Mack Ade – Sunday Organizational
Review – Positional
I like to look around the organization and try and
predict what the next steps will be in the Mets organization. It’s Sunday, my
coffee is hot, Fareed Zakaria is on CNN, so here goes.
1B - First up,
let’s get first base straightened out. We
need to get Ike Davis back in Queens and working out his hitting problems while
on the major league team. Hitting home runs in Las Vegas is something my granddaughter
can do. Marketing him as a first baseman and Lucas Duda as someone that can play two positions can only create
offers for one, or both of them down the road. Eric Campbell will hold down the fort until Josh Satin comes back and
Alan Dykstra is long overdue to be promoted from AA. Jayce Boyd is quickly making us all
forget about Aderlin Rodriguez, but the prospect plum is Dominic Smith who is currently playing
GCL and ETA’s around OD 2017. First base is in wonderful shape long term, but
frankly, way up in the air for tomorrow night. I know Duda iis on the DL right now and Zach Lutz has been called up to hold down the fort (interesting choice), but this is Davis' position to lose, only to Duda.
2B - Everybody in
the organization is thrilled with the progress that Daniel Murphy has made at this
position, but more important, he has become a core member of the inner circle
of this team. Murphy represents everything this team currently means and to
deal him off would be tragic. Now, we have to get a return for Wilmer Flores. He’ll never be the
perfect second baseman but there will be some team out there that wants his
21-year old bat. If not, he’s young enough to keep around in Vegas for another
year as insurance in case Murphy went down with an injury. Danny Muno, TJ Rivera, Chad Zurcher, and LJ Mazzilli offer nice filler, but your next true prospect here would
be 17-yr. old German Rosario, who remains in extended camp. The former $1.75mil bonus
baby ETA’s around 2018.
SS - Here’s a problem. Omar Quintanilla is filling in nicely
while Ruben Tejada is on the
mend; however, Tejada isn’t working out. Worse than this, the closest thing the
organization has to a prospect here is Gavin Cecchini, who is at least three years away (if he starts to show
why he was drafted this high). Next up would be 17-year old Amed Rosario,
currently playing at Kingsport.
3B - First up is David Wright for the rest of this
decade. The insurance policy is Daniel Murphy, and Zach Lutz down in Vegas. Past that, Kingsport’s 19-year old Pedro Perez is your next ‘blue’
prospect, with a 2017-2018 ETA. We’re more than fine here.
C - We continue to await Travis d-Arnaud, who is turning
25-years old next year. I’m going to continue to assume this was a good deal,
but we do need a back-up plan here once John Buck is gone. My guess right now is d’Arnaud and Frankie Pena will be the 2014
backstop, with Juan Centeno and Blake Forsythe in Las Vegas. Kevin Plawecki
was just moved to St. Lucie and does have an
outside chance of finishing this year at AA. He’s very mature both on and off
the field and hs a true ETA of OD 2015. Lastly, Kingsport’s Adrian Abreu and GCL’s Jose Garcia are true ‘blue’
prospects. This position is looking very deep organizationally.
OF – Lots of ‘almosts’ here. There are a bunch of guys who
have a lot of talent here, but they also have holes in their game that may
never be fixed. Everybody has been waiting for Matt den
Dekker to return so he can be projected again as
Flushing’s future defensive star that will hit .225. Well, we already have that
now in Juan Lagares. I think
we have a few shots here for every day stardom. Cesar Puello may be for real and we will find out, probably next year. Brandon Nimmo is probably for real,
but we have to wait until 2016 to find out. Highest ‘ceiling’ projections go
out to two Latin kids currently playing for Kingsport, 19-yr.old Wuilmer Becerra (part of d’Arnaud deal)
and 20-yr. old Vincente Lupo (2012, DSL: .343). I’d also keep an eye on Broooklyn’ Jared King, K-Port’s Ivan Wilson, and St. Lucie’s Dustin Lawley (14-HRs).
6 comments:
Could Flores play LF, Duda-style, if he continues to hit? From what I understand, the rap on Flores is that he just doesn't have an infielders range - could the Mets hide him in left?
As for the big club, I know you're not a huge Valdespin fan, but wouldn't it make sense to have him splitting time with Nieuwenhuis against righties and use Lagares in a platoon against lefties? I feel like you could play Byrd and Young every day (until they trade Byrd and/or Young reverts to career norms) and give those two a chance to slug it out for regular time against righties. Nothing about Lagares makes me think he's any better than Collin Cowgill, let alone good enough to hold down a regular job.
Jack, Flores can't play the outfield. They haven't even considered it because he's that slow.
The rest of your question is typical when someone talks about the current players that make up both the Queens and Las Vegas outfield.
The problem is NONE of them are full time outfielders. Their only chance of playing at the major league level is to be either platooned or play a utility slot.
IMO, the Mets still need 3 starters here.
For starters, Sandy needs to trade some of his young pitching for at least one excellent outfielder...
Isn't German Ahmed Rosario and Amed Rosario the same person? The kid they signed for 1.75 . This isn't the first time I've seen a post with the two names mentioned as if they are indeed two separate people. Maybe I'm wrong but Rosario is in Kingsport. Is there another still in Extended ST?
I think you are right and I have too many Rosario's on my brain.
My bad.
Mack, first off, I like your positional analysis. I actually think this team is not that far away from bieng a winner. If they are actually correcting Davis's weaknesses and his L.V. stats are not deceptive, he can still be a cornerstone of the organization. Murph at 2B continues to surprise and amaze. SS is a real weakness, and Sandy may indeed have to address it.
I am excited about Puello's emergence in Binghamton. If he really has found himself, a tandem of Young and Puello at the top of the ordercould be dynamite. I don't think we see Young the same way. His performance last year in Colorado may not have been a fluke. I see him as a solid .280-.290 guy with dynamic speed on the bases.
I also think you may be overlooking Taijeron and Vaughn as future potential sluggers in the outfield. Either one could emerge as a threat by 2014-2015. But I do agree with you that we need a slugging outfielder right now. I hope Toronto makes Bautisdta available. I don't think the Rockies will let Gonzalez go, although Sandy might make them an offer they can't refuse.
The Young pickup may pay off as one of the three OFers needed. So far, he's far better than anything else we have and who hates a switch hitter, right.
CarGo might have gone down with a major injury last night.
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