3/4/25

Clay Gregory, An Amazin' Spring So Far

 


Spring training is for hitters working on their timing at the plate and pitchers working on their repertoire for the upcoming season. The Mets are working on those things, of course, but from what it seems by watching their games, this team is competing but having a lot of fun. Last night's game against the Marlins saw players having some fun in the dugout featuring new superstar Juan Soto. The fact that Soto is already fitting so well is a testament not only to Soto but to his teammates as well.

A lot of the chatter around social media seems to be that Francisco Lindor should be named captain. I can see why, as he leads by example and puts in the work with his work ethic and how he interacts with teammates. Brandon Nimmo is the longest-tenured Met at the moment, and maybe the fact could be made that he should be the Met's first captain since David Wright. Still, in my opinion, I like that there has not been a captain chosen officially because this team holds each other accountable, and it has the feeling that many players on this team are unofficial captains.

Speaking of spring training, Kodai Senga threw a solid two innings last night and then went to the backfields to continue his work. He is a perfectionist, and the fact that he pitched two scoreless innings and was not satisfied has me believing that he is ready to put last season behind him and show the fans that last year was just a fluke. David Peterson came in after and threw three scoreless innings and continues to show that he is a new pitcher since his hip has been fixed. Although injuries have happened early this spring training, especially with Sean Manaea, the fact that Senga and Peterson look good early on is a good sign.

I remember when Mike Piazza first came to the Mets and how excited I was and I still have that feeling when it comes to this team. Pundits may say the rotation is the Met's Achilles; I do not agree with this sentiment as I think even with injuries, the rotation is better than they are given credit for. Brandon Sproat's showing out the other day showed that future arms are on the horizon for the Mets and provides reason for excitement and future rotation predictions.

1986 was a long time ago, and for a fanbase that has deserved a couple of world championships since then, it may be the year it finally happens. Yes, the Dodgers are loaded and signed almost every free agent not named Soto this offseason. The forecast predicts that the Mets and Dodgers will meet again this upcoming postseason. Until then, a season has to be played, and we are still three weeks away from spring training being over. Just like the Mets are having fun this spring training, the roller coaster called the season is right around the corner, and I cannot wait. LGM. 

Ernest Dove on YouTube: MLB.com's Top 30 Mets Prospect List


Mets Prospect Guru, Ernest Dove, talks about MLB Pipeline's updated Top 30 Mets Prospect List.  

For more of Ernest's wisdom and lots of great Mets Prospect Videos subscribe to Ernest's YouTube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/@ernestdove.

You can watch on YouTube or below.






MACK - MY Tuesday Observations

 


Good morning.

 

Lets start off with a guy that hit a home run last week that came off the bat at 110.7mph.

I was thrilled when 1B Ryan Clifford came to the Mets in the Justin Verlander deal in 2023. I followed him when he played ball for Crossroads FLEX HS, in Cary, North Carolina. Houston drafted him in the 11th round of the 2022 draft.

We are talking raw power here… 24 home runs in 2023 and another 18 last season. Frankly, playing last season in that horrible Cyclones stadium didn’t help his growth, but his OPS jumped from .304 to .457 once he got to Binghamton.

Carlos Mendoza loves the guy. Says he likes everything he sees here. He does need another year in the minors and I assume that will happen this season in Syracuse.

Folks… with a little luck and some help from the labs… this just may be the eventual replacement for Pete Alonso… very soon.


Thomas Nestico                 @TJStats

It was yet another very encouraging outing from Max Kranick who has made a name for himself this Spring

He struck out 3 of the 4 batters he faced as his stuff still continues to look solid. The amount of lift he gets on his sweeper is absurd!


Pitch Profiler                      @pitchprofiler

Kodai Senga was nearly untouchable in his Spring Training debut!

He showcased seven different pitches over two innings—striking out two—while his new sinker is currently being classified as both a slider and four-seamer.

And, of course, his Ghost Fork is still absolutely



Thomas Nestico                 @TJStats

Kodai Senga pitched today and it looks like he is throwing a new pitch!

Senga has always had a deep arsenal, and now a new sinker (splinker?) is yet another weapon. His fastball also looked great today as it had a lot more life!

The Mets ace looks ready for the season!

Manually updated pitch classifications:


Yacksel Rios is yet another Mets pitcher that has stood out this Spring. His arsenal features high 90s velocity and trio of fastballs that grade out well.

Mets pitching lab goes brrrrrrr

Pitch Profiler        @pitchprofiler

Another day, another random reliever throwing GAS


Yacksel Rios is a 31-year old RHRP, who stands 6-3 and weighs 215.

12TH round draft pick in 2011, drafted by the Phillies, out of Doctora Cochita HS (PR).

Career MLB:  -0.8-WAR   8-2   6.32

2024:  AAA-Syracuse – 27-apps, 3-1, 3.30, 1.56 (!), 30-IP, 22-BB, 30-K

Large, filled-out frame. Strong lower half. Throws ¾ slot, stars at first base side of the mound. Medium leg kick.

94-98 Fastball    95-98 sinker    84-87 slider    85-87 splitter

60% fastball/sinker combo

Control has always been a problem.


Thomas Nestico        @TJStats

Luis Moreno made a statement today as he struck out 6 consecutive Nationals swinging to end the game

His slider (sweeper) gets a ton of glove-side movement and lift which helped it register a bonkers 100 Whiff% today

                       Ernest Dove           @ernestdove

                       Mets 25 year old minor league P Luis Moreno has been eating over 100 innings 3 milb seasons in a row & his K rate has climbed slightly each season. He's had 2 straight fantastic winter ball seasons. Potential swingman type role perhaps? Have to always worry about BB rate.


Luis Moreno is a 25/year old RHSP that was an International free agent in 2018.

5-8      200

Pitched in three games for AAA-Syracuse last season, but spent the majority of 2024 pitching for AA-Binghamton (25-G, 19-ST, 3-7, 4.27, 103.1-IP, 107-K)

In the past, Morena has had difficulty producing a low WHIP.


Medium - The Really Big 2025 Mets Prospects Ranking

https://medium.com/@mdonodeo8/the-really-big-2025-mets-prospects-ranking-5c0fbaaa49f0



2) 2B/CF Jett Williams

I have yet to mention Jett’s best trait, which is pure athleticism. He’s a burner on the basepaths who should have somewhat of an offensive floor even if the power doesn’t manifest itself consistently, and his athleticism gives him good range at either second base or center field (the arm probably doesn’t handle shortstop, and it shows in his Davenport runs, but he’s capable of making plays there.) 

He’s graded out around average at second and in center by Davenport runs, visually looking a little better than that, and he should be able to play wherever the better roster fit is. The combination of walks, speed, and defense should give him a floor as a second-division starter, but the batted ball angles will determine if he can reach his upside as an All-Star caliber player.

Scouting grades: 60 hit, 45 power, 70 speed, 55 field, 45 arm

Optimistic comp: Alex Bregman-lite

25) Nick Morabito

Morabito initially struggled after being signed for one million dollars in the 2023 draft out of the esteemed Gonzaga College High School (hail purp), but had somewhat of a breakout season in 2024. This mostly came from making more contact, as his z-con in St. Lucie improved to 84%. This isn’t amazing for a low-A repeat, but it’s around the MLB average and should be enough to play. 

He has a passive approach at the plate in terms of overall swing rate, but his 20% chase rate combined with relative aggression on hittable pitches led to a 93rd percentile SEAGER in low-A. These plate skills culminated in identical K and BB rates in low-A, and still-good K and BB rates in Brooklyn even as the walks slipped somewhat. On contact he hasn’t had the best results. 

He has a ton of bat speed and at one point posted a 110 EV, but his max in St. Lucie in 2024 was 104.7 and a ton of his contact — 55% — was on the ground. This stems from swing mechanics — the bat path is flat and exits the zone really quickly, which limits his ability to create flush contact. This hurts both the floor and upside of the bat, but there are some right-tail outcomes where the bat is playable despite these ground ball rates, as his speed can inflate BABIPs better than a normal player’s would. 

This doesn’t mean he’ll be running a .390 like he did across both levels this season, but it could be a little higher than average, and he’ll provide value on the basepaths once he gets there. This speed has been utilized in the outfield — he shifted to center field after being a high school shortstop to take advantage of it — but so far the routes have struggled, as he’s graded out from below average to very well below average depending on the measurement system. 

If there’s a silver lining in the defensive profile, there is likely room to grow at the position, and he recorded nine assists in the outfield, so there’s potential with the arm. That said, he’s raw defensively, which is a pretty good microcosm for the entire profile, a superb athlete with some interesting skills but also a lot of room for growth in certain aspects of his game.


nugget chef             @jayhaykid

The best argument I’ve seen yet for giving Vladimir Guerrero Jr (and/or Kyle Tucker) a blank check: the other upcoming options in free agency.


Pitch Profiler      @pitchprofiler

Stop me if you’ve seen this before…

Tampa Bay has a guy you’ve never heard of, throwing some of the nastiest stuff you’ll see all day lol

    (this one is for Tom…)

    Ernest Dove      @ernestdove

    Seeing Paul Gervase & Tyler Stuart on other teams is going to be the death of me

Just Baseball - New York Mets Top 15 Prospects

https://www.justbaseball.com/prospects/new-york-mets-top-15-prospects/?s=03

1. Brandon Sproat – RHP – (Triple-A)

Height/Weight: 6’3″, 210 | Bat/Throw: R/R | 2nd Round (56) – NYM (2023) | ETA: 2025

Outlook

Stuff wasn’t an issue for Sproat, but he emerged in 2024 with a more complete arsenal. The concern for the right-hander is his command, often struggling to time up his long arm action. He has looked more comfortable repeating his delivery and filling up the zone as he gets more pro innings under his belt, providing optimism for average command.

If he can continue to cut down on the high number of non-competitive pitches, Sproat’s stuff is good enough to get away with a higher walk rate. Already fighting off some of the reliever risk, Sproat has flashed No. 2 upside with the fall back of a volatile late-rotation arm or elite high-leverage reliever. His ability to tweak his arsenal and improve his fastball shape is a testament to his feel to pitch, providing more optimism that he can reach closer to that No. 2 starter dream.

 

2. Jett Williams – SS/OF – (Triple-A)

Height/Weight: 5’8″, 180 | Bat/Throw: R/R | 1st Round (14) – 2022 (NYM) | ETA: 2025

Outlook

While the 2024 season was mostly a lost one for Williams, he is still ahead of schedule as he gets set for his age-21 season. With Williams’ added weight in 2024 not necessarily being completely useful gains, he could benefit from getting closer to his 2023 game shape given how important speed is to his game.

Elite on base skills amplify an offensive profile that will likely feature average hit and average-at-best power. Williams and Termarr Johnson became the first teenagers since 2005 to walk 100 times in a Minor League season in 2023.

The defensive side of things will be important to monitor in 2025 as Williams is clearly capable of providing versatility, but if he can take a step forward with more consistent reps in center field, he becomes significantly more valuable. Williams has the floor of a quality utility piece but has the offensive upside and speed to be an above-average regular.

 

3. Carson Benge – OF – (Low-A)

Height/Weight: 6’2″, 185 | Bat/Throw: L/R | 1st Round (19), 2024 (NYM) | ETA: 2027

Outlook

Benge is a unique athlete who may just be scraping the surface of the player he can ultimately be. He has a wiry build and could probably add some strength without losing speed. It’s not uncommon for two-way players to add mass upon shifting their focus from the mound.

Added strength could also facilitate a simpler operation in the box. Benge has the potential to be an everyday center fielder.

 

Codify (@CodifyBaseball) posted at 6:58 PM on Fri, Feb 28, 2025:

BATTING AVERAGES

.318 <--- Kirby Puckett, MLB career

.318 <--- Vladimir Guerrero, MLB career

.318 <--- all batters at Coors Field, 1995-2001


Miguel Álvarez Mesa      @Miguellvar57837

I knew about this story for many years. Conrado Marrero aka "The Premier" has been one of the great pitchers of all time here in my country. In MLB Marrero debuted at 39 years old and played for Washington Senators from 1950 to 1954 [39-40; 3.67 ERA]

Died at 102 in 2014 in Havana

 

Jim Koenigsberger      @Jimfrombaseball

"Everybody's  always talking about my strikeouts. If I played every day, I could strike out maybe 400 times. I have no idea how many home runs I could hit if I  played every day. I've never played every day."

In 1977, became the only player to hit a home run for a team in the 4 different divisions in the same year: Mets (NL East), Padres (NL West), Angels (AL West), and Yankees (AL East).


Only player to homer with both the Mets and Yankees in the same season.

Dave "King Kong" Kingman


3/3/25

Paul Articulates - A patient moment


It is still early in the spring training season, but all of us are anxiously awaiting information out of camp that will answer important questions.  Who will make the team?  Who will be in the rotation?  What prospects are going to stay with the team, and which will be sent to Syracuse?

Of course it is too early to tell, and our logical brain tells us so.  But logic doesn’t always win, because a fan base that has not experienced a championship in 39 years cannot wait for proof – we want to jump to conclusions.  Brett Baty has a 1.346 OPS – start him at third!  Blade Tidwell threw 99 mph, put him in the rotation.  Starling Marte has a knee problem, trade him!!

I am glad that David Stearns is the POBO/GM and not the fan base.  Stearns drives a steady ship.  He takes nothing for granted, plans contingencies, and deepens rosters.  The most encouraging sign of the season is not Baty’s resurgence, but Stearns’ discipline.

Spring training is a time for evaluating players, and one can see from the mix of players in the game lineups that there is zero emphasis on winning pre-season ballgames.   It is all about how the players have improved prior weaknesses, how they have recovered from last year’s bumps and bruises (or worse), how they respond to the coaching.  

Even when the season begins, players’ April stats do not necessarily predict their full year output.  Look at what Francisco Lindor did last year.  He hit .210 with a .684 OPS.  By season end, he was hitting .273 with a .844 OPS and getting MVP votes.    On the other hand, DJ Stewart had a .901 OPS in April, but slowly fizzled and ended up in AAA to end the season.  The moral of this story is that you don’t know until you do.

We have great hope for this roster.  There are good arms, solid bats, and some very legitimate players that can challenge for the MVP award in any given season.  If all goes well and they stay healthy then it can be a tremendous season.  If injuries strike, well it can look like last year’s Atlanta Braves.  If the players gel together, it can look like last year’s OMG Mets.

The injuries to Sean Manaea (right oblique) and Frankie Montas (lat strain) are concerning, but they are not an indication of the training regimen going awry.  They did a little too much too soon, or they tried something different as an improvement but it caused unexpected stress on part of their body.  Neither is a season ending setback, and both will be back in time to log plenty of innings with the team.  Last year started this way, and it ended up being a blessing because some players were fresher in the end of the season because they spent some of the early part on the sidelines.

I can’t wait for the season to start.  I will try not to over-react to early results.  I will try to stay focused on the big picture.  But above all, I will enjoy the ride.  This should be an exciting year.


Reese Kaplan -- Sometimes Great Pitching is Highly Unexpected


With all of the hot takes on Brandon Sproat from the media, including whether or not he’s a top of the rotation player for the near future, other pitching prospects are not getting perhaps the accolades nor publicity reserved for the inevitably chosen one. 

That media blackout hit “not anymore” expressway on Saturday when Blade Tidwell reminded people why he was a hot pick when the Mets were planning for their starting rotation future.  He did two innings during which he struck out 5 of the 6 batters he faced (including a perfect inning).  People were wondering who is this guy and where has he been?


Well, to tell you the truth, it’s been an up and down set of performance metrics once Tidwell began his climb to the majors.  His three seasons of college pitching earned a 3.53 ERA.  His pro numbers descended from there with a career 4.14 three year back-of-the-baseball-card output.  He is walking way too many people (4.9 per 9 IP) but is also striking out 10.9 over the same number of innings. 

His best minor league stint thus far has been as a rookie when he combined to deliver a season’s worth of 1.93 ERA pitching.  That stellar debut was quickly curtailed by his second season which combined for 3.57 which isn’t bad but you note his numbers were worse when he reached Binghamton. 

Then came his aggregate work in 2024.  He seemed to master the formerly challenging Binghamton when he managed over 7 games to deliver a 2.16 ERA and seemed to get his walks under control.  Then came Syracuse and he finished the year with a 1-9 record, a 5.93 ERA and he forgot how to strike people out.  He had almost pitched himself out of the future until facing Tampa on Saturday. 

Obviously the pitching lab, minor league pitching coaches and others in the organization need to determine which Blade Tidwell is the real one.  He’s turning 24 this season and is fully expected to return to see if he can finally adjust to AAA. 


Also dominating against the Rays was another forgotten hurler from a less than impressive minor league resume, Dom Hamel.  He owns a 4.61 ERA over 4 minor league seasons and in 2024 with Syracuse he 509 with a 6.79 ERA.  Ouch!  His problem also seems to be control while he gives up way too many free passes.  Yet against Tampa he threw a pair of scoreless innings with three strikeouts.  Where did THAT come from?

So while your look down into Syracuse baseball stats may not fill you with a great deal of confidence for the future, it’s still good to see folks with few expectations come up to challenge major league hitters in preseason ballgames.  Later in the year we will be looking long and hard at Brandon Sproat who soared up to AAA perhaps prematurely, but the little shown thus far in Florida suggests that yes, he is going to be a front line starting pitcher in the near future.  

3/2/25

2025 Draft Prospect - #77 - RHP - Josh Hammond - Wesleyan Christian (NC)

 


On 12-5-24, MLB.com posted their top 100 prospects in the upcoming draft. Beginning 2-2-25, we will post it in backward order, ending with the pick for 1.1

https://www.mlb.com/prospects/2025/draft/   -

#77                 Josh Hammond                  RHP/3B, Wesleyan Christian (NC)

18/yrs old                6' 1"               205

COMMITTED  -  Wake Forest

Scouting grades: Fastball: 55 | Curveball: 50 | Slider: 55 | Changeup: 50 | Control: 45 | Overall: 45

Scouting grades: Hit: 45 | Power: 50 | Run: 45 | Arm: 65 | Field: 50 | Overall: 45

The son of High Point coach Joey Hammond, Josh is a two-way player reminiscent of fellow North Carolina prep product Nolan McLean, who went on to play both ways at Oklahoma State before signing with the Mets as a third-rounder in 2023. The consensus was that Hammond was better on the mound and he focused mainly on pitching with the U.S. 18-and-under team last summer, but now scouts aren't so sure. Some thought he was the most impressive hitter at the Prep Baseball Report All-American Game in September after he won MVP honors at the 2023 event.

At his best, Hammond showcases a plus fastball and slider along with a solid changeup. His heater sits at 92-94 mph and touches 96 with a flat approach angle and carry, his slider deals in the low 80s with depth, his cambio can tumble with similar velocity and he also has a decent upper-70s curveball. He has some effort in his delivery and inconsistent control, so he may be a reliever in the long run.

Hammond's raw power stands out more than his pure hitting ability from the right side of the plate, though he did make better swing decisions later in the summer. The Wake Forest recruit projects as a fringy runner who will probably have to move off shortstop, though he has more than enough arm strength for third base. The biggest knock on him is that he's physically maxed out and there may not be much more upside remaining in his game.


1-27-25  -  Just Baseball –

2025 MLB Draft - Top 80 High School Prospects

https://www.justbaseball.com/college/mlb-draft-top-high-school-prep-prospects/

18. Josh Hammond – RHP

HT/WT: 6’1/215 | Bat/Throw: R/R | School: Wesleyan Christian Academy (NC) | Commitment: Wake Forest | Age: 18.9

The son of High Point skipper Joey Hammond, Josh burst onto the scene as an arm after a loud showing during the 2023 summer circuit.

While the command itself is a work in progress and will need refinement, he has the makings of a true power pitcher. He has a very strong lower half down the mound, as well as extremely quick arm speed and fluidity down the mound.

The low-90s heater has touched 96 MPH in the past calendar year, coming in like a bowling ball and boring in on right-handed hitters. He’ll change the shape slightly and add more riding life, plus there’s exceptionally high spin rates on the pitch.

However, it’s the low-80s slider that has the most upside. It’s a beast of a pitch, featuring nasty sweep and bite that has left hitters floundering on occasion.

There’s a good chance that the pitch becomes a plus offering at the end of the day. The CH has heavy fade and there’s feel to throw strikes, too. He’ll need to iron out the inconsistent command, which seems to revolve around his pre-pitch turn out of the windup.

Hammond also has tools at the plate, including impressive juice in the stick. He is committed to attending Wake Forest.

 

8/4/24 - B/R - 2025 Mock Draft

1.22 - Minnesota Twins: Josh Hammond, RHP, Westchester Country Day HS (North Carolina)

 

https://www.perfectgame.org/Players/PlayerProfile.aspx?ID=790574 –

2024 National Showcase 

Josh Hammond is a 2025 RHP/3B with a 6-1 215 lb. frame from High Point, NC who attends Wesleyan Christian Academy. Large, athletic frame with broad shoulders and a strong, physical build throughout. Primary right-handed pitcher, begins delivery with a leg lift up above the belt; athleticism plays in delivery, plenty of arm speed through the backside. Fastball topped out at 95 mph and lived in the 92-94 range, ball jumps out of hand with some life through the zone. Slider is best secondary offering, sharp life up to it up to 84 mph and landed for strikes while being thrown with conviction. Showed changeup up to 84 mph with upwards of 16 inches of horizontal movement; more sweeping life to the curveball at 80 mph, distinct difference in shape/life from slider. Plays low to the ground in the dirt, softness to hands and picks backhand cleanly, quick transfer into accurate throws across the diamond, big arm. Right-handed hitter, wide base with an even stance in the box, utilizes a leg lift trigger for timing. Plus bat speed through the zone and incorporates physical strength well, hard impact off of the barrel, creates lift and can drive to the pull side gap. Can incorporate additional lift but combo of bat speed/strength will play at the next level. Excellent student. Verbal commitment to Wake Forest.

 

https://www.usabaseball.com/news/josh-hammond-brayden-jaksa-stand-out-in-debut-with-usa-baseball-at-18u-national-team-training-camp -

Team Navy’s Josh Hammond, a right-handed pitcher, did not disappoint in his first outing at the National Training Complex on Wednesday, providing a boost for his team on both sides of the ball. On the mound, Hammond displayed his strong arm by collecting four strikeouts in two innings of no-hit work. Later in the game he continued his impressive performance, but this time swinging the bat as he plated two runs on a double to secure his crew a 3-3 tie to kick off Training Camp.

2025 Draft Prospect - #78 - LHP - Aiden Stillman - Trinity Prep (FL)

 


On 12-5-24, MLB.com posted their top 100 prospects in the upcoming draft. Beginning 2-2-25, we will post it in backward order, ending with the pick for 1.1

https://www.mlb.com/prospects/2025/draft/  -

#78                 Aiden Stillman                   LHP, Trinity Prep (FL)

18/yrs old                6' 3"               190

COMMITTED  -  Virginia

Scouting grades: Fastball: 50 | Slider: 50 | Changeup: 50 | Control: 50 | Overall: 45

Two players have been drafted out of Trinity Prep in Florida over the years, and both made it to the big leagues. Right-hander Slade Cecconi was an 11th-rounder in 2018 who went on to Miami before going No. 33 overall in 2020 and infielder Max Moroff signed as a 16th-round pick in 2012. A big left-hander who was arguably the most effective pitcher on USA Baseball’s 18U National Team that won gold at the World Cup Qualifier in Panama over the summer, Stillman has the chance to easily supplant that pair to become the earliest-drafted product from Trinity Prep.

At 6-foot-3, Stillman has the kind of projectable frame teams look for in high school arms, and when combined with his feel for pitching, it’s easy to see why scouts are excited to see what’s to come from this southpaw. While his fastball is mostly average, up to 94-95 mph, he gets a fair amount of swings-and-misses on the pitch. He combines it with a low-80s slider that he can manipulate into more of a pure curve and he has feel for a low-80s changeup as well.

Stillman’s stuff generally plays up because he tunnels his stuff very well, making it difficult for hitters to pick up his arsenal. He’s always around the zone and has a very good understanding at a young age of how to set up hitters. There is a commitment to Virginia to contend with, but his combination of upside and pitchability will certainly get talked about in Draft rooms.


1-27-25  -  Just Baseball –

2025 MLB Draft - Top 80 High School Prospects

https://www.justbaseball.com/college/mlb-draft-top-high-school-prep-prospects/

72. Aiden Stillman – LHP

HT/WT: 6’3/190 | Bat/Throw: R/L | School: Trinity Preparatory (FL) | Commitment: Virginia | Age: 18.6

Stillman experienced growth with his entire arsenal over the past calendar year and impressed scouts with a stint on Team USA’s 18U team this summer. Stillman’s delivery is relatively clean and repeatable with a quick left arm from a high three-quarters release that has some width to it.

This creates a tough angle to lefties as he throws across his body a bit. His heater jumped into the low-90s this summer with impressive metrics, including high spin rates in the 2,500 RPM tier and considerable carry/backspin.

He’s been up to 95 MPH in shorter stints and fills up the zone well. There’s power to his low-80s breaking ball that projects best as a slider with late sweep, bite, and spin rates above 2,800 RPMs.

It can morph into a curveball at times, though it can get soft. He sells his low-80s change-up well with similar arm speed and fading life, though he’s working on his feel.

Overall, if the command ticks up, Stillman is a potentially fun metric arm. He is committed to the University of Virginia.


https://www.usabaseball.com/player/aiden-stillman -

Posted a 1-0 record with a 0.00 ERA in two starts for Team USA … Pitched two shutout innings, allowing one hit and striking out one against Venezuela … Turned in six shutout innings with just one hit allowed and four strikeouts to pick up the win against Mexico in quarterfinal round.

2025 Draft Prospect - #79 - OF - RJ Austin - Vanderbilt

 


On 12-5-24, MLB.com posted their top 100 prospects in the upcoming draft. Beginning 2-2-25, we will post it in backward order, ending with the pick for 1.1

https://www.mlb.com/prospects/2025/draft/  -

#79                 RJ Austin                  OF, Vanderbilt

20/years old           5' 11"             193

TWITTER - @RjAustin14

Scouting grades: Hit: 55 | Power: 40 | Run: 60 | Arm: 45 | Field: 55 | Overall: 45

Austin's athleticism and versatility might have landed him in the top five rounds as a Georgia high schooler, but he withdrew from the 2022 Draft to fulfill his Vanderbilt commitment. He started at second base as a freshman and at first base as a sophomore, when he saw action at all four infield positions as well as left and center field. He didn't put up huge offensive numbers in his first two seasons but had a strong summer with the U.S. collegiate national team and in the Cape Cod League.

Austin has a lot going on with his right-handed swing and employs a big leg kick, but his hand-eye coordination and sense of timing allow him to make repeated contact to all fields. He almost puts the bat on the ball too easily, producing too much ground-ball contact and cutting into his walk totals. He lacks power and rarely drives the ball in the air to his pull side, so he may not offer more than 10-12 homers per season.

With plus speed and a high baseball IQ, Austin is a proficient basestealer. He covers ground and has good defensive instincts, though his fringy if accurate arm limits his effectiveness on the left side of the infield. He fits best at second base or center field, and he'll man the latter position this spring. Scouts love his makeup.


1-22-25 –

Just Baseball: 2025 MLB Draft – Top 80 College Prospects

https://www.justbaseball.com/college/mlb-draft-top-college-prospects/?s=03

19. RJ Austin – OF

HT/WT: 5’11/193 | Bat/Throw: R/R | School: Vanderbilt | Age: 21.6

One of the more decorated athletes to make it to campus after the 2022 draft, Austin is a gritty prospect who has become a bit more physical during his tenure in Nashville.

He’s been a bit positionless in 2024, playing a myriad of positions given the depth in Vanderbilt’s lineup, primarily first base. Austin got some run at third base and center field during the summer, two spots where he’d fit best defensively.

He has a very solid arm across the diamond and the speed, routes, and instincts to make it work at the “eight.” At the plate, he’s grown into his power and has average or better raw juice in the bat. Most of that power will play to his pull-side and his higher-end exit velocities have cracked the 110 MPH echelon.

Overall, it’s a contact-over-pop profile with a love for heaters and while he’s aggressive with his approach, Austin hovered around the 80% contact barrier throughout the spring and summer. Expect his profile to have some helium over the next calendar year.


12-23-24  -  Top 50 college baseball prospects for 2025 MLB draft, per D1Baseball

https://www.ncaa.com/news/baseball/article/2024-12-23/top-50-college-baseball-prospects-2025-mlb-draft-d1baseball     -               

30    RJ Austin    OF    Vanderbilt    

 

12-30-21 - https://www.prospectslive.com/prospects-live/2021/12/29/2022-mlb-draft-top-300-prospects  -

139 RJ Austin SS Pace Academy

Atlanta, GA

Austin has some of the loudest BP you can find. His high hands create a long bat path, but Austin really understands his swing. It's a well-leveraged with big loft. He packs a punch and he's getting into it in-game. Plus arm plays well anywhere on the field.

Austin has some pep in his step. He's a bouncy athlete with some twitch in all aspects of the game. He's a pretty physical kid and presents one of the more explosive profiles at the shortstop position this year.

 

https://vucommodores.com/roster/rj-austin/ -

As a Sophomore (2024)

• Named to Golden Spikes Award Midseason Watch List

• 2024 SEC Community Service Team

• 3-for-5 with a double, two runs scored and a stolen base vs. #1 Tennessee at SEC Tournament (May 22)

• 2-for-4 with two doubles and an RBI vs. #1 Tennessee (May 11)

• Hit three-run homer in seventh inning and brought home winning run on bases-loaded hit-by-pitch in 11th inning vs. Tennessee Tech (April 30)

• Recorded three hits, a homer, triple and double, and drove in three runs vs. Florida (April 18)

• Drove in three runs vs. MTSU (April 9)

• Homered and drove in three runs in win at LSU (April 5)

• Went 3-for-4 with a home run, three RBI and three runs scored vs. Auburn (March 16)

• 3-for-5 with a double, RBI and two runs scored in win vs. Indiana (March 12)

• Drove in two of Vandy’s four runs on a 2-for-3 day with two stolen bases vs. Illinois State (March 10)

• 3-for-4 with a double, two runs scored and an RBI vs. Louisiana (March 1)

• Stole three bases and scored twice vs. Evansville (Feb. 28)

• Drove in four runs and scored twice vs. Indiana State (Feb. 27)

• Went 4-for-5 with a three-run homer on Opening Day vs. FAU (Feb. 16)

 

As a Freshman (2023)

• Named MVP and All-Tournament at SEC Tournament

• Drove in a pair of runs with a double in SEC Tournament win against Florida (May 27)

• Two-run homer in win over Alabama (May 26) at SEC Tournament

• Went 2-for-3 with a home run and four RBIs vs. Kentucky (April 29)

• Go-ahead RBI single in fifth inning of win vs. South Carolina (April 15)

• Drove in three runs in series-clinching win at Missouri (April 8)

• Two-run double in win over WKU (April 4)

• Homered and tallied three RBIs in win vs. Georgia (March 31)

• Four-RBI day including a three-run homer in 8-0 win over #3 Ole Miss (March 17)

• Homered in consecutive at-bats vs. #18 Maryland (March 4)

• Hit first collegiate home run in win over #18 Maryland (March 4)

• First collegiate hit in win over #9 Oklahoma State, went 2-for-4 with two RBI (Feb. 18)

2025 Draft Prospect - #80 - RHP - Trace Phillips - Middle Tennessee

 


On 12-5-24, MLB.com posted their top 100 prospects in the upcoming draft. Beginning 2-2-25, we will post it in backward order, ending with the pick for 1.1

https://www.mlb.com/prospects/2025/draft/  -

#80                 Trace Phillips

RHP, Middle Tennessee State

20/years old                       6' 3"               185

Scouting grades: Fastball: 55 | Curveball: 45 | Slider: 50 | Changeup: 50 | Control: 45 | Overall: 45

Phillips set a Tennessee high school record by homering in eight straight games in 2023, then went deep 13 times as a Middle Tennessee State freshman last spring. He had less success as a pitcher for the Blue Raiders, logging a 7.13 ERA with 27 strikeouts in 41 2/3 innings. But he performed so well on the mound during fall practice that he has become one of the top sophomore sleepers in the 2025 Draft.

After sitting at 90-92 mph with his fastball and lacking consistency with his secondary pitches as a freshman, Phillips touched 97, flashed a solid low-80s slider and showed a fading upper-70s changeup of similar quality. Scouts would like to see him go with more four-seamers at the top of the zone because his heater gets pounded when he tries to work down with sink. He also has a slow mid-70s curveball that he can use to give batters a different look.

Phillips is very much a work in progress who may not reach his pitching potential until he gives up hitting. But he's athletic, features plenty of arm speed and has a sound delivery, ingredients that should enable him to provide consistent strikes and perhaps reach triple digits with a four-seamer. He'll need to take steps forward this spring but could become the first Middle Tennessee State pitcher to go in the top three rounds since Dewon Brazelton went No. 3 overall in 2001.


1-22-25 –

Just Baseball: 2025 MLB Draft – Top 80 College Prospects

https://www.justbaseball.com/college/mlb-draft-top-college-prospects/?s=03

74. Trace Phillips – RHP

HT/WT: 6’3/185 | Bat/Throw: R/R | School: Middle Tennessee State | Age: 20.11

Phillips is a two-way player at Middle Tennessee State, and while his freshmen campaign had its rough patches, he impressed plenty of scouts with his fall performance on the bump and projects there in pro ball.

Phillips’ fastball and slider saw velocity upticks this fall and he did this while maintaining an effortless delivery. His fastball shape is a bit dead-zone and he lacks sufficient extension, but Phillips has seen his velocity jump more into the mid-90s and he’s touched 97 MPH this fall.

The slider has jumped more into the mid-80s with good bite and two-plane break, though it’s his change-up that projects the best. Featuring solid velocity separation from the fastball in the low-80s, Phillips’ cambio hits the brakes hard and tumbles heavily away from lefties.

There’s good pitchability in his game, too. He’s eligible as a sophomore and has put himself in line for a nice payday in the early rounds of Day 2, though he’ll need to miss more bats in the spring to jump into another tier amongst the arms in this class.

 

https://goblueraiders.com/sports/baseball/roster/trace-phillips/13669 -

Awards

All-Conference USA Second Team (2024)

All-Conference USA Freshman Team (2024)

Tennessee Sports Writers Association Pitcher of the Week (May 14, 2024)

 

2024 (Freshman)

 

Appeared in 54 games, starting 52, mostly at first base

Made 13 appearances on the mound, starting nine times

Batted .303 with 61 Hits and 47 RBIs

Hit 13 home runs, which was good for second on the team (Briggs Rutter)

Had a multi-home run game vs. Southern Indiana on March 12

Went 3-for-5 with three runs scored on April 26th vs. WKU

Tallied four RBIs on a 2-for-3 day vs. Austin Peay on April 23

Threw for seven innings, while striking out nine batters in route to his fifth win on the mound vs. Jacksonville State May 12

Notched 41.2 IP which was the fourth most on the team

Had a .981 Fielding Percentage while tallying 324 putouts on the year

 

Grace Christian Academy

 

2023 graduate of Grace Christian Academy (Franklin, Tenn.)

Was a five-year starter for GCA’s baseball program

Was named TSSAA Mr. Baseball, District MVP and TBCA Player of the Year

Led GCA to a TSSAA state championship in 2022

Set a state record with home runs in eight consecutive games as a senior

Also lettered in football

Played travel baseball for SWA Storm and was a Rawlings All-American

 

https://www.prepbaseballreport.com/profiles/TN/Trace-Phillips-7351892640 -

2/04/23

Positional Profile: SS/RHP

Body: 6-3, 188-pounds. Lean, wiry frame w/ long limbs and good athleticism. Great projection and room to add mass/strength.

Hits: RHH. Tall and even set up in the stance, higher hand set. Good bat speed. Direct with the front side, stays inside the ball well, gap-to-gap approach.

Power: 93 max exit velocity, averaged 87.1 MPH. 316' max distance.

Arm: RH. INF-85 mph.Quick and short arm action, present arm strength.

Defense: Smooth and fluid with the glove, moves with ease laterally. Excellent glove presentation.

Run: 7.20 runner in the 60.

 

9/14/22

The two-way prospect has been committed to Memphis since fall of 2021, and just like his GCA counterpart opened up his recruitment following the summer coaching changes. 6-foot-3, 182-lb long, lanky frame w/ room to add mass and projection. At the plate, tall back-loaded stance w/ bat tip load and small stride. Generates above average bat speed (T 71) w/ line drive power and more to project (T89.9; Avg: 83.7). In game, got a knack for picking up hits and spraying the ball around the yard. Defensively, has the glove to stick at SS, but can be moved around the infield. The glove is his best tool as he has soft hands, crisp transfers and sound footwork. Throws from various arm slots w/ good rhythm and above average arm strength (82 INF Velo). Not a crazy runner (7.34 sixty), but covers ground well defensively utilizing his long strides to make all the plays. On the mound, he's got a good ceiling as he's consistently been 81-85 w/ feel for two secondary offerings. The FB has some life to it and plays up from 85, which is a velocity he's been stuck on for the past two looks. Mixes CB at 71-73 and gets good action on his CH to neutralize LHH. Phillips has two way upside w/ a great glove and a frame to work with. He lacks some strength and physicality to round out his game, but he's still just scratching the surface of his potential on both sides of the ball.

 

7/25/22

Memphis commit, 6-foot-3, 182-lb lanky, lean frame w/ room to add strength. Smooth defender at shortstop, consistent footwork and soft hands w/ good transfers and above average arm strength. Consistent line drive hitter, spraying to all fields w/ flashes of gap p