1/17/26

Reese Kaplan -- Perhaps There Is a Plan After All


Many of you all here and among my Met fan friends know I have been less than charitable on how David Stearns has operated as the head honcho of the business of baseball at Citifield.  First were the free agent departures of Pete Alonso and Edwin Diaz, then the trade of Brandon Nimmo for a good glove and questionable bat in Marcus Semien.  Those three things alone were enough to sour many fans on how the 2025 team finished with a lineup and bench far superior to what's on tap for 2026.

Others have longer memories and hearken back to 2024 when a team in desperate need of offense signed a career .247 hitter to play center field, then repeated the same exercise with the trade for Jose Siri and the subsequent trade for Cedric Mullins.  When the starting rotation was in shambles in 2025 he did nothing at the major league level to address the problem and instead waited until late August and early September to force feed three AAA youngsters to help bolster the give-away pitching that they were starting 4 out of 5 days.  He did make an earnest effort to improve the porous bullpen but only Tyler Rogers performed as expected while Ryan Helsley and Gregory Soto did not help win ballgames.  

With players starting to report to Port St. Lucie on February 11th the Mets still have not changed the starting rotation at all except by integrating Nolan McLean who looked brilliant in his brief major league trial.  The bullpen may be better or may be worse depending on the health of A.J. Minter and the performance metrics of former Yankees Devin Williams and Luke Weaver.  

Obviously there are a great many things to criticize in how things have gone for the Mets yet at the same time the people excoriating Stearns for missing out on Kyle Tucker really are a bit off base.  It's odd for me to be in the position of defending the former Milwaukee executive but step back for a moment and think about what actually happened.  By all accounts the Mets had upped their annual offer from $50 million to $55 million and the length of the deal from three years to four.  

Is Kyle Tucker worth more than Juan Soto?  The $60 million he got from the Dodgers far exceeds what the Mets are paying their cleanup hitter.  You really can't fault Stearns for being cheap nor for being stingy with the contract duration.  The Mets offered $220 million over 4 years and the Dodgers bumped it up to $240 million for the same duration.  Pretty much any ballplayer would not walk away from an extra $20 million and the chance each season to be in the World Series.  Don't blame this specific transaction on the oft-criticized David Stearns.

Now, however, the gloves must come off.  With Cody Bellinger apparently looking for over $30 million per year for 7 years he's not exactly going to be consistent with the fiscal responsibility some felt the Mets would exercise for the present and future payroll obligations.  There is not likely going to be a David Stearns press conference with Bellinger at his side holding his name printed on a Mets jersey.  

What almost no one saw coming was the rapid signing of potentially the best right handed bat available in Bo Bichette who hits for average and power for $18 million per year less than Tucker and adding a much needed right handed bat.  That's the good news.  

The bad news, of course, is that Bichette is a challenging player defensively and Stearns was quite vocal in his desire for run prevention.  Shortstop is filled.  Theoretically second base and third base are already filled.  There's another infielder slated to play first base.  

So what happens now?  Is Brett Baty crossing the diamond to try his never-before-tested hand at first base opening up third for Bichette?  Do you try to ask Bichette to play a brand new position that Alonso vacated?  Do you attempt to convert Bichette into an outfielder like his father had been?  Do you bench newly acquired and expensive Marcus Semien? 

If you go back and look at the remaining available free agents for the outfield where the Mets still have two vacancies that need to be filled.  The pickings are mighty slim.  Miguel Andujar, Austin Hays, Harrison Bader and Randal Grichuk represent the best of the remaining lot.  It seems most of the free agents available have already been snapped up by more aggressive GMs who wanted to secure their rosters early into the off season.  On the DH front the only name with some note would be now former Brave Marcell Ozuna.  He had a mediocre 2025 and is getting up their in age which might appeal to the short term contract oriented Mets front office but he's not going to be available for chump change either.

Trades are going to have to be made.  You still need two starting quality outfielders.  You still need to improve the starting rotation.  You need a long man in the bullpen.  Young players who have not yet become regulars during their major league careers like Ronny Mauricio, Mark Vientos and Luisangel Acuna may have to be on the move to address these needs as well as top level minor league prospects.  It also means Brett Baty may now become a trade chip to land an impressive outfielder or starting pitcher.

At this point many are wondering exactly what the plan was for building the roster.  Letting players walk away and trading a few long term Mets was one thing.  Adding Jorge Polanco and Marcus Semien to replace the offense of Pete Alonso, Brandon Nimmo and Jeff McNeil doesn’t quite add up.  Now factoring the acquisition of Bo Bichette actually does.  They still need outfielders.  They need better pitching.  The clock is still ticking with Spring Training just over three weeks away.

29 comments:

Mack Ade said...

Afternoon Reese

I think the Mets had a Plan A. Tucker.

Past that, I think they had a few Plan B's.

What they now have is a defensive word salad.

I'm reminded of that old joke about too many chefs putting salt in the pot and only winding up with salt water

Their current offensive WAR is approaching last year's level. Now, they need to turn to Bud Abbott and ask "who's on first, what about third", etc.

Oh

And turn to trading for a starter

Mack Ade said...

I take that back

Combined fWAR Semien, Polanco, Bichette:

9.1

Alonso, Nimmo, McNeil:

7.7

Les Elkins said...

Stearns plans and methods have been questioned the whole off season. So far ,I think, his moves have improved the team both on the field and in the club house. The team, appears to be taking shape . I think the excitement surrounding the Bichette signing is justified because of all that he brings to the team. A top hitter and solid club house presence. Two attributes very much needed in our clubhouse. Players that already have the respect of the other players. They also add much needed clutch hitting abilities. We have witnessed what Nimmo , Alonso , McNeil brings to the table and found it well short of what was needed to compete successfully . It is time to try something and someone different. Stearns has a reputation for being able to build a sustainable winner. I am ready to give him the chance to build one here. I am 75 years old and can only hope that I can live long enough to see the Mets win another W.S.. LGM

Mack Ade said...

My only concerns now are defensive.

As for free agency, stop

Go to packaging team controlled excess for a killer starter

Reese Kaplan said...

Would Baty and a couple of hot prospects be enough to land for only one guaranteed year of Skubal?

Mack Ade said...

There is a video going around about Baty playing left and gunning down a runner at home. An incredible charge, scoop, and bullet to Alvy

Hmm

Mack Ade said...

on Skubal... or Skenes... yes

or make deal contingent on extension and let either team pick:

Baty
one catcher prospect
one starter prospect
Mauricio
one Low A/Rookie prospect

Rds 900. said...

Baty in left.

RVH said...

First, while they might not have covered Pete’s power, they have better clutch hitters in both Polanco & Bichette- that’s important. The offense last year was on/off all year & varied significantly month by month.

They are primed to trade for at least one OF now & Boston needs infielders & prospects. There is a nice match there for a certain left fielder people have been talking about…

They will trade for a durable starter - it will cost prospect capital but hey - it is what it is.

I also wouldn’t be surprised if they swap out contracts with Astros(Manaea for Christian Walker) to play 1B. Move Polanco to DH.

Bichette, Polanco, Semien all went deep I to the playoffs last year. They have played the game as winners.

I’d also be ok if they do sign Bader & use him/taylor in CF until Benge is ready in May/June.

Soto (27), Bichette (28), Alvarez (24), Benge (22), Duran? (27), Lindor (32), not a bad new core…

Up the middle defense is better with temporary CF/benge, Lindor, Semien & Alvarez (assuming he doesn’t break his hands again. Bichette will be fine at 3B - he is 28 & is coming off SS (yes not a great defensive SS) & his bat plays for sure.

Plus more new pitching coming up from the minors.

Forget the salary cap reset until the new deal is struck. LAD have changed th calculus for superpower teams at this point. Steve Cohen will play with the big boys - that’s important is something I will gladly bet on for sure.

The plan is different than Stearns likely preferred but it marks a major organizational shift that aligns age curve & LT cost cycles while fielding a competitive team.

Zozo said...

I definitely think Baty is a trade chip going forward, Probably for Freddy Peralta.
I love the Bichette signing And hopefully they are still in on Cody Bellinger?

Mack Ade said...

The Mets are never going to give Bellinger seven years

Tom Brennan said...

They have gotten younger, and the contract lengths have gotten shorter. That sounds like. SMART. To me.

Tom Brennan said...

I could see the Mets getting Skubal, but not Skenes. Imagine the Mets trading Seaver after 1969? I think Pittsburgh would see its attendance drop further than an already is. Skenes will not be a free agent for years, so why can’t they wait and see if some of their prospects can help boost them, much like Seaver did in 1969?

Tom Brennan said...

The Mets are never going to bring in the fences, either, and for Bellinger to really be effective, he needs smaller dimensions

Tom Brennan said...

Mack, as far as Baty’s dazzling play, the key is being able to repeat it. When I first started golfing, which I no longer do to protect the lives of others, I borrowed my brother Jimmy’s righty clubs. I was absolutely gosh-awful hitting righty, except for one 220 yard three iron that I hit directly at the pin one day. Jack Nicklaus would’ve been thrilled with that shot. When I did that, I thought maybe I figured something out. The next time I swung the club, I realize I hadn’t figured out a darn thing. I will believe that Brett is a capable outfielder when I see it in action.

TexasGusCC said...

In looking at other rosters, Eugenio Suarez is out there for a hefty cost. But, the Red Sox, Mariners, Tigers, and Brewers all need an upgrade at third base. The options right now are Matt Shaw, Suarez and Baty. Baty will definitely be traded.

Tom Brennan said...

I love the Bichette signing. He only turns 28 soon, he had the second highest batting average in the Major league, any of the most doubles per game of any player in the Major leagues. So I say rejoice. I also did notice without reading the article that one of the New York Post writers thought it was wonderful that the Mets missed on Tucker and got Bichette instead. And the deal is great. If he has a tremendous year, he probably opt out and by then all of our kiddie hitters are raring to go. Right now, they are just medium rare.

Tom Brennan said...

Gus, I would not have a problem with Brett being traded. He is not, and never will be, the next George Brett.

Mack Ade said...

I'm intrigued by that video going around of him gunning down a runner at home

From.left field

Paul Articulates said...

The signing of Bichette was a knee-jerk reaction to losing Tucker. It creates a log jam of infielders on a team that needs outfielders and starting pitching. I get all the speculation that now they can put together trade packages, but that is more of "oops, now what are we going to do with all these infielders" than a calculated step because some team wanted Baty or Mauricio. Bichette is a good hitter, but does not bring the power to replace Alonso. Baty has more power and he just got shoved to the back. Plain and simple, we got out-played by the Dodgers and we are now scrambling to recover. This was NOT the plan.

Tom Brennan said...

Paul, Jon Harper said it was great that they landed Bichette in part of course because Philadelphia couldn’t land him then. Harper was also thrilled that the Mets whiffed on Tucker. I wonder if his bein thrilled tells us anything.

. Bo? He had the highest amount of doubles per game of any player in the major leagues and had the second highest batting average. That frankly is awesome..

I think it was an excellent pick up. And it’s short contract duration. And he’s young. The Dodgers may have outplayed us, or maybe we outplayed them, but it cost them a heck of a lot of money to do it. I think that given the opt out that Bo has, our young hitters a year from now that are in the minors will be infinitely more ready for the big leagues. Our offense is substantially strengthened for 2026, and we’re well positioned for prospects in the future to enter the Frey. I think we won here.

JoeP said...

I'm on the Bichette bandwagon. I think he is a better all-around hitter than Tucker. Great short term pickup. Tucker doesn't hit that many HR's anyway, so he would not have replaced the power needed.

I also think that even if he has a really good year that he might not choose to opt out. My reasoning is because of the strike. If we lose a whole year because of this, his third year salary would be grand fathered in.

As far as Baty goes, I would hate to lose him now after we went through all these growing pains and development years. This is the time most prospects blossom after a few years. I would hate to trade him now and watch him become a solid pro. I think we Mets owe it to themselves to see if he reaches his potential this year. He should get the first crack at 1B. He can also get AB's as DH, while spelling Bichette at 3B if needed. Also see if he can handle time in LF

JoeP said...

Further on Baty:

While I don't see him as the next George Brett or Chipper Jones, a solid .260+/20+/80+ guy doesn't grow on trees. He is also the perfect fallback if Bichette opts out.

Zozo said...

I see Baty going in a trade package to the Red Sox for Duran

Mack Ade said...

I see him in LF until Benge is ready...

Or part of trade package for primo starter

JoeP said...

I'll take door number 2. I'm warming to the LF idea, or a trade for a good starter (better than we have). I think Duran has shot his load already. Keep hearing he's just an average fielder and his BA keeps dropping. At this point go with Baty in LF, he has more power.

Tom Brennan said...

Baty’s ceiling may be as an average major leaguer, but never an All Star. OOPSY projects Baty at .249/.321/.419 in 2026, with 49 runs and 50 RBIs in 420 PAs. Pretty mediocre. And he has never been rated as an average IF or OF.

If Baty had to move to the outfield, Benge will be better than him by 2027…or sooner.

Bo Bichette? OOPSY is at .289/.340/.457. Nothing wrong with that.

bill metsiac said...

Are we really stronger with moving Baty to LF and having Bo learning 3B? I'd rather leave Brett where he is and try Bo (who is much faster) in LF.

Tom Brennan said...

What major league player has had 89 doubles, 27 triples, and 37 HRs over the past 2 years? Jarren Duran. If that is decline, I want some. And a strong glove.