3/19/14

Reese Kaplan - Let the Hot Grill Season Begin!


Since the beginning of his tenure with the Mets Sandy Alderson has worked within the shackles of literally no money to spend (depending on the story of the week in that regard), so you’d like to think you could cut the man some slack.  After all, you can’t dip into free agency in a big way if the checks are going to bounce.  That left the trade market, but when he went to count the chips in his pile it was as thin as a Pringles.  

Consequently not out of design but out of necessity we started playing Moneyball without money.  He sought out potentially undervalued players to fill the roster.  Sometimes it worked, other times it didn’t.  He has often been called “Nero” for doing nothing while the franchise burned around him, but he has generated a lot of activity.  Unfortunately most of it was just treading water or worse.  Let’s take a look at some of his illustrious off-season acquisitions:
     
  • Letting Jose Reyes walk away
  • Chin-Lung Hu
  • Collin Cowgill
  • Allan Dykstra
  • Ramon Ramirez
  • Andres Torres
  • Brad Emaus
  • Mike Baxter
  • Ronnie Paulino
  • Willie Harris
  • Miguel Batista
  • D.J. Carrasco
  • Blaine Boyer
  • Pedro Beato
  • Taylor Buchholz
  • Chris Young
  • Ronnie Cedeno
  • Vinnie Rottino
  • Rob Johnson
  • Elvin Ramirez
  • Rick Ankiel
  • Greg Burke
  • David Aardsma
  • Frank Francisco
  • Jon Rauch
  • Scott Atchison
  • Pedro Feliciano
  • Aaron Laffey
  • Shaun Marcum
  • Brandon Lyon


Now let’s see the positive side of the off-season ledger:

  • Scott Hairston (who he let walk away)
  • Marlon Byrd
  • LaTroy Hawkins (who he let walk away)
  • Scott Rice


That’s quite a track record – a very, very bad one.  It seems, however, that he is a different animal entirely when it comes to the mid-season deal:

  • Zack Wheeler
  • Noah Syndergaard
  • Travis d’Arnaud
  • Dilson Herrera
  • Vic Black

(Of course there’s one clinker here, too – Frankie Rodriguez for a few warm but injured bodies in a combined anger management/salary-dump deal).

So it would appear that when he has the mission of dumping salary and loading up on prospects once the team has fallen out of contention, he’s much better at his job.  I got to thinking about this dichotomy when trying to rationalize the inertia surrounding the team right now.  To most observers the Mets are knee deep in both starting pitching and bullpen arms, yet none are being traded to address the holes at shortstop, first base and to hit leadoff. 

Could it be he’s crazy like a fox and the whole off-season was designed with July madness in mind?  With Harvey gone, he couldn’t publicly proclaim the season was over, but why else would you ink a Chris Young to a one year overpaid deal and Bartolo Colon to a reasonable two year deal unless the intent was to flip them at the deadline?  Daisuke Matsuzaka is a goner, too.  Dillon Gee is probably on thin ice as his salary inches northward.  In fact, if Jon Niese was healthy and right handed, he’d probably be on the July trading block, too.   Think of it as the Tampa Bay Rays model – keep players until they’re about to be too expensive, then move ‘em out.  (The whole David Wright contract blows a hole in that theory, of course, but hey, they need to sell at least one t-shirt).

The long term goal was to build from within a viable, cost-controlled franchise.  Adding a Stephen Drew doesn’t fit that model, though a Chris Owings or Nick Franklin would.  With no in-house solutions for first base or shortstop (since it’s obvious they want no part of Wilmer Flores at either of those two positions) they probably feel they can hold up for ransom any of the contending teams seeking to fill holes in their rotations to ascend to the next level.  Right now the trading partners are not quite so desperate (witness the disinterest in Ike Davis as Exhibit A). 


90 wins is likely a pipe dream filled with Colorado’s and Washington’s finest, but “The Plan” could still have merit if he waves his magic wand in four months and turns expensive pieces into top notch prospects.  Best of all, he can find spots in the rotation for Wheeler, Syndergaard, Mejia and even de Grom if he is aggressive in his dealings.  We’ve seen what he can do when he has the off-season to think about things.  Let’s hope he continues the traditional July pillaging of the rest of the league.  So let’s throw another vet on the barbie and see what sizzling deals can be made.  Between now and then, unfortunately, there’s likely to be very little to attract the increasingly disinterested fan base.  

11 comments:

Bob Sugar said...

Hear you! Too slow of a recovery from bad times for my liking under Sandy.

Reese Kaplan said...

It pained me to give anything resembling praise to the man, but it all started with David Wright. I know it's sacrilege to suggest it, but how many Noah Syndergaards and Zack Wheelers could he have fetched in trade PLUS having another $18-$20 million per year to address other needs? It's not like you didn't have an in-house alternative -- Flores -- who could step in and play third. That's water under the bridge now.

Bob Sugar said...

Regarding D Wright I hear you there also. But like you said "you gotta sell one T Shirt."

Tom Brennan said...

Great point - but David's persona helps ticket sales - perhaps not to me and you, but to the father who is getting his son into the Mets, etc. it always drove me nuts to see, for instance, two guys of strong basketball skill get max contracts - and one is a slug, and the other is brimming with charisma and leadership.

My pet peeve with David is he was too passive with fence depth settings at Citifield - both initially and now. Initially, the dimensions were huge - i recall seeing ARod hit a laser high off the 14 foot wall at the center field side and shaking his head in disbelief (how could that not be a homer?)

David should have looked at the dimensions proposed, as a star of the team, and said "you want me to stay here, that is not happening." Then they finally see the error of their ways (why it took more than one year, who know?) and move the fences in - but not enough.

Prior to the move in, Davis had another chance, and did not exert his will to at least make the park slightly hitter friendly - which shortening it all up 5 more feet would have done. And it might keep him out of the Hall of Fame - if he loses 50 HRs and 100 extra base hits over several years, what would be "lock for HOF" stats become borderline stats.

I wrote the front office during the Death Valley dimension days to make the case for them to be moved in - a lot (no reply, but they did move the fences in).

I wrote, "I thought you guys were businessmen. Businessmen like higher ticket revenues. If the fences were shorter, and team hit 200 HRs and won 73 games, or left as is and team hits just 100 HRs and wins the same 73 games, which of those two scenarios draw more fans? The 200 HR scenario - most fans love homers, and it would help them tolerate losing baseball more, and do not like sitting watching impotent offenses (whether caused by deep fences or not) while losing. Especially when across town, the BOMBERS bomb...and win.

I'd rather see a 7-5 loss where we hit 3 homers than a 1-0 loss where we got 3 singles.

That is also why (with all the pitching we now have in minors) I want them to draft a slugger this year, unless the choice (pitcher superior to available hitter) makes the choice for a pitcher clear. I was THRILLED with the Smith pick. met fans have seen anemic hitting for most of the franchise's history - I for one want to see potent offense sustainable for years.

Reese Kaplan said...

What? You don't like the Kirk Nieuwenhuis and Wilfredo Tovar kind of offensive juggernauts? :)

Tom Brennan said...

Kirk helps with air circulation, as he swings and misses (9 for 90 with 40 Ks in one stretch from late 2012 into 2013). Tovar will surely produce a double or two if only given enough time. Tovar's bat would work on a team like the Tigers.

Reese Kaplan said...

Sadly Tovar's bat is probably superior to Tejada's at this point.

Mack Ade said...

Let's discuss the reality of Alderson's trades...

only one (Wheeler) has any degree of major league success so far... it looks like he has done well, but, for now, it's just another Generation K or Gomez/Milledge/Martinez until it turns out otherwise...

Bob Sugar said...

Overall I hope Sandy and his scouts have drafted well for the last three years. Time will tell.

Reese Kaplan said...

I give a pass to Herrera as he's too young, but it's the team who chose not to promote Syndergaard because of Super Two. They could have had more of Zack Wheeler, but the same situation prevailed. Flores was only promoted last year due to David Wright's injury, then this year they refused to play him at SS despite declaring they would until halfway through spring training. Again, their own doing. d'Arnaud has hit at every level and was coming around in late September so I'm not ready to declare him a bust yet. Vic Black is very much a work in progress. I realize a few spring training innings don't tell the whole story (otherwise Darren Reed would be in the Hall of Fame), but I'm a little puzzled when a guy has been having control issues and you have other options like Socolovich, Mejia and Montero, that you would say, "It's OK if you f-up at the major league level."

Mack Ade said...

really upset tonight...

another Mets blog featured a 64 'team' bracket of Mets players, writers, and blogs... I was really looking forward of seeing if Mack's Mets could win the first round and make the 32 list... well, they never even included us in the survey... 10 years of this shit and not even a tip of the hat from my peers...