Mets
Analytics @MetsAnalytics
The
classic counting stats look horrific, but there's much more to Mark Vientos' season so far, and he's actually been
trending positively in many ways (deep) under the surface. Primed for a
breakout?
What about when he makes contact? Vientos' bat speed has declined slightly this year, but it's likely more of a function of how he's intending to swing than anything else. Thus far in 2025 he's squaring the ball up more often (hitting on the sweet
As a
result of the underlying improvements, his PA quality has been on the upswing
since October 1st, by xwOBA
(Expected Weighted On-base Average
(xwOBA) is formulated using exit velocity, launch angle and, on certain types
of batted balls, Sprint Speed.
In the
same way that each batted ball is assigned an expected batting average, every
batted ball is given a single, double, triple and home run probability based on
the results of comparable batted balls since Statcast was implemented Major
League wide in 2015. For the majority of batted balls, this is achieved using
only exit velocity and launch angle. As of 2019, "topped" or
"weakly hit" balls also incorporate a batter's seasonal Sprint Speed.
All hit
types are valued in the same fashion for xwOBA as they are in the formula for
standard wOBA: (unintentional BB factor x unintentional BB + HBP factor x HBP +
1B factor x 1B + 2B factor x 2B + 3B factor x 3B + HR factor x HR)/(AB +
unintentional BB + SF + HBP), where "factor" indicates the adjusted
run expectancy of a batting event in the context of the season as a whole.
Knowing
the expected outcomes of each individual batted ball from a particular player
over the course of a season -- with a player's real-world data used for factors
such as walks, strikeouts and times hit by a pitch -- allows for the formation
of said player's xwOBA based on the quality of contact, instead of the actual
outcomes. Likewise, this exercise can be done for pitchers to get their
expected xwOBA against.
Why it's
useful
xwOBA is
more indicative of a player's skill than regular wOBA, as xwOBA removes defense
from the equation. Hitters, and likewise pitchers, are able to influence exit
velocity and launch angle but have no control over what happens to a batted
ball once it is put into play.)
nugget chef @jayhaykid
Highest
and Lowest BA vs 2/4 fastballs this season:
Steven
Kwan: .526
Pete Alonso: .444
Vladimir
Guerrero Jr.: .429
——-
Willy
Adames: .071
JP
Crawford: .063
Eugenio
Suárez: .059
Mets News and Links @JohnFromAlbany
C Chris Suero is off to a scorching start in 2025...The
Bronx native is one of two players on the Cyclones with multiple home
runs...Suero is a blistering 8-for-21 at the dish, with 6 extra-base hits, 8
runs batted in, and boasts an impressive 1.266 OPS...The 2022 international
free-agent signee is coming off an impressive 2024, that saw him play in 87
games at the High-A level, with 7 home runs and 45 RBI, while also swiping 15
stolen bases.
SNY Mets @SNY_Mets
Juan Soto has now played in two weeks worth of games as a Met. How would you grade
his performance so far in the very early going of 2025?
Mike Mayer @mikemayer22
Tyler Zuber has looked good to start the season for Triple-A Syracuse: 4.2 IP, 2 H, 1
ER, 1 BB, 3 K, 0.69 WHIP, 8 groundball outs
Mets
pitching prospect Jack Wenninger through his
first two Double-A starts: 10 IP, 4
H, 1 ER, 3 BB, 16 K
Mathew Brownstein @MBrownstein89
Highest
xwOBA this season:
Corbin
Carroll: .520
PETE ALONSO: .513
Fernando
Tatis Jr: .500
Kyle
Schwarber: .498
Jackson
Merrill: .497
Codify @CodifyBaseball
Average
run differential (2025):
1.9 CHC
NYY
1.5 SF
1.2 DET
1.1 PHI
SD NYM LAD
1.0 ARI
Corne Hogeveen @CorneHogeveen
Eli Ankeney and Frank Elissalt are showing nasty stuff
out of the St. Lucie pen. Ankeney (who has a solid pro career) showing a very
good change-up and Elissalt a fastball heavy righty, who gets a ton of whiffs
on the FB. Good slider too.
Sarah Langs @SlangsOnSports
Pete Alonso is hitting .378, second-highest among qualified hitters and tops in the
NL
His only
other 13-game spans with that high an average in his career were all in 2019:
3
overlapping spans in June and 2 overlapping spans in Aug
Michael Baron @michaelgbaron
I
honestly don't think there was any one point last season Pete Alonso was this locked in at the plate. He isn't
even budging on pitches out of the zone, and isn't missing on pitches in the
zone
Chris
Clegg @ChrisCleggMiLB
The
hardest hit ball by a Kansas City Royals ever in the statcast era was 118 mph
by Eric Hosmer in 2017. Jac
Caglianone had an opposite field single at 120.9
mph tonight in AA. Only 5 players in statcast history have hit a ball
120.9 or harder.
Rob Cassidy @Cassidy_Rob
The Miami
Marlins have 26 players and a payroll of $67 million.
David Adler @_dadler
Juan Soto is a rare hitter who uses two different batting stances -- one for 2
strikes, one for less than 2 strikes.
Sam Maxwell @THE_SamMaxwell
Acuña
ain’t goin’ anywhere. Sorry, Baty.
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