8/16/20

Tom Brennan - UPDATING MY EDWIN DIAZ AND DOMINIC SMITH POSITIVITY TRACKERS

Directions: Best When Taken Daily in Proper Dosages

I did an article earlier this season strongly suggesting, in the case of Edwin Diaz, of going with the flow, doing what works.

To whit, as a Met, the 9th inning hasn't worked well since his arrival in 2019 in Mets pinstripes, while his pitching in other innings speaks for itself.  

So I post the following, both to update and to remind the reader:

Edwin Diaz as a Met in 9th innings: 

38 runs allowed in 46.2 IP.  Sixteen homers allowed, 19 walks.

Edwin Diaz as a Met in the 7th, 8th, and extra innings:

Hitters are 9 for 65 with 5 walks, 3 runs allowed, no homers, and 36 Ks out of 72 batters. 

The numbers in the 9th are awful.

For the 7th, 8th, and extras, though, the numbers are stunning - Mariano Rivera, John Franco and  Billy Wagner would look at those numbers and wish they could have done that.

Conclusion: Set up innings are almost as important as closer innings in winning games.  Avoid the temptation of moving Diaz back to his closer role.  Use him where he has been extremely great instead.


DOM SMITH UPDATED 550 AT BAT PROJECTION WATCH:

The other day, I looked at Doms's mostly sporadic plate appearances in 2019 and 2020 and marveled.   Some guys can't hit well with sporadic at bats, most hit better when they play regularly.  

With that in mind, what would his 2019 and 2020 numbers look like, say, over 150 games in a season at that rate of performance?  I thought they were worth updating, for your viewing consideration/pleasure:

550 at bats, 104 runs, 158 H, 39 doubles, 41 HRs, 100 RBIs, 63 BB, .287/.362/.581.

His projected .287/.362/.581 splits compare favorably to, say, Mike Piazza's career Mets splits: .296/.373/.542.  Just thought I'd add that.

Numbers that speak LOUDLY for themselves. Scream loudly.

Read the Dominic Smith prescription directions closely, Luis Rojas: 

"Administer daily.  Effects are cumulative. Do not miss a dose." 

1 comment:

Tom Brennan said...

You need daily aspirin to watch this team.