MLB Draft - 6.172 - RHP - Carson Seymour - UPDATE - New Info + Mack's spin

 

Carson Seymour

RHP      6-6      260      Kansas State 

Mack's spin - 

I had Seymour as a late 1st round pick before the 2021 season started.

Simply put, he stunk up the house.

Seymour has the skills to be a successful starter in the majors if he can just harness both his fastball and his 90-mph slider.

I ended up having him as the 31st RHP.

 

2021 stat line - 14-G, 10-starts, 3-4, 6.19, 56.2-IP, 57-K, 32-BB RHP

7-12-21 - kstatesports -

 

Seymour made 10 weekend starts and four relief appearances in 2021, totaling 57 strikeouts while turning in a pair of quality starts. He punched out a season-high seven hitters in back-to-back starts (March 20 vs. New Mexico and March 27 at Oklahoma State). Seymour went 3-4 with a 6.19 ERA over 56 2/3 innings.

 

7-12-21 - SI -

 

The Mets took Carson Seymour at No. 172 overall. The 22-year-old is 6"6 and throws in the upper-90's with a 90 mph slider. He struggles with his command, but his stuff is good enough to develop into a solid big-league pitcher if he can find his control.

 

3-30-21 - Prospects Worldwide -

 

140. RHP Carson Seymour | School: Kansas State | B / T: R / R | Ht: 6’6 | Wt: 260lbs | Age: 22.6

 

The big right-hander brings some good stuff with his 4-pitch mix although with has come with some mixed results at Kansas State. Seymour has a Fastball with Plus potential that sits 93-95 T96, 2350-2500 RPM which he has started showing ability to hold deeper into his starts in 2021. His best secondary, a Slider, Above-average, with 2500-2600 RPM. Throws it hard, 86-89 MPH and works well off when he’s working downhill, getting good movement and the velocity to pair with it which should lead to more swing and miss down the line, and may end up a Plus pitch. Also working in an average Curveball and Changeup to round out the arsenal. Command in the zone and let his stuff play more often, and if he starts doing so, we will really start to let Seymour reach his potential. 

 

1-20-21 - D1 Baseball's top 100 College Prospects -

 

83 Carson Seymour RHP Kansas State Big 12

 

 

 

1-14-21  -  Baseball America

 

 

Carson Seymour

 

Kansas State RHP

 

Ht: 6-6 | Wt: 260 | B-T: R-R

Commit/Drafted: Never Drafted

Age At Draft: 22.6

 

Seymour ranked as the No. 160 player in the 2020 class and has exceptional stuff out of a massive, 6-foot-6, 260-pound frame. However, he’s thrown less than 80 innings in his collegiate career between stops at Dartmouth, the Cape Cod League, Kansas State and the Northwoods League this summer. He’s run his fastball up to the 97-98 mph range this summer and has previously touched 99 mph. He can also spin a slider that some scouts have thrown plus grades on thanks to excellent bite and two-plane break. Seymour also throws a downer curve in the high 70s that has above-average potential. Given his relative lack of track record, teams question Seymour’s role at the next level and aren’t sure if he’s best suited for starting or relief. He’s struggled to locate the ball consistently and has walked more than six batters per nine over 28 innings with Dartmouth and Kansas State in both roles, so he’ll need to prove he can work through a lineup multiple times.

 

 

 

11-11-20 - Prospects Live Top 300 Prospect List - ​

 

73. Carson Seymour - RHP

 

Bio:

Height: 6-4

Weight: 240 lbs

Hits/Throws: R-R

Hometown: Temecula, CA

School: Kansas State

 

The 6-foot-5 righthander sat out the 2019 season after transferring to KSU from Ivy League power Dartmouth. He showed up in Harwich on the Cape last summer noticeably stronger hitting 98 mph on the gun in short spurts. He tends to work more 91-94 mph in a starting role, mixing two breaking balls, the best of which is a downer curveball, as well as a changeup. He was draft eligible in 2020, but the lack of high level experience might have pushed him down boards. Reportedly sitting 94-96 this summer in Northwoods League.

 

 

 

Medium -

 

 

9. Carson Seymour — Kansas State

 

Carson Seymour had the worst season of Kansas State’s 3-weekend starters (but my 2nd prospect from K-State), which isn’t saying too much considering he produced a 2.60 FIP, which is a much better mark than his 3.92 ERA. What that 1.32 split between the 2 indicates, in addition to his below-average BABIP of 0.311, is that he suffered a little bit from the poorer defense behind him than Wicks and McCullough did.

 

Some of that bad batted ball luck would definitely be part of the culprit for his wOBA allowed of 0.274, but so too would his BB/9 rate of 5.23, double the conference average. We see that Seymour limits hits well, only allowing 6.10 per 9 IP, and average 10.89 K/9, so where does that high BB/9 come from?

 

Well, @ksu_analytics, Kansas State Baseball’s analytics twitter account, posted a few TrackMan graphics from one of Seymour’s outings, highlighting his fastball and slider. His fastball was 95–96 MPH, reaching 2528 rpm at one point. His slider is of the power variety, coming in at 86.4 MPH, with a spin rate of 2568 rpm, both above the MLB average. As with Wicks, reading too much into these few pitches is a bad idea because it’s a very limited sample size of Seymour’s pitches, but it shows us that potential.

 

It also shows us that he gets good movement on his pitches, with a lot of power. That’s a strikeout recipe, but it can also result in lower control because he doesn’t need to rely on as much finesse. Fortunately, Seymour succeeded in spite of his BB/9 in 2020 and, as a sophomore, has room to improve that command heading into next season.

 

The velocity, spin rate, and Seymour’s production all combine to make him a very interesting prospect heading into 2021. We never got to see him in Big 12 play so we don’t know if the control issues would have come back to bite him against better hitters.