9/29/21

Reese Kaplan -- What Kind of Team Should Steve Cohen Build?


It's this time of the year when playoff hopes are dashed, a losing record is guaranteed and year one of Steve Cohen's stewardship did not go as planned.  Right now Mets fans are ill at ease, angry, scared, disgusted and mostly uncertain.  No one knows what direction the team will take nor should they.  

Right now it's difficult to focus on specific players when there are so many needs in the pitching rotation, the bullpen, the infield and the outfield.  For one day I will refrain from analyzing the pros and cons of each and every option for the playing field.

Similarly, circumstances suggest it's a great time to evaluate the best front office management team who can finally give some direction to the franchise.  I've dabbled a bit with names in the POBO and GM roles who might indeed be suitable, but until there is more concrete information coming out of Steve Cohen, it's all just a matter of guesswork.  

Instead, today let's look at the type of team that we would like to see moving forward.  I often think there are a certain number of team types you can build.  The problem the Mets have had is lack of a coherent plan during the Wilpon era and the first year with Cohen was fraught with all kinds of unexpected challenges.  Consequently I'll write off 2021 as an unplanned and unlucky disaster and instead look ahead to 2022 and beyond.

I've often brought up the concept of small ball which runs contrary to the home-run focused offenses that dominate the game today.  Still, it's a combination of nostalgia and probably some long lost Little League lessons that make me long for hitting behind runners, stolen bases, strong defense, defensive shifts and pressuring the pitchers.  

Power hitters are indeed seductive to have on your team.  Every time Pete Alonso or someone else puts one over the wall, you think about how the long ball is the primary way to win games.  No one can argue with the lure of a three-run homer, but at the same time banking on it as the only way to win is betting on a relative miracle given the scare occurrence.  

Some people rave over rosters made up from a group of home-grown players who may be rough around the edges but still capable of exciting fans on both offense and defense.  From a payroll perspective you get a double benefit of knowing your club developed this talent and you get to enjoy six years of it at a rather discounted rate.  Some small market teams operate this way annually, enjoying the fruits of their farm system until they become appealing and expensive enough that they feel they can replenish the minors by trading them away.  It's unlikely fans in a city as large as New York would be patient enough for this approach.  

Then there are the All Star aficionados who want to see the equivalent of the Big Red Machine reinvented in Queens.  There is certainly something to be said for making trades for great players and signing the top free agents, but then, as Mets fans well know, there is no guarantee what a player did elsewhere will repeat at Citifield.  Probably the closest to this model these days is the Los Angeles Dodgers roster where they do not shy away from the best of the best regardless of the cost.  It's hard to argue with success, but Steve Cohen needs to decide how deeply he chooses to invest in his new business.

Finally, there is the pitching-first type of team whose talent can keep a team in nearly every game.  If your hurlers are only allowing 3-4 runs per game then you always have it in your playbook that there's a way to pull out a victory.  The problem is that the Mets have kind of approached this method for many years when scoring runs became a major uphill battle and being this one-sided in the lineup approach isn't usually a truly winning formula.  

Given a choice, I'd opt for a hybrid of the small-ball focus supplemented with some pitcher-intimidating power hitters.  Right now the Mets need to focus just as much on improving the pitching even if they could somehow make the defense and offense better.  Perhaps the right front office and on-the-field management will make a difference but changes had better be coming. 

8 comments:

Tom Brennan said...

It is such a tough task - one would have thought they had enough pitching, but it fell apart anyway in the 2nd half.

Hitting? Technique changes would be good. Also, move fences in to increase the likelihood that $341 million stars can actually be and appear successful and worth the dough.

Eddie from Corona said...

I don’t know if it’s fair to say what type of team should Cohen build.
Cohen should hired a exec who has a vision that Cohen can get behind them let him perform his vision.

If I was Cohen I would have rules.
Never sign a player who is 33 or older to more than 2 years
Never sign a 10 year deal.
Never have a no trade clause
Never trade for someone who is older than 33 with a contract longer than 2 years
This is a young man’s game
Are there exceptions yes but I can’t think of one.

Like degrom he would not receive a extended contract after this one expires

I don’t need players retire a Met… that is way overrated

Excepting would be home grown players. If I had Juan Soto he is about 23, sign him fir 10 and that contract ends at 33

Mack Ade said...

I am going to stay with my two most important ways of winning in this game.

1. Middle defense.(C,P,2B,SD,CF)

2. Solid rotation.

Solutions:

1. Sign Baez and play Khalil Lee in center

2. Resign Stroman and sign one more FA to join Stro, Jake, Thor, and Tylor.

Mike Freire said...

As much as the team haunted my dreams, the mid-80's Cardinals are still the type of team that I would gravitate towards.

They were the epitome of "small ball", but it also included good defense, a focus on fundamentals and an effective pitching staff. Add that up and they were pretty much in contention every year and a pain in the ass to play against (especially Jack Clark, who was an earlier version of Pete Alonso).

Sure, sure......times have changed, blah blah. Today's players are too self centered to sacrifice for the greater good, I guess.

BUT....that style of play would still be effective today.

Heck, with the way trends come and go, isn't it about time for teams to pivot back to that style of baseball?

Tom Brennan said...

Eddie is spot on - Old Timers Day should be once a year at most.

Mack, as much as I have advocated for Khalil Lee, his 22 HBPs boost his OBP a lot. I'd only count on him, I think as a reserve OF to start 2022. I also wonder where his high SBs of 2019 have gone. If he cut them down to avoid injury, I applaud that, but having that tool in 2022 will help him.

Baez is a talent - is he one we can sign to a reasonable length deal?

Mike, I wonder about your plan - Jeff McNeil was all of that, but has not been effective this year. Can we build a team like that?

Me? I move the fences in, to raise the value of the long fly ball.

Anonymous said...

2021. So what kind of went wrong.

Hindsight being 20/20 as always, here's my own quick thoughts from the peanut gallery.

1. Starting Pitching. Specisicallyot re-signing Zach Wheeler.

Sure Noah Syndergaard is a stud starter too. But to me, Zach was the true two starter here behind Jake deGrom. Number two's are vital, yet sometimes hard to find. The problem of course was that Zach was asking for just below $20 mill per, if I remember correctly. The other problem is that both he and Jake are now over 30 years of age. Never the less, it can be hard to lose a team's true number one or two starter. After Jake went down, there was no one left here to be that number two guy. Carrasco is also older now, and he too has had health issues before coming over to the Mets with Lindor from Cleveland. He was a gamble in other words, and the Mets should probably not have trusted he would stay healthy all season long. As it stands right now, the 2022 NY Mets could have a new number two starter in place, and another starter towards the bottom of their 2022 rotation as well. The Mets need to get younger and I think they realize this now.

2. Hitting was "so-so" here in 2021 aside from Brandon Nimmo, the only .300 BA player that these Mets had in 2021. It's not a pathetic batting lineup we saw in 2021, but it didn't excite anyone either. Hitting .250 by so many players isn't really enough, with some not even that high and starting. This has got to change for 2022, and I would not "at all hesitate" taking a look at MiLB players like Vientos and Lee in 2022 ST. Why not. The Mets have nothing to lose. They cannot write off all the Mets batters that went backwards in 2021 and pretend like it could never happen again in 2022. It has to be changed out some now.

This team is a partial rebuild for sure.

3. Trading SS Amed Rosario. More specifically here was what some considered his questionable fielding. Let me put this to you honestly this way. Amed Rosario right now is hitting .283 and has 11 homeruns. True, Lindor hits for more power and gets more homeruns. But really here, since when was shortstop a power hitter's position anyway? Lindor is hitting right now just .229 last I checked, but has 8 more homeruns. He made (I think) like $20 mill more in 2021 than Rosario. Interestingly enough here, Rosario and Lindor have the same exact fielding percentage at .977. I said here just after the conclusion of the 2021 season, that in my opinion Amed Rosario could be easily contending for the NL All Star starting position at short, as early as 2021. Perhaps these $20 mill monies could have been spent more wisely for
a new bonafide number two starter once Zach was traded, and Noah injured. Rosario is also an energy type of player who can lift a team later inning to victory, as we had seen here. Similar to Lindor.

I like bold moves by any sports team's ownership and management to make their team more competitive. But this particular move clearly did not. Yes, it does reassure the fan base that there is a sincere desire to win by management. But coming off what I thought was a fairly good 2020 half season due to Covid, shaking things up afterward would not be my own recommendation.

The the things that went wrong here especially second half of 2022 bring plenty of blame for everyone. But this is sports not brain surgery. The team lived despite all. Getting things wrong can be beneficial too, and corrections off season made more wisely.

I expect the 2022 season to be a major NY Mets turn around. The nucleus is here, and the Mets have some MiLB players to very seriously look at and get ready for their chance.

Anonymous said...

Takes

I think Stroman is adequate. But we have that here already from the Mets MiLB grouping of starters. Stroman is just not a winning starter. Take heed. So if Stro' isn't a true 1,2, or 3 STARTER in MLB, where do you use him then 4 or 5? No. Mets will have that already in-house. Walker and Megill my guess.

I pass on Stro' and Conforto.

The Wilpons probably wouldn't, but maybe Steve will? Who knows.

This 2021 NYM team was not a whole lot different than a typical Wilpon season team actually, aside from 1986 when they bought their way to the WS with acquisition types of moves like the Yankees use often. Same types of questionable decisions were made here in 2021 as the past few seasons. It is why the Mets had such a bad second half I think. Cows came home and Jake going down. Confidence lost. This has got to be improved for 2022. Mets need to be deeper at higher level starting pitching, and I think it will be.

Snell or ERod two lefties to consider for the two slot?

Word of advice with each of these free agents, both have medical histories a team might not want on their team counting on staying healthy all season. Both have had very solid careers, but both have had injuries and things making them doubtful of holding up all season. Avoidance. There has to be a better "trade type idea" out there. No Cole Hamels type old man of the sea stuff either. Forget that. It seldom works. The Mets have players they could use now in trades, so I would go this way pretty much only.

This is not a bring back everyone from the 2021 team for 2022. Understand this now. Changes are necessary if we want our Mets making the playoffs in 2022.

What's Needed

Two new starters (I think Sandy will agree because pitching is Sandy's true forte at rebuilding really well and excels at this), two new really proven relievers (Familia and others are probably gone after this season) or two young relievers that already have shown success and endurance going forward, a new starting catcher (hopefully F. Rodriquez because the Mets have nothing to lose at this position by trying this), and maybe another HR outfielder if neither KLee nor Jake Magnum PI. Brandon stays in center people, because he has earned it.

Don't get wimpy on cutting loose players that need now to go now. Sometime true championships have really difficult decisions made prior to this happening. There's no crying in baseball.

Anonymous said...

Eddie:

Good post. But when I think about deals that the Mets have made over the years with not allowing key and top players to retire a Met after huge careers here...I think of the great Tom Seaver. Tom was actually drafted by the LA Dodgers in the 1965 tenth round and was still great after the Mets traded him away to Cincy, came back a Met in 1983, and ended his career a Red Sox in 1986, the year the Mets won the WS for the last time.

Tom to me was the NY Mets for so long here, twelve seasons. Every fan loved him too. It still feels wrong.