7/29/26

Reese Kaplan -- The Last Big Selloff Was a Stearns Disaster


I only know of one loyal Mets fan who seems perfectly accepting of all that has been done and not done by the Mets front office while disregarding the outcome of those very poor decisions.  The vast majority of people are reacting like they would in any business environment.  When something doesn’t work a plan evolves to address the issues at hand.  

While all of us somewhere deep inside feel that David Stearns is a solid baseball professional who knows what he’s doing, the fact remains that his decisions have imploded spectacularly and not a damned thing has been done to change the ownership of the cellar despite the season being more than half gone already. 

A great many of us want to go to the other extreme — blowing up the vast majority of the roster and repopulating the team with current and newly obtained minor leaguers who could at least show us people who might evolve into steady performers.  The Mets have allegedly named Nolan McLean, Christian Scott, Zac Thornton, Juan Soto, Carson Benge and A.J. Ewing as untouchable with everyone else available for the right price.  The question now to consider is what return offer would be fair enough to have current Mets changing uniforms.


Think back now to the 2023 sell off and realize that it was not exactly what everyone envisioned when it happened.  The Mets wound up paying $88 million of the remaining contracts for Max Scherzer and Justin Verlander.  That’s a lot of coin to expunge players from your current roster unless the returns gotten are significant.

Hmmn....

Well, for Scherzer the Mets got the Rangers to give up Ronald Acuna’s younger brother who has since moved on to the south side of Chicago to bring back another unneeded and expensive player in Luis Robert, Jr.  That didn’t exactly work out spectacularly.

It must have been better for Verlander, right?  Well, in exchange for him the Mets got now former Met Drew Gilbert and slugging strikeout machine Ryan Clifford.  While Verlander has not exactly been the prime time star he once was, it’s pretty safe to say that for the money spent and the one prospect/suspect remaining that the Astros got the better end of that deal, too.

But they were not done.  The Mets also sent stellar reliever David Robertson to the Marlins for a pair of players, Ronald Hernandez and Marco Vargas.  The now 22 year old Hernandez is hitting .221 with 7 HRs and 33 RBIs, not exactly prospective All Star material.  The 21 year old Vargas is slightly north of the Mendoza line but the feedback is that he’s better than what the current numbers are showing.

But they still made more moves.  Tommy Pham went to bring back .228 hitting shortstop Jeremy Rodriguez.  Meh.

Then they sent outfielder Mark Canha off to the Brewers for pitcher Justin Jarvis who has since been released.

Finally they shipped Dominic Leone off to obtain infielder Jeremiah Jackson who is also no longer with the Mets.

So, to recap the Mets spent $88 million and have only Ryan Clifford, Ronald Hernandez, Marco Vargas and Jeremy Rodriguez to show for sending away two potential Hall of Famers in Scherzer and Verlander, plus Robertzon, Pham, Canha and Leone. 


Now fast forward to 2026 and consider what, if anything, should David Stearns do?  He obviously has not had a good track record in midyear selloffs nor did he create a winning roster after last year’s disappointment.  Still, there are a number of players who can and probably should be moved even if the returns are highly unpredictable.  

The only difference this time around is that they have publicly said they are not looking to pay down the current salaries. 

Here’s to wishful thinking.

12 comments:

TexasGusCC said...

Make that two loyal Mets fans.

The article confuses me as Stearns wasn’t here in 2023 and he was a buyer in ‘24 and ‘25, so he never did get to sell.

I don’t know what his strategy will be, but I’d like to sell at least ten players and as Adam and Jules write, I’d like to package players for better prospects. While many writers scoff at what the Mets have to offer, prospects are still chips until they succeed. I’ve seen #1 prospects flop and I just heard from Ernest Dove that Mitch Voit is a faster Guillorme… oh boy! I predict the first Mets trade to happen today: Robert and Baty to the Yankees for Langrange and Lalane.

TexasGusCC said...

Optimistically, up to 12 players can go.

Tom Brennan said...

Oddly, Jeremiah Jackson stalled out in the Mets minor league system. Too many Ks. Average low. Sounds like … RYAN CLIFFORD.

Jackson moved on to Baltimore, where he is a .260 hitter in 384 MLB at bats and solid fielder.

Maybe it is the hitter-destroying system. I bet Ron Hernandez (.343 OBP in High A) would do fine in another organization.

Tom Brennan said...

I watched a snippet of Craig Carson’s show. The guy on his show believes the Yanks are very interested in Taylor, Holmes, and one of the lefty relievers. Stearns can trade all 3 to them - but only if he gets REAL prospect talent.

Mack Ade said...

The whole trading season us slow, meaning the slowness is not just Stearns.

Everyone calling Everyone

Jules C-- The Cautious Optimist said...

Other than maybe Lombard, the Yankees have no one in the minors worth trading for. Their minors are relatively bereft of talent. Fortunately teams with better farm systems are likely interested in Taylor and Holmes. Now if the Yankees wanted Robert, we could start a conversation.
And I agree with Mack, everything is slow, but not just because everyonoe is talking with everyone. It is because the trade deadline is designed to stimulate interest in the sport during the lull prior to the stretch run. Lots of trades and big ones are rare every year.
This one is unlikely to be different.
Seriously, the Mets should be thinking out of the box when others are still stuck in the usual ways. We have so many pieces at so many different positions at so many different ages that we should try to bundle to solve a trading partner's set of needs and demand only one player back in return -- but someone special or with extraordinary potential. And once that is in place don't be afraid to expand the deal. Fewer trades with more players involved in each and higher quality if fewer players in return. That's the optimal strategy PERIOD.

Jules C-- The Cautious Optimist said...

I can't watch Craig Carton. He's not knowledgeable about sports, often unprepared, has a child like sense of humor. I admire that he has turned his life around and deserves a lot of credit for that. Not for his work on air :-). The Yankees have only one player that could even fit the Mets DNA and that is Lombard.Jr

Tom Brennan said...

True. The Mets need future major league quality players. I am inclined not to deal Weaver and Holmes, because they are pitching quality that should only leave Queens for BIG returns. Or don’t bother. We need that pitching quality for 2027.

Paul Articulates said...

Talent evaluation must improve on this team. Both the draft and the trades have yielded very few MLB improvements.

Jules C-- The Cautious Optimist said...

Couldn't agree more Paul. I am always reminded of what Jerry West said when he was asked what is the most important skill a GM (in basketball) can have. His answer, Ability to judge talent trumps everything.

Jules C-- The Cautious Optimist said...

Tom, We don't have control of Holmes for next year. He holds the option. That's the value of trading him. No QO is involved. He unilaterally can choose free agency. I don't believe the team we trade him to can offer him a QO nor will they if they could as it would come in at 22M or so which he might take for a year which would be a very high price for them to pay. They could offer to extend him, but he will surely want to see what he can get in free agency at his age. If the Mets don't trade him then they have to try to extend him or he will simply opt out. If they trade him and he then opts out they can try to sign him as a FA in addition to someone like Skubal.

That Adam Smith said...

I just hope that whoever they trade for, there’s a scout somewhere in the system who’s actually watched them play a few games, and that we’re not going entirely by spreadsheets.