9/13/24

Reese Kaplan -- The Syracuse Mets Trio Possible for 2025


Earlier this month we pondered who might be around next season when the huge free agent expressway opens up and the Mets find themselves with a great many empty lockers to fill.  The flip side of this analysis is who rises from the farm system to stake a claim on the 2025 New York Mets.  Be forewarned, it’s a pretty short list.

First of all, you have the missing-in-2024 Ronny Mauricio.  He’s a very interesting player with great speed, defensive versatility (though sometimes inconsistent in that regard), home run power and energy.  These attributes often spell a potential star, but after having missed a season with a major injury the club needs to know how rusty he is and where in the field he might wind up playing.  Obviously Francisco Lindor is going nowhere, but it is possible that Mark Vientos becomes a DH or a first baseman if the Mets opt to part with Pete Alonso.  The same is possible at second base if Jeff McNeil is considered more of an outfielder or if they pay down his salary and trade him away.

For the record as an offensive player, Mauricio checks a lot of boxes.  In 2023 playing mostly for Syracuse he finished the season with a .292 batting average while hitting 23 HRs, driving in 73 and swiping 24 bases.  This output was not atypical and his 2022 spent in Binghamton yielded similar numbers with a .259 average, 26 HRs, 89 RBIs and 20 steals.  Each level his batting average has improved which is a good sign.  Having an infielder who can hit for decent average while being a long ball threat and a force on the bases is a very good thing indeed.

Next up on the injury list is Drew Gilbert.  Back in 2023 when he came over to the Mets during the housecleaning of star pitchers, his numbers got you excited.  Standing just 5’9” you didn’t think about home run power but his 3-team 2023 totals included a .289 average with 18 HRs and 59 RBIs accompanied by a dozen stolen bases.  As an outfielder he plays primarily center field. 

He has missed about 2/3s of the season this year due to injury.  The batting average dropped dramatically in Syracuse but in under 200 ABs he still has 8 HRs and 21 RBIs.  Those kinds of numbers suggest a similar output if extrapolated for the full year.  Given that he is 23 years old, it’s possible he may start 2025 in Syracuse to make up for lost time but he’ll be a quick callup to Queens when needed.  A lefty swinger, he could complement a right handed hitter in a platoon if he’s struggling early at the next level.

Dare we talk about Brett Baty?  Before his injury his Syracuse numbers were not great.  He did show decent power with 16 HRs and 43 RBIs in about a half season’s worth of ABs, but the batting average sunk to .259.  Many power hitters struggle with batting average as singles and doubles don’t get the same focus as do attempts to put the ball over the fence. 

Given the very strong season by Mark Vientos you have to wonder where Baty fits on the Mets.  If Vientos indeed moves off third base, that could open up a spot for Baty.  In the minors he has played 29 games in the outfield and with Brandon Nimmo guaranteed to start with Starling Marte likely returning for his final year it’s possible the Mets could see him in one of the two corner spots with Nimmo returning to center field.  Or he could be trade bait.

After the already seen (and injured) Christian Scott, there’s not a whole lot of pitching to consider in AAA.  Right now AA seems more where development is being done while Syracuse becomes a holding place for AAAA players and promotion-bound guys needing to sample the next highest level of competition.  

23 comments:

Tom Brennan said...

I think his struggles in AAA aside, Brandon Sproat is as strong a MLB candidate as Mauricio, Gilbert, or Baty, if not stronger. The latter 3 have a mixed resume. Mauricio will likely be back in winter ball again to de-rust. Gilbert (and Jett Williams) could use Arizona Fall at bats; Williams is almost a definite, we’ll see about Gilbert going there. Baty is a conundrum. His .259 in AAA followed his major league pattern of starting hot and fading fast. Can any REALLY replace Pete’s offense in 2025? Doubtful, but possible.

Tidwell, Hamel and Vasil could all start for the 33-114 White Sox….maybe. This 3 have been Fire Starters in 2024. All 3 look like AAA repeats in 2025, so their collective AAA ERAs need to drop 3 runs.

Max Kranick has pitched better than the latter 3 and could be a 6th Mets starter or, if not, a definite pen arm. And Nolan McLean in his first pro year in Bklyn and Binghamton has a 3.78 ERA, learned a lot, has great stuff, and will pitch for the Mets in mid-2025 IMO. But the pitching cupboard is bare, by and large, so Stearns will need to do free agent pitching spending far beyond what he might have hoped at the start of 2024. Even Calvin Ziegler will miss much of 2025 after his early 2024 TJS left him at 7 total innings in 2023 and 2024.

Tom Brennan said...

I do need to add those were some incredible 7 innings by Ziegler in A ball the last 2 seasons - 7 innings, no hits, 16 Ks. PLEASE return fully healthy in 2025. In one early April 2024 game with Brooklyn, just before he needed TJS, he fanned 9 in 4 perfect innings. Then the darned injury hit.

Gary Seagren said...

Fully healthy will define next season

Gary Seagren said...

Nimmo has to be first as the biggest disappointment as his disappearance in the 2nd half has cost us a lead in the WC chase and Senga is 2nd.

Mack Ade said...

Right now I only see Mauricio and Acuna as opening day Mets

D J said...

Mack,
Your thoughts on players to be added to the Mets Fall League team.

Rds 900. said...

I think you are right.

Mack Ade said...

I never come close to getting this prediction right because I don't know what goes into the thought process of who is doing the picking

Mack Ade said...

I have been told that one will be P Dylan Ross

See?

TexasGusCC said...

Maybe Mauricio can be on this list someday:

https://www.espn.com/mlb/story/_/id/41207124/mlb-2024-most-exciting-player-bracket-elly-de-la-cruz-bobby-witt-jr-aaron-judge-shohei-ohtani

Mack Ade said...

I hope to see P Jonathan Pintaro

Tom Brennan said...

Gus, Mauricio has a lot in common with Ronald Acuna, at least in terms of MCL injuries

Tom Brennan said...

Mack, Dylan Ross is a real workhorse. In his pro career, 3 batters faced, 3 Ks.

bill metsiac said...

I have long been (and still am) a believer in Dear Abby's favorite phrase, "If it ain't broke, don't fix it".

Our rotation and pen have been great since the break, and they've done the job withOUT Senga, Scott, Nunez and Raley.

What's not to like about a rotation of Senga, Scott, Manaea, Sevy and Peterson, backed by Megill and Butto, with Sproat waiting in the wings?

If we're spending $200 mil on a FA, I'd rather spend it on Soto than Burnes.

Mack Ade said...

Ross was a mid-round (13th?) pick TWO YEARS AGO.

Injury in school - "undisclosed arm issues"

dis is some issues

Mack Ade said...

I still say throw money at Corbin

Rds 900. said...

I believe they will make a strong effort to sign Burnes.

Tom Brennan said...

My brother Steve covets Corbin for the Mets.

Tom Brennan said...

What, no Blackburn?

That Adam Smith said...

Given how reluctant they seem to give Acuña even a taste of the bigs this year, I have a hard time seeing him on the OD roster in '25. If he has a big first half, he could get his shot later in the season. I'd have to imagine, too that given they've reached missed most of all of '24, they'd want to give both Mauricio and Gilbert some time at AAA to find their groove in '25. Same for Jett Williams. I'd say Baty, if he's still with the org, will be the only minor league position player (though he won't be a rookie) with a real shot to make the team out of ST.

Rds 900. said...

Mauricio and Acuna will be on OD roster.

bill metsiac said...

Blackburn possible, if Manaea, Sevy and/or Q leave.

Lenny said...

Mets calling up acuña