For many reasons, the 2026 baseball season has been a disappointment for New York Mets baseball fans. The suffering continues, as the team remains 11 games back from the final wild card spot and is still 3.5 games behind the Nationals team they just swept to climb out of the cellar.
Many fans, frustrated by where the season went and the loss of experienced veterans at the trade deadline, want to see remnants of the season removed. Change the GM! Release all the veteran players that disappointed! Move on from those prospects that never became stars! I certainly understand the sentiment, and have felt the same emotions.
However, baseball is a strange business. Players overperform or underperform for so many (often subtle) reasons that it is very hard to predict. Last year’s star can be this year’s goat and vice versa. If you run the business with emotion, you will constantly be tossing out good players with the bad because you couldn’t tell a slump from a decline.
With that in mind, I decided to look at this year’s team with an eye beyond the statistics. In today’s game, the analytics rule, but they can also mischaracterize the value of a player in an organization if one just focuses on the individual pieces and not how they fit together.
“Intangibles” is a term that refers to immeasurable qualities that contribute in ways that are not well understood. I will take some poetic license with this definition, as some of the qualities I will refer to are indeed measurable, but are also not the numbers that are typically used to judge player effectiveness.
On the roster of the current New York Mets, there are a handful of players that are a lock for the future. This is essentially the same list that David Stearns used to describe the very few players that would not be considered for trades at the deadline. The guys that are locks own that designation for reasons that are obvious to all, so there is no need to discuss the “intangible” value they bring to the team. That list would include:
Soto, Lindor, Benge, Ewing, McLean, Scott. Further, Lindor, Thornton, Bichette, Young, and Torrens have made the case for their future with this team.
The rest are the players that are easily dismissed by the fan base given the amount of angst create this season. Let’s talk about three of them to really understand what they bring to the team before adding them to the scrap heap:
Brett Baty:
Sean Manaea: In the 2025 season and the first half of 2026, Manaea was either hurt or incapable of throwing quality starts. With a $25M/yr salary, this became one of the most painful roster spots in recent history. Manaea has certainly figured something out recently, as his velocity and pitch location has improved, and he is now making his starts worth watching.
Francisco Alvarez: This “can’t miss” prospect that shot through the minors onto the Mets’ roster did miss. He was plagued by injuries, loss of focus, and reversion to an out-of-control swing that limited his contributions to the team. Now in his fourth full season, most of his welcome is worn out. But Alvarez was an impetuous youngster that was more talented than he was mature.




16 comments:
It’s ironic that you started with Baty, the last player I looked at baseball reference before I went to sleep. His OPS is .653 (lower now after another o-fer) not his slugging. His slugging today for his career is .342.
A player that looks great but regularly disappoints, Baty is a tease. Trade him to the Yankees, see if he can learn to use the short porch and wish him well. His WAR this year is 0.1. I thought it was a misprint at first. I couldn’t believe it. I wanted him traded after last year but Stearns wanted too much from Boston. Anyone that says he should be kept as Bichette insurance should look at the WAR again: 0.1. Last year’s 3.0 was the first time he had ever been over 1.0 in any season, and now he is back to his usual output.
Baty's value to the team is one of versatility. Every team needs a player that can be used in a bunch of different positions. He is simply a bench player that has been exposed by the amount of games he has played this year. Nothing new.
An argument can be made that Senga is your future closer. He has the talent.
I prefer Jared Young to Baty,
Senga rocks. After he sucked. That’s baseball.
Manaea is competent as a starter. A keeper thru his contract.
Alvarez will rise. For at least 3-4 years. Keep.
Interesting conversation. Manaea has recovered enough of his arsenal and his health to suggest that he can be a serviceable back of the rotation veteran pitcher during the last year of his contract. He may also be a trade piece at the next deadline and that helps explain why the Mets need to obtain additional veteran presence among their starters during the offseason.
Alvarez has a world of potential but the issue is whether he will do the work on his mechanics to unleash it. He has a disarming variance in what his plate appearances are likely to produce. He has virtually no productive outs and continues to be able to hit mistakes with sufficient regularity to keep everyone optimistic. Evreyone knows my view by now: send him to a movement pattern specialist in the offseason and see if it takes; then we will have a better idea of a lot of things, most importantly, his discipline and commitment.
I think everyone is right about Baty. He is B level versatility, and C- level of offensive performance. He is replaceable. It is foolish to think he isn't. He is inexpensive but he doesn't do anything of the many things he does well. Jared Young does fewer things, i.e. he plays no other infield position but does play the outfield in a pinch, but he plays solid defense at 1B, is mature and professional and hits in the clutch, shows some power and is hitting over 260 against righties. He is also inexpensive and at the beginning of what is likely to be his prime.
Lets hope that Senga finishes the season with a flourish as the primary closer
The then-available Corbin Carroll was drafted 4 picks after Baty in 2019. Carroll already has 20.3 career WAR. Baty? 2.5.
Of course, Carroll has a home field advantage, hitting 25 points higher in his career than on the road.
Well, Baty is a .250 hitter in Citi, but .203/.265/.309 on the road in 706 road PAs in his career. I will leave to others to speculate as to why. Lack of spine?
Me too
The Mets now have infield prospects up the wazoo
Let them develop according trade a few to fill holes and sit back and enjoy by OD28
I almost included Senga, but it is too early in his tenure as closer to know that he will be good over the long term there. Certainly there are successful closers that have upper-90s fastballs and splitters. However, Senga has shown very little stamina in his career, and if he needed to close three games in four days, how would he perform?
Young has clearly had the better season and seems to be coming into his own at age 31. Baty has a few years to figure it out to match that. Will he be around?
Guillermo, Iglesias, McNeil had similar situations - true that they were replaceable, but with the Mets injury history, who is next in line if Baty leaves?
Paul, I like Pitre to replace Baty. By opening day 2027. Great numbers. Strong D. No reason he can’t learn 1B and OF.
Pitre has about 50 AAA and Arizona games to polish off his game. Assuming a 2027 strike he will have even more.
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