10/22/23

Tom Brennan: Alex, Stanley, Rhylan - Pick One. And Sewald Amazes.

Rhylan Thomas - Baseball - USC Athletics

Rhylan Thomas, Back In His Collegiate Days 

If you could only keep one of the 3, whom would it be?

Alex Ramirez:

He was in everyone’s top 5 Mets prospects early this year. 

Most people would say, "Just one? I'll definitely keep Alex”.

From that perspective, though, his 2023 season was quite disappointing. 

Hitting worse in Brooklyn this year than last.  By a lot.

After an encouraging 2022 season (including a successful Brooklyn stint) at age 19, he returned to Brooklyn in 2023.

He had a nice April, .294. Seemed right on track.

After that?

Ugly.

.222 in May, .195 in June, .143 in August, and .167 in 9 September games.

I skipped July: 

That month, he hit .289/.343/.400. But that was the month he had his 6 for 6 game, and in all other games, he hit about .235 the rest of that month. And his average dropped from .261 on June 9 to .221 at season’s end, with just 7 homers in 521 plate appearances. 

Maybe I am being too radical, since most rankers had him in the top 5 Mets prospects prior to trade deadline talent infusions, but I think I will be sliding Alex out of my upcoming top 35 prospects ranking altogether until he reverses course, keeping in mind he is still 20 and there might be a sharp rebound next year.

Stanley Consuegra?

He needs to get his average up and Ks down.  Sure.

But any hitter who can hit 14 HRs in 50 road games in High A may turn into a more athletic version of Mark Vientos. 

Just turned 23. I’m ranking in my top 25 any guy who can hit 14 HRs in 50 road games. 

He hit just .230 but .198 in hitters’ hell Brooklyn.  On the road, .260+. So think of him as a .260+ power hitter. What he needs most of all is to get the holy heck of Brooklyn.

Consuegra went on a home run tear starting around July 4. He was hurt and missed most of June. But starting in late June, he hit 18 HRs in his last 57 games. Remember, his home games were still in challenging Brooklyn, and he still did THAT! 

Come on, that is SO GOOD.  I can't wait to see what's next for him in 2024.

Rhylan Thomas?

In 2023, early in his first full year, he hit .303 for St. Lucie in his stint there, then got promoted. Most guys regress a bit when rapidly promoted. 

Not him. He was promoted to both High A and AA in 2023.

In Brooklyn and Binghamton combined, after his promotion from St Lucie, he hit a sizzling .342 with a .432 OBP in 53 games, with just 15 Ks. 

In his first full pro year, remember.

Wow. What the heck is not to love, except for his low-end power, so far?

Not sure where he belongs in the Top 35 yet, but he certainly belongs there. Right now.  

Conclusion:

I'd probably pick Rhylan Thomas first, barely ahead of Consuegra due to the latter's lower average and higher K rate.  Third?  Alex Ramirez.  

See my top 35 prospect list on this Tuesday just past to see where I fit them in, relative to one another and to the other 32 on the list.


SOME TEAMS DO REALLY STUPID THINGS:

No, not the Mets this time. Well, no, they don’t get off Scott-free.

Seattle traded one of their strongest pen arms before the trade deadline, Paul Sewald, and then proceeded to miss out on the wild card by ONE GAME. 

WHAT??

His new Arizona team? They MADE the wild card by one game. 

WHAT??

Sewald saved 13 games down-the-stretch games after the trade - which no doubt was a key difference-maker in getting them into that Wild Card slot.

And they’re still contending as of today for a 2023 World Series crown.  

What?? 

What has the ex-Met Sewald done recently for his new team, the Diamondbacks?

Plenty.

Over the past 5 weeks, in the regular season and playoffs, 9 outings, 9 scoreless innings, 4 hits, 14 Ks. 

With 6 saves in that stretch, one on Friday night in a nail biter, come-from-behind 6-5 win over the Phillies to even the series.

Gosh darn, how STUNNINGLY STUPID was that trade?

Back to the Mets.

If only the stupid Mets could have figured out how to fix Paul. 

He was a horrible 1-14, 5.50 with the Mets. No one knew the simple fix.

Seattle got him, simply told him to pitch up in the strike zone, instead of down, and voila! He turned into a bullpen version of Mike Scott. A BEAST!

Beast how?

With Seattle and Arizona in the 2021-2023 regular season from, he did this:

18-9, 2.95, 189 innings, 256 Ks, 65 saves.  What do I think of that? 

Brilliant. Beast.

I’d say the Mets were stupid after all, for not implementing the very simple fix that Seattle did while Paul was still a Mets employee. 

How would the Mets fortunes have unfolded if he had been easily fixed and retained in the Mets pen? Here’s a hypothetical conversation that sadly never happened…

“Hey, Paul, speaking for the Mets’ braintrust, we were just thinking…why don’t you pitch up in the zone instead? You’ve tried down…try up, OK?”

“Wow, that really works. Thanks for suggesting that. You’ve changed me from LEAST to BEAST.”

Instead, now? 

“I’m living my playoff dream in Arizona! SWEET! Thanks for trading me so I could get that simple good carrier-salvaging advice. And…hey…good luck to you guys in NY. Sorry to see you had another fiasco of a season. I feel bad about that.”

One can ponder that. 

What a one-two punch he and Edwin would have made in Queens. Two buzz saws.


15 comments:

Tom Brennan said...

Happy Sunday.

Great post season performances, unsurprisingly, from Harper, Schwarber, Realmuto…and Wheeler. Arizon down 3-2.

Mack Ade said...

Frankly I don't see any future in the Queens outfield for any of these three

Tom Brennan said...

Mack, I don’t disagree.

Only 5 outfield spots. Pitchers have it made when the Mets use 30+ per year.

Thomas needs to add a good chunk of power to really put himself in the mix.

Consuegra needs to cut the Ks in AA and keep ripping HRs, freed from Brooklyn, to merit any real consideration.

And Ramirez had such a bad year, I am not sure if his future just went up in smoke. He needs to climb 3 levels to get to Citi, and he stunk at the level he was at.

JT Schwartz in the outfield and fill in at first base, though? Real potential to at least be a good back up. Dude increasingly showing he can productively rake.

Mack Ade said...

2024 will be some combination of Nimmo McNeil Stewart Marte and one UT opening

Add Gilbert Acuña and Williams to the mix in 2025

Paul Articulates said...

Alex Ramirez was everyone's hot prospect just a year ago. How could things go so suddenly south? Maybe the coaching staff made changes to his swing to "improve" something and broke it. That can be undone just like Sewald got fixed in Seattle.

The Mets need to keep improving their player development staff. We have to graduate from the days of shipping out players that disappoint only to see them flourish. No more Wheeler or Sewald abandonments - more fix and improve and reaping the benefits.

Lou said...

Schwartz is on his way.September call up?

Gary Seagren said...

I guess it was because we didn't have Rick Peterson to fix him. It would be a major failure if we don't get Yama as SC's money and the Senga connection should lock it down. I still think Soto is the other big get. He's played since his age 22 season in 151 153 and 162 games was ROY and 3 years MVP votes and he'll be only TWENTY FIVE NEXT YEAR!!! When have we ever had a chance to get a player with his resume it's a no brainer to me. Look I know I've been hard on Lindor since his first year's poor performance and the Baez debacle (by the way did they ever find Baez's 200k diamond earring?) but he's always on the field and that means alot even though he slumped in June showing up everyday and putting up those numbers counts. I know we have a busload of DH candidates but should Rhys Hoskins be considered? I know everyone would hate not seeing Vogelbach manning the spot but please think about it. Has ANY team screwed up the DH spot more than us?

Rds 900. said...

Too early to give up on the 21 year old Ramirez. Look for him to take a major step forward next year.

Tom Brennan said...

Ray, I agree, and in the minors, it doesn’t count like in the majors, so Alex has time to regroup. He’ll get another 500 ABs, then we’ll know: Trust, or Bust?

But Stanley gets no love and attention.

Hitting 18 HRs in 57 games while your home park in Brooklyn is strangling your power game?

I CANNOT WAIT to see what he does in 2024.

Anonymous said...

And don’t forget the other kid in Arizona,rowdy Jordan,speed and power!

Anonymous said...

Can’t wait to see your top 35 Tom
Eddie

Anonymous said...

Your forgetting age. Ramirez is much younger than the other two,will fill out and get more power.

Amazin Z said...

I’m a Rhylan Thomas fan so I’m biased. I think he has the highest floor than the other two as a solid 4th OF. Great OBP and very good OF who can play all 3 OF positions.

Tom Brennan said...

Amazin Z, my take on Rhylan is that 1) low low K rate, and 2) .328 means lots of solid contact when he makes contact, which is most of the time. Just needs more power now.

Amazin Z said...

Tom agree. If he hits the gym and puts on some muscle he can possibly be Jeff McNeil and everyday starter.

I’m just saying with his strong hitting, OBP, and fielding tools I think worst case he’s our #4 OF and key PH and bench piece in 2025.