8/18/23

Reese Kaplan -- Help Is On The Way Eventually (After 2024)


On a Mets fan's long day's journey into night you begin to ponder what in-house resources does the team have to address their many holes going into the 2024 season given the poor level of performance witnessed during 2023?  For purposes of this guesswork, let's confine analysis to the AAA level in Syracuse and how it could help with offense.  We won't discuss potential trades nor free agent signings at this juncture.

First, let's define the problems:


3rd Base

This well trod ground has been tackled before, but it's time once again to decide how it should be approached.  We will assume for the moment that internal temporarily major league players like Jonathan Arauz, injured Luis Guillorme and healthy but otherwise unspectacular Danny Mendick are not on the table as long term solutions.  

On the next row are infielders like Brett Baty and Mark Vientos.  Baty has been playing like an All Star since his demotion to the minors.  He's hitting for average, for power and his defense has not made regular blooper reels.  He bats left handed and seems to have the mix of offensive potential skills for power and average to remind others of a mirror image of the right handed David Wright.  However, he has not yet demonstrated the ability to elevate to even solid regular at the major league level.  

Then there's the equally puzzling case of Mark Vientos.  He was mismanaged completely on his first injury-ascension to the majors, but with Baty's departure the day-to-day chance was there for the taking.  Now we hear he has a soreness issue which is apparently interfering with his natural swing so that despite recently having lined quite a smashes off his bat, he's not going to get to continue his development until he heals.  With Baty raking in AAA I wouldn't be at all surprised to see Vientos get the 10-day IL minimum stint to rest and the starting assignments will go to the former starter at 3rd.

Finally there's yet-to-be-seen rookie Ronny Mauricio.  Whether or not he's in the mix for third base depends on where they plan to play Jeff McNeil next season.  If McNeil returns to 2nd base, then Mauricio is a possible contender for a role at 3rd.  He has power and speed but his glove is also suspect and his natural shortstop position continues to be blocked by Francisco Lindor.

Outfield

The Mets outfield in general is an exercise in futility based upon the 2023 season.  Brandon Nimmo is slowly working himself into the player the club thought he was when they rewarded him with the multiyear deal in the winter.  That's the good news.  

The bad news is the future of Starling Marte.  Don't get me wrong.  We all saw and reveled in what he could do based upon his 2022 All Star worthy season.  This year about the only thing that's gone right for the man is stealing bases which is somewhat puzzling considering his groin surgeries in the off season.  He's not hitting for average, not hitting for power and even his defense has not looked like vintage Marte.  He's on the books for another two full years at a lopsided $21 million plus per season.  There's no way you're going to be able to trade him away at that lofty rate given both his groin issues and migraines that destroyed his 2023 season, but at the same time everyone knows what a healthy version is capable of delivering.  It's highly unlikely the Mets are going to simply eat a contract based upon one bad year, but anything is possible.  

Again, the DJ Stewart, Tim Locastro and Rafael Ortega types are not the caliber of players contenders put out there on a daily basis unless forced to do so as a result of multiple injuries.  Ronny Mauricio was experimented in the outfield but apparently that has not gone well.  No one in AAA is what you'd deem a hot prospect forcing the Mets to make a near or long term promotion.  These potential openings may have to come from outside the organization. 

Designated Hitter

To a man, Mets fans, media providers and seemingly everyone but the front office has long since mentally moved on from Daniel Vogelbach at the DH position.  He cannot field, cannot run, can't hit for average and until very recently seems to have forgotten how to put the ball over the fence.  He's got a great smile and is supposed to be well liked in every clubhouse he's temporarily called home.  For the very modest salary he's receiving you could make the case that it is enough, though bear in mind those many walks he draws don't help very much if he is a clog on the basepaths.

So who can help the club at DH in 2024 internally?  Well, it may come down to who doesn't assert himself well enough to take the field regularly to play both sides of the diamond.  The perception here is that Brett Baty is still the club's choice to play 3rd.  If that's the case then Mark Vientos becomes a DH possibility as his natural positions would be blocked by Baty and Pete Alonso.  Ronny Mauricio is another one who could conceivably hit the DH trail if he's not considered outfield material and his positions are covered by Baty and McNeil.  Other than that, the Mets don't have much in-house.

Catcher

In this case, the heading should really be backup catcher as Francisco Alvarez has cemented himself into the starting role.  The current contract situation for Omar Narvaez would command a pretty hefty price to sit on the bench next season.  He's being paid $8 million for this injury-laden year and lost his job.  There is a player option for $7 million for next season but it's highly unlikely Narvaez would opt out of his deal in the deluded hope he would get more money elsewhere.  However, if his desire to play as a starter overwhelms his common sense, then it would appear what's old is new again with the .291 hitting Tomas Nido returning from his banishment to the minors.  Apparently his vision issues were really what derailed him this season and he normally plays highly acceptable defense despite a less-than-stellar offensive reputation as a backup.  


The long term goal for the Mets may very well be to reinforce their minor league development and there are quite a few players worth watching at lower levels in the organization.  For now, however, Syracuse does not have many baby Mets who will represent the team's immediate future.  

13 comments:

Mack Ade said...

Morning Reese

Any success in.2024 will be based on the success of Baty Vientos Alvarez and Mauricio AND an improved rotation via outside acquisition

Tom Brennan said...

Mack, you’re not a fan of Jonathan Arauz?

Vientos to 10 day IL, for left wrist tendinitis…either that has been his problem or late, or it is pressure. In any event the guy who needs to play and impress gets a week off.

Baty slammed Jerad Eickhoff, and my mother in law while alive could have taken the home run generating machine Eickhoff deep too. So take Baty’s “surge” with a grain of salt.

Vogelbach is like a cheap car. You can drive it around, but you get the chicks driving souped-up cars instead. Vogelbach should be playing for a 70 win franchise, where his shortcomings won’t matter much.

Mauricio has been -shall I say it - lousy since the start of June. That is why he keeps getting bypassed.

At least we don’t have Wander Franco to worry about. He seems possibly to be done with his MLB career. Tragic if true. Don’t know any details.

Quintana is a bright spot. Glad he got his first win. I have not seen him pitch yet…is John Tudor a good comp?

Tom Brennan said...

I think Marte will be OK for 2024, but he is getting older. Turns the big THREE FIVE in October. A lot to ask for a guy still due $36 million (?) after this year to play up to his pay.

Pete is thunder. That Braves HBP in early June May have derailed a shot at 60 HRs for him. June 7 to July 23, which I would call his “damaged stretch”, he hit just 4. The other 88 games, 33 HRs.

Mack Ade said...

Q and Senga are a good starting point

Moto should be the off-season target

Mack Ade said...

The outfield will not improve until the Verlander additions fully arrive in 2025

I would.play Marte in 2024 until his wheels permanently shut down

Can't keep eating salaries

Just learn from your past mistakes and build from within

Mack Ade said...

Extend Alonso

You aren't going to find anyone better

Reese Kaplan said...

You mean Daniel Vogelbach is not the budget saving Alonso of the future? :)

I think you may have triggered a concept for another post next week.

Gary Seagren said...

Vogy's baserunning bunder last night was a classic "what were you thinking". Look with the watered down playoff system where a .500 record can get you in it shouldn't be that hard to contend but of course pitching is key. Senga Yamamoto and Q are a good start with ED Raley + in the pen and the return to normal of at least 4 of our core 5 plus Alvy and figuring some of the kids added mid season and smart moves at the deadline. Easy right :)

Tom Brennan said...

Gary, we are acquiring baseball’s best reliever in 2024. His name is Edwin Diaz. That will help.

Mack Ade said...

Otto.is exercising his 2024 options so for what this is worth there is this too

Woodrow said...

Hitting! They need a 20+ HR guy to bat fifth and at least one more hitter . Then hope Marte,McNeil bounce back.How many games have they scored 3 or fewer runs?

Anonymous said...

I love Pete but he wasn’t hitting before injury. If he wants more than 6 years, trade him and play Vientos at first. He certainly doesn’t deserve a contract higher than Goldschmidt Freeman or Franco. Rather sign Bellinger than Pete.

Anonymous said...

When I look at what we gave up for nothing( Crow Armstrong, Endy Rodriguez, Holderman, Winkowski, Seymour, Zwack, Rodriguez and Acuna, I wonder if the players we got for dismantling the team are not as good as the ones we gave away. Forget Yamamoto, Chapman and even Ohtani. Our first concern should be a new press dent and GM and better minor league development and evaluation