1/20/17

Mack Ade - Jay Bruce v3.0

9 comments

From MLBTR -

Recent agreements by the Blue Jays (Jose Bautista) and Phillies (Michael Saunders) have caused the Mets’ potential trade options for right fielder Jay Bruce to dwindle, writes Mike Puma of the New York Post. (I’d also note the Orioles’ acquisition of Seth Smith in that list of deterrents to a Bruce swap.) The Giants and Rangers could be the only two remaining plausible landing spots for Bruce, Puma continues, noting that each team has had previous interest in Bruce. However, according to Puma, Mets general manager Sandy Alderson has not yet shown a willingness to absorb any of Bruce’s $13MM salary in a trade, which only further exacerbates the difficulty of trading him in a market flooded with cheaper corner options. Puma speculates that the Mets may be forced to open the season with Bruce on the roster and look to move him early in the regular season, as they did with Ike Davis back in 2014.

So, let’s move on to both the Giants and Rangers and see what they have in the pipeline, per John Sickels:


Christian Arroyo, INF, Grade B+/B: Age 21, first round pick in 2013; hit .274/.316/.373 with 36 doubles, three homers, 29 walks, 72 strikeouts in 474 at-bats in Double-A; draws constant praise for swing mechanics, doubles power, and general heady play; hit .315/.348/.438 on the road last year, just .224/.278/.294 in difficult home park; long-term should be a .280ish hitter with doubles power; aggressive and could stand to draw more walks but he makes hard contact on pitches other hitters miss; arm and range fit better at third base than shortstop, has also played well in limited looks at second base; ETA 2018.

Mack – I( don’t think there is any chance the Giants would trade their number one prospect. But if they did, this guy could possibly be the replacement some day for David Wright.

Ty Blach, LHP, Grade B-/B: Age 26, posted 3.43 ERA with 113/38 K/BB in 163 innings in Triple-A, 147 hits; 1.06 ERA in 17 major league innings with 10/5 K/BB; fifth round pick in 2012 from Creighton University in Omaha; velocity has picked up a hair since college and sits in low-90s now, mixes in slider, change-up, curve; stuff similar to Andrew Suarez and overall approach is comparable though I think Blach throws slightly harder; Blach is two years older but has a better track record of durability. ETA 2017.

            Mack – I’m looking for at least one good reliever for Bruce and this guy could be the guy.

Steven Okert, LHP, Grade B-: Age 25, fourth round pick in 2012 from University of Oklahoma; 3.80 ERA with 60/11 K/BB in 47 innings in Triple-A; 3.21 ERA in 14 major league innings with 14/4 K/BB; what he did in the majors is representative of his ability; fastball up to 96, mixes in slider, cutter; below-average change-up keeps him in bullpen; ranking relievers as prospects is problematic but Okert should be a valued pen member for a long time. ETA 2017.

Heath Quinn, OF, Grade B-: Age 21, third round pick in 2016 out of Samford; hit .337/.423/571 with nine homers, 26 walks, 50 strikeouts in 205 at-bats in Northwest League, then went 6-for-17 (.353) in four games in High-A; 6-2, 190 pound right-handed hitter with 55-60 grades in raw power and throwing arm along with average running speed; likely to strike out a lot but also draws walks; right field profile and glove may be under-rated; not sure the batting average will hold up but should be productive with OBP and SLG. ETA late 2019.

Chris Stratton, RHP, Grade C+/B-: Age 26, first round pick in 2012 from Mississippi State, 3.87 ERA in 126 innings in Triple-A, 103/39 K/BB, 120 hits; posted 3.60 ERA in 10 major league innings; long-standing prospect with little left to prove in minors; fastball has steadied at 90-94; has curve, slider, change; all pitches generally average but not weak, it works when his command is sharp; like Blackburn, a potential four/five starter but might show more per-inning dominance if used in bullpen. ETA 2017.


            Ariel Jurado, RHP, Grade B/B+: Age 20, signed out of Panama in 2012; 3.66 ERA in 123 innings between High-A and Double-A, 106/34 K/BB, 1.98 GO/AO; fastball sits at 90-93 but with terrific sink; throws strikes and hits his spots with it; mixes in solid-average change-up and a breaking ball of varying quality; mound presence and pitchability are better than his pure stuff but should be a solid workhorse type; perhaps more dominant on a per-inning basis if he moves to pen at some point. ETA late 2017.

            Josh Morgan, INF-C, Grade B-: Age 21, third round pick in 2014 from high school in California; hit .300/.367/.394 with seven homers, 44 walks, 61 strikeouts in 470 at-bats in High-A; contact hitter, not a lot of power at this point but gets on base; pop may increase as he matures, perhaps to a surprising extent; versatile glove, competent at second, third, and short; has played catcher on an experimental basis and reportedly will see more time at that position in ’17; projection as super-utility player with impressive versatility and on-base skills; ETA 2019.

            Joe Palumbo, LHP, Grade C+/B-: Age 22, 30th round pick in 2013 from high school in West Islip, New York; breakthrough season in ’16 with 2.24 ERA, 122/36 K/BB in 96 innings in Low-A, 71 hits; had success as both starter and reliever; fastball up to 93-95, also has above-average curveball; change-up needs additional work but there’s enough there to think he can keep starting; command within strike zone still needs more work but he’s made considerable progress; nice combination of strikeouts and ground balls; just now getting noticed outside Rangers circles. ETA 2019.

            Jose Trevino, C, Grade C+: Age 24, sixth round pick in 2014 out of Oral Roberts; hit .303/.342/.434 with 30 doubles, nine homers, 26 walks, 49 strikeouts in 433 at-bats in High-A; compact but strong build at 5-11, 195, athletic enough to have played shortstop in college; good throwing arm with quick release, threw out 47% of runners; excellent receiving and leadership skills; as a hitter features occasional pop and contact approach but seldom draws walks and did much of his damage in friendly home park; glove will get him to the majors and there’s still some hope for the bat. ETA 2019.


            Connor Sadzeck, RHP, Grade C+: Age 24, 11th round pick in 2011 from Howard Junior College; huge 6-7, 240 pounder with fastball in mid-90s, touching 100 at his best; posted 4.16 ERA with 133/52 K/BB in 141 innings in Double-A, 127 hits; flashes plus slider, but still inconsistent with it; change-up is below average; command also spotty at times although walk rate isn’t bad; may fit best ultimately in bullpen; even a small improvement in command could result in a breakthrough without much warning. ETA late 2017.

9 comments:

Reese Kaplan said...

The Orioles acquiring Seth Smith didn't stop them from signing Mark Trumbo as well. It's almost as if some teams WANT to improve their rosters to prepare for the upcoming season.

Given that thankfully every other GM is not Sandy Alderson, perhaps the market for Bruce is bigger than originally thought. Trumbo set the bar at $12.5 million per season for 3 years. Bruce at $13 million for one year might be palatable for someone looking for a short term solution.

Mack Ade said...

Reese, are we the only Mets blog that keeps track of this Alderson ineptitude during this off season?

I guess we're going to have to settle in with the $13mil/Bruce deal.

Eddie Corona said...

this is going to sound as if I am a Sandy apologist... And I am not his biggest fan, but if he signed Blevins and Salas Back would it be mission accomplished? based on how things are shaking up this may be possible...

bob gregory said...

Yes.
Keep Bruce until his value increases.

Trade Granderson + in order to open a spot for an upgrade at cf.
Do it before Granderson's value decreases with another sloooow start.

Mack Ade said...

Eddie -

Yes, I would love him to do that.

Adam Smith said...

My best guess is that Sandy ends up refusing to pay any of the deal and that Bruce is unloaded for a mid-level prospect... probably someone's #10-15. It might not happen until sometime during spring training, but the Wilpons simply aren't going to pay. I only care a little, because I have the feeling that Bruce, despite the power numbers and all-star appearances, is essentially a net-neutral in a lineup. I have no faith that we'll be getting much out of Granderson this season, and I really don't want to watch them both going all or (mostly) nothing all season. I also don't believe for a minute that Sandy will be bringing in any new position players this offseason. My sincere hope then is for a breakout year for Lagares. There is little hope of this, however, since TC will undoubtedly be trotting Grandy out there vs all righties, even if he's hitting .150 through August - which is not entirely out of the question.

Thomas Brennan said...

Maybe Conforto supplants Bruce and Nimmo does likewise with Grandy during 2017.

Thomas Brennan said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
Thomas Brennan said...

Is it only me or does Bruce look 37?

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