4/1/23

Top 20 RHP on Draft - #2 - Paul Skenes - LSU

 


Paul Skenes

RHP LSU

2022 Air Force stat line - 15-ST, 10-3, 2.73, 1.17, 85.2-IP, 96-K

2023 LSU stats as of 3-31:  7-ST - 4-0, 0.81,0.77


Mack - This has been the year of Skenes and his teammate, OF Dylan Crews. Both are now favorite to go 1.1 and 1.2 in this draft. Chase Dolanger was the odds on favorite to be the first pitcher picked in this draft but that's old news now. Only four players have scores against Skenes this season. Amazing. 


 3-4-23 - https://d1baseball.com/roundup/d1-digest-mean-skenes-deals-fgcu-gets-upset-program-record/ -

Pitcher Of The Day: Paul Skenes, LSU

The Air Force transfer was phenomenal yet again. He needed just 80 pitches to mow through the Butler lineup for six innings. Skenes gave up a single with two outs in the first inning and proceeded to strike out 10 of the next 12 batters he faced. He retired the final 16 hitters to step in the box against him.

 Skenes is now 3-0, 0.50 with 36 strikeouts in 18 innings.

 HE HAS STRUCK OUT FOUR TIMES AS MANY HITTERS AS HE’S ALLOWED TO REACH BASE.

 

 3-3-23 - Keith Law’s MLB Draft 2023 Rankings: -

#9 Paul Skenes, RHP, LSU

LSU worked that transfer portal this winter, landing Skenes from Air Force, where he may not have faced SEC-caliber competition but he did have to pitch at 6,000 feet above sea level. He’s been 94-100 mph, sitting 97-98, with a short arm stroke that hides the ball until very close to release. His slider and changeup aren’t as advanced, probably 55s but both inconsistent, with the changeup needing more separation from the fastball and the slider just too variable in shape from pitch to pitch.

 

3-1-23 - The Scouting Trail: Round Rock Prospect Breakdown -

No. 10 Paul Skenes, RHP, LSU– Nine spots behind Crews is the Tigers’ mound ace. The 6-foot-6 right-hander started slow with three of the first four Kansas State batters reaching base. He threw 33 pitches in the first inning alone, struggling to control his lively 97-99 mph two-seam fastball that typically has greater than a foot of horizontal movement, and up to 18” at times to his armside (1” more than the width of home plate). He did not record an out until pitch No. 20. However, it was all easy-going from there as he made a between-innings adjustment with what looked to be an improved direction to the plate. Skenes shoved for the remainder of his six-inning, 11-strikeout start. He finished the game retiring 12 in a row and 16 of the last 17. His fastball settled in at 95-97 and used it primarily as a chase pitch up in the zone for strike three. Skenes also featured a hard 89-90 mph changeup to left handed hitters and a sweeping slider to right handed bats. The change-of-pace showed good bottom and so much life at times that it made it difficult to land in the zone. Early in the game K State spit on the borderline offering, but Skenes developed more feel as the game progressed and it too, became a swing/miss offering, grading out as solid average to plus. His slider is a bit lower quality than his change, grading out as average at 83-87 mph. With continued good health, stuff and performance as he displayed this past weekend at Round Rock, Skenes is a lock to go in the top 10 overall picks this July. A MLB comparison to Andy Benes (who went No. 1 overall in 1988) is currently popular in the industry.

 

2-17-23 - Cody Worsham @CodyWorsham

Paul Skenes 98th pitch was 98 miles per hour.

Might be it for him after 6.

6.0 IP

12 K

1 BB

0 runs

3 hits

98 pitches

64 strikes

You can live with that

                         2-17-23 - Greg Zumach @IvyFutures

Yeesssssh. That was a loud day for Skenes. You never want to put too much weight on how a guy looked in the fall which is why I’ll have him in the teens next week, but if he keeps doing this it’s definitely Top 5 overall talent.

 

2-6-23 - Prospect Live - Top 100 Prospects -

8. Paul Skenes

Right-Handed Pitcher, LSU

While he has some two-way potential, Skenes has more upside on the mound working from a three-quarter arm slot with smooth mechanics, a short-arm action, hiding the ball on his back hip and creating a lot of deception. Skenes’ velo sits in low-to-mid 90s, though when he rears back he's been up to 99. He generates plenty of carry on the heater, with spin rates in the 2400 RPM range. Primary secondary offerings include a fall-off-the-table split-change and a devestating breaking slider, both in the low-to-mid 80s, the latter featuring extreme sweep when he wants to grab it. Skenes has shown the ability to manipulate the shape of his slider, and it's paid dividents depending on the handedness matchup. As far as the two-way potential goes, offensively Skenes has some contact issues but really excels at finding the barrel and has legitimate slugging potential. Evaluators certainly prefer the arm, but there’s two-way upside.

 

1-17-23 - Top 25 Breakdown: No. 1 LSU

https://d1baseball.com/season-preview/top-25-breakdown-no-1-lsu/ 

Star Power: This is the only team in America that can put three guys on the Star Power watch list — Tommy White, Dylan Crews and Paul Skenes.  Then, there’s Skenes, who was up to 102 mph with his fastball in the fall, showed a changeup in the low-90s, and flashed an improved slider in the upper-70s. Stars galore in Red Stick.

 

12-14-22 - Sox Machine

WAY-TOO-EARLY 2023 MLB MOCK DRAFT

https://soxmachine.com/2022/12/way-too-early-2023-mlb-mock-draft/

10. Miami Marlins: Paul Skenes, RHP/DH, LSU

The 6-foot-6-inch, 235-pounder has true two-potential as a slugger and pitcher. The LSU transfer pitched for Team USA this summer and has shown plus power potential with the bat as well.

 

12-9-22 - 2023 MLB MOCK DRAFT 1.0

https://throughthefencebaseball.com/2023-mlb-mock-draft-1-0-pirates-taking-who/

13. Chicago Cubs: Paul Skenes, RHP/1B, LSU

While his fastball and slider are his most notable pitches, there’s something about his cutter that intrigues me. He can place it anywhere he wants and has a certain confidence when he throws it that I would imagine it will be come his finisher. He’s dynamic at the plate too, and has a pretty solid glove in the field, so whoever drafts him will have to have a plan in place. Most believe he’s a future mid-rotation horse, but with his 6’6″ 235 pound frame, and the way he barrels the ball, it’s hard to contain this talent to just the pen.

 

12-7-22 - MLB DRAFT 2023: WINTER'S MOCK DRAFT - https://www.prepbaseballreport.com/news/PBR/MLB-Draft-2023-Mock-Draft-First-Edition-4397815602?s=03 -

 10

Marlins

Paul Skenes

RHP/C

Louisiana State; El Toro (CA)

The top two-way college prospect, Skenes profiles better on the mound with power stuff and an imposing 6-foot-6, 230-pound frame.

 

12-6-22 - 2023 MLB DRAFT - MOCK DRAFT 2.0 - https://www.prospectslive.com/prospects-live/2022-mlb-mock-draft-n78w7-st9r4-wa35p-2n5ls-8addg-ed27s?s=03 -

 16. San Francisco Giants

Paul Skenes, RHP/1B, LSU

 The Giants put so much stock into leadership qualities, makeup and attitude. It may not get any better than Skenes. A transfer out of Air Force, Skenes is an explosive righty with an upper-90s fastball and a hard, mid-80s slider that can induce a ton of whiffs. He mixes in a fringier cutter and a changeup, both of which has proven to be potential future weapons. Skenes has a premium body and big athleticism with more projection ahead of him. He’s been a dynamo on offense for the past few seasons as well, though most believe he’s a future mid-rotation horse.

 

12-6-22 - Carlos Collazo  @CarlosACollazo

 Paul Skenes, RHP/DH, LSU baseball

 Probably the best college two-way player since Brendan McKay in 2017? Career .367/.453/.669 hitter with Air Force, with 24 HR. Posted a 2.72 ERA in 112.1 IP. Power on the mound, power with the bat. He'll try the SEC in 2023. https://t.co/hqSiMjzNMh 

                         11-4-22 - 2023 MLB Mock Draft 1.0 - https://www.perfectgame.org/articles/View.aspx?article=21422 -

18. Milwaukee Brewers | Paul Skenes, RHP/1B, LSU 

Skenes possesses the strongest two-way ability in the class, providing both big time right-handed thump and power stuff on the mound. It is 80-grade raw power that profiles for the middle of the order if he can hit enough. The fastball on the bump works into the upper-90s and pairs with a split-change that can miss bats. Skenes could turn into a legit power threat who could also handle high-end reliever duties if it all clicks. -TH

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