also committed to become a Texas Longhorn.

 

Free Agent News

 

AT           @BaseballWRLD_

Contract predictions for the Top 20 free agents from Jim Bowden:

1) Tarik Skubal: $350-$500 million

2) Freddy Peralta: 5 years, $140 million

3) Teruaki Sato: 5 years, $180 million

4) Michael King: 4 years, $118 million

5) Randy Arozarena: 5 years, $124 million

6) Seiya Suzuki: 5 years, $120 million

7) Jake Bauers: 4 years, $56 million

8) Jazz Chisholm: 6 years, $128 million

9) Brandon Lowe: 3 years, $45 million

10) Clay Holmes: 2 years, $44 million

11) Adrian Morejon: 3 years, $42 million

12) David Bednar: 3 tears, $55 million

13) Nick Martinez: 2 years, $48 million

14) Foster Griffin: 3 years, $67 million

15) Trevor Rogers: 3 years, $64 million

16) Casey Mize: 3 years, $54 million

17) Luis Arraez: 3 years, $60 million

18) Kaima Taira: 3 years, $30 million

19) Ian Happ: 2 years, $45 million

20) Robbie Ray: 2 years, $45 million



4 comments:

Tom Brennan said...

We have 24 hours to sign Jack Bauer.

Man, these guys sure make lots of $

Jules C-- The Cautious Optimist said...

I wonder what our readers and writers think of Clay Holmes for 2 yrs at roughly 20m/year. And King at 25m/year/

I just don't know what the right call on Skubal is. I think one can be reasonably confident that if healthy he has the build, the arsenal and the makeup to be an ACE/top of the profession for 3-4 years. What would the drop off be after that. Will he be like Geritt Cole for the next 3/4 years after that hovering between a 2/3 pitcher. Can he be a Verlander and extend his top until around 37. So much uncertainty at that point.
Were I in the front office, my approach would be to front load the contract for three years and offer an opt out at that point. Have a declining pay from yrs 4-7 and see if he opts out because he believes he can get more elsewhere. This also gives the Mets a chance to get the best out of him in the early years and reevaluate if he opts out. And he benefits from front loaded money for obvious reasons: longer period of investible resources.

Will King be injury free over the course of a 5 yr contract.

There is no doubt that signing King and Holmes as some have suggested is a lot less expensive than signing Skubal and you can count on a roughly equal amount of wins/ year from the two of them and Skubal in total for the first two years. It's not a crazy idea, but the team could still use a top tier lefty.
So if someone suggested King/Holmes and a trade for Dietmers, I think that would give the Mets an awfully good looking starting rotation. You'd probably have to give up either Thornton or Santucci for Dietmers. But the staff in theory would be:
McLean, King, Scott, Holmes, Dietmars, Tong or Santucci or Thornton
And not a ton of money either for the next three years or so.

Mack Ade said...

Skubal is generational for far less than a generational

Cost if doing baseball business these days is you have to pay someone like this for eight years to get a return of four

Mack Ade said...

I love Holmes at 20 a yr for 2-yrs

Not a penny or minute more