12/30/25

Tom Brennan: For the Mets, Is Kelenic Worth Acquiring?

(pictured: a young Jarred Kelenic) 

Mack thought so, in an article this AM.

I noted the following…what do you readers think about the following:

I read this about Kelenic: Kelenic has a nice walk rate to work with, sitting between 7.1-9.9% over his career, and he has a cannon of an arm in the outfield while providing league average defense.

Why not get him for the Mets? He’s a project. 

One key…in his career, he has swung at just 32.4% of first pitches, a low, Vientos-like rate. It doesn’t work for Kelenic.. In a whopping 56% of his PAs, his ABs end on 2 strikes, where he hits a horrific .136/.210/.229. 

Seems that much more aggression on strike one can fix him.

Also:
Kelenic swings at 32% of first pitches. Bichette swings at 42% of first pitches. Since Kelenic is a lesser hitter than Bichette, he should swing at MORE first pitches than Bichette, not far less. So…I would target Kelenic to increase his first pitch swing rate by 40%, raising the rate from 32% to 45%. 

What have you got to lose?

Steve Sica- The Top Five Met Moments of 2025

David Peterson finishes off his complete game shutout on June 11th

2025 ultimately ended in disappointment for the Mets. As we get ready to ring in 2026, let's end this year on some positivity. Here's a look back and the top-five Met moments from 2025.


5. Mets walk off sweep of the Phillies


In mid-April, the Mets had their first meeting with the Phillies since their thrilling NLDS win a year earlier. The Mets would pick up right where they left off with a dominant sweep of their division rivals.


They topped off the sweep in dramatic fashion. Coming back from a run down in the tenth inning. Pete Alonso tied the game with an RBI double, and then Starling Marte walked it off with an RBI single to bring Alonso home.


At the time, the Mets were riding high early in the season, as the win improved their record to 18-7 and had already built a five-game lead over their division rivals.


4. David Peterson Complete Game Shutout vs. Nats


Little did we know that this would be the high point of the Mets’ season, both in vibes and record. 


The Mets were back home after a successful west coast trip that saw them go 5-2 and came into this game at 19 games over .500. David Peterson had been the biggest and most pleasant first half surprise going into this start against last place Washington. 


The offense backed Peterson up right away with a run in the first and a two home run game from Brandon Nimmo. The story tonight, though, belonged to Peterson. 


He dominated from jump, keeping his pitch count low and keeping the Nats offense handcuffed all game long. In the eighth, Peterson got into some trouble. Luis García Jr. hit a one-out double off him, and the next batter, Jacob Young, would smack a single into center field. Garcia Jr. was heading home, but Tyrone Taylor, who had just entered the game as a defensive replacement, gunned him down at home with a perfect throw.


Peterson would stay in the game as the crowd gave him a standing ovation as he headed to the mound for the ninth. He set down the Nats in order, giving the Mets their only complete game shutout of the season. A 106 pitch masterpiece and the gem of what wound up being an All-Star season from David Peterson.


3. Francisco Lindor walk-off home run


April was a month of dramatic wins for the Mets. Just a few days before their walk-off sweep of Philly, the Mets welcomed in the St. Louis Cardinals to town. Friday night, Citi Field was packed, and the two teams engaged in a back-and-forth battle. Mark Vientos would tie the game with a solo shot in the sixth. Luis Torrens gave the Mets the lead in the eighth. In the ninth, Brendan Donovan would tie the game for St. Louis as the two teams headed into the bottom of the ninth tied at four.


It wouldn’t stay that way for long as Francisco Lindor led off the ninth with a walk-off home run over the Coca-Cola corner to give the Mets a 5-4 win, and his first walk-off home run in a Mets uniform.


2. Nolan McLean Dominates the Phillies and the Mets Sweep Again at Citi


The Mets took home field advantage seriously whenever the Phillies came into Citi Field. They went a perfect 6-0 against Philly. Nolan McLean, who had lit the league on fire since making his debut a couple weeks prior, was otherworldly in this game. He held one of the best offenses in the National League to no runs, just four hits and struck out six in eight innings of work.


The Mets would wrap up the game with a 6-0 win, and McLean had put the league on notice. Not since the days of Matt Harvey had there been this much excitement around a young, homegrown pitcher. While 2025 ended in disappointment, this game could go down as the night Nolan McLean asserted himself as a potential ace for the Mets in years to come.


1. Pete Alonso Breaks the Mets Home Run Record


On August 12th, the Mets had their best moment of the year, and one of their most significant ones in franchise history, as Pete Alonso broke Darryl Strawberry's long-standing all-time Mets' home run record.


It felt inevitable as the summer went on, but watching Alonso break the record at Citi Field was still a significant payoff.


While the Polar Bear might've migrated south to Baltimore this winter, it's worth noting the importance of this moment, and highlights how much of a great Met Alonso was during his seven-year tenure in orange and blue.

Mack's Mets - Hot Thread

We are in the “Hot Stove” season, where every conversation centers around the latest news in MLB trades and free agent acquisitions.  

Often we will include a feature where our writers discuss what is happening, but this year we want more involvement from the readers.

We have combined two traditional features, “Hot Stove” and “Open Thread”  into this year’s “Hot Thread” which will run every Tuesday at 6:00am EST.

Considering the recent market activity and knowing your team’s needs, what would your next move be?  Hope we have sparked your interest! Tell us in the comments below.

Last week’s transactions:

Miami Marlins signed RH reliever Pete Fairbanks. 1 year, $13M. 

Baltimore signed RH reliever Zach Eflin. 1 year, $10M.

White Sox signed LH reliever Sean Newcomb. 1 year, $4.5M

Cubs signed RH reliever Jacob Webb. 1 year, 1.5M with second year team option for $2.5M.

Last week’s rumors:

Mark Vientos has been linked to trade rumors on numerous sites.

The Mets have met with RHP Framber Valdez.

The Mets could try to trade for more international bonus pool space before the next signing period opens.

Who is left out there? 

Big name position players like Bellinger, Bregman, Bichette, Realmuto, and Eugenio Suarez are still out there.

Old Mets favorites like Tomas Nido, Wilmer Flores, Starling Marte, and Michael Conforto are available. 

Full MLB list here. 

This week’s questions:

1.  The relief pitcher market seems to have heated up recently.  What is next for the Mets? With Fairbanks getting $13M, is it too pricey to get another middle inning guy?  

2.  Jarred Kelenic is an available free agent.  Should the Mets try to get the once-coveted prospect back on a lowball offer after he failed last year in Atlanta 

3. It's not just the failure of David Stearns to sign a big name. It seems to be every GM's failure.  Do you think this is a classic group agent stall?


 

 


 

12/29/25

Tom Brennan - Tremendous Catching Talent in Mets Minors

 

Catcher Kevin Parada (pictured above) was the 11th overall pick in 2022. 

He is, at best, 5th in the Mets' current catching power rankings.

Ranked higher?

Yovanny Rodriguez looks like a future MLB catching starter.

Chris Suero has intriguing - even star level - tools, if he can rein in his strikeout rate.

Daiverson Gutierrez has shown good points and areas for improvement, but he is young and will likely be much improved in 2026.

Cesar Acosta is a very young DSL guy who Fan Graphs ranks as the Mets number 24 prospect - a lefty bat.

One guy who has done very well is Julio Zayas, who had a solid year in the FCL at age 19.  Very strong offensive stats so far as a DSL/FCL pro.

With the Mets already having Francisco Alvarez as an emerging star catcher, and Luis Torrens his 2026 back up, we will know by September how well these prospects are advancing.  It should be exciting to watch.

Of course, Kevin Parada was formerly a Mets top 10 prospect, so these prospect catchers need to keep developing to stay ranked or, better yet, rise in the rankings.

ANGRY MIKE: “BABY METS” VERSUS THE “NEXT WAVE”: STATS ANALYSIS

ANGRY MIKE 




With so much buzz focused on the Mets next wave of hitting prospects, let’s take a look at how the next wave’s MiLB statistics stack up with the previous group of top hitting prospects that are currently on the MLB roster. There are some striking similarities between the current “Baby Mets” and the current top-ranked prospects.

Francisco Alvarez, Jett Williams, and Carson Benge stand out for putting up elite production in their professional debuts. Williams and Alvarez both produced elite numbers despite quickly entering the upper levels of the minor leagues by their 21st birthdays. 

Jacob Reimer, Ronny Mauricio, and A.J. Ewing standout for starting their professional careers off with respectable numbers, and then quickly elevating their prospect profile by producing elite numbers despite reaching AA by their 21st Birthdays. 

We’ve provided plenty of analysis on all of these players, here is a quick breakdown of how they’ve each performed in the minors leagues for you to draw your conclusions on who the Mets should be most excited about currently in the MLB roster and who might be next to make their MLB debuts in Queens. 




F. ALVAREZ -> Full-Season MILB STATS: 

Year 1 -> Low-A -> 17 years old -> 21% K-Rate | 178 PA

| .312 BA | .407 OBP | .917 OPS | 7 HR | 10 2B | 0 3B | 1 SB | 26 RBI | 

| 32 Runs | 21 BB |


Year 2 -> LOW-A | HIGH-A -> 19 years old -> 23% K-Rate | 382 PA

| .272 BA | .388 OBP | .942 OPS | 24 HR | 18 2B | 1 3B | 8 SB | 70 RBI |

| 67 Runs | 26 BB |


Year 3 -> AA | AAA -> 20 years old -> 24% K-Rate | 481 PA 

| .260 BA | .374 OBP | .885 OPS | 27 HR | 22 2B | 0 3B | 0 SB | 78 RBI | 

| 74 Runs BB | 70 BB |






J. WILLIAMS -> Full-Season MILB STATS: 

Year 1 -> Low-A |  HI-A -> 19 years old -> 23% K-Rate | 514 PA

| .263 BA | .425 OBP | .876 OPS | 13 HR | 22 2B | 8 3B | 45 SB | 55 RBI | 

| 81 Runs | 104 BB |


Year 2 -> AA | AAA -> 21 years old -> 23% K-Rate | 562 PA

| .261 BA | .363 OBP | .828 OPS | 17 HR | 34 2B | 7 3B | 34 SB | 52 RBI |

| 91 Runs | 76 BB | 





C. BENGE -> Full-Season MILB STATS: 

Year 1 -> HI-A | AA -> 22 years old -> 18% K-Rate | 509 PA

| .281 BA | .385 OBP | .857 OPS | 15 HR | 25 2B | 7 3B | 22 SB | 49 RBI | 

| 87 Runs | 68 BB | 




R. MAURICIO -> Full-Season MILB STATS: 

Year 1 -> Low-A -> 18 years old -> 21% K-Rate | 493 PA

| .268 BA | .307 OBP | .664 OPS | 4 HR | 20 2B | 5 3B | 6 SB | 37 RBI | 

| 62 Runs | 23 BB | 


Year 2 -> HIGH-A -> 20 years old -> 25% K-Rate | 449 PA

| .248 BA | .296 OBP | .745 OPS | 20 HR | 15 2B | 5 3B | 11 SB | 64 RBI | 

| 58 Runs | 26 BB | 


Year 3 -> AA -> 21 years old -> 24% K-Rate | 533 PA 

| .259 BA | .296 OBP | .768 OPS | 26 HR | 26 2B | 2 3B | 20 SB | 89 RBI | 

| 71 Runs | 24 BB | 


Year 4 -> AAA -> 22 years old -> 19% K-Rate | 525 PA

| .292 BA | .346 OBP | .852 OPS | 23 HR | 30 2B | 3 3B | 24 SB | 71 RBI | 

| 76 Runs | 35 BB |




J. REIMER -> Full-Season MILB STATS: 

Year 1 -> Low-A |  HI-A -> 19 years old -> 21% K-Rate | 398 PA

| .265 BA | .399 OBP | .774 OPS | 8 HR | 13 2B | 0 3B | 3 SB | 49 RBI | 

| 63 Runs | 62 BB |


Year 2 -> HI-A | AA -> 21 years old -> 22% K-Rate | 502 PA

| .282 BA | .379 OBP | .870 OPS | 17 HR | 32 2B | 5 3B | 15 SB | 77 RBI | 

| 91 Runs | 58 BB | 





A.J. EWING -> Full-Season MILB STATS: 

Year 1 -> Low-A |  HI-A -> 20 years old -> 29% K-Rate | 376 PA

| .233 BA | .361 OBP | .751 OPS | 10 HR | 13 2B | 3 3B | 13 SB | 49 RBI | 

| 59 Runs | 63 BB |


Year 2 -> Low-A | HI-A | AA -> 21 years old -> 19% K-Rate | 553 PA

| .261 BA | .363 OBP | .828 OPS | 17 HR | 34 2B | 7 3B | 34 SB | 52 RBI | 

| 91 Runs | 76 BB |




M. VIENTOS -> Full-Season MILB STATS: 

Year 1 -> Low-A -> 17 years old -> 22% K-Rate | 206 PA

| .262 BA | .318 OBP | .716 OPS | 4 HR | 14 2B | 26 RBI | 23 Runs | 

| 15 BB | 


Year 2 -> LOW-A -> 18 years old -> 17% K-Rate | 260 PA

| .287 BA | .389 OBP | .878 OPS | 11 HR | 12 2B | 52 RBI | 32 Runs | 

| 37 BB | 


Year 3 -> AA | AAA -> 20 years old -> 29% K-Rate | 343 PA 

| .281 BA | .346 OBP | .933 OPS | 25 HR | 18 2B | 63 RBI | 52 Runs | 

| 33 BB | 


Year 4 -> AAA -> 21 years old -> 29% K-Rate | 422 PA 

| .280 BA | .358 OBP | .877 OPS | 24 HR | 16 2B | 1 3B | 72 RBI | 

| 66 Runs |  44 BB |


B. BATY -> Full-Season MILB STATS: 

Year 1 -> Low-A -> 19 years old -> 29% K-Rate | 223 PA

| .234 BA | .368 OBP | .820 OPS | 7 HR | 16 2B | 2 3B | 33 RBI | 

| 37 Runs | 35 BB | 


Year 2 -> HIGH-A | AA -> 20 years old -> 26% K-Rate | 378 PA

| .292 BA | .382 OBP | .855 OPS | 12 HR | 22 2B | 1 3B | 6 SB | 56 RBI | 

| 43 Runs | 46 BB |


Year 3 -> AA -> 21 years old -> 24% K-Rate | 533 PA 

| .259 BA | .296 OBP | .768 OPS | 26 HR | 26 2B | 2 3B | 20 SB | 89 RBI | 

| 71 Runs | 24 BB |


Year 4 -> AA | AAA -> 22 years old -> 25% K-Rate | 411 PA

| .315 BA | .410 OBP | .943 OPS | 19 HR | 22 2B | 0 3B | 2 SB | 60 RBI | 

| 76 Runs | 49 BB |



The Mets plan is simple, build a roster around Francisco Lindor and Juan Soto. The hard part will be deciding which of these young, talented players they believe offer the most upside and have the highest chance of reaching their true potential. It’s a great problem to have, that can quickly turn into a nightmare the wrong decisions are made and the players who are traded away perform better than the ones who remained with the team.

Hopefully they all become studs, so everybody wins…























Paul Articulates - Field Leadership


The New York Mets went through a pretty thorough slate-cleaning in the off-season following the 2025 campaign.  Besides the much discussed decimation of the Mets’ core, there was huge turnover in the non-player ranks.  Almost all of the coaches below Carlos Mendoza were either fired, opted to leave, or were just not renewed.  What is left is Mendoza and a brand new staff of coaches.

Last year’s staff came in as a well-respected bunch, but after the team’s failure to hold a large divisional lead there was an urgency to completely eliminate the environment that let it happen.  With a majority of the demolition work completed, the Mets now set out to rebuild, and there is very significant importance to the roles of the coaching staff in delivering a better product.

First and foremost, between David Stearns, Carlos Mendoza, and Justin Friedman (SVP of strategy & analytics), a sound strategy must be in place long before the grass greens up.  That strategy must be unambiguously communicated to the entire staff along with their roles and responsibilities for delivering the tactical elements of the strategy.  Let’s examine the new coaches and their roles.

Bench Coach: Kai Correa replaces John Gibbons.  John Gibbons was hired to be the bench coach for Mendoza to provide dugout experience and decision making assistance to support the new manager.  Now with two full years under Mendoza’s managerial belt, the Mets have brought in Correa to enhance the focus on infield defense and strategy.  Correa has a great deal of experience in this area and emphasizes David Stearns’ commitment to improving the team’s run prevention capabilities.  Correa will be tasked with coordinating the defensive approach and providing real-time adjustments to alignment.  In addition, he will fulfill the traditional bench coach role of maintaining situational awareness for Mendoza.  Mendoza must be fully focused on the execution on the field, so his bench coach is expected to be an information conduit for everything else, including player input, medical staff input, analytics information, and all other external sources.

Hitting Coach: Troy Snitker replaces the duo of Jeremy Barnes and Eric Chavez.  Snitker spent the last seven years as hitting coach for the Houston Astros.  The Astors were one of the first MLB teams to have a fully integrated analytics and technology operation for their player development, so he will fit cleanly into the Mets’ system with a smaller learning curve than many other possible candidates.  He will bring important insights on how another organization develops their hitters effectively.  He also has one extremely important role: helping the players adjust to the opponents’ pitching approach. This is a year-long cat and mouse game where teams use a plethora of analytics data to determine the opponent’s tendencies and prepare counter-attacks.  Albert will have to excel in this role to avoid the RISP hitting droughts that his predecessors could not stop.

Pitching Coach: Justin Willard replaces Jeremy Hefner.  Hefner was the well-regarded veteran of six seasons in the role who was shown the door following a few years of pitching under-achievement.  Hefner now heads to Atlanta while Willard assumes the job in New York.  The role of the pitching coach is to maintain awareness of the pitching staff’s health, development needs, utilization rates, and tactical approach in games.  The pitching coach has a very significant role of in-game advisor to the manager.  Who is tired, who is ready, and who is not becomes essential data for decisions on whether to replace the current arm during game action.  I feel like this communication broke down in the last two seasons, as Mendoza overused his bullpen and coddled the starters.  My hope is that Willard will relax Mendoza's itchy trigger finger.  Also, with his reputation for turning pitchers around while with the Red Sox organization, can fix Sean Manaea, David Peterson, and Kodai Senga who all lost their way in the end of the season.

First Base/Outfield Coach: Gilbert Gomez takes on this role, replacing Antoan Richardson.  Richardson made his mark with the Mets, revitalizing their running game and coaching Juan Soto to an unexpected career-high 38 stolen bases.  There is no expectation for Gomez to match this success, but if he can keep the runners moving aggressively on the base paths it will put pressure on opposing defenses.  Gilbert’s key contribution will be managing the outfield defense which will not be the strongest in the league to start the season.  Soto has shown defensive limitations in right, and without Brandon Nimmo or Jeff McNeil, the left field position will be a question mark until the roster is completed and the spring training competition for that position is resolved.

Third Base/Infield Coach: Mike Sarbaugh is replaced by Tim Leiper in one of the most interesting assignments.  Leiper has a very long history of base coaching all the way back to the 2014 season and has also managed in the minor leagues.  What makes this assignment interesting is the infield coach role.  He has far less experience than bench coach Kai Correa in both strategy and instruction in the infield and also has no major league playing experience in the infield.  How Tim and Kai communicate/collaborate will be very important.  They will inherit a very dynamic middle-infield duo in Francisco Lindor and Marcus Semien who likely will need little guidance, but unless the Mets acquire a seasoned first baseman, Jose Polanco will demand considerable attention at first.

These are the primary coaching roles and current assigned coaches.  There are several other assistant coaches that are also new in their roles that are not discussed here.

How well these coaches deliver the strategy and tactics to the players will determine the effectiveness of the team as they enter the 2026 season with so many new faces.  The players will be the center of attention in the media, but these coaches will be very instrumental in the ultimate success of this team.  Keep an eye on how things develop.


Reese Kaplan -- Is Anyone Confident in the 2026 Mets Offense?


Part three of the David Stearns still-not-done list of roster enhancements is the “noffense” afflicting the New York Mets. 

As a refresher, last season’s team included Pete Alonso, Brandon Nimmo and Jeff McNeil.  A look at the scorecard of their performance metrics would include a total of 75 HRs and 272 RBIs.  That’s pretty impressive.

Going into 2026 they have added Marcus Semien, Jorge Polanco, no one in left field, no one in center field and no one at DH if indeed Polanco is going to be manning first base as a regular there for the first time in his career.  Between Semien and Polanco you have baseball card totals from 2025 that include 41 HRs and 140 RBIs.  Now to be fair they are one offensive player short from this comparison but to match what they had in a bad 2025 season they would have to get 34 HRs and 132 RBIs.  That matching total wouldn’t include the DH position nor center field.   Given what the Mets got from both of those roles in 2025 it shouldn’t be all that difficult to match or exceed the past year totals.

Now everyone is well aware of the two heavy guns still available on the free agent marketplace.  Cody Bellinger would most definitely add to the offense and defense but cost pretty much the same range as what they refused to offer Alonso who now will perform for the fans in Baltimore. The other conspicuous unsigned FA is Kyle Tucker who fields, hits, runs and is slated to take a very long term contract at a rate approaching $40 million per year. 

Many articles are starting to appear in understanding and faint praise of what Stearns has done thus far during the off season.  It is possible they will get more out of elder statesman Semien who had a pretty bad 2025 season.  It’s also possible that Polanco will continue where he left off last year.  Keeping a somewhat open mind, even the most optimistic fans would agree more still needs to be done.

The other strong bats out there either have character and age issues like the former Braves DH Marcell Ozuna or the unproven Japanese slugger Kazuma Okamoto may be looking for a longer term deal.

The other thing Stearns fans espouse is that they don’t want to block the paths of minor leaguers like Carson Benge, Jett Williams and Ryan Clifford as well as the good singles hitters and speed burners in Binghamton. 

As a result you are now seeing multiple names in various media efforts suggesting the Mets focus on players who are on short term remaining deals like Luis Robert, Jr., lesser veterans who might gladly take a one year contract like Max Kepler. 


Then there are mid tier outfielders whose names pop up like Austin Hays whose best ever season was 22 HRs and 72 RBIs back in 2021 with the Orioles.  The Red Sox outfielder Jarren Duran has also been advocated in various places.  His best year was 2024 with 21 HRs and 75 RBIs accompanied by 34 SBs.  He won’t be cheap to obtain if Boston is foolish enough to consider trading him.

The front office has been very good at playing their cards close to the vest but at the same time the players in prospective move to Citifield are not exactly showstoppers.  There is still time as December is just closing, then January and the first two weeks of February are still open for transactions to occur. Whether people are more upset about the lack of activity or the tangible ones that have already taken place is a matter of debate.

12/28/25

Tom Brennan - “Weather” to Play April Night Games in AAA and AA is the Question


HEY HONEY, LET’S GO TO THE SYRACUSE NIGHT GAME ON APRIL 4!!

 

I presume that it is for TV revenue purposes, but Syracuse in AAA and Binghamton in AA play many night games in April. 

BRRR…

Now, there is great variability in temperatures in actuality, but AccuWeather has monthly charts showing what normal average highs and lows are temperature-wise throughout any given month, including April.

That said, in April 2025, Syracuse played 12 night games, or at least was scheduled to play 12 night games. I believe a few were postponed due to weather. 

But let’s assume the same dates for night games as juxtaposed against normal expected temperatures for that date, not actual temperatures.

Syracuse played night games at home on April 3 and April 4 in 2025. 

- The normal temperature chart for those dates shows low of 29° at night. 

They then moved onto Lehigh Valley, where they played night games on April 8, 9, 10, 11, and 12. 

- The normal average nighttime temperature is for those dates 29°.

Syracuse played a game in Buffalo at night on April 17. 

- Normal low temperature for that date? 37°.

Syracuse then moved onto Worcester Massachusetts. They had games at night on April 22, 24, and 25. 

- Normal low temperatures for those nights? 37°.

Finally, they had one night game remaining in April at home on April 29.

- Normal low temperature 42°.


In Binghamton, there were 11 scheduled home and road night games in April.

Average normal low temperatures for those games?

Apr. 4 - 28°

Apr. 8 - 29°

Apr. 10 - 30°

Apr. 15-18 (4 games): 40°

Apr. 22, 23 - 35°

Apr. 25 - 36°

Apr. 29 - 40°.

Now to be fair, nighttime lows are normally not achieved during nighttime game hours; those nightly lows would usually happen later in the evening. 

But those seriously low temperatures for so many night games also have windchill factors that are probably lower during night games, on average, than the listed temperatures above, which are only actual temperatures, not windchill factor temperatures. 

The players presumably are impacted in two ways in such frigid temperatures:

1) Their offensive and pitching and fielding production has to be negatively impacted in such cold conditions, so when you look at players’s season numbers, when those players have played night games in those locations, you have to factor that in.

Just looking at Syracuse in 2025, they hit .233 in 31 March and April games, with 25 HRs.

The rest of the season, they hit 145 HRs in 119 games and batted .250, a much higher pace.

The Binghamton HR rate in April was the same as for the whole season, but they hit .234 in April, but a much higher .252 over the rest of the season.

2) 1 would think that the risk of injuries, such as muscle pulls, arm injuries, etc., are much greater in very cold temperatures. You can get away with playing in cold temperatures in football, because guys are constantly moving. In baseball, there is much less ongoing player movement and it’s easier to get cold and tight in very low temperatures.

If it were me, I wouldn’t play any night games in either of those leagues until May. 

Day games have the benefit of being warmer, by 10-15 degrees on average. For those locales, although it is not warm during April days in most cases, on sunny days, you also have solar heat that helps players not feel frozen while playing. 

I don’t know how much money these teams make by having their games televised on milb.tv, but it would seem that the Mother Ship teams for those AA and triple AAA teams (e.g. NY Mets) ought to be able to subsidize those teams to not have their valuable prospects, struggling through cold night weather and likely higher risk of injury, just to make a few extra bucks.

Maybe it’s just me. Maybe most players could care less. I think they do.

I do know that the one year I did watch some mild.tv games very early in the season. The camera views from centerfield towards home plate showed very few fans in the stands, and those fans in the stands were dressed like they were Having a night out in Siberia.

My recommendation, which will most likely go “unheated” on the subject, is to have no AA and AAA night games before May 1 in those leagues.

It is an issue that frankly gets me hot under the collar.


WRITING UPDATE:

I am planning a writing hiatus, at least until the real action starts in late March. Blessings to you all.  I’ll still annoy many with my comments on other Mack’s writers’ articles in the interim, just as an advance warning.

Tom Brennan - Tremendous Infield Talent in Mets Minors

  

Can Ryan Clifford Be A Geater Met Than Lucas Duda?

Before I start here, do I think the next Francisco Lindor-caliber infielder is in the Mets minors?

No. He is on his way to an 85 WAR career.

That said, there are some really good ones:

Elian Pena has the hype and flashed some teenage super-power last year. In 2026, I expect him to give us a clearer picture as to whether he might in fact be the next Lindor-caliber infielder.

Jacob Reimer had an impressive 2025, and I expect him to be equally impressive in AAA in 2026.  A future David Wright Light?  Don't be so quick to say no.

Ryan Clifford is a 22 year old super pounder, who will be looking to attack in AAA and brandish "Power Supreme."  Future 1B/LF?  Hopefully a starter caliber dude.  

And Randy Guzman took the lower minors by complete surprise in 2025. Can he prove to be a stud prospect in 2026?

Jett Williams ought to be jetting into Queens in 2026.  Hopefully, the next Gregg Jefferies.

Boston Baro, Trey Snyder?  Possibles with rabid speed.  They need to step it up.  Marco Vargas? Not a speed, but ditto.  This is the year for all 3 to impress management.

Of course, let's not forget Antonio Jimenez, who I think will excite the fans in his first full pro season in 2026, and show he has future MLB chops.

And, of course, the blazingly fast Mitch Voit.  Who just might be the best infield prospect in 2026 in his first full pro season.

Yeah, there are other infielders, but my typing fingers are getting tired.


Not sure there is the next Lindor or Wright in this group, but the talent level is undeniable.  And ABUNDANT.

Tom Brennan - Tremendous Outfield Talent in Mets Minors

  

CARSON BENGE

Mets outfield prospects...arsk yourself this?

Are there any Darryl Strawberry-caliber prospects in the group?

Maybe, just maybe, Carson Benge, but I am not so sure - time will tell, but Benge will almost undoubtedly stand out.  Besides Benge...

AJ Ewing is incredible, seeking only to add some pop to his great hitting, on base abilities, and base stealing exhilaration.  Another Brett Butler or Lance Johnson?  Why not?

Then I get to a guy I like almost as much as Benge and Ewing: Nick Morabito.  Similar tools to Ewing, but perhaps not quite as good.  Nick, prove us wrong.

A notch further down are Eli Serrano, IF/OF D'Andre Smith, Yonaton Henriquez, and Edward Lantigua.  Good talent there.

All in all, a heartening level of talent in the Mets outfield prospect contingent.

Of course, athletic infielders who excel in 2025 and beyond may be thrust into the outfield competition soon, too.


The offensive prospect talent IMO is so good, I think that within 3 years, if all current offensive NY Mets players were for some reason no longer here, the Mets' catching, infield and outfield talent could allow the Mets to field a competitive MLB offensive squad from them.  I never could have thought that in the past, as Danny Muno just reminded me.

12/27/25

DRAFT SHITE - Eric Becker

 



Who will the Mets take with their first pick in the '26 Draft?

MLB

Eric Becker, SS, Virginia (No. 21): Becker might be a stretch to reach No. 27. He’s been a two-year performer with a .366/.459/.637 career line over 395 plate appearances in Charlottesville, and he’s a left-handed-hitting shortstop with a plus hit tool projection. Those aren’t easy to find in the Draft. His other tools grade out more average though, and if he doesn’t get to a little more power, it’s possible he’s there for the taking later in the first round.


RVH - Follow Up: Statcast Evidence Table — The Backbone Behind the Hitting Lab

 


Here is the data backbone behind the player-development takeaways in the Hitting Lab Snapshot I poted last week. Below is a compact Statcast Evidence Table showing the key metrics that support each hitter’s cause → effect → corrective lever → takeaway profile.

This is the appendix version — enough to support conclusions without overwhelming the feed.


Statcast Mapping Table (Cause → Effect → Corrective Focus)

Juan Soto - Preserve the machine

Key Metrics
• Swing% / Chase%

• Zone Discipline Variance (DV)
• xwOBA stability by pitch type

Why it matters
Soto’s discipline and attack-plane consistency are unmatched. His Statcast maps show virtually no persistent cold zones. Variance is minimal even when pitchers adjust.

Developmental note
This is not a “fix” profile. The risk is over-optimization. Any change must protect timing, posture, and recognition windows.


Francisco Lindor - Stabilize the attack angle

Key Metrics
• Launch-angle consistency
• Hard-hit% by zone
• High/low whiff distribution

Why it matters
Small attack-angle drift produces outsized slug volatility. When the plane stabilizes, impact returns. When it drifts, damage disappears quickly.

Developmental note
This is a fine-tuning problem, not decline. Plane consistency, not effort, is the lever.


Francisco Álvarez - Learn to sequence

Key Metrics
• Whiff% vs breaking balls
• EV / launch-angle variance
• Ground-ball rate vs velocity

Why it matters
Volatility shows up most against high velocity and low breaking pitches. The data aligns with inefficient kinetic sequencing rather than raw pitch recognition alone.

Developmental note
This is a movement education problem. Sequencing must be rebuilt before approach gains can stick.


Brett Baty - Find your rhythm

Key Metrics
• EV / LA volatility
• Whiff% vs fastballs
• Early/late timing tags

Why it matters
Contact quality rises and falls with timing stability. High-velocity struggles map directly to disrupted rhythm, not strength limitations.

Developmental note
Timing consistency is the swing. Mechanical over-adjustment risks making this worse.


Mark Vientos - Learn to see spin

Key Metrics
• Whiff% vs sliders
• xwOBA on fastballs vs spin
• Zone-based swing maps

Why it matters
The swing works. The bat speed is real. The statistical gap is breaking-ball recognition, especially late-tilt sliders.

Developmental note
Approach and visual recognition, not swing reconstruction, unlock the next tier.


Luisangel Acuña - Convert speed into impact

Key Metrics
• Average EV
• Pull-side air contact
• Chase rate on secondary pitches

Why it matters
Athleticism and bat-to-ball skills are evident, but impact lags. Speed is showing up in contact frequency, not damage.

Developmental note
Selective aggression and controlled lift are the bridge between tools and production.


Kyle Tucker - Refine the inner plane

Key Metrics
• xwOBA on inside pitches
• Launch angle vs velocity
• LHP timing splits

Why it matters
Performance dips are highly localized — inside-plane lift and specific left-handed sequences. The rest of the profile is elite and stable.

Developmental note
This is surgical refinement, not systemic risk.


Cody Bellinger - Control the whip

Key Metrics
• Attack-angle variance
• High/low whiff rates
• EV stability

Why it matters
Peaks and valleys align with bat-path volatility and posture drift. When the whip is controlled, production returns.

Developmental note
Posture and sequencing stability, not raw strength, drive outcomes.


Luis Robert Jr. - Stay inside the window

Key Metrics
• Chase% vs velocity
• EV consistency
• Zone miss concentration

Why it matters
Elite tools, but volatility appears when timing windows collapse. Misses cluster when commitment happens too early.

Developmental note
This is about decision timing, not athletic ceiling.


Austin Hays - Maintain posture through contact

Key Metrics
• LA drift by pitch height
• Pull-side hard-hit rate
• Contact point dispersion

Why it matters
When posture holds, damage follows. When posture leaks, contact quality drops fast.

Developmental note
This is a posture and balance maintenance problem, not approach confusion.


Ronny Mauricio - Synchronize power and recognition

Key Metrics
• Max EV vs whiff rate
• Zone aggression maps
• Breaking-ball chase

Why it matters
The power is real. The recognition window lags. When synced, the ceiling is obvious. When not, volatility dominates.

Developmental note
This profile benefits most from integrated biomechanics + visual training.


Jett Williams - Add real impact (power)

Key Metrics
• Max EV
• Average EV
• Hard-hit rate

Why it matters
Elite discipline is already present. Impact metrics show the next developmental gate clearly.

Developmental note
Force production without compromising approach is the challenge.


Carson Benge - Master the offspeed

Key Metrics
• Whiff% vs offspeed
• Chase rate vs spin
• xwOBA vs breaking balls

Why it matters
This is the classic tools-to-production bridge. Offspeed recognition separates future regulars from stalled prospects.

Developmental note
Recognition training is the unlock, not swing overhaul.


Closing Thought

Across these profiles, the pattern is consistent:

The next Mets gains won’t come from swinging harder. They’ll come from synchronizing movement, timing, and recognition.

That’s what the hitting lab is actually for — and Statcast is already telling us where to look.