7/18/21

Mike's Mets - Oblique House

 


By Mike Steffanos

Last night's New York Mets game against the Pirates was so boring that I fell asleep on it, literally. In fairness, that was partly due to the medications I'm taking since my operations. But I've seen a version of that game so many times this season that even the little kerfuffle between Marcus Stroman and the immortal John Nogowski didn't provide much of a stimulant. And worry about a potential Francisco Lindor injury didn't do the trick, either. Right after it happened, it was so obviously the type of oblique injury that will cause Lindor to miss a good-sized chunk of time that dwelling on how it might eventually play out seemed rather pointless.

For that matter, it feels equally pointless to dwell on another ugly game for the Mets offense. If you're charitable and live with your glass half full, you can chalk it up at least partly to the aftereffects of the All-Star break. If you're inclined to be a pessimist, you might see the game as a sign that the Mets will continue to wallow in the offensive doldrums in the second half. For myself, I'm content to sit back and let it play out.

As I see it, the bottom line is that the Mets must be a better offensive team in the second half, or they're likely to be watching the playoffs at home again for the gazillionth time this century. I still believe they will hit and make the playoffs, but I would find it comforting if they actually hit and sustained that effort over more than just a handful of games.

As for Lindor, his absence will hurt, particularly on defense and the absence of his leadership. But the Mets have some decent depth at shortstop with Luis GuillormeJonathan Villar, and even José Peraza. It's not ideal, of course, but it could certainly be worse. Anyway, at the time of writing this, there has been no further word on Lindor.

To change the subject, there was a piece on the surprising success of the San Francisco Giants in The Athletic by Tim Kawakami earlier this week that I enjoyed reading. Personally, I wasn't buying into the Giants' great start early on. Even as some of the Giants' veterans the team was leaning on (Buster PoseyEvan LongoriaBrandon Belt) have suffered some injuries, the Giants keep on rolling along in the toughest division in the National League. At 57-32, they're ahead of both the World Champion Dodgers and the Padres, who had had the most aggressive offseason of any club. They've enjoyed surprisingly good offense from those grizzled vets, but they've also received great starting pitching and effective relief pitching.

While I'm still not convinced that the Giants are quite as good as they looked in the first half, it's impossible not to admire the half-season plus they put together so far. And, even in a division where the Dodgers and Padres will likely continue to be very good over the next few seasons, the Giants seem to have a solid foundation for the future. If I were a Diamondbacks or Rockies fan, I might consider petitioning for my club to be reassigned to the Central Division.

For my purposes, I was interested in looking at what part of the Giants' success might have implications for the Mets. The Giants have been essentially rebuilding since they collapsed in the second half of the 2016 season after a great first half. A lot has happened since then. Brian Sabean, who had successfully steered the franchise for so long, stepped down from running the club after the 2018 season. The Giants replaced the old-school Sabean with Farhan Zaidi, previously the Dodgers GM under Andrew Friedman.

The Giants have done a good job rebuilding their farm system since Zaidi took over. Given Zaidi's work with the Dodgers, it wasn't surprising to see the team go in that direction. From Kawakami's article, I took particular interest in the author's explanations why this year's Giants team was in a better position to sustain success than the 2016 club, which couldn't. One big reason is roster flexibility and the relative strength of the farm system:

Five years ago, the Giants were locked into that roster. Now, Zaidi can ride the veterans for as long as they can go or he can add or subtract at the trade deadline relatively freely. Five years ago, the Giants were stuck with those big contracts and didn’t have a lot going on in the farm system to push the status quo. Now, the contracts are running out and Zaidi has prospects lined up in the system — the Giants can add salary at the deadline if they want, they can trade a prospect or two without wiping out the future, or they can do parts of both things.

One of the goals for the Mets farm system has to be the ability to trade some prospects without wiping out their future. For a club following the model of the LA Dodgers as the Mets are purported to be doing, the idea of developing prospects for your own roster while still having some surplus for acquisitions is crucial. It's why I'm so leary at the thought of the Mets making a deal that would require them to deal multiple prospects out of the relatively small pool that they currently possess.

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