3/20/14

Herb G: Jimmy Durante’s take on the Mets’ shortstop situation.




“I got a million a’ dem.” That famous line by the great comedian could apply to the New York Mets’ options to fill the role of starting shortstop on this year’s version of Vaudeville in Flushing. Well, perhaps a million is a bit of exaggeration, but you get the point. At this time, the Mets seem no closer to a solution to their shortstop dilemma than they were back in November.

First there is the incumbent, Ruben Tejada, who, after a disastrous year, is following it up by surpassing his 2013 futility in this year’s spring training. Having already committed 4 errors in 9 games this spring and sporting the only sub .900 fielding average on the team, (.879) Tejada finally got a hit in Monday’s game, boosting his batting average to an almost respectable .120 (did I really say that?) with a still subterranean .314 OPS. As of this writing, Tejada is slotted as the opening day starter, having gotten another vote of confidence from manager, Terry Collins. Recently, Andy Martino wrote that there seems to be a consensus amoung several scouts, that Tejada is a solid player, but that he may be spooked by the NY market and by the negative attention he has been receiving. One scout described Tejada as the classic "change of scenery" candidate.

Then there is highly touted but defensively challenged prospect, Wilmer Flores, who until this spring, had not played a game at shortstop since 2011 because he was deemed not athletic enough or quick enough to play a credible shortstop. Now, after having gone through an agility and conditioning regimen over the winter, Mets’ brass has decided that Wilmer deserves a chance to show that he is a changed ballplayer and can handle short after all. Flores played shortstop for the entire game Tuesday, and did nothing in the field to embarrass himself. In fact, he made a rather nifty play in the ninth inning, going to his right to backhand a hard hit grounder deep in the hole, and then showed off his arm with a strong throw to first for the out. There has never been any question as to whether Wilmer can hit, although thus far, this spring, Flores too has not yet displayed much prowess. He went 1 - 4 in Tuesday’s game, an RBI single, but still sports a rather anemic .206 avg.

And the last candidate on the current club is the exact opposite of Flores, Omar (Q) Quintanilla, a fine fielder with no bat. Q should not even be in this equation, but with the poor showing of Tejada and the questions surrounding Flores, he has to be considered as long as no outsider is brought in to save the day.

Outsiders, you say? That’s where “I got a million a’ dem” comes in. I’m not going to go into a lengthy discussion of the pros and cons of all of them because it would take too long and they have been discussed ad nauseum on this and every other Mets blog for weeks, and I want to get to a pair that has only just cropped up. So, who, pray tell, are the “millions”?

Of course, you have to start with Stephen Drew. A significant upgrade over Tejada, qualifying offer, rated the 14th best free agent by MLB Trade Rumors, (7 places ahead of Jhonny Peralta) lose a 3rd round draft pick, writers consensus of Mets as most logical landing spot, Scott Boras, still unsigned, possible holdout until June. Many baseball executives continue to say that a multi-year contract for Drew would be the Mets best option, as it would give them a solid shortstop for 2015, when Matt Harvey returns and the Mets could be real contenders, and it would carry them until 2016 or 2017, when internal candidates Amed Rosario or Gavin Cecchini would be ready to assume the position. Enough said about him? OK.

Nick Franklin and Brad Miller of Seattle were possibilities. The signing of Robinson Cano and the emergence of Miller as the better choice for Seattle, however, have rendered Franklin surplus goods. Mets scouts are seeking to determine if they think Franklin can handle a starting shortstop job, since the Mariners moved him to second base for just about the same reasons the Mets moved Flores, only they waited longer to do it. Meanwhile, several Seattle scouts are following the Mets with radar guns and clipboards in hand, trying to determine what might be a fair return for Franklin. The Mariners had Joe McIlvaine, former Mets GM, scouting his former team at Tuesday’s game. It was originally said that the Mariners were looking for Montero, but it would be highly unlikely that the Mets would part with him for Franklin, so a lesser pitcher or package may have to do.

Arizona’s entries into the sweepstakes were Didi Gregorius and Chris Owings. It now seems that Gregorius has apparently lost out to Owings in the competition for the D-Back’s shortstop job this spring, so Didi is probably the man. Unlike Franklin, Gregorius has a great glove but his ability to hit may not be as good as Franklin. Owings could still be in the mix for the right return. The Diamondbacks have been talking about getting a catcher in return for one of their middle infielders, and it has been thought that it would take package built around Kevin Plawecki to do the trick. Arizona had 3 scouts scouring the back fields Tuesday, further fueling speculation centered on Plawecki. Recent news of Patrick Corbin’s injury and impending TJ surgery could change things, and Arizona may now be looking for an arm. In addition to Plawecki, the D-Back scouts were seen watching Noah Syndergaard, (yeah, really!) Jacob deGrom and Logan Verrett. (Hmmm, that’s a possibility, part of a package, perhaps) But all that is conjecture.

Suddenly, a new arrival on the scene presented a possible option for the Mets, bringing to mind another of the Great Durante’s famous lines. “Everybody wantsa get inta de act!” It’s not an act that teams want to get into eagerly, but the epidemic of arm problems among top starters is forcing teams to look for replacements, and the Mets, with their plethora of young pitching seems like a natural place to look, especially for a team that may have a shortstop to shop. That brings us to the most recent entry.

The Oakland Athletics’ ace Jarrod Parker is the latest high profile pitcher to encounter arm trouble, requiring his second Tommy John surgery, so he will be out for the season. Oakland is fairly deep in young, relatively inexperienced starting pitching, so they may indeed be looking for a starter with major league experience and seasoning to bolster their rotation. Meanwhile, Sandy Alderson’s protégé Billy Beane has a super shortstop prospect in Addison Russell chomping at the bit, and a fine regular shortstop in Jed Lowrie. Speculation was that Beane would wait until mid season to shop Lowrie, who will be a free agent at the end of the year, making room for Russell. But now, with an immediate need for an arm, what’s a GM to do?

Mention Addison Russell and Mets fans begin to salivate. The A’s #1 prospect, #18 in all of baseball, according to MLB.com, and #5 among all shortstops, Russell would be an incredible pickup for the Mets. The price for Russell would undoubtedly be steep, if the Athletics would consider trading him at all. The A’s would ask for an arm and a leg for their prized SS prospect, and that arm and leg would likely belong to Noah Syndergaard or Zack Wheeler. Syndergaard is ranked at #12 by MLB.com, 6 places above Russell, but Sandy Alderson might deem it a worthwhile trade, given the Mets depth in pitching and dearth of shortstops. For more on Russell, click on the following link.

http://mlb.mlb.com/news/article.jsp?ymd=20130826&content_id=58486746&vkey=news_oak&c_id=oak 

More logical, however, would be Beane offering up Jed Lowrie somewhat earlier than he might have intended. Lowrie, though not as slick a fielder as some of the others mentioned, offers a very solid bat. Coming off an excellent offensive 2013, where he hit .290, with 15 HR and 45 2B, he would most probably provide much better offense than Drew, at a reasonable $5.25 million in salary and no loss of a draft pick. The drawback to Lowrie is that he is only under team control for one more year, a factor that might lower the A’s asking price for him. (Although, I’m sure all Met fans remember that the rental tag didn’t lower the price of Carlos Beltran when the Giants wanted him.) The fact that Lowrie is having a fine spring (.313/.343/.563, HR, 5 2B in 32 AB) further sweetens the prospect of snagging him. Another appealing aspect is that Lowrie can effectively bat leadoff, reducing the need to rely on Eric Young, and opening a spot in the lineup for Juan Legarres. If the Mets could sign Lowrie to an extension that would keep him in the fold until Rosario or Cecchini is ready to take over, they might be willing to part with one of their rotation starters for him. Dillon Gee has been mentioned as a fair price, and one that might appeal to Mr. Beane. But, of course, there is no certainty that Lowrie would forego free agency to sign an extension.

With all these possibilities, you would figure that the Mets will have to pull the trigger on one of them, wouldn’t you? Wouldn’t you???





12 comments:

Reese Kaplan said...

I won a bet today. I said after Flores good showing at shortstop in the Mets last game Collins would bench him today. Somehow the victory seems hollow.

Mack Ade said...

I guess Lagares and Tejada sit tomorrow...

Tom Brennan said...

Tejada 3 for 3 today - HOF material

Anonymous said...

and Farnsworth velocity up to 92-94 mph

Mack Ade said...

Jeez... at least 100 wins

Herb G said...

Reese-

Your bet was a sure fire winner. They have to give Tejada reps too. If we are lucky, and TC sees the light, he will at least alternate Ruben and Wilmer at short. I am concerned that, with Murph's leg injury, Flores will see time at 2B also, which to me is a waste of his time. Let Q play second, and maybe some of the other UT candidates, and give Flo as much time at SS as possible.

Mack Ade said...

Guys -

Flores just isn't a great infielder and the last thing the Mets should be doing to moving him around from position to position. I played third. I wasn't talented enough to play short and, when asked to, found second base hard. That being said, third was a breeze for me because that's what I played for 20+ years.

Flores has a bat that warrants a full time job The Mets don't, or won't, have one for him.

Herb G said...

Mack-

I respect your judgement and opinion. But there are major differences between your situation and Flores'.

Granted, Wilmer isn't a great infielder, but neither is Franklin, apparently. He hasn't been playing 3B for 20+ years. He is only 2 years away from playing SS on a regular basis, and that is the position he played all through his minor league career. He certainly is not unfamiliar with the position. If, by some miracle, through his stint in Michigan this winter, he has gained enough agility and quickness to adequately field the position, it would strengthen the Mets enormously to get his bat in the lineup. And he is young enough to handle playing at more than one position during spring training without it affecting his ability to perform at one. They may want to evaluate his ability to work as a utility guy on the bench. Look at Campbell, Satin, Lutz, etc. for examples. Or they may want to showcase his versatility as a trade chip. Whichever it is, I want to see him get as many reps at SS as possible, since that is the Mets greatest current hole. If they acquire a SS in the next few weeks, they should start practicing him at 1B, which may wind up being just the right spot for him long term.

Mack Ade said...

Herb -

I understand what you are saying and, though you can alter a human being's body weight and add muscles, you can't change agility and quickness. We can dance this dance every day on this blog, but you're not going to change my opinion of Flores as an infielder. I've stood there and watched him play 100+ games... it's not going to happen at a major league level.

Look at today on second base. Another bad throw... and please don't tell me he ran down the ball well... THAT'S HIS JOB. He's being paid $400,000 to do his job. Have you ever been paid $400,000 a year? I never have and I was pretty good at my job. He isn't.

Let's move on.

Stubby said...

Since part of the whole hangup with Drew was that we only wanted to offer him a one year contract, what's wrong with Lowrie for one year? Sure, maybe you try to sign an extension. But if you can't, Lowrie for one year is better than Drew for one year. Now maybe you don't want to sacrifice a pitcher for a single year of Lowrie and Drew is only money. But, honestly, which do you think the Mets have in greatest abundance these days, pitchers or money? I'd pull the trigger on Lowrie in a heartbeat. It opens a spot in the rotation for Mejia or Montero, too (since they seem intent on not giving the Niese spot to either, should his issues be greater than reported). Lowrie seems a good fit and I'd bet we could get him to sign for a few years at less than Drew money.

Herb G said...

Stubby -

I personally think a 1 yr deal with Drew is a mistake, just as I think giving up someone like Gee for 1 yr of Lowrie is wrong too. I believe we can do better for Gee if we wait until July. Lowrie will be expensive to extend because he is in the driver's seat. He has no incentive to forego free agency, which could be very lucrative for him. Drew, on the other hand, needs a job, and I think his demands will come back to earth on day 2 of the season, when he cannot be given a QO by the signing team.

I'm not sure that 1 year of Lowrie is better than 1 year of Drew. True, Lowrie would cost half as much as Drew for 2014, but Lowrie doesn't have enough of a track record to give me confidence in his ability to repeat what he did last year. With Drew there is less risk. The bottom line is I would sign Drew for 2 years/$20 - $22 million with a team option for a 3rd year. Right now I think Boras is holding out for better, but by April 1 he may see things differently.

Mack Ade said...

Stubby -

I now agree with Herb on Drew.

I have gone back and forth on this guy and,excuse the french, fuck him and his agent.

And I'm not sending Rafael Montero to any team for a shortstop that doesn't hit or play that position much better than what we have.

We all agree that playing this game is 60% mental and confidence and Ruben Tejada had that yesterday. He hit well and fielded like the shortstop he was when he first replaced Jose Reyes.

It could be that all this kid needs is a calming presence in the clubhouse. I've been there. You don't want (what a good example would be) the Oliver Perez treatment... either 50 beat reporters with microphones in your face asking you your reaction to something you did bad... or complete 'man on an island' loneliness as you stand by your locker. You have to feel like you are part of this team and your teammates also have to make you feel that.

Let's just go with Tejada and get back to trying to figure out who we're playing in the outfield and on first base (this team!!!)