Good
morning.
Someone
emailed me and asked why I sometimes make reference to articles that were
written a few days before my Morning Report posting. Frankly, I do that for two
reasons.
One, I try
to work two days ahead to get the Morning Report done. Secondly, it’s not the
article that’s the main objective here… it’s the comments I make about the
article that I hope will generate some comment activity.
Ken Davidoff
wrote about the Mets 2016 salaries and Sandy Alderson’s comments
at the press conference for the re-signing of Yoenes
Cespedes –
“Well, look, we could be somewhat
below 140 going into the regular season. There are a couple of marginal
situations on our roster where things could change a little bit,” Alderson said
at the news conference welcoming back Cespedes to the Mets. “So I don’t think
we’re going to be as mindful of the 140 number as most of you in the media. But
in a sense, in terms of order of magnitude and assuming we continue to play
well, we don’t anticipate going back to those prior levels.”
Mack – I continue
to be unaffected about the total amount of money spent on the 2016 Mets. My
concern is whether keeping Alejandro de Aza is a better thing than signing a
less talented outfielder that would fill the OF-5 role for a lot less of Mets
money spent. My stance will always be it’s their money to spend and now there
seems to be enough money around to create this kind of talent depth.
I’d stay with the
current plan because you never know what can happen injury wise.
Yoenes
Cespedes –
"It’s not always about the
amount of money being offered. It’s about being in a place that you want to
play in, that you’re happy in. That’s just what happened in this case. I’m very
happy to be putting on my Mets jersey again. I know that this team has
everything it needs to continue on with what we started last year. ... I can
say that from my first day when I came last season, that very first day, the
fans just showed incredible support. My teammates were so welcoming, as well as
the full Mets organization. From there, I just knew that I wanted to come
back.”
Mack
– Have we written enough about this guy?
Nah, not when he can come up with
gems like this one told to Adam Ruben and
the guys with the tape recorders.
I just have this feeling that Yo is
going to be complete healed, both physically and mentally, and be leading the
National League in both home runs and runs batted in by the All Star break.
Sit back and watch and see.
John Harper
adds his two cents about extending the contracts of
the Mets young pitchers -
And then there’s that pitching.
As early as next winter the Mets
might have to start making hard decisions in order to maximize value before the
pitching becomes too costly. By then they surely will have approached Matt
Harvey about locking him up long-term, and if agent Scott Boras says no thanks,
as is his history, they’ll have to consider trading him while he would still be
two years from free agency.
All of that could further impact
the way the Mets view Cespedes next winter, presuming that he does opt out,
because at some point every decision they make will have ramifications for any
plan to pay their young guns.
They won’t be able to keep all of
them, but Jacob deGrom, Noah Syndergaard and Steven Matz won’t even be arbitration eligible for a
two and three more seasons, respectively, with free agency still way off in the
distance.
Mack – This isn’t a new subject.
The 2016 Mets seem
to be set, while the only major changes in 2017 look to be a fifth starter a
second baseman, and a lefty reliever, all of which will probably come from the
system (Zack Wheeler, Dilson Herrera, Josh
Edgin/Josh Smoker).
The next big two
transactions need to be the creation of an extended contract for three years
past the arbitration process of two of the ‘Big 4’ in the rotation (Matt
Harvey, Noah Syndergaard, Jacob de Grom,
Steven Matz).
After pulling the
Cespedes signing out of the Alderson hat, I frankly wouldn’t even rule out the
chances for Harvey here. The team seems a little charmed lately.
Breanna Susa
scouting report on OF Brandon Nimmo –
Nimmo is quick on his feet. He
shows plus-fielding and great range. His arm according to scouts is average but
with experience and strength training I can only imagine it being eventually
above average. (Scouts were wrong about Conforto) He is projected to be an everyday Center
Fielder.
The Mets love his approach at the
plate. His pitch selection has been outstanding. In 2015, Nimmo almost had more
walks than strikeouts, and a league-leading OBP. Nimmo sprays line drives all
over the field and covers the entire plate. Portrayed as a number 2 hitter,
Nimmo is projected to hit .280 or .290 in the Majors while hitting 15 home
runs.
He will be starting the 2016
season in Triple A. I envision Brandon Nimmo as
a mid-season call up if someone ends up on the disabled list. However, if all goes well for the Mets and
they stay injury free, he will be a September call-up, along with Mets highly
ranked SS prospect Gavin Cecchini. If Nimmo
stays healthy in 2016, all Mets fans will get to see him shine under the Citi
Field bright lights.
Mack – Those female
beat writers do love their Brandon Nimmo.
Seriously, if he
can stay healthy… again, IF he can stay healthy… we could have a real decent
future platoon outfielder here, but, in my opinion, that’s as far as this draft
pick will fly.
And, there’s
nothing wrong with another successful platoon outfielder. This the template for
Mets outfielders.
But… he first has
to stay healthy and play an entire season in AAA to get his game to Queens
someday.
16 comments:
Random future thought again:
If we wake up in 2018 and Conforto, Nimmo, Lagares, Beccera make up the outfield. Rosario, dom smith and Dilson herrera are in the infield, perhaps its not impossible to think the Mets could afford to keep 3 or even 4 arms extended through a few arb and free agent seasons. ......................
I like your thinking, Dove. And I know the pitcher extensions would cost a lot, but if this team pulls in 3.5 million fans or more, why not, revenues could explode and allow much higher expense levels.
Mack, the only thing I see keeping Cespedes from superstardom is his over willingness to take fat strike 1. If they can convince him that Barry Bonds would never let a strike 1 meatball sail by, and get him to compete on that pitch, look out. Mack, you write better 2 days in advance than everyone else, so keep doing what works. Nimmo will harpoon Moby Dick this year.
Awesome quote by Cespedes at the top of this article. He wanted to come back to NYM all along. He is such a beast to have in the lineup.
How does everyone feel about the new 2b and SS? I hope that plays out well for us.
Bob I think (staying positive) that the Mets now have 2 veteran middle infielders who can hit 10+ homers, be switch hitters, and play average defense which is just fine by me.
I might be the only one still on the bandwagon, but I still see Nimmo's potential as described in the article- Everyday CF, #1 or #2 hitter, .280-.290, 10-15 HR, solid speed and defense, and high OBP.
Ernest -
I agree, but it is hard for me to believe that the Mets would play that many 'rookie' type players at once in starter roles.
Thomas -
Thank you.
Bob -
I like the new, seasoned, guys... but, we'll have to see the results, especially defensively.
I'm a little shocked & therefore dubious about that scouting report on Nimmo. The arm is average but it will get better! Quick on his feet? That's the first time I've read it.
Look, it would be a great thing if Nimmo could play a league-average CF. It would increase his value, probably double it. When I saw him, twice, he was in LF. How can anyone be so sure that he's a CF? I wish I had that confidence.
As for the bat, there are reasons to hope & reasons to worry. The power is an issue, the inability to his LHP is a concern, and the recurring injuries an obstacle. There's really no point guessing, since all will be revealed over time. He could really use a solid, healthy year in 2016.
James Preller
Mack
Mets can model the strategy used with the arms and bring them along one or two at a time.
First things first lets see if Nimmo and Herrera can get mlb at bats in 2016.
And lets not forget the mets can always do exactly what they did this coming year with dilson which is to sign a walker for a one year deal as needed for playoff push and hold off on a hitter a little longer as needed.
One year deals still won't break bank and allow for arms to still be extended to long term deals.
And if 24yr old and STILL under team control Wilmer Flores or tda/plawecki/or even the captain can play games at 1B that can allow a kid like dom smith, and nimmo in the outfield, to face mostly righties and try to bring them along in best hitting scenarios tobhelp their growth and build confidence.
The strategy played out ok for conforto in 2015.
We'll see on Nimmo. This will be an important year for him. The guy I think is going to exceed expectations this year, and make himself a fan favorite is Walker. Enjoy him though, because assuming Herrera continues to develop, we're looking at a one year engagement. Happily, if Walker has a good season and leaves, there should be a draft pick in it for us.
Ernest -
It seems to me that Herrera will slot in perfectly after the one year contract to Walker.
Matt Harvey (FA: 2019), Zack Wheeler (2020), and Jacob deGrom (2021) are first up for contract negotiations.
Harvey could be saved. You're over $9mil ahead in 2017 with the Herrera/Walker conversion.
And Grandy leaves year after that...... thats another $15mil
(Admittedly cloudy) crystal ball says:
> Wilmer will be the regular SS by mid-summer, Cabrera as UT until traded.
> Herrera raking in LV, gets the call if/when Wright hits the DL (Walker @ 3B). Dilson sticks when DW returns leaving veteran bench (Cabrera, Walker) for the play-offs.
> Nimo raking replaces de Aza mid summer. Granderson traded at deadline for hot-shot prospect. Cespedes to RF, Nimmo/Legares mirror each other at .280-.290/10HR and share lead-off spot.
> Fab 4 do a McNally/Palmer/Cuellar/Dobson imitation (in less innings) while Whheter = Grant + Leonard
> Some bull pen surprise emerges: (Smoker? Jannis? Sewald?)
> Trump exposed as a Hillary mole at the GOP Convention (slap crystal ball--as it clouds over)
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